2022-01-12 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1992

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+4.24%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.3%

in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-5.11%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.081805	0.077847	-4.84%	0.07511	-8.18%	0.0167	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-01-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	40.25	38.4893	-4.37%	37.07	-7.90%	0.0108	✓	0.92	72.1M	2022-01-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.1869	1.1422	-3.77%	0.7592	-36.04%	0.3573	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-01-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.75	3.6109	-3.71%	3.33	-11.20%	0.0131	✓	1.29	9.1M	2022-01-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18305	0.176879	-3.37%	0.19913	+8.78%	0.2007	✗	1.57	5,360	2022-01-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3384	0.327617	-3.19%	0.2983	-11.85%	0.0406	✓	1.01	397k	2022-01-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12	11.6483	-2.93%	10.21	-14.92%	0.1238	✓	0.15	2.8M	2022-01-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7422	0.72046	-2.93%	0.8466	+14.07%	0.2553	✗	1.79	38.7M	2022-01-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6228	0.60461	-2.92%	0.5701	-8.46%	0.0162	✓	1.43	736k	2022-01-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	34.99	34.0041	-2.82%	26.53	-24.18%	0.1755	✓	1.38	31.1M	2022-01-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	10.21	9.9312	-2.73%	8.43	-17.43%	0.1273	✓	0.70	1.1M	2022-01-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.0897	3.0059	-2.71%	2.7346	-11.49%	0.0420	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-01-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.93	79.7604	-2.65%	81.27	-0.81%	0.0712	✗	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6859	0.668062	-2.60%	0.5784	-15.67%	0.0703	✓	1.41	2.7M	2022-01-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3807	1.3466	-2.47%	1.1386	-17.53%	0.0949	✓	1.39	4.3M	2022-01-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01576	0.015384	-2.39%	0.01172	-25.63%	0.1475	✓	2.37	26.8M	2022-01-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.91	4.7956	-2.33%	4.19	-14.66%	0.0609	✓	1.41	30.4M	2022-01-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.605	3.5213	-2.32%	3.282	-8.96%	0.0206	✓	1.73	1.2M	2022-01-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	39.17	38.3269	-2.15%	32.43	-17.21%	0.0806	✓	1.65	2.7M	2022-01-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0214	0.999495	-2.14%	1.0457	+2.38%	0.0973	✗	0.99	116k	2022-01-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	26.76	26.1938	-2.12%	21.56	-19.43%	0.1331	✓	1.17	70.9M	2022-01-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.539	0.527958	-2.05%	0.469	-12.99%	0.0504	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,839.55	33,174.63	-1.96%	32,142.29	-5.02%	0.0023	✓	0.65	26.4M	2022-01-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4989	1.4706	-1.89%	1.2659	-15.54%	0.0895	✓	1.15	30.5M	2022-01-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.5225	-1.88%	3.39	-5.57%	0.0172	✓	1.06	807k	2022-01-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.79	3.7243	-1.73%	4.35	+14.78%	0.1945	✗	0.75	481k	2022-01-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.17	1.1498	-1.73%	0.93	-20.51%	0.1125	✓	1.90	1.7M	2022-01-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.1488	2.1122	-1.70%	2.0509	-4.55%	0.0290	✗	1.11	83k	2022-01-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0819	0.080555	-1.64%	0.0575	-29.79%	0.2847	✓	1.00	28.2M	2022-01-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.73	3.6712	-1.58%	3.56	-4.56%	0.0409	✗	1.37	2.3M	2022-01-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	169.994	167.4079	-1.52%	120.5322	-29.10%	0.2694	✓	1.13	540k	2022-01-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01401	0.013799	-1.51%	0.0127	-9.35%	0.0312	✓	0.99	730k	2022-01-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.521	2.4837	-1.48%	2.219	-11.98%	0.0546	✓	1.11	1.9M	2022-01-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.12	7.0153	-1.47%	6.05	-15.03%	0.0797	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-01-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4029	1.3823	-1.47%	1.537	+9.56%	0.1516	✗	0.87	922k	2022-01-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	275.54	271.5988	-1.43%	243.71	-11.55%	0.0466	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-01-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.89	8.7656	-1.40%	8.26	-7.09%	0.0093	✓	0.96	4.4M	2022-01-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8813	6.7872	-1.37%	7.1	+3.18%	0.0904	✗	0.86	3.8M	2022-01-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04277	0.042193	-1.35%	0.03718	-13.07%	0.0791	✓	0.90	8.5M	2022-01-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060875	0.060073	-1.32%	0.051115	-16.03%	0.0990	✓	1.19	7.4M	2022-01-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.64	5.5658	-1.32%	4.91	-12.94%	0.0658	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-01-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1883	1.1727	-1.31%	1.0492	-11.71%	0.0596	✓	0.98	23.2M	2022-01-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3542	0.349605	-1.30%	0.366	+3.33%	0.1250	✗	1.51	3.6M	2022-01-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1158	1.1016	-1.28%	0.95676	-14.25%	0.0477	✓	1.78	1.0M	2022-01-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	10.07	9.9426	-1.27%	8.35	-17.08%	0.1767	✓	-0.04	1.6M	2022-01-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.904	11.7539	-1.26%	10.274	-13.69%	0.1297	✓	0.09	54k	2022-01-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	96.02	94.8316	-1.24%	82.64	-13.93%	0.0762	✓	1.17	110.4M	2022-01-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2451	3.2052	-1.23%	3.1421	-3.17%	0.0434	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0716	1.0586	-1.22%	0.9271	-13.48%	0.0592	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-01-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.416	4.3624	-1.21%	3.956	-10.42%	0.0564	✓	0.79	1.1M	2022-01-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.43	40.9401	-1.18%	46.67	+12.65%	0.1887	✗	1.10	21.0M	2022-01-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	59.25	58.5577	-1.17%	49.93	-15.73%	0.0807	✓	1.50	711k	2022-01-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	143.32	141.6456	-1.17%	126.8	-11.53%	0.0471	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.49	142.8303	-1.15%	125.87	-12.89%	0.0575	✓	1.31	10.9M	2022-01-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0507	0.050121	-1.14%	0.04692	-7.46%	0.0064	✓	1.14	18k	2022-01-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.029842	0.029503	-1.14%	0.026624	-10.78%	0.0489	✓	1.03	6.3M	2022-01-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11114	0.109925	-1.09%	0.10044	-9.63%	0.0301	✓	1.15	25k	2022-01-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.667	1.649	-1.08%	1.462	-12.30%	0.0748	✓	0.87	581k	2022-01-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07298	0.072194	-1.08%	0.07162	-1.86%	0.0561	✗	1.22	16.9M	2022-01-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3521	1.3378	-1.06%	1.1693	-13.52%	0.0799	✓	1.04	3.3M	2022-01-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.13	8.0454	-1.04%	7.01	-13.78%	0.0910	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.29	16.1251	-1.01%	15.12	-7.18%	0.0036	✓	1.29	12.7M	2022-01-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.833	0.824609	-1.01%	0.701	-15.85%	0.0851	✓	1.47	8.0M	2022-01-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	78.16	77.3982	-0.97%	71.82	-8.11%	0.0190	✓	1.06	6.3M	2022-01-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09754	0.096603	-0.96%	0.0853	-12.55%	0.0869	✓	0.71	48k	2022-01-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.1113	-0.96%	7.57	-7.57%	0.0286	✓	0.77	767k	2022-01-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0825	0.081727	-0.94%	0.0761	-7.76%	0.0134	✓	1.10	19k	2022-01-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.282353	0.279714	-0.93%	0.245567	-13.03%	0.0756	✓	1.04	24.9M	2022-01-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.779	7.7081	-0.91%	7.009	-9.90%	0.0262	✓	1.31	271k	2022-01-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.02	2.9926	-0.91%	3.1	+2.65%	0.0985	✗	1.21	3.2M	2022-01-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8595	3.8251	-0.89%	3.6546	-5.31%	0.0491	✓	-0.07	364k	2022-01-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.853	2.8276	-0.89%	2.623	-8.06%	0.0276	✓	0.90	27k	2022-01-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	199.2	197.4446	-0.88%	201.62	+1.21%	0.0753	✗	1.04	2.9M	2022-01-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.52	10.4274	-0.88%	10.22	-2.85%	0.0195	✗	0.75	994k	2022-01-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.372	20.1951	-0.87%	19.951	-2.07%	0.0725	✗	1.61	12.5M	2022-01-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	27.99	27.7517	-0.85%	22.14	-20.90%	0.1298	✓	1.83	4.5M	2022-01-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0604	0.059889	-0.85%	0.0486	-19.54%	0.1380	✓	1.35	1.5M	2022-01-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,920.37	43,551.15	-0.84%	41,674.27	-5.11%	0.0084	✓	1.00	750.1M	2022-01-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000315	0.000031236	-0.84%	0.00002726	-13.46%	0.0663	✓	1.33	1.7M	2022-01-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1192	0.11822	-0.82%	0.1126	-5.54%	0.0065	✓	1.05	62k	2022-01-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.88	20.709	-0.82%	19.03	-8.86%	0.0299	✓	1.04	1.0M	2022-01-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.32	27.0983	-0.81%	24.06	-11.93%	0.0492	✓	1.33	68.4M	2022-01-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.375948	-0.81%	0.349	-7.92%	0.0351	✓	0.75	40k	2022-01-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9279	3.8966	-0.80%	3.9939	+1.68%	0.0643	✗	0.75	2,942	2022-01-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.6281	1.6152	-0.79%	1.1835	-27.31%	0.2107	✓	1.91	1.4M	2022-01-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6995	0.694188	-0.76%	0.6838	-2.24%	0.0515	✗	1.27	4.4M	2022-01-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.032	4.9938	-0.76%	4.793	-4.75%	0.0061	✓	0.67	481k	2022-01-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1554	0.154234	-0.75%	0.1191	-23.36%	0.1924	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-01-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.363	1.3529	-0.74%	1.222	-10.34%	0.0307	✓	1.35	2.8M	2022-01-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.922	3.8929	-0.74%	3.627	-7.52%	0.0339	✓	0.70	526k	2022-01-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	218.61	216.9922	-0.74%	210.15	-3.87%	0.0291	✗	1.17	17.6M	2022-01-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.313	1.3033	-0.74%	1.3366	+1.80%	0.0848	✗	1.13	95.6M	2022-01-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.895	5.8518	-0.73%	5.4486	-7.57%	0.0069	✓	1.23	446k	2022-01-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.2464	-0.72%	2.91	-11.01%	0.0578	✓	0.98	949k	2022-01-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.752838	0.747649	-0.69%	0.684968	-9.02%	0.0273	✓	1.15	2.6M	2022-01-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2011	0.199756	-0.67%	0.1786	-11.19%	0.0767	✓	0.67	441k	2022-01-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,373.64	3,351.17	-0.67%	3,085.27	-8.55%	0.0267	✓	1.07	569.1M	2022-01-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01542	0.01532	-0.65%	0.01394	-9.60%	0.0254	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-01-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01475	0.014655	-0.64%	0.01267	-14.10%	0.0811	✓	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.33	15.2317	-0.64%	14.85	-3.13%	0.0101	✗	0.68	1.1M	2022-01-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	168.76	167.6972	-0.63%	135.59	-19.66%	0.1633	✓	0.94	7.3M	2022-01-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.452	8.402	-0.59%	7.272	-13.96%	0.1094	✓	0.67	209k	2022-01-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1144	0.113737	-0.58%	0.1012	-11.54%	0.0586	✓	1.11	303k	2022-01-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.4217	-0.58%	1.17	-18.18%	0.1068	✓	1.68	657k	2022-01-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3843	4.3603	-0.55%	3.8849	-11.39%	0.0443	✓	1.36	4.6M	2022-01-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.2877	3.2699	-0.54%	3.0555	-7.06%	0.0088	✓	1.12	699k	2022-01-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01729	0.017198	-0.53%	0.01585	-8.33%	0.0444	✓	0.71	25k	2022-01-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.15	30.9865	-0.52%	31.27	+0.39%	0.0646	✗	1.06	3.0M	2022-01-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.23	14.1564	-0.52%	12.52	-12.02%	0.0626	✓	1.15	3.2M	2022-01-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.43	5.4019	-0.52%	4.9	-9.76%	0.0361	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-01-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,982.00	43,755.29	-0.52%	41,724.00	-5.13%	0.0041	✓	0.98	14k	2022-01-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5942	0.591283	-0.49%	0.5244	-11.75%	0.0516	✓	1.30	12.2M	2022-01-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.084	1.0791	-0.45%	0.96	-11.44%	0.0665	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-01-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2778	0.276628	-0.42%	0.2463	-11.34%	0.0465	✓	1.33	4.4M	2022-01-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0875	0.087134	-0.42%	0.0774	-11.54%	0.0457	✓	1.39	1.2M	2022-01-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009819	0.000097782	-0.42%	0.00009227	-6.03%	0.0050	✓	1.01	6.6M	2022-01-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.89	2.879	-0.38%	2.47	-14.53%	0.0840	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.98	6.9537	-0.38%	6.36	-8.88%	0.0547	✓	0.66	643k	2022-01-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	196.42	195.7553	-0.34%	172.8	-12.03%	0.0634	✓	1.17	153k	2022-01-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.905	1.8988	-0.33%	1.709	-10.29%	0.0450	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-01-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.89	28.7969	-0.32%	26.81	-7.20%	0.0346	✓	0.70	360k	2022-01-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3269	0.325869	-0.32%	0.2982	-8.78%	0.0222	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.162908	0.162463	-0.27%	0.161705	-0.74%	0.0540	✗	1.12	5.4M	2022-01-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	142.02	141.6331	-0.27%	136.2	-4.10%	0.0324	✗	1.36	33.4M	2022-01-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.2739	4.2628	-0.26%	4	-6.41%	0.0039	✗	1.29	4.1M	2022-01-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	31.51	31.4332	-0.24%	26.13	-17.07%	0.1041	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-01-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.49	1.4866	-0.23%	1.294	-13.15%	0.0671	✓	1.37	4.9M	2022-01-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	383.83	383.0736	-0.20%	369.1	-3.84%	0.0163	✗	1.02	8.3M	2022-01-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.19	8.1742	-0.19%	7.67	-6.35%	0.0306	✓	0.63	675k	2022-01-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.64	112.4248	-0.19%	109.45	-2.83%	0.0232	✗	0.95	2.4M	2022-01-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.9176	7.904	-0.17%	7.4032	-6.50%	0.0096	✗	1.43	273k	2022-01-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	30.77	30.7319	-0.12%	27.59	-10.33%	0.0519	✓	1.07	16.7M	2022-01-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01979	0.019772	-0.09%	0.01895	-4.24%	0.0220	✗	1.23	2.5M	2022-01-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.24	2.2391	-0.04%	2.09	-6.70%	0.0118	✓	1.09	3.1M	2022-01-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1826	0.182581	-0.01%	0.1712	-6.24%	0.0163	✓	0.92	450k	2022-01-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	151.56	151.6788	+0.08%	135.33	-10.71%	0.0548	✗	1.13	191.4M	2022-01-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1668	0.167078	+0.17%	0.151	-9.47%	0.0363	✗	1.24	4.2M	2022-01-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068101	0.068249	+0.22%	0.069192	+1.60%	0.0640	✓	0.96	536k	2022-01-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08196	0.082238	+0.34%	0.07218	-11.93%	0.0559	✗	1.42	2.6M	2022-01-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.