2022-01-03 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3033

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+25.29%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.6%

in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.4418	-11.52%	1.9	-51.16%	0.2902	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.019966	-9.90%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9609	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.3597	-9.73%	0.37	-75.43%	1.1137	✓	0.82	4.5M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	35.7735	-8.95%	26.33	-32.99%	0.0980	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	5.9479	-8.91%	3.11	-52.37%	0.3379	✓	1.35	29.3M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.766425	-8.90%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.1024	✓	1.71	31.9M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	2.9664	-8.74%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0599	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.488	-8.73%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.1365	✓	1.38	5.5M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	12.5295	-8.68%	7.54	-45.04%	0.5083	✓	-0.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.584548	-8.66%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.2331	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.182278	-8.59%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.4078	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	11.7264	-8.46%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5708	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.8542	-7.57%	2.18	-47.72%	0.3401	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.592075	-7.49%	0.316	-50.63%	0.3380	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.347565	-7.07%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0052	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	36.5363	-6.87%	18.01	-54.09%	0.2943	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	3.8486	-6.81%	3.4	-17.68%	0.1058	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	39.061	-6.64%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0072	✓	1.65	2.8M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.5643	-6.43%	5.22	-53.76%	0.5123	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.649607	-6.42%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.1136	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	83.2473	-6.38%	47.6	-46.47%	0.3292	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.115894	-6.16%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1586	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.01478	-6.04%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.1885	✓	0.96	817k	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	8.7237	-5.89%	5.49	-40.78%	0.2069	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.3037	-5.83%	3.03	-33.70%	0.1212	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.944572	-5.78%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1436	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.6926	-5.70%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.3505	✓	1.11	30.0M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	36,551.46	-5.68%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.3234	✓	0.60	15.7M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	12.8402	-5.67%	7.564	-44.43%	0.5421	✓	-0.06	98k	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	8.042	-5.50%	4.09	-51.94%	0.3756	✓	1.31	17.7M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.049688	-5.32%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.3234	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	102.371	-5.29%	67.87	-37.21%	0.1549	✓	1.11	119.6M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.3819	-5.27%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0696	✓	1.08	626k	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	1.938	-5.26%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.3737	✓	1.88	1.5M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.2901	-5.10%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1244	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	10.9837	-4.99%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5584	✓	-0.17	2.3M	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.0853	-4.80%	0.64	-43.86%	0.2984	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.1841	-4.79%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.3126	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.385	-4.78%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.1241	✓	0.69	18k	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.4674	-4.68%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.1237	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.2423	-4.58%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0226	✓	1.76	1.3M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.6697	-4.52%	1.696	-39.34%	0.2188	✓	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	143.9693	-4.37%	98.35	-34.67%	0.0709	✓	1.35	10.3M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.3239	-4.36%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2393	✓	0.94	21.2M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.019365	-4.28%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.2814	✓	0.65	36k	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	255.8294	-4.27%	151.26	-43.40%	0.2657	✓	1.13	12.6M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.900561	-4.22%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.1973	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.372445	-4.21%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.0507	✗	1.49	3.4M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.016585	-4.19%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.2541	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	6.8894	-4.18%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0050	✓	1.14	3.3M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.2566	-4.16%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.0853	✓	1.12	100k	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	222.3366	-4.09%	145.08	-37.41%	0.1961	✓	1.00	3.2M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.357053	-4.04%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.1411	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	3.2445	-4.04%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1786	✓	0.85	41k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.189078	-4.02%	0.11	-44.16%	0.2694	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	184.2495	-3.98%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.6508	✓	1.16	574k	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	60.9715	-3.89%	38.13	-39.90%	0.1230	✓	1.51	837k	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	21.5061	-3.83%	17.776	-20.51%	0.1848	✗	1.63	14.1M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.082248	-3.80%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.3973	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.783	-3.73%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2872	✓	0.80	689k	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	90.9064	-3.68%	49.12	-47.96%	0.3946	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.3435	-3.68%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.5787	✗	1.10	926k	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.10684	-3.68%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.2229	✓	0.64	55k	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.061321	-3.58%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.2167	✓	1.39	7.5M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	17.8103	-3.57%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2307	✓	1.28	14.1M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000031933	-3.44%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.1502	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	23.8541	-3.42%	13.76	-44.29%	0.3138	✓	1.03	1.3M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	3.0145	-3.31%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.2822	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.681563	-3.30%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0584	✗	1.27	5.3M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	9.1279	-3.27%	5.754	-39.02%	0.3212	✓	0.61	302k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.130788	-3.26%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.2527	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.054789	-3.18%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.0839	✓	1.10	15k	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	280.4972	-3.16%	162.31	-43.96%	0.2907	✓	1.12	1.3M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.097235	-3.15%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.1712	✓	1.36	1.6M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.291088	-3.13%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.1792	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.6664	-3.12%	1.36	-20.93%	0.1920	✗	1.72	1.0M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.083329	-3.11%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0129	✓	1.07	20k	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.032792	-3.09%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.2470	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.117447	-2.98%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0197	✓	1.10	26k	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.2518	-2.91%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.2776	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.070979	-2.90%	0.034	-53.49%	0.4148	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.6833	-2.85%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.0902	✗	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000113178	-2.83%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.1751	✓	0.98	7.4M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.646	-2.74%	3.166	-33.72%	0.2090	✓	0.76	1.2M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.5718	-2.74%	0.883	-45.36%	0.2799	✓	1.29	3.4M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.4101	-2.70%	3.37	-39.39%	0.1997	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.016892	-2.69%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.2771	✓	1.29	2.2M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	35.4604	-2.61%	20.09	-44.82%	0.2169	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.4859	-2.61%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2589	✓	1.07	754k	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	135.4242	-2.61%	93.05	-33.08%	0.0841	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	23.1137	-2.56%	15.79	-33.43%	0.0770	✓	1.32	69.2M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	6.0281	-2.50%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0122	✓	1.20	577k	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	8.9778	-2.47%	6.025	-34.55%	0.0736	✓	1.42	273k	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	33.8622	-2.47%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0142	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	39.2372	-2.44%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3315	✗	1.05	19.4M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	45,330.97	-2.43%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0246	✗	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	28.5736	-2.41%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0432	✗	1.41	24.2M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.7002	-2.40%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.0813	✗	1.33	4.9M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.283346	-2.39%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1496	✓	1.02	24.9M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	8.1206	-2.35%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0319	✓	1.26	354k	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.3499	-2.34%	2.41	-29.74%	0.1000	✓	1.00	995k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.4047	-2.27%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1535	✓	0.76	773k	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.6443	-2.24%	1.279	-23.96%	0.0615	✗	1.36	6.0M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.883815	-2.23%	0.465	-48.56%	0.3040	✓	1.47	8.1M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,683.23	-2.20%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.0784	✓	1.04	654.8M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	29.4459	-2.14%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1548	✓	1.29	72.5M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	4.0652	-2.09%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1416	✓	0.66	483k	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.405567	-2.04%	0.25	-39.61%	0.3157	✓	0.73	41k	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.2923	-1.99%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0219	✗	1.10	98.5M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	145.578	-1.92%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0143	✓	1.35	38.3M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.2163	-1.91%	0.719	-42.02%	0.3095	✓	0.94	2.5M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	175.6087	-1.89%	113.54	-36.57%	0.2159	✓	0.96	8.7M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	14.8988	-1.85%	14.09	-7.18%	0.1017	✗	0.69	1.2M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	15.2352	-1.83%	7.83	-49.55%	0.4004	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	5.059	-1.80%	3.998	-22.40%	0.0967	✓	0.60	598k	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.201507	-1.80%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.3277	✓	1.24	4.8M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.646744	-1.74%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.1713	✓	1.29	11.4M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	10.3279	-1.73%	9.36	-10.94%	0.0732	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	427.3127	-1.68%	278	-36.03%	0.1974	✓	1.01	9.1M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.5181	-1.64%	1.63	-36.33%	0.1917	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.20243	-1.64%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0051	✓	0.60	428k	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.1972	-1.62%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2366	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	120.2363	-1.59%	90	-26.34%	0.0706	✓	0.95	3.2M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.021706	-1.57%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.1073	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	218.7545	-1.55%	121.22	-45.45%	0.3272	✓	1.15	210k	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	31.1766	-1.46%	23.57	-25.51%	0.1241	✓	0.68	385k	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.2325	-1.43%	1.589	-29.85%	0.0824	✓	1.12	2.7M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.125221	-1.40%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0427	✗	1.10	115k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.167795	-1.36%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0510	✗	1.10	4.7M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	7.1192	-1.26%	5.04	-30.10%	0.1989	✓	0.64	861k	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.5718	-1.21%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.0803	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.196243	-1.09%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1673	✓	0.91	527k	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	45,541.02	-1.04%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0406	✗	0.98	10k	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	34.7437	-0.96%	20.19	-42.45%	0.3037	✓	1.04	22.7M	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.8134	-0.86%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2423	✓	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.076543	-0.58%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0505	✓	0.94	552k	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	169.2879	-0.49%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2618	✓	1.07	217.0M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.089652	-0.48%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.1868	✓	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.