8=======>

2021-12-31 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1918
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.5%
in alpha space · 85.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.18.1272+0.34%6.989-13.72%0.0213✗1.22391k2022-01-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.170618+0.23%0.154835-9.04%0.0194✓1.105.5M2022-01-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3949+0.21%2.18-8.79%0.0128✓1.014.1M2022-01-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.5496+0.20%25.97+33.11%0.4176✓1.2669.7M2022-01-07
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.1642+0.16%13.92-8.06%0.0340✓1.134.3M2022-01-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.28+0.12%31.53-7.91%0.0249✓1.0223.7M2022-01-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2446,245.44+0.07%41,565.18-10.05%0.0007✓1.00750.8M2022-01-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.9316+0.05%2.83-3.41%0.1016✓1.293.2M2022-01-07
SOLSolanaSolana169.88169.9601+0.05%136.37-19.73%0.1189✗0.96236.5M2022-01-07
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075496+0.03%0.068128-9.74%0.0035✗0.94607k2022-01-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.6208-0.18%24.88-6.71%0.0653✗1.2575.1M2022-01-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.19643-0.23%0.17255-12.36%0.0362✗1.568,4562022-01-07
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,665.24-0.29%3,198.82-12.98%0.0278✓1.02716.9M2022-01-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8733-0.30%2.661-7.67%0.0152✗0.8753k2022-01-07
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58198.9209-0.33%192.9-3.35%0.0875✗1.12210k2022-01-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0505-0.36%1.857-9.77%0.0195✗1.123.1M2022-01-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15428.3296-0.42%385.43-10.40%0.0006✓0.999.8M2022-01-07
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.6978-0.44%7.8679-9.94%0.0443✗1.36280k2022-01-07
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.3856-0.47%3.0909-9.13%0.0193✗1.04798k2022-01-07
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.193538-0.49%0.1805-7.20%0.0127✓0.54410k2022-01-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.8268-0.52%8.183-7.78%0.0086✓0.63338k2022-01-07
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.265044-0.54%0.257021-3.55%0.0764✗1.0127.7M2022-01-07
BANDBandEthereum5.014.9815-0.57%5.27+5.19%0.1800✗1.172.4M2022-01-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.1917-0.57%3.11-3.12%0.0774✗0.971.1M2022-01-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0633.8646-0.57%30.45-10.60%0.0001✓1.004.7M2022-01-07
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.8808-0.58%15.75-7.24%0.0653✗1.2715.5M2022-01-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2045,783.75-0.60%41,663.10-9.55%0.0087✗0.979,2042022-01-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021691-0.60%0.019625-10.07%0.0299✗1.232.4M2022-01-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.5322-0.64%1.306-15.30%0.0251✓1.273.6M2022-01-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.067.0123-0.68%6.64-5.95%0.0126✗0.631.1M2022-01-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2505-0.68%1.054-16.28%0.0724✓0.932.7M2022-01-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02120.1919-0.68%109.72-9.34%0.0089✗0.943.7M2022-01-07
QNTQuantEthereum179.22177.9783-0.69%177.7-0.85%0.0988✗0.959.4M2022-01-07
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.299-0.70%1.2093-7.56%0.0399✗1.05106.2M2022-01-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.081714-0.71%0.076-7.65%0.0383✗1.0520k2022-01-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.431.1706-0.73%27.94-11.02%0.0418✓0.64503k2022-01-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.196919-0.75%0.1763-11.14%0.0176✓0.88622k2022-01-07
XEMNEMnative0.12270.121779-0.75%0.1166-4.97%0.0692✗1.06153k2022-01-07
GTGateEthereum6.55556.5038-0.79%6.1737-5.82%0.0305✗0.784.0M2022-01-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.1197-0.85%3.0272-3.79%0.0979✗1.213.3M2022-01-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.7244-0.86%8.18-7.05%0.0009✓0.60999k2022-01-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.3372-0.87%8.03-4.52%0.0397✗0.731.1M2022-01-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9238.5808-0.87%30.01-22.89%0.0585✓1.826.6M2022-01-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.2037-0.89%30.22+23.75%0.3706✗1.4024.2M2022-01-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.7272-0.91%3.5714-5.05%0.0552✓-0.12409k2022-01-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.111651-0.94%0.10346-8.21%0.0400✗1.1029k2022-01-07
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000107155-0.96%0.00009855-8.91%0.0208✗0.998.0M2022-01-07
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.834768-0.98%0.802-4.86%0.1127✗1.448.5M2022-01-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0234.9735-0.98%4.597-8.48%0.0173✓0.58773k2022-01-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15144.6764-1.01%131.34-10.13%0.0449✗1.3446.1M2022-01-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.9156-1.02%15.09+0.13%0.0832✗0.681.4M2022-01-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.409528-1.06%0.5162+24.72%0.3802✗1.40722k2022-01-07
DASHDashDash133.78132.3417-1.08%134.68+0.67%0.1488✗1.242.1M2022-01-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.126881-1.11%0.1111-13.41%0.0193✓1.07324k2022-01-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2653-1.11%2.05+60.21%0.5953✗1.06987k2022-01-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.6156-1.13%1.506-7.83%0.0708✗1.337.6M2022-01-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.79356-1.13%0.752558-6.24%0.0592✗1.062.8M2022-01-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.634687-1.15%0.5936-7.55%0.0595✗1.1911.8M2022-01-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2192.1234-1.17%73.42-21.23%0.1231✓0.987.0M2022-01-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.6383-1.20%9.26-21.39%0.2457✓-0.163.4M2022-01-07
ZENHorizenBase60.5759.8364-1.21%55.57-8.25%0.0758✗1.411.0M2022-01-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.361073-1.21%0.3192-12.67%0.0122✗1.284.2M2022-01-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4124.1082-1.24%20.9-14.38%0.0675✓0.711.5M2022-01-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.199796-1.24%0.173-14.48%0.0172✓1.205.4M2022-01-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.4515-1.27%2.889-17.36%0.0082✓1.602.5M2022-01-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.409-1.30%5.4-1.46%0.1183✗1.134.3M2022-01-07
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.284-1.30%4.2564-1.94%0.1315✗1.304.9M2022-01-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0183.9635-1.36%3.811-5.15%0.0296✗0.65502k2022-01-07
FTTFTXEthereum38.2537.7254-1.37%35.51-7.16%0.0455✗1.0020.7M2022-01-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.086424-1.42%0.07895-9.95%0.0631✗1.453.9M2022-01-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1135-1.46%1-11.50%0.0016✓1.002.2M2022-01-07
KSMKusamaHydration276.22272.0929-1.49%250.4-9.35%0.0317✗1.081.4M2022-01-07
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.3607-1.52%2.1392-10.76%0.0137✓1.06128k2022-01-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015545-1.55%0.01562-1.08%0.1396✗1.272.3M2022-01-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.119.9499-1.58%10.01-0.99%0.0853✗0.751.3M2022-01-07
KCSKuCoinnative21.37621.0349-1.60%19.19-10.23%0.0802✗1.6216.6M2022-01-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.1842-1.64%1.0712-11.02%0.0840✗1.741.4M2022-01-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.7888-1.65%5.4947-6.65%0.0686✗1.14649k2022-01-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.172278-1.67%0.1543-11.93%0.0126✓1.162.8M2022-01-07
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.014925-1.68%0.01358-10.54%0.0063✓0.95868k2022-01-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.2647-1.73%3.07-29.26%0.2227✓1.003.4M2022-01-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0632.4779-1.76%30.97-6.32%0.1074✗1.461.3M2022-01-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.5248-1.77%4.1928-8.98%0.0610✗1.305.0M2022-01-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.892683-1.77%0.9215+1.40%0.1377✗1.00146k2022-01-07
XVGVergenative0.017030.016726-1.78%0.01454-14.62%0.0141✓1.192.4M2022-01-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.01874-1.78%0.0169-11.43%0.0446✓0.5542k2022-01-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.418308-1.81%0.369-13.38%0.0484✓0.7346k2022-01-07
XMRMoneroMonero228.93224.7689-1.82%194.72-14.94%0.0480✓0.903.0M2022-01-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2211.9977-1.82%10.15-16.94%0.1080✓0.561.3M2022-01-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.694841-1.83%0.638-9.86%0.0468✗1.256.1M2022-01-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000032805-1.84%0.00002895-13.38%0.0089✓1.262.0M2022-01-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.052309-1.88%0.04946-7.22%0.0555✗1.0515k2022-01-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.673379-1.90%0.5999-12.60%0.0244✗1.323.1M2022-01-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.4222-1.90%4.127-8.45%0.0043✓0.691.0M2022-01-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.098948-1.93%0.0942-6.64%0.0197✗0.6564k2022-01-07
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.6389-1.95%8.9-17.97%0.0878✓0.861.2M2022-01-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.34772-1.97%0.3378-4.76%0.1199✗1.404.3M2022-01-07
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.136-1.99%3.79-10.19%0.0186✓1.001.1M2022-01-07
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.4693-2.00%3.36-5.08%0.0781✗1.04723k2022-01-07
HIVEHivenative1.48961.4597-2.01%1.3612-8.62%0.0757✗1.375.8M2022-01-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.095053-2.11%0.0855-11.95%0.0409✗1.391.8M2022-01-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.6239-2.11%1.445-12.89%0.0025✓1.0831.7M2022-01-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.6422-2.11%3.9099-17.56%0.1013✓0.6622k2022-01-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.047247-2.14%0.04349-9.92%0.0116✓0.898.6M2022-01-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.5179-2.18%2.344-8.94%0.0353✗1.012.1M2022-01-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.5843-2.20%1.55-4.32%0.1570✗1.691.1M2022-01-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.703-2.29%1.5636-10.28%0.0010✓0.80889k2022-01-07
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92248.0999-2.29%211.6-16.67%0.0438✓1.0911.5M2022-01-07
ZECZcashZcash146.46143.0429-2.33%139.74-4.59%0.1127✗1.2811.8M2022-01-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.061987-2.43%0.059308-6.64%0.1008✗1.377.9M2022-01-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.5271-2.52%1.2622-19.43%0.0880✓0.974.3M2022-01-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.331-2.54%1.1144-18.41%0.0807✓0.9123.6M2022-01-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.276065-2.55%0.2638-6.88%0.0910✗1.295.5M2022-01-07
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09082.037-2.57%1.668-20.22%0.0012✓1.901.5M2022-01-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2832,175.86-2.61%35,821.08+8.42%0.1689✗0.5813.3M2022-01-07
UMAUMAEthereum9.118.8706-2.63%9.41+3.29%0.1781✗1.124.1M2022-01-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.1943-2.76%1.0067-18.03%0.0230✓1.402.1M2022-01-07
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528176.7877-2.79%163.2907-10.21%0.0275✓1.01622k2022-01-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.594607-2.84%0.546-10.78%0.0470✗1.252.5M2022-01-07
LUNATerraTerra 285.5683.0965-2.88%68.69-19.72%0.0844✓1.006.3M2022-01-07
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.768-2.89%3.77-23.22%0.1289✓1.003.0M2022-01-07
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.1724-2.92%3.05-6.66%0.0612✗0.956.9M2022-01-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4331.4772-2.94%38.54+18.84%0.2962✗0.8842.6M2022-01-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.318147-2.97%0.3309+0.91%0.1393✗0.94293k2022-01-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.032803-3.02%0.029557-12.62%0.0065✓1.058.5M2022-01-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.08254-3.04%0.0749-12.02%0.0323✗1.2221.7M2022-01-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4106.0094-3.10%86.79-20.67%0.0890✓1.05127.7M2022-01-07
SUSHISushiEthereum9.429.1178-3.21%7.17-23.89%0.0999✓1.3317.1M2022-01-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6938.3535-3.37%37.02-6.73%0.1413✗1.672.9M2022-01-07
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.3035-3.38%12.098-4.99%0.0235✓-0.06111k2022-01-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.073603-3.54%0.0669-12.32%0.0516✗1.391.7M2022-01-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.325.1272-3.62%5-6.02%0.1117✗1.2928.7M2022-01-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.5592-3.75%1.0882-32.83%0.2674✓0.874.6M2022-01-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.712.1913-4.01%12.12-4.57%0.0060✓-0.004.2M2022-01-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.022485-4.16%0.01509-35.68%0.2928✓1.0033.0M2022-01-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.554.3294-4.85%3.62-20.44%0.0365✓1.3412.3M2022-01-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.881324-5.80%0.6983-25.36%0.0554✓1.6730.1M2022-01-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.