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2021-12-31 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3469
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+31.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.3%
in alpha space · 89.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.171117+0.53%0.139318-18.16%0.0147✓1.115.5M2022-01-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.4134+0.51%19.84-42.06%0.3459✗1.0323.7M2022-01-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.5996+0.46%17.77-8.92%0.1675✓1.3469.7M2022-01-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2046,246.10+0.40%37,655.60-18.25%0.0117✗0.989,2042022-01-30
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075689+0.28%0.058692-22.24%0.0658✗0.95607k2022-01-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.18.1218+0.27%5.789-28.53%0.0879✗1.26391k2022-01-30
SOLSolanaSolana169.88169.9602+0.05%93.31-45.07%0.3907✗1.05236.5M2022-01-30
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.1455+0.04%7.79-48.55%0.4388✗1.144.3M2022-01-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3904+0.02%1.66-30.54%0.1562✗1.054.1M2022-01-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2446,214.27+0.01%37,901.35-17.98%0.0001✗1.00750.8M2022-01-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.9198-0.35%1.9-35.15%0.1703✓1.313.2M2022-01-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.5729-0.36%18.19-31.80%0.1244✓1.2875.1M2022-01-30
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58198.1287-0.73%117.46-41.15%0.2946✓1.15210k2022-01-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15426.8228-0.77%290.04-32.57%0.1862✓1.019.8M2022-01-30
BANDBandEthereum5.014.9609-0.98%3.45-31.14%0.1234✓1.212.4M2022-01-30
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,637.69-1.04%2,602.89-29.19%0.1274✓1.05716.9M2022-01-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0355-1.09%1.486-27.79%0.0901✓1.133.1M2022-01-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021538-1.30%0.014098-35.40%0.1836✓1.212.4M2022-01-30
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8423-1.38%2.243-22.17%0.0630✓0.8853k2022-01-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.0604-1.47%19.28-21.05%0.0620✗1.4324.2M2022-01-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.081047-1.52%0.066-19.81%0.0094✓1.0820k2022-01-30
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.3486-1.56%2.2301-34.44%0.1961✓1.06798k2022-01-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.239-1.59%0.732-41.86%0.3382✓0.952.7M2022-01-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.1588-1.59%2.48-22.74%0.0437✓1.001.1M2022-01-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.066.9433-1.65%5.28-25.21%0.1477✓0.641.1M2022-01-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0633.4907-1.67%24.92-26.83%0.0883✓1.054.7M2022-01-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.110805-1.69%0.08818-21.76%0.0069✓1.1229k2022-01-30
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.687-1.73%10.8-36.40%0.1775✓1.3015.5M2022-01-30
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.19112-1.74%0.1781-8.43%0.0340✗0.53410k2022-01-30
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.2849-1.78%1.0359-20.81%0.0008✓1.08106.2M2022-01-30
GTGateEthereum6.55556.429-1.93%6.7915+3.60%0.2209✗0.844.0M2022-01-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.511-2.01%0.897-41.83%0.2680✓1.283.6M2022-01-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02118.5545-2.04%90.34-25.35%0.0811✓0.963.7M2022-01-30
QNTQuantEthereum179.22175.4306-2.11%94.77-47.12%0.4236✓0.979.4M2022-01-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.6812-2.13%3.587-4.63%0.0493✓-0.12409k2022-01-30
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.5489-2.14%5.9884-31.45%0.0719✓1.43280k2022-01-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.6107-2.15%6.16-30.00%0.2145✓0.61999k2022-01-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.430.7219-2.16%25.75-17.99%0.0437✓0.67503k2022-01-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.2274-2.17%6.14-26.99%0.1413✓0.761.1M2022-01-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.194034-2.20%0.1251-36.95%0.2608✓0.90622k2022-01-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.260596-2.21%0.195399-26.67%0.0856✓1.0227.7M2022-01-30
DASHDashDash133.78130.7638-2.25%92.77-30.65%0.0904✓1.282.1M2022-01-30
XEMNEMnative0.12270.119842-2.33%0.1024-16.54%0.0620✗1.11153k2022-01-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0234.8969-2.51%4.078-18.81%0.0652✓0.59773k2022-01-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.778673-2.98%0.553313-31.06%0.1217✓1.112.8M2022-01-30
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000104959-2.99%0.00007524-30.46%0.1355✓1.008.0M2022-01-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.0487-3.10%3.0137-4.22%0.2278✗1.213.3M2022-01-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.5995-3.12%14.02-6.97%0.0955✗0.691.4M2022-01-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.5959-3.12%6.101-31.24%0.2241✓0.60338k2022-01-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.308-3.14%5.25-4.20%0.2165✗1.154.3M2022-01-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4123.643-3.14%14.23-41.70%0.3000✓1.051.5M2022-01-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0183.8915-3.15%3.067-23.67%0.1095✓0.65502k2022-01-30
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.816033-3.20%0.496-41.16%0.2040✓1.488.5M2022-01-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15141.4745-3.20%108.59-25.70%0.0043✓1.3646.1M2022-01-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.05153-3.34%0.04035-24.31%0.0249✓1.1115k2022-01-30
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.1874-3.52%3.2781-24.47%0.0170✓1.324.9M2022-01-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.619366-3.54%0.3997-37.75%0.1805✓1.3011.8M2022-01-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.3439-3.70%6.37-45.93%0.6114✓-0.173.4M2022-01-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.410163-3.72%0.251-41.08%0.3450✓0.7446k2022-01-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.194777-3.72%0.1153-43.01%0.2799✓1.235.4M2022-01-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.351906-3.72%0.2398-34.39%0.1299✓1.284.2M2022-01-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.5726-3.76%1.414-13.46%0.1606✗1.357.6M2022-01-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.084372-3.76%0.0595-32.13%0.0619✓1.453.9M2022-01-30
XMRMoneroMonero228.93219.9146-3.94%148.16-35.28%0.2023✓0.973.0M2022-01-30
FTTFTXEthereum38.2536.7137-4.02%41.05+7.32%0.3199✗1.0520.7M2022-01-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.3207-4.15%3.138-30.39%0.1800✓0.711.0M2022-01-30
KSMKusamaHydration276.22264.4693-4.25%163.11-40.95%0.2625✓1.111.4M2022-01-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.12284-4.26%0.0797-37.88%0.2203✓1.07324k2022-01-30
ZENHorizenBase60.5757.9908-4.26%40.22-33.60%0.0669✓1.511.0M2022-01-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015114-4.28%0.00971-38.51%0.1848✓1.302.3M2022-01-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.119.676-4.29%9.32-7.81%0.1108✗0.751.3M2022-01-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.0815-4.29%0.64-43.36%0.3264✓1.002.2M2022-01-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.6334-4.30%4.8343-17.87%0.0857✗1.20649k2022-01-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.395672-4.40%0.5479+32.37%0.6037✗1.40722k2022-01-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.1502-4.46%0.83304-30.81%0.0308✓1.781.4M2022-01-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2216-4.53%1.7386+35.87%0.5676✗1.08987k2022-01-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.166886-4.75%0.1219-30.42%0.0844✓1.162.8M2022-01-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2188.7375-4.80%53.4-42.71%0.3148✓0.977.0M2022-01-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2211.6318-4.81%5.92-51.55%0.5635✓0.561.3M2022-01-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0631.4512-4.87%20.05-39.35%0.1464✓1.531.3M2022-01-30
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.2799-4.89%1.5641-34.75%0.1503✓1.14128k2022-01-30
XVGVergenative0.017030.016194-4.91%0.00997-41.46%0.2487✓1.192.4M2022-01-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000031755-4.98%0.00002109-36.89%0.1588✓1.262.0M2022-01-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.018116-5.05%0.01326-30.50%0.1877✓0.6342k2022-01-30
KCSKuCoinnative21.37620.2862-5.10%17.407-18.57%0.1731✗1.6516.6M2022-01-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.3693-5.15%3.0959-32.79%0.0877✓1.305.0M2022-01-30
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.3536-5.27%2.27-35.88%0.1784✓1.07723k2022-01-30
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.2732-5.32%5.09-53.09%0.5332✓0.851.2M2022-01-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2831,268.47-5.36%23,834.59-27.86%0.1588✓0.5713.3M2022-01-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.335656-5.37%0.3236-8.77%0.2561✗1.484.3M2022-01-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.095339-5.51%0.07979-20.92%0.0501✓0.6564k2022-01-30
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92239.5557-5.66%149.01-41.32%0.2505✓1.1311.5M2022-01-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.667501-5.69%0.5123-27.62%0.0123✓1.276.1M2022-01-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.5635-5.75%0.9447-43.05%0.2816✓1.1231.7M2022-01-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9236.6483-5.84%19.1-50.92%0.2911✓1.826.6M2022-01-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.4656-5.84%3.0214-36.29%0.2463✓0.7322k2022-01-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.5237-5.94%0.81-50.00%0.2903✓1.721.1M2022-01-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.4204-5.97%1.788-30.54%0.0996✓1.032.1M2022-01-30
ZECZcashZcash146.46137.6075-6.04%93.02-36.49%0.1212✓1.3611.8M2022-01-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.853777-6.05%0.8483-6.66%0.1918✗1.00146k2022-01-30
API3Api3Ethereum4.223.9629-6.09%3.63-13.98%0.1105✗1.001.1M2022-01-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.09113-6.15%0.0619-36.25%0.1139✓1.381.8M2022-01-30
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.014234-6.23%0.00984-35.18%0.1787✓0.96868k2022-01-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.2806-6.23%0.8142-40.39%0.2665✓0.9423.6M2022-01-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.059498-6.34%0.038887-38.79%0.1455✓1.417.9M2022-01-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4330.3153-6.52%27.19-16.16%0.0671✓0.8942.6M2022-01-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.0545-6.58%2.14-50.69%0.4408✓1.003.4M2022-01-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.183901-6.59%0.18014-8.50%0.2942✗1.598,4562022-01-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.640119-6.74%0.4519-34.16%0.0852✓1.333.1M2022-01-30
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.6253-6.74%1.158-33.56%0.1821✓0.79889k2022-01-30
UMAUMAEthereum9.118.4927-6.78%5.92-35.02%0.1383✓1.124.1M2022-01-30
LUNATerraTerra 285.5679.757-6.78%46.21-45.99%0.3476✓1.006.3M2022-01-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.079188-6.98%0.04709-44.68%0.2743✓1.2421.7M2022-01-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.1399-7.19%0.5944-51.60%0.3745✓1.402.1M2022-01-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.044796-7.22%0.02962-38.65%0.2326✓0.918.6M2022-01-30
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.5501-7.33%2.57-47.66%0.3730✓1.003.0M2022-01-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.4515-7.35%1.0776-31.22%0.1063✓0.974.3M2022-01-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.2382-7.37%2.693-22.97%0.1332✗1.602.5M2022-01-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.30319-7.54%0.2571-21.59%0.0222✓0.94293k2022-01-30
SUSHISushiEthereum9.428.7092-7.55%4.09-56.58%0.4902✓1.3417.1M2022-01-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4101.1393-7.55%67.98-37.86%0.1774✓1.11127.7M2022-01-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.26186-7.57%0.1816-35.90%0.1066✓1.315.5M2022-01-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.565233-7.64%0.313-48.86%0.3390✓1.272.5M2022-01-30
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09081.9259-7.89%1.0017-52.09%0.2728✓1.921.5M2022-01-30
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528167.4838-7.90%75.0918-58.71%0.5723✓1.16622k2022-01-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.031106-8.04%0.021008-37.89%0.1858✓1.048.5M2022-01-30
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73411.6714-8.34%7.233-43.20%0.4992✓-0.10111k2022-01-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.324.8654-8.54%3.18-40.23%0.1640✓1.3228.7M2022-01-30
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26772.9553-9.56%2.5078-23.25%0.0238✓0.956.9M2022-01-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6935.881-9.60%26.29-33.76%0.0207✓1.672.9M2022-01-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.068976-9.60%0.0352-53.87%0.3976✓1.391.7M2022-01-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.021187-9.69%0.0074-68.46%0.8537✓1.0033.0M2022-01-30
HIVEHivenative1.48961.341-9.98%0.9375-37.06%0.0808✓1.405.8M2022-01-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.711.3183-10.88%7.28-42.68%0.4498✓-0.044.2M2022-01-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.4263-11.96%0.4444-72.57%1.0029✓0.824.6M2022-01-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.553.9503-13.18%2.13-53.19%0.3511✓1.3412.3M2022-01-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.809041-13.53%0.5593-40.22%0.0331✓1.7030.1M2022-01-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.