8=======>

2021-12-31 · +7d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3064
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.28%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.3%
in alpha space · 86.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.554.271-6.13%3.62-20.44%0.0229✓1.3412.3M2022-01-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.022215-5.31%0.01509-35.68%0.2808✓1.0033.0M2022-01-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.895371-4.30%0.6983-25.36%0.0690✓1.7030.1M2022-01-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.712.2514-3.53%12.12-4.57%0.0153✓-0.044.2M2022-01-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2211.8103-3.35%10.15-16.94%0.0917✓0.561.3M2022-01-07
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.1623-3.22%3.05-6.66%0.0643✗0.956.9M2022-01-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.5722-2.95%1.0882-32.83%0.2807✓0.824.6M2022-01-07
HIVEHivenative1.48961.449-2.73%1.3612-8.62%0.0856✗1.405.8M2022-01-07
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.105-2.73%3.79-10.19%0.0261✓1.001.1M2022-01-07
LUNATerraTerra 285.5683.23-2.72%68.69-19.72%0.0860✓1.006.3M2022-01-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4331.5583-2.69%38.54+18.84%0.2939✗0.8942.6M2022-01-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.325.1804-2.62%5-6.02%0.1042✗1.3228.7M2022-01-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6938.673-2.56%37.02-6.73%0.1336✗1.672.9M2022-01-07
SUSHISushiEthereum9.429.1844-2.50%7.17-23.89%0.1056✓1.3417.1M2022-01-07
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.5858-2.44%8.9-17.97%0.0831✓0.851.2M2022-01-07
UMAUMAEthereum9.118.893-2.38%9.41+3.29%0.1755✗1.124.1M2022-01-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.597619-2.35%0.546-10.78%0.0444✗1.272.5M2022-01-07
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.8-2.24%3.77-23.22%0.1356✓1.003.0M2022-01-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.671135-2.22%0.5999-12.60%0.0284✗1.333.1M2022-01-07
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.4549-2.19%12.098-4.99%0.0401✓-0.10111k2022-01-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.320721-2.19%0.3309+0.91%0.1313✗0.94293k2022-01-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.192848-2.05%0.17255-12.36%0.0571✗1.598,4562022-01-07
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.4706-1.96%3.36-5.08%0.0808✗1.07723k2022-01-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.6268-1.93%1.445-12.89%0.0002✓1.1231.7M2022-01-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4107.308-1.91%86.79-20.67%0.0947✓1.11127.7M2022-01-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9238.1779-1.91%30.01-22.89%0.0480✓1.826.6M2022-01-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.2594-1.86%3.07-29.26%0.2215✓1.003.4M2022-01-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2832,486.21-1.67%35,821.08+8.42%0.1579✗0.5713.3M2022-01-07
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.01493-1.65%0.01358-10.54%0.0070✓0.96868k2022-01-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.2082-1.63%1.0067-18.03%0.0345✓1.402.1M2022-01-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.112-1.59%1-11.50%0.0002✓1.002.2M2022-01-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.3449-1.53%1.1144-18.41%0.0884✓0.9423.6M2022-01-07
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09082.0592-1.51%1.668-20.22%0.0071✓1.921.5M2022-01-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.895232-1.49%0.9215+1.40%0.1349✗1.00146k2022-01-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.5437-1.46%1.2622-19.43%0.0989✓0.974.3M2022-01-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.047586-1.44%0.04349-9.92%0.0068✓0.918.6M2022-01-07
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92250.3818-1.39%211.6-16.67%0.0484✓1.1311.5M2022-01-07
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.3638-1.39%2.1392-10.76%0.0213✗1.14128k2022-01-07
XMRMoneroMonero228.93225.8298-1.35%194.72-14.94%0.0453✓0.973.0M2022-01-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.6237-1.33%9.26-21.39%0.2457✓-0.173.4M2022-01-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.075303-1.31%0.0669-12.32%0.0287✗1.391.7M2022-01-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.7202-1.30%1.5636-10.28%0.0116✓0.79889k2022-01-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.360978-1.24%0.3192-12.67%0.0126✗1.284.2M2022-01-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.084091-1.22%0.0749-12.02%0.0154✗1.2421.7M2022-01-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.1895-1.20%1.0712-11.02%0.0842✗1.781.4M2022-01-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000033022-1.19%0.00002895-13.38%0.0023✓1.262.0M2022-01-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.4552-1.17%2.889-17.36%0.0092✓1.602.5M2022-01-07
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528179.757-1.15%163.2907-10.21%0.0268✗1.16622k2022-01-07
XVGVergenative0.017030.016835-1.14%0.01454-14.62%0.0202✓1.192.4M2022-01-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.018865-1.13%0.0169-11.43%0.0435✓0.6342k2022-01-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.5452-1.12%2.344-8.94%0.0263✗1.032.1M2022-01-07
ZECZcashZcash146.46144.8292-1.11%139.74-4.59%0.1087✗1.3611.8M2022-01-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.05272-1.11%0.04946-7.22%0.0536✗1.1115k2022-01-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.6907-1.09%3.9099-17.56%0.1049✓0.7322k2022-01-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.1121-1.09%3.0272-3.79%0.1003✗1.213.3M2022-01-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2192.2766-1.00%73.42-21.23%0.1254✓0.977.0M2022-01-07
GTGateEthereum6.55556.4904-0.99%6.1737-5.82%0.0387✗0.844.0M2022-01-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.351351-0.94%0.3378-4.76%0.1171✗1.484.3M2022-01-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.062937-0.93%0.059308-6.64%0.0902✗1.417.9M2022-01-07
KSMKusamaHydration276.22273.6641-0.93%250.4-9.35%0.0292✗1.111.4M2022-01-07
KCSKuCoinnative21.37621.1793-0.92%19.19-10.23%0.0757✗1.6516.6M2022-01-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.8343-0.88%5.4947-6.65%0.0676✗1.20649k2022-01-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.100046-0.85%0.0942-6.64%0.0082✓0.6564k2022-01-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.7298-0.84%3.5714-5.05%0.0559✓-0.12409k2022-01-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.173738-0.83%0.1543-11.93%0.0041✓1.162.8M2022-01-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4124.2111-0.81%20.9-14.38%0.0360✓1.051.5M2022-01-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.03356-0.78%0.029557-12.62%0.0165✓1.048.5M2022-01-07
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.849-0.77%15.75-7.24%0.0702✗1.3015.5M2022-01-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.4739-0.76%4.127-8.45%0.0060✓0.711.0M2022-01-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.6099-0.62%1.55-4.32%0.1447✗1.721.1M2022-01-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.112012-0.62%0.10346-8.21%0.0390✗1.1229k2022-01-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.703485-0.61%0.638-9.86%0.0372✗1.276.1M2022-01-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.411387-0.61%0.5162+24.72%0.3756✗1.40722k2022-01-07
DASHDashDash133.78132.9728-0.60%134.68+0.67%0.1479✗1.282.1M2022-01-07
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.837961-0.60%0.802-4.86%0.1132✗1.488.5M2022-01-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.3614-0.58%8.03-4.52%0.0404✗0.761.1M2022-01-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2445,946.64-0.57%41,565.18-10.05%0.0057✗1.00750.8M2022-01-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.5335-0.55%1.306-15.30%0.0251✓1.283.6M2022-01-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.081853-0.54%0.076-7.65%0.0406✗1.0820k2022-01-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.423749-0.53%0.369-13.38%0.0602✓0.7446k2022-01-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.0578-0.52%10.01-0.99%0.0745✗0.751.3M2022-01-07
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.265131-0.51%0.257021-3.55%0.0771✗1.0227.7M2022-01-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0183.9981-0.50%3.811-5.15%0.0208✗0.65502k2022-01-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.638963-0.49%0.5936-7.55%0.0640✗1.3011.8M2022-01-07
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,657.90-0.49%3,198.82-12.98%0.0233✓1.05716.9M2022-01-07
ZENHorizenBase60.5760.279-0.48%55.57-8.25%0.0785✗1.511.0M2022-01-07
XECeCashnative0.000108190.00010768-0.47%0.00009855-8.91%0.0169✗1.008.0M2022-01-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.8312-0.47%8.183-7.78%0.0128✓0.60338k2022-01-07
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.3857-0.46%3.0909-9.13%0.0214✗1.06798k2022-01-07
FTTFTXEthereum38.2538.0734-0.46%35.51-7.16%0.0416✗1.0520.7M2022-01-07
QNTQuantEthereum179.22178.4092-0.45%177.7-0.85%0.0988✗0.979.4M2022-01-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.096689-0.42%0.0855-11.95%0.0229✗1.381.8M2022-01-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0715.0071-0.42%15.09+0.13%0.0782✗0.691.4M2022-01-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015724-0.42%0.01562-1.08%0.1311✗1.302.3M2022-01-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2045,883.22-0.38%41,663.10-9.55%0.0071✗0.989,2042022-01-07
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.7033-0.37%7.8679-9.94%0.0509✗1.43280k2022-01-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.127822-0.37%0.1111-13.41%0.0267✓1.07324k2022-01-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.282248-0.37%0.2638-6.88%0.0711✗1.315.5M2022-01-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2544-0.36%1.054-16.28%0.0736✓0.952.7M2022-01-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.6283-0.35%1.506-7.83%0.0646✗1.357.6M2022-01-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.799848-0.34%0.752558-6.24%0.0566✗1.112.8M2022-01-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8723-0.34%2.661-7.67%0.0165✗0.8853k2022-01-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0633.9482-0.33%30.45-10.60%0.0021✓1.054.7M2022-01-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.3406-0.33%30.22+23.75%0.3679✗1.4324.2M2022-01-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2756-0.31%2.05+60.21%0.5891✗1.08987k2022-01-07
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.3276-0.30%4.2564-1.94%0.1234✗1.324.9M2022-01-07
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.0973-0.28%13.92-8.06%0.0396✗1.144.3M2022-01-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02120.6869-0.28%109.72-9.34%0.0067✗0.963.7M2022-01-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.2015-0.27%3.11-3.12%0.0770✗1.001.1M2022-01-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021766-0.26%0.019625-10.07%0.0249✗1.212.4M2022-01-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0235.0103-0.25%4.597-8.48%0.0231✓0.59773k2022-01-07
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.3051-0.24%1.2093-7.56%0.0385✗1.08106.2M2022-01-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.201855-0.22%0.173-14.48%0.0236✓1.235.4M2022-01-07
XEMNEMnative0.12270.122444-0.21%0.1166-4.97%0.0683✗1.11153k2022-01-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15145.8741-0.19%131.34-10.13%0.0387✗1.3646.1M2022-01-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.067.0476-0.18%6.64-5.95%0.0079✗0.641.1M2022-01-07
BANDBandEthereum5.015.0013-0.17%5.27+5.19%0.1805✗1.212.4M2022-01-07
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.194195-0.16%0.1805-7.20%0.0173✓0.53410k2022-01-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.198121-0.14%0.1763-11.14%0.0215✓0.90622k2022-01-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.6003-0.13%4.1928-8.98%0.0445✗1.305.0M2022-01-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.7885-0.13%8.18-7.05%0.0074✓0.61999k2022-01-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3869-0.13%2.18-8.79%0.0208✗1.054.1M2022-01-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15429.598-0.13%385.43-10.40%0.0015✓1.019.8M2022-01-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0633.0198-0.12%30.97-6.32%0.0983✗1.531.3M2022-01-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.4872-0.12%25.97+33.11%0.4291✗1.3469.7M2022-01-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.18.0938-0.08%6.989-13.72%0.0128✓1.26391k2022-01-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.431.3775-0.07%27.94-11.02%0.0450✓0.67503k2022-01-07
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58199.442-0.07%192.9-3.35%0.0886✗1.15210k2022-01-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.4767-0.06%5.4-1.46%0.1075✗1.154.3M2022-01-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.6573-0.05%24.88-6.71%0.0671✗1.2875.1M2022-01-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0578-0.01%1.857-9.77%0.0173✗1.133.1M2022-01-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.170266+0.03%0.154835-9.04%0.0227✓1.115.5M2022-01-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.2566+0.05%31.53-7.91%0.0266✓1.0323.7M2022-01-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.9328+0.09%2.83-3.41%0.1030✓1.313.2M2022-01-07
SOLSolanaSolana169.88170.1201+0.14%136.37-19.73%0.1095✗1.05236.5M2022-01-07
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075659+0.24%0.068128-9.74%0.0041✗0.95607k2022-01-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.088189+0.59%0.07895-9.95%0.0429✓1.453.9M2022-01-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.