2021-12-28 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2755

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+23.01%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.7%

in alpha space · 97.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-21.78%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08977	0.089538	-0.26%	0.04978	-44.55%	0.2285	✓	1.46	4.1M	2022-01-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077218	0.076729	-0.63%	0.056453	-26.89%	0.0736	✓	0.95	648k	2022-01-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.25	35.9786	-0.75%	19.21	-47.01%	0.3761	✓	1.02	22.1M	2022-01-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.108	2.0906	-0.83%	1.399	-33.63%	0.1241	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-01-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	177.27	175.6994	-0.89%	89.55	-49.48%	0.4157	✓	1.05	257.1M	2022-01-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,383.60	46,914.01	-0.99%	37,269.30	-21.35%	0.0139	✗	0.99	10k	2022-01-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.03	2.997	-1.09%	1.76	-41.91%	0.2105	✓	1.31	3.0M	2022-01-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.74	433.5352	-1.19%	289.64	-33.98%	0.1535	✓	1.02	10.8M	2022-01-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173745	0.171676	-1.19%	0.141443	-18.59%	0.0793	✗	1.11	6.0M	2022-01-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1998	0.197408	-1.20%	0.1146	-42.64%	0.3230	✓	0.90	701k	2022-01-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.54	2.5082	-1.25%	1.59	-37.40%	0.2000	✓	1.04	4.4M	2022-01-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.36	20.101	-1.27%	15.23	-25.20%	0.0522	✗	1.34	69.7M	2022-01-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.021978	0.021692	-1.30%	0.014097	-35.86%	0.1318	✓	1.22	2.4M	2022-01-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.911	0.898693	-1.35%	0.482	-47.09%	0.2586	✓	1.48	9.2M	2022-01-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.7	9.5688	-1.35%	5.84	-39.79%	0.3462	✓	0.60	1.1M	2022-01-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.84	27.4449	-1.42%	18.13	-34.88%	0.1005	✓	1.28	77.1M	2022-01-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		121.77	120.0147	-1.44%	89.31	-26.66%	0.0572	✓	0.97	3.7M	2022-01-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	209	205.9623	-1.45%	121.94	-41.66%	0.2421	✓	1.15	236k	2022-01-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.798687	0.786477	-1.53%	0.530399	-33.59%	0.1233	✓	1.10	3.0M	2022-01-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.423	0.416496	-1.54%	0.243	-42.55%	0.3545	✓	0.75	46k	2022-01-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.54	15.2977	-1.56%	8.39	-46.01%	0.3209	✓	1.14	4.8M	2022-01-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.51	32.9872	-1.56%	26.76	-20.14%	0.0477	✓	0.66	572k	2022-01-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.02	34.4549	-1.61%	18.67	-46.69%	0.2374	✓	1.53	1.3M	2022-01-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.71	24.2985	-1.67%	19.61	-20.64%	0.1376	✗	1.43	22.9M	2022-01-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	145.67	143.1529	-1.73%	106.92	-26.60%	0.0441	✗	1.37	53.2M	2022-01-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.85	5.7483	-1.74%	4.57	-21.88%	0.0500	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-01-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.4378	-1.75%	5.12	-32.36%	0.2168	✓	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0292	4.9405	-1.76%	3.0464	-39.43%	0.1621	✓	1.31	5.2M	2022-01-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.34	5.2423	-1.83%	3.38	-36.70%	0.1426	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-01-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.1284	0.125902	-1.95%	0.0984	-23.36%	0.0253	✗	1.11	175k	2022-01-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.17	15.853	-1.96%	12.75	-21.15%	0.0506	✓	0.68	1.4M	2022-01-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.34	3.2742	-1.97%	2.3	-31.14%	0.1081	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.96	34.2542	-2.02%	24.33	-30.41%	0.0846	✓	1.05	5.1M	2022-01-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.695	5.5799	-2.02%	3.89	-31.69%	0.2190	✓	0.58	798k	2022-01-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.28	1.2538	-2.05%	0.725	-43.36%	0.3168	✓	0.94	3.1M	2022-01-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6659	0.652006	-2.09%	0.4054	-39.12%	0.1567	✓	1.30	12.5M	2022-01-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.274101	0.268335	-2.10%	0.194019	-29.22%	0.0724	✓	1.03	32.3M	2022-01-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4909	4.3964	-2.10%	2.9095	-35.21%	0.0850	✓	1.33	5.4M	2022-01-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.564	4.4666	-2.13%	2.955	-35.25%	0.2574	✓	0.63	502k	2022-01-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.537	1.5038	-2.16%	0.861	-43.98%	0.2357	✓	1.31	4.1M	2022-01-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3998	1.3696	-2.16%	1.0428	-25.50%	0.0092	✓	1.07	120.2M	2022-01-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.75	131.8259	-2.17%	91.73	-31.93%	0.0453	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.76	10.5228	-2.20%	8.93	-17.01%	0.0214	✓	0.76	1.4M	2022-01-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01651	0.016139	-2.24%	0.01041	-36.95%	0.1241	✓	1.28	2.7M	2022-01-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,793.67	3,708.42	-2.25%	2,425.82	-36.06%	0.1688	✓	1.04	766.3M	2022-01-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	188.78	184.4967	-2.27%	93.16	-50.65%	0.4474	✓	0.96	11.5M	2022-01-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2199	0.214904	-2.27%	0.1127	-48.75%	0.3441	✓	1.23	6.1M	2022-01-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.0923	8.8809	-2.33%	5.5654	-38.79%	0.1137	✓	1.44	285k	2022-01-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.7465	3.6577	-2.37%	2.3156	-38.19%	0.1988	✓	1.05	819k	2022-01-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,543.09	46,400.06	-2.40%	37,188.37	-21.78%	0.0243	✓	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.01	39.0328	-2.44%	38.35	-4.15%	0.2403	✗	1.05	20.7M	2022-01-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.98	2.9072	-2.44%	2.121	-28.83%	0.1011	✓	0.87	92k	2022-01-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.664	1.623	-2.46%	1.42	-14.66%	0.1975	✗	1.35	8.3M	2022-01-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.08	8.8559	-2.47%	5.9	-35.02%	0.2215	✓	0.75	1.1M	2022-01-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11446	0.111587	-2.51%	0.08437	-26.29%	0.0061	✓	1.11	29k	2022-01-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2158	0.21037	-2.52%	0.1614	-25.21%	0.1356	✓	0.53	392k	2022-01-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6	3.5063	-2.60%	3.4851	-3.19%	0.0348	✓	-0.12	405k	2022-01-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	28,691.22	27,930.26	-2.65%	23,910.78	-16.66%	0.0127	✓	0.58	9.0M	2022-01-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3011	1.2664	-2.67%	1.8043	+38.67%	0.6202	✗	1.08	1.1M	2022-01-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.459	6.2861	-2.68%	6.5312	+1.12%	0.2385	✗	0.82	4.3M	2022-01-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010951	0.000106497	-2.75%	0.00007022	-35.88%	0.1712	✓	1.00	9.9M	2022-01-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05923	0.057596	-2.76%	0.038232	-35.45%	0.0546	✓	1.45	8.2M	2022-01-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0838	0.081439	-2.82%	0.0638	-23.87%	0.0229	✓	1.09	16k	2022-01-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1358	0.131949	-2.84%	0.0794	-41.53%	0.2479	✓	1.06	344k	2022-01-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.77	1.7196	-2.85%	0.81	-54.24%	0.3288	✓	1.73	1.5M	2022-01-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	10.128	9.8301	-2.94%	5.722	-43.50%	0.2345	✓	1.25	411k	2022-01-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	208.62	202.4279	-2.97%	144.6	-30.69%	0.0947	✓	0.98	2.8M	2022-01-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7165	0.695062	-2.99%	0.5092	-28.93%	0.0005	✓	1.27	6.6M	2022-01-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0659	0.063907	-3.02%	0.0357	-45.83%	0.2559	✓	1.33	1.9M	2022-01-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07538	0.073099	-3.03%	0.04646	-38.37%	0.1496	✓	1.24	21.1M	2022-01-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05427	0.052612	-3.06%	0.0403	-25.74%	0.0060	✓	1.11	16k	2022-01-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.42	24.6356	-3.09%	13.95	-45.12%	0.3106	✓	1.05	1.6M	2022-01-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.4	17.8308	-3.09%	10.32	-43.91%	0.2328	✓	1.28	15.5M	2022-01-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3033	0.293704	-3.16%	0.1754	-42.17%	0.1952	✓	1.30	5.8M	2022-01-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10316	0.099805	-3.25%	0.07195	-30.25%	0.1715	✓	0.63	92k	2022-01-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3781	0.365777	-3.26%	0.2772	-26.69%	0.0880	✗	1.49	4.7M	2022-01-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	252.64	243.8929	-3.46%	144.54	-42.79%	0.2542	✓	1.09	11.4M	2022-01-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	5.349	5.1618	-3.50%	3.107	-41.91%	0.3398	✓	0.68	734k	2022-01-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	294.8	284.4262	-3.52%	164.64	-44.15%	0.2719	✓	1.12	1.5M	2022-01-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.57	25.635	-3.52%	30	+12.91%	0.3806	✗	0.91	40.2M	2022-01-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1045	0.100761	-3.58%	0.065	-37.80%	0.0993	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-01-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.506	20.7328	-3.60%	16.064	-25.30%	0.1510	✗	1.65	18.6M	2022-01-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.4667	1.4127	-3.68%	0.9364	-36.16%	0.1351	✓	1.12	31.7M	2022-01-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.798	9.4288	-3.77%	5.873	-40.06%	0.3281	✓	0.59	455k	2022-01-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.32	60.9036	-3.82%	36.7	-42.04%	0.1331	✓	1.52	1.2M	2022-01-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033967	0.032655	-3.86%	0.020242	-40.41%	0.2210	✓	1.05	9.3M	2022-01-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.0176	0.016907	-3.94%	0.00965	-45.17%	0.2675	✓	1.19	2.8M	2022-01-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.2683	6.0184	-3.99%	4.2126	-32.79%	0.0634	✓	1.19	724k	2022-01-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003492	0.000033499	-4.07%	0.00002125	-39.15%	0.2095	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-01-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3661	3.2275	-4.12%	2.7628	-17.92%	0.1450	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-01-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1923	0.18438	-4.12%	0.0947	-50.75%	0.3856	✓	1.14	3.6M	2022-01-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	149.45	143.2347	-4.16%	88.89	-40.52%	0.1446	✓	1.35	11.8M	2022-01-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.8047	4.6036	-4.18%	2.7225	-43.34%	0.3463	✓	0.73	26k	2022-01-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4846	2.3796	-4.22%	1.5616	-37.15%	0.1419	✓	1.14	147k	2022-01-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2203	1.1674	-4.34%	0.83214	-31.81%	0.0988	✗	1.78	1.5M	2022-01-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.754	2.6316	-4.45%	1.58	-42.63%	0.2595	✓	1.02	2.2M	2022-01-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4301	0.410704	-4.51%	0.5303	+23.30%	0.6008	✗	1.41	1.0M	2022-01-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8135	1.7316	-4.51%	1.0754	-40.70%	0.2856	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01993	0.01903	-4.52%	0.01439	-27.80%	0.1263	✓	0.62	45k	2022-01-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	99.74	95.2304	-4.52%	47.47	-52.41%	0.4595	✓	0.96	7.6M	2022-01-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4291	1.3641	-4.55%	0.8032	-43.80%	0.2934	✓	0.96	23.6M	2022-01-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2569	1.1958	-4.86%	0.5781	-54.01%	0.3744	✓	1.43	2.3M	2022-01-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.05	11.4619	-4.88%	6.37	-47.14%	0.6366	✓	-0.20	4.3M	2022-01-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.52	3.3475	-4.90%	2.26	-35.80%	0.1354	✓	1.05	787k	2022-01-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3842	0.365314	-4.92%	0.2343	-39.02%	0.1288	✓	1.28	4.4M	2022-01-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	190.178	180.7359	-4.96%	73.6045	-61.30%	0.6122	✓	1.16	674k	2022-01-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.18	1.1201	-5.08%	0.65	-44.92%	0.2985	✓	1.00	2.4M	2022-01-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05063	0.047974	-5.25%	0.02909	-42.54%	0.2753	✓	0.92	10.4M	2022-01-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6826	1.589	-5.57%	0.99692	-40.75%	0.2269	✓	0.97	5.3M	2022-01-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.06	8.5494	-5.64%	4.05	-55.30%	0.4230	✓	1.32	15.8M	2022-01-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.72	4.4426	-5.88%	2.79	-40.89%	0.1371	✓	1.34	26.8M	2022-01-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0752	1.9517	-5.95%	0.9645	-53.52%	0.2301	✓	1.93	1.5M	2022-01-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.87	4.5791	-5.97%	2.65	-45.59%	0.3013	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.027	0.963711	-6.16%	0.8569	-16.56%	0.1282	✗	1.00	151k	2022-01-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01563	0.014666	-6.17%	0.00962	-38.45%	0.1857	✓	0.96	1.2M	2022-01-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.891	3.6504	-6.18%	2.637	-32.23%	0.0795	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-01-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.342	0.320618	-6.25%	0.2367	-30.79%	0.0723	✓	0.94	328k	2022-01-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	107.05	100.2954	-6.31%	64.73	-39.53%	0.1602	✓	1.13	136.0M	2022-01-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	85.17	79.6789	-6.45%	54.08	-36.50%	0.1419	✓	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	38.45	35.8	-6.89%	24.3	-36.80%	0.0375	✓	1.73	3.0M	2022-01-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		14.59	13.5748	-6.96%	6.745	-53.77%	0.7272	✓	-0.11	129k	2022-01-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.66	10.8435	-7.00%	5.07	-56.52%	0.5511	✓	0.85	1.3M	2022-01-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7106	0.660787	-7.01%	0.4474	-37.04%	0.0643	✓	1.33	3.4M	2022-01-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.594295	-7.14%	0.314	-50.94%	0.3252	✓	1.27	2.9M	2022-01-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.5	4.1765	-7.19%	2.23	-50.44%	0.3818	✓	1.00	4.4M	2022-01-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.59	8.894	-7.26%	5.67	-40.88%	0.1740	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.56	4.2058	-7.77%	3.97	-12.94%	0.1880	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.7	36.5351	-7.97%	16.82	-57.63%	0.3251	✓	1.83	7.2M	2022-01-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.57	10.5217	-9.06%	5.62	-51.43%	0.4844	✓	0.58	1.5M	2022-01-27
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6115	1.4616	-9.30%	0.8838	-45.16%	0.1629	✓	1.38	7.1M	2022-01-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7896	0.714219	-9.55%	0.6525	-17.36%	0.3466	✗	1.78	28.3M	2022-01-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	14.64	13.2309	-9.62%	6.75	-53.89%	0.6871	✓	-0.06	4.8M	2022-01-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2085	0.187753	-9.95%	0.17087	-18.05%	0.3003	✗	1.61	13k	2022-01-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3399	2.9969	-10.27%	2.2527	-32.55%	0.0532	✓	0.95	8.0M	2022-01-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.71	1.53	-10.53%	0.4535	-73.48%	1.0183	✓	0.80	5.9M	2022-01-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02187	0.019382	-11.38%	0.00534	-75.58%	1.0435	✓	1.00	39.8M	2022-01-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.38	3.7621	-14.11%	1.95	-55.48%	0.4115	✓	1.00	15.2M	2022-01-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.