8=======>

2021-12-21 · +30d

gru_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3277
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.0%
in alpha space · 90.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.019876-13.36%0.01207-47.38%0.3142✓1.0033.0M2022-01-20
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28692.8848-12.23%2.6385-19.73%0.0675✓0.8510.1M2022-01-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.1972-11.44%3.06-15.24%0.1407✗1.0012.1M2022-01-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.184764-10.31%0.18914-8.18%0.3241✗1.6334k2022-01-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.544925-9.48%0.757+25.75%0.6687✗1.8412.4M2022-01-20
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.1887-8.86%1.0653-55.64%0.3511✓2.002.4M2022-01-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9237.347-8.73%21.12-48.39%0.2280✓1.8513.1M2022-01-20
HIVEHivenative1.47581.3473-8.71%1.0699-27.50%0.0114✓1.3111.9M2022-01-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.5407-8.65%0.6721-60.15%0.7328✓0.528.7M2022-01-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.5349-8.20%4.19-15.18%0.1055✗1.001.9M2022-01-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.9310.0531-8.02%7.96-27.17%0.1393✓0.514.1M2022-01-20
UMAUMAEthereum98.2873-7.92%7.75-13.89%0.1342✗1.094.1M2022-01-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27113.9087-7.59%79.35-35.63%0.1488✓1.15164.3M2022-01-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.548.8308-7.43%9.52-0.21%0.0539✓-0.123.7M2022-01-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.2495-7.25%2.79-50.71%0.4475✓1.007.1M2022-01-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.580382-6.99%0.428-31.41%0.0786✓1.223.2M2022-01-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.3971-6.90%1.1313-24.61%0.0251✓1.017.8M2022-01-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5334.0508-6.79%30.25-17.19%0.2023✗1.745.5M2022-01-20
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.014754-6.38%0.01217-22.78%0.0220✓0.921.6M2022-01-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.0614-6.24%1.0839-4.25%0.2056✗1.00215k2022-01-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.630562-6.05%0.5606-16.48%0.1102✗1.237.1M2022-01-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.6019-6.03%3.095-19.25%0.0329✓1.003.6M2022-01-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.091887-6.02%0.06785-30.60%0.0750✓1.2422.6M2022-01-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.7008-6.00%1.3945-22.93%0.0701✓0.701.4M2022-01-20
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.3383-5.89%3.36-27.11%0.0710✓1.002.5M2022-01-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.313342-5.85%0.2825-15.11%0.0602✗0.89544k2022-01-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.036141-5.63%0.026039-32.01%0.1399✓1.0215.0M2022-01-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.3624-5.58%3.97-14.07%0.1559✗1.3628.7M2022-01-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.210194-5.49%0.1141-48.70%0.3993✓1.154.2M2022-01-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1253-5.44%0.89-25.21%0.0500✓1.002.4M2022-01-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.04582-5.29%0.03533-26.97%0.0850✓0.9515.8M2022-01-20
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.2936-5.07%6.89-29.62%0.1240✓0.951.9M2022-01-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.426416-4.92%0.5776+28.78%0.5654✗1.421.8M2022-01-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.351541-4.91%0.2832-23.40%0.0234✓1.306.6M2022-01-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.1127-4.61%0.90658-22.28%0.1172✗1.751.5M2022-01-20
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4639.0392-4.48%9.432-0.33%0.0109✓-0.17119k2022-01-20
XVGVergenative0.017350.016574-4.47%0.01234-28.88%0.0776✓1.183.1M2022-01-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13545.8627-4.44%5.2113-15.06%0.1017✗1.19833k2022-01-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2792.9874-4.40%69.09-28.97%0.1203✓0.969.8M2022-01-20
ZECZcashZcash162.44155.3028-4.39%118.84-26.84%0.0161✓1.3613.6M2022-01-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9933,174.03-4.39%31,414.30-9.46%0.0442✓0.536.8M2022-01-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.0559-4.39%0.8682-21.39%0.0843✗1.523.3M2022-01-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.01885-4.36%0.01551-21.31%0.0935✓0.5561k2022-01-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2411.7073-4.35%7.97-34.89%0.4423✓-0.315.7M2022-01-20
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964176.3895-4.12%119.9355-34.80%0.1752✓1.14853k2022-01-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.0593-4.11%3.1598-0.97%0.2548✗1.214.7M2022-01-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000031503-4.10%0.00002648-19.39%0.0109✓1.001.8M2022-01-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.095142-4.09%0.0736-25.81%0.0073✓1.353.3M2022-01-20
ZENHorizenBase64.3761.836-3.94%47.6-26.05%0.0189✓1.521.9M2022-01-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.3418-3.91%2.111-13.38%0.0660✗0.923.2M2022-01-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2589.8656-3.83%6.92-32.54%0.2360✓0.64388k2022-01-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.1168-3.80%3.35+3.40%0.2513✗0.97807k2022-01-20
KCSKuCoinnative21.87521.066-3.70%19.429-11.18%0.2307✗1.6922.7M2022-01-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.2666-3.66%1.0173-22.62%0.0228✓1.0623.6M2022-01-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.100671-3.49%0.08157-21.80%0.1098✓0.54143k2022-01-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.3503-3.47%1.8707-23.17%0.0059✓1.20169k2022-01-20
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.234932-3.36%0.1782-26.70%0.1921✓0.46428k2022-01-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7199-3.16%1.272-28.38%0.0636✓1.296.8M2022-01-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.697308-3.15%0.6442-10.53%0.1457✗1.227.7M2022-01-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.083444-3.08%0.0723-16.03%0.0598✗1.1024k2022-01-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.066755-2.97%0.0452-34.30%0.1381✓1.362.7M2022-01-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.8306-2.96%3.8114-23.43%0.0967✓0.7631k2022-01-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.054563-2.91%0.04537-19.27%0.0231✓1.1222k2022-01-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.059888-2.88%0.050637-17.88%0.1077✗1.4913.0M2022-01-20
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.3329-2.85%2.8203-17.79%0.0254✓1.04819k2022-01-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.017549-2.83%0.01227-32.06%0.1261✓1.263.6M2022-01-20
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000106202-2.82%0.00009053-17.16%0.0237✓0.9912.6M2022-01-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2486-2.77%1.5815+23.15%0.4350✗1.081.6M2022-01-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.108753-2.76%0.0964-13.81%0.0829✗1.1030k2022-01-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.3203-2.75%1.1614-14.46%0.0655✗1.0535.7M2022-01-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.5042-2.69%3.7088+2.99%0.0402✗-0.09372k2022-01-20
KSMKusamaHydration267.01259.8624-2.68%239.61-10.26%0.1184✗1.081.5M2022-01-20
XEMNEMnative0.1280.124652-2.62%0.1095-14.45%0.0710✗1.09202k2022-01-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.305094-2.59%0.3693+17.91%0.4595✗1.454.9M2022-01-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.104-2.57%18.34-25.87%0.0768✓1.062.8M2022-01-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.273282-2.50%0.2346-16.30%0.0801✗1.267.0M2022-01-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7047,710.21-2.46%40,670.97-16.85%0.0249✓1.00754.4M2022-01-20
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.113,919.64-2.43%3,000.94-25.30%0.0713✓1.06768.5M2022-01-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.131752-2.41%0.1002-25.78%0.0741✓1.08559k2022-01-20
FTTFTXEthereum41.9640.962-2.38%45.17+7.65%0.2938✗1.0625.2M2022-01-20
QTUMQtumQtum9.21858.9997-2.37%7.057-23.45%0.0241✗1.45349k2022-01-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3334.5049-2.34%29.37-16.87%0.0317✗1.046.5M2022-01-20
GTGateEthereum6.04465.9053-2.30%7.0322+16.34%0.3250✗0.814.9M2022-01-20
BANDBandEthereum5.325.1976-2.30%4.68-12.03%0.1135✗1.182.8M2022-01-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.693404-2.30%0.5001-29.53%0.0896✓1.2915.1M2022-01-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.4486-2.25%1.143-22.87%0.0062✓1.325.6M2022-01-20
QNTQuantEthereum186.26182.0812-2.24%132.32-28.96%0.1505✓0.9112.3M2022-01-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6523.1236-2.23%38.97+64.78%0.6829✗0.8741.0M2022-01-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.5022-2.16%7.4-14.84%0.0037✓0.77934k2022-01-20
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.1457-2.12%3.715-12.29%0.1306✗1.304.7M2022-01-20
XMRMoneroMonero188.96184.9527-2.12%188.73-0.12%0.1959✗0.952.9M2022-01-20
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.7275-2.09%5.81-0.68%0.2575✗1.3213.8M2022-01-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8151.6601-2.03%129.8-16.15%0.1026✗1.4060.7M2022-01-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.8481-2.03%2.539-12.66%0.0407✗0.84104k2022-01-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.262684-1.97%0.231498-13.61%0.0558✗0.9940.4M2022-01-20
XVSVenusEthereum15.2814.9883-1.91%11.36-25.65%0.0662✓1.146.2M2022-01-20
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0614.7728-1.91%14.49-3.78%0.2155✗1.2714.2M2022-01-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01094.9158-1.90%3.9838-20.50%0.0422✗1.375.2M2022-01-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.5991-1.90%1.11-31.90%0.0520✓1.701.8M2022-01-20
DASHDashDash133.6131.1228-1.85%121.15-9.32%0.1513✗1.252.2M2022-01-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64122.342-1.84%104.32-16.30%0.0224✗0.982.5M2022-01-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.2706-1.78%2.8-15.92%0.0262✗0.981.3M2022-01-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.5661-1.74%6.14-20.26%0.0918✓0.631.1M2022-01-20
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.2584-1.70%1.2589-1.66%0.1902✗1.03131.8M2022-01-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.200556-1.64%0.1484-27.22%0.0807✓1.198.6M2022-01-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.02238-1.63%0.018378-19.22%0.0264✗1.211.9M2022-01-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1632.6299-1.60%25.43-23.31%0.1261✓0.67744k2022-01-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.770631-1.59%0.655547-16.29%0.0356✗1.074.8M2022-01-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.8026-1.58%10.09+1.31%0.1661✗0.741.9M2022-01-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.168208-1.58%0.155509-9.01%0.1244✗1.105.5M2022-01-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4025-1.54%2.03-16.80%0.0065✓0.954.8M2022-01-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.100843-1.41%0.06885-32.69%0.1036✓1.516.8M2022-01-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1724.8174-1.40%23-8.62%0.1535✗1.2475.1M2022-01-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94431.866-1.39%357.74-18.31%0.0022✓1.0314.2M2022-01-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3047,840.25-1.26%41,418.10-14.51%0.0377✗0.9915k2022-01-20
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16183.8574-1.24%198.37+6.56%0.2549✗0.9711.0M2022-01-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.2961-1.19%4.78-10.82%0.0972✗1.085.5M2022-01-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.207408-1.19%0.1666-20.63%0.0578✓0.87756k2022-01-20
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4192.1208-1.17%162.17-16.58%0.0251✗1.05228k2022-01-20
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.855042-1.15%0.682-21.16%0.0456✗1.479.9M2022-01-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.9063-1.14%2.35-20.07%0.0251✗1.293.1M2022-01-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.1038-1.14%1.679-21.10%0.0202✓1.113.3M2022-01-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.22-1.13%20.18+3.81%0.2838✗1.2769.7M2022-01-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.2075-1.11%0.939-23.10%0.0704✓0.984.4M2022-01-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1122.8579-1.09%24.98+8.09%0.3354✗1.3420.8M2022-01-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0514.891-1.06%14.59-3.06%0.1024✗0.671.6M2022-01-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3134.9371-1.06%26.19-25.83%0.1012✓1.0121.2M2022-01-20
SOLSolanaSolana179.75177.8772-1.04%127.52-29.06%0.1466✓1.01275.4M2022-01-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.0277-0.97%4.731-6.82%0.0561✗0.631.0M2022-01-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.7435-0.89%24.39-23.85%0.0142✗1.501.5M2022-01-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.354038-0.83%0.328-8.12%0.0609✗0.7454k2022-01-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.7683-0.81%3.583-5.69%0.0753✗0.68544k2022-01-20
TRXTRONTron0.078850.078282-0.72%0.067694-14.15%0.0326✗0.96787k2022-01-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.4581-0.72%7.481-0.41%0.2475✗1.32635k2022-01-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9261-0.50%3.861-2.15%0.1317✗0.80734k2022-01-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.4274-0.50%7.38-12.87%0.0113✓0.661.2M2022-01-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.