8=======>

2022-06-06 · +7d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 171 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0656
171 of 171 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.55%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.8%
in alpha space · 74.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (171 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.4579.5152+0.62%6.495-31.32%0.1174✓1.5015.2M2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011060.000011124+0.58%0.00000802-27.49%0.1446✓1.42957k2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15850.159399+0.57%0.1066-32.74%0.1539✓1.676.4M2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana42.3542.5522+0.48%28.58-32.51%0.1241✓1.57114.5M2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001095+0.46%8.10e-7-25.69%0.0123✗0.876.9M2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,455.257,485.21+0.40%4,951.67-33.58%0.0109✓1.273.9M2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.9826.083+0.40%16.09-38.07%0.0619✓1.6453.9M2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.5767.6057+0.39%5.442-28.17%0.2232✓1.6710.6M2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.721.7262+0.36%1.318-23.37%0.2961✓1.70329k2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.0912.1329+0.36%8.14-32.67%0.0586✗1.02369k2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.004840.004857+0.35%0.00303-37.40%0.0488✓1.56753k2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.574.5858+0.35%3.88-15.10%0.4509✓1.851.6M2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase20.558420.6164+0.28%14.6487-28.75%0.1742✓1.55239k2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.202360.202895+0.26%0.13259-34.48%0.1823✓1.82298k2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9717.9886+0.22%5.917-25.77%0.1919✓1.4829.2M2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.841713+0.20%0.6-28.57%0.0333✓1.1281k2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum67.7667.8819+0.18%49.66-26.71%0.0794✓1.182.2M2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12750.127694+0.15%0.0991-22.27%0.1501✓1.2112k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.5637.5745+0.15%5.329-29.54%0.1530✓1.512.8M2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8662.87+0.14%2.042-28.75%0.2175✓1.67271k2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.752+0.11%1.29-26.29%0.3233✓1.89580k2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8730.873945+0.11%0.662-24.17%0.2962✓1.72622k2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32250.322837+0.10%0.1607-50.17%0.2610✗1.31296k2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4929.5014+0.10%7.032-25.92%0.1921✓1.4813.7M2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.367960.368293+0.09%0.25822-29.82%0.1178✓1.42606k2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009240.009248+0.08%0.00632-31.60%0.0141✗1.10917k2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0350.035028+0.08%0.0291-16.86%0.3380✓1.57224k2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.291.291+0.08%0.88-31.78%0.0072✗1.1377k2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.504367+0.07%0.301-40.28%0.0766✓1.78683k2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.1033.1051+0.07%1.997-35.64%0.0228✓1.391.4M2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004310.004313+0.06%0.00285-33.87%0.0151✗1.202.2M2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.3864.4147+0.05%43.45-32.51%0.0315✓1.2818.2M2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos2.0612.0619+0.04%1.4008-32.03%0.0554✓1.33928k2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.061.0604+0.04%1.61+51.89%0.7189✓0.90138k2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash185.41185.4799+0.04%126.93-31.54%0.0361✓1.254.6M2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,858.211,858.89+0.04%1,207.82-35.00%0.0727✗1.08344.3M2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.19410.194135+0.02%0.1305-32.77%0.1255✓1.572,3482022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.60870.608787+0.01%0.4636-23.84%0.2550✓1.5846.8M2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8130.813054+0.01%0.776-4.55%0.3513✓1.192.1M2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8332.832-0.03%2.414-14.79%0.2158✗1.1372k2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3695.3668-0.04%3.662-31.79%0.0932✗1.432.6M2022-06-13
DASHDashDash60.0159.9833-0.04%42.59-29.03%0.0637✗1.22948k2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8740.873598-0.05%0.599-31.46%0.0046✗1.15423k2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012750.001274-0.05%0.000828-35.06%0.1114✗1.631.8M2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008590.008584-0.07%0.00733-14.67%0.1097✗0.80214k2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.005810.005806-0.07%0.00359-38.21%0.0783✗1.68259k2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.6920.6747-0.07%13.49-34.80%0.1135✗1.623.0M2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21460.214402-0.09%0.1611-24.93%0.2194✗1.52647k2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.5621.5605-0.09%1.149-26.44%0.2442✗1.65847k2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.12960.129471-0.10%0.0945-27.08%0.1504✗1.40996k2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3491.3475-0.11%0.858-36.40%0.2101✗1.99399k2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.19420.193956-0.13%0.1272-34.50%0.0744✗1.49199k2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6520.651177-0.13%0.447-31.44%0.1578✗1.60161k2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5612.5439-0.13%8.36-33.44%0.0105✗1.25541k2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01541.0141-0.13%0.82849-18.41%0.3839✗1.76865k2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7941.7915-0.14%1.145-36.18%0.1000✗1.6479k2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028490.028448-0.15%0.01883-33.91%0.0816✓0.99175k2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36390.363355-0.15%0.2574-29.27%0.1177✗1.396.7M2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.61220.611281-0.15%0.5649-7.73%0.4000✗1.443.3M2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.12240.1222-0.16%0.0926-24.35%0.2892✗1.701.2M2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase20.9520.9136-0.17%14.12-32.60%0.1448✗1.6179k2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0690.06888-0.17%0.0508-26.38%0.2816✗1.761.8M2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2861.2837-0.18%0.718-44.17%0.1188✓1.395.9M2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06840.068276-0.18%0.0519-24.12%0.1215✗1.19396k2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash94.3894.2072-0.18%65.48-30.62%0.0579✗1.274.3M2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3690.368317-0.19%0.256-30.62%0.0358✗1.201.0M2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0824850.082328-0.19%0.054172-34.32%0.0128✓1.221.5M2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.842.8342-0.20%2.19-22.89%0.4289✗2.06282k2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration70.2670.107-0.22%46.08-34.42%0.0251✗1.331.4M2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.011860.011833-0.23%0.00905-23.69%0.1037✗1.121.7M2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.9610.9345-0.23%11.71+6.84%0.7296✗1.98226k2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.03494.0254-0.24%2.7762-31.20%0.0440✗1.2548k2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13230.131986-0.24%0.0914-30.91%0.0602✗1.28951k2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14760.147241-0.24%0.149+0.95%0.5686✗1.673.6M2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase1.18161.1785-0.26%0.845884-28.41%0.1024✗1.30160k2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative16.55916.5154-0.26%11.706-29.31%0.0011✓1.036.9M2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.5122.4468-0.28%14.4-36.03%0.0085✓1.313.1M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum59.3859.2066-0.29%35.73-39.83%0.0040✓1.5031k2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.452390.450841-0.34%0.38009-15.98%0.0439✗0.64190k2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.431.4251-0.34%0.939069-34.33%0.0176✓1.2054k2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum105.84105.4724-0.35%59.74-43.56%0.0163✗1.758.9M2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,343.6131,232.85-0.35%22,460.97-28.34%0.0035✗1.00656.1M2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.08790.087586-0.36%0.0599-31.85%0.2687✗1.95146k2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1448140.144282-0.37%0.106761-26.28%0.0935✗1.1811.2M2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.621.614-0.37%0.97-40.12%0.0621✗1.711.4M2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.1977-0.38%2.75-14.33%0.1981✗1.05663k2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.403560.402014-0.38%0.28493-29.40%0.1117✗1.37125k2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum27.3727.262-0.39%24.51-10.45%0.2246✗0.999.5M2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum5.48415.4614-0.41%4.2445-22.60%0.0580✓0.583.8M2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.56920.566738-0.43%0.3584-37.03%0.0028✓1.381.6M2022-06-13
SGBSongbirdnative0.03570.035542-0.44%0.0244-31.65%0.2772✓0.30138k2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.55870.556141-0.46%0.347-37.89%0.0848✓1.16180k2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41260.410688-0.46%0.3039-26.35%0.1576✗1.3815.2M2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09250.092049-0.49%0.0654-29.30%0.0918✓0.75313k2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14420.143492-0.49%0.1335-7.42%0.2559✗0.98285k2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.60760.604481-0.51%0.37168-38.83%0.0376✗1.5768k2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012140.012077-0.52%0.00971-20.02%0.3173✗1.6117.8M2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.0530950.052817-0.52%0.039006-26.54%0.2045✗1.5250k2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.875384-0.52%0.68-22.73%0.3094✗1.69232k2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.5652.5515-0.52%1.8846-26.52%0.1475✗1.3568k2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.009580.00953-0.52%0.00763-20.36%0.1394✗1.092,4432022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070630.07024-0.55%0.04562-35.41%0.0191✓1.2427k2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015210.015123-0.57%0.01281-15.78%0.2267✗1.182.6M2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039820.03957-0.63%0.02635-33.83%0.0653✗1.4220k2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17090.169823-0.63%0.1013-40.73%0.0029✓1.5480k2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7190.714275-0.66%0.493-31.43%0.1838✗1.661.2M2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024030.023862-0.70%0.01829-23.89%0.5412✗2.4238.7M2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero189.44188.1001-0.71%132.56-30.03%0.0107✓1.022.4M2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,441.5031,219.04-0.71%22,471.70-28.53%0.0044✓0.9771k2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55430.550306-0.72%0.3765-32.08%0.1716✗1.65177k2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13345.0962-0.72%5.3088+3.42%0.1509✗0.33279k2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7762.7553-0.75%1.912-31.12%0.3150✗2.043.1M2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.65457.216-0.76%46.677-19.04%0.1412✗1.031.2M2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.3060.303606-0.78%0.1992-34.90%0.0206✗1.33105k2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33920.336546-0.78%0.2205-34.99%0.0917✗1.5433k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.32280.320137-0.82%0.195-39.59%0.0324✓1.39384k2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000052960.00005252-0.83%0.00003827-27.74%0.1692✗1.463.4M2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.585.5305-0.89%4.54-18.64%0.0690✗0.801.8M2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00510.005052-0.94%0.00331-35.10%0.0016✓1.277,4632022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11060.109531-0.97%0.0833-24.68%0.3332✗1.82455k2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.222.1985-0.97%1.52-31.53%0.0518✗1.26247k2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.052850.052336-0.97%0.03724-29.54%0.0057✓1.044,6802022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6113.5756-0.98%3.092-14.37%0.1602✗0.921.6M2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.1712.0425-1.05%8.03-34.02%0.2310✗1.914.2M2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.22493.1911-1.05%2.313-28.28%0.1777✗1.504.8M2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0295710.029253-1.07%0.018258-38.26%0.0887✓1.1512k2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3826.3132-1.08%3.485-45.39%0.1464✗2.2226.5M2022-06-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000080590.000079705-1.10%0.00006043-25.02%0.8007✗3.232.6M2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05360.052978-1.16%0.0358-33.21%0.0760✗1.40524k2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.616.5324-1.17%4.53-31.47%0.1271✗1.48414k2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8042.7705-1.20%2.0821-25.75%0.4145✗2.1015k2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4850.479161-1.20%0.332-31.55%0.0411✗1.2217k2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0593090.058595-1.20%0.0486-18.06%0.0876✗0.8292k2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0152860.015101-1.21%0.012961-15.21%0.0809✗0.70240k2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.31e-76.23e-7-1.26%3.58e-7-43.26%0.2230✓0.99961k2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.58632.5519-1.33%2.0689-20.01%0.1321✗1.033.1M2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.422350.416672-1.34%0.25719-39.11%0.0440✗1.5818k2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2441.2272-1.35%0.778-37.46%0.0926✓1.091.2M2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4280690.42209-1.40%0.252041-41.12%0.0290✓1.462.5M2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.981.9521-1.41%1.255-36.62%0.1804✗1.87303k2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06340.062499-1.42%0.048-24.29%0.3042✗1.7040k2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.0814640.080258-1.48%0.063701-21.80%0.0482✗0.841.1M2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.041.0241-1.53%0.7-32.69%0.2297✗1.833.0M2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.17150.168823-1.56%0.136-20.70%0.3284✗1.632.6M2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.025920.025507-1.60%0.01967-24.11%0.0572✓0.61582k2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.064630.06359-1.61%0.04329-33.02%0.0128✓1.1215k2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08720.085779-1.63%0.0561-35.67%0.0755✗1.50165k2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.214.1348-1.79%4.17-0.95%0.2591✗0.751.4M2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.36421.3392-1.84%0.80971-40.65%0.1118✓1.176,7502022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068210.066865-1.97%0.04897-28.21%0.4123✗2.172.4M2022-06-13
FLOWFlownative2.52.4495-2.02%1.586-36.56%0.1014✓1.00718k2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2810.275258-2.04%0.189-32.74%0.2510✗1.881.3M2022-06-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3511.3226-2.10%0.853-36.86%0.1054✓1.001.1M2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0172.9519-2.16%3.225+6.89%0.3896✗0.901.9M2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.094.0006-2.18%3.52-13.94%0.1680✗0.891.2M2022-06-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15050.147104-2.26%0.107-28.90%0.2704✗1.772,8332022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32932.2748-2.34%1.7211-26.11%0.0494✗0.993.6M2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1623.0876-2.35%3.286+3.92%0.2968✗0.702.4M2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.974.8524-2.37%4.2-15.49%0.1382✗0.85845k2022-06-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9852.9139-2.38%1.808-39.43%0.1335✗1.83113k2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6020.58726-2.45%0.392-34.88%0.1697✗1.725,9962022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.071.0432-2.50%0.9-15.89%0.1188✗0.80187k2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.537.3348-2.59%6.79-9.83%0.0961✗0.521.6M2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.52771.4868-2.68%1.0426-31.76%0.1096✓0.744,7612022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.0050.97747-2.74%0.591-41.19%0.2645✗2.302.4M2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.2840.276184-2.75%0.1835-35.39%0.0946✗1.51585k2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6124.4843-2.77%3.335-27.69%0.0797✓0.655.1M2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.843580.816894-3.16%0.45073-46.57%0.1120✗2.122.4M2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98141.918-3.20%1.2396-37.44%0.0002✓1.312.7M2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5591.5055-3.43%1.458-6.48%0.4817✗1.545.0M2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0530.996152-5.40%0.941-10.64%0.6580✗2.153.0M2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.