8=======>

2022-03-22 · +7d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 160 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2334
160 of 160 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.9%
in alpha space · 7.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+11.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (160 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.7580.712965-5.94%0.6938-8.47%0.1752✓1.31447k2022-03-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative51.6548.6967-5.72%49.3-4.55%0.1078✓1.063.9M2022-03-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.039980.037853-5.32%0.03452-13.66%0.2683✓1.5613.7M2022-03-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.83448.3824-5.12%7.4707-15.44%0.2283✓1.0041.1M2022-03-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.311.2462-4.87%1.49+13.74%0.0562✗1.08532k2022-03-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004290.004082-4.85%0.0043+0.23%0.0947✓1.305.3M2022-03-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1683.9719-4.70%4.083-2.04%0.0618✓0.791.5M2022-03-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.17071.116-4.67%1.1997+2.48%0.0702✓1.265.1M2022-03-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.64892.5257-4.65%2.7431+3.56%0.0030✓0.7613k2022-03-29
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7931.7154-4.33%1.941+8.25%0.0305✓0.8250k2022-03-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011930.000001144-4.13%0.000001089-8.75%0.0005✓-0.431.7M2022-03-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.5435.3216-3.99%7.21+30.07%0.2263✗0.68889k2022-03-29
API3Api3Ethereum4.9074.7168-3.88%5.701+16.18%0.1192✗0.626.3M2022-03-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06570.063166-3.86%0.0802+22.07%0.0443✗1.7244.1M2022-03-29
ORCAOrcaSolana2.162.0797-3.72%2.31+6.94%0.0292✓0.67176k2022-03-29
MOVRMoonriverBase66.927264.4617-3.68%71.4386+6.74%0.0503✓1.35154k2022-03-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.986.7242-3.67%7.9+13.18%0.0028✓1.40447k2022-03-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.7191.6572-3.59%1.727+0.47%0.0746✓1.022.0M2022-03-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6930.668204-3.58%0.598-13.71%0.2425✓1.162.1M2022-03-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.24080.232309-3.53%0.2711+12.58%0.0413✗1.00176k2022-03-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.37140.358503-3.47%0.4589+23.56%0.0831✗1.459.4M2022-03-29
LUNATerraTerra 293.0989.8702-3.46%109.12+17.22%0.0406✗1.369.2M2022-03-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.074.8957-3.44%5.768+13.77%0.0565✗0.9593k2022-03-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5456.3212-3.42%7.617+16.38%0.0733✗1.00488k2022-03-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.4650.6852-3.38%64.18+22.34%0.0937✗1.264.8M2022-03-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.9827.0913-3.18%29.4+5.08%0.0640✓1.29735k2022-03-29
DODODODOEthereum0.4460.431902-3.16%0.513+15.02%0.0465✗1.112.9M2022-03-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.18875.9959-3.12%5.9997-3.05%0.0456✓0.41181k2022-03-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80860.784302-3.00%1.2915+59.72%0.3511✗1.31111k2022-03-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07240.070226-3.00%0.0861+18.92%0.0700✗1.18308k2022-03-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2530.245435-2.99%0.284+12.25%0.0553✗0.8029k2022-03-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.8385.666-2.95%6.503+11.39%0.0247✓1.00531k2022-03-29
FTTFTXEthereum45.2843.9488-2.94%51.11+12.88%0.0345✗1.0314.3M2022-03-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.5817.0639-2.94%19.21+9.27%0.0324✓1.332.7M2022-03-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9865.8114-2.92%6.172+3.11%0.0457✓0.9485k2022-03-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.039230.038091-2.90%0.04201+7.09%0.0229✓0.66963k2022-03-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2682.2024-2.89%2.81+23.90%0.0947✗1.329.5M2022-03-29
COMPCompoundEthereum114.7111.3928-2.88%147.68+28.75%0.1505✗1.1650k2022-03-29
AVTAventusEthereum2.212.1473-2.84%2.74+23.98%0.2010✗0.38309k2022-03-29
ZENHorizenBase45.4744.1964-2.80%49.11+8.01%0.0431✓1.31332k2022-03-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23540.228826-2.79%0.2828+20.14%0.0986✗1.00379k2022-03-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.1755.0306-2.79%5.717+10.47%0.0174✓1.282.7M2022-03-29
DASHDashDash130.57126.9368-2.78%130.31-0.20%0.0850✓0.981.8M2022-03-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.3117.8013-2.78%26.33+43.80%0.2805✗0.985.6M2022-03-29
MANADecentralandEthereum2.43162.3646-2.76%2.7+11.04%0.0003✓1.171.3M2022-03-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.20910.203351-2.75%0.2943+40.75%0.2390✗1.162.2M2022-03-29
SOLSolanaSolana90.4888.037-2.70%111.64+23.39%0.0954✗1.2689.9M2022-03-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.378.1453-2.69%9.1+8.72%0.0296✗0.722.9M2022-03-29
GITCOINGITCOIN6.9626.7773-2.65%7.838+12.58%0.0108✓1.3823k2022-03-29
QNTQuantEthereum127.12123.7662-2.64%144.61+13.76%0.0516✗0.924.2M2022-03-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36220.352721-2.62%0.4224+16.62%0.0301✗1.331.0M2022-03-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.23934.1286-2.61%4.3834+3.40%0.0144✓0.664.7M2022-03-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.80224.6769-2.61%5.6566+17.79%0.0854✗0.93227k2022-03-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5471.5066-2.61%1.794+15.97%0.0600✗1.01644k2022-03-29
XECeCashnative0.000083480.000081316-2.59%0.00009436+13.03%0.0396✗0.964.9M2022-03-29
UNIUniswapEthereum9.769.5073-2.59%11.25+15.27%0.0514✗1.036.1M2022-03-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.6692.6003-2.57%2.93+9.78%0.0062✓1.0052k2022-03-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5821.5413-2.57%1.69+6.83%0.0481✓1.243.9M2022-03-29
ADACardanoCardano0.97530.950318-2.56%1.1909+22.11%0.1104✗1.0260.9M2022-03-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.156080.152086-2.56%0.17305+10.87%0.0327✗0.8514k2022-03-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.2219.7194-2.48%22.44+10.98%0.0054✓1.1023.2M2022-03-29
XTZTezosTezos3.3023.2203-2.47%3.8004+15.09%0.0427✗1.091.1M2022-03-29
IMXImmutableEthereum2.3152.2582-2.46%2.696+16.46%0.0666✗0.984.2M2022-03-29
BANDBandEthereum3.813.7168-2.45%4.536+19.06%0.0737✗1.11590k2022-03-29
QTUMQtumQtum7.60057.4163-2.42%8.3537+9.91%0.0100✓1.1497k2022-03-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0250670.024461-2.42%0.036781+46.73%0.3244✗0.74198k2022-03-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4571.4219-2.41%1.75+20.11%0.0538✗1.36466k2022-03-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.54.3918-2.41%5.74+27.56%0.1087✗1.41375k2022-03-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash375.54366.6411-2.37%373.24-0.61%0.0912✓0.967.3M2022-03-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13490.131733-2.35%0.2131+57.97%0.3468✗1.192.1M2022-03-29
HIVEHivenative0.92240.900748-2.35%1.1796+27.88%0.1438✗1.112.1M2022-03-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.82680.807528-2.33%0.9232+11.66%0.0218✓0.9917.2M2022-03-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.8851-2.33%2.3+19.17%0.0544✗1.28906k2022-03-29
RADRadworksEthereum4.974.8551-2.31%5.16+3.82%0.0386✓0.88626k2022-03-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.0327.3828-2.31%30.24+7.88%0.0259✓1.1140.2M2022-03-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana13.4113.1006-2.31%16.06+19.76%0.1485✗0.492.1M2022-03-29
ZECZcashZcash174.59170.6413-2.26%196.15+12.35%0.0311✗0.9613.8M2022-03-29
LSKLiskEthereum2.1882.1389-2.25%2.6166+19.59%0.1130✗0.78126k2022-03-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.2923.2182-2.24%3.4561+4.98%0.0220✓0.824.1M2022-03-29
UMAUMAEthereum7.6227.4518-2.23%7.914+3.83%0.0864✓1.306.0M2022-03-29
STXStacksnative1.31.271-2.23%1.45+11.54%0.0265✗0.93481k2022-03-29
KSMKusamaHydration158.4154.8702-2.23%184.23+16.31%0.0459✗1.13719k2022-03-29
PROPropyEthereum1.541.5057-2.23%1.6+3.90%0.0524✓1.00242k2022-03-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin122.81120.08-2.22%130.08+5.92%0.0349✓1.0226.1M2022-03-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7622.7011-2.20%3.305+19.66%0.0719✗1.15483k2022-03-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.9882.1507-2.18%92.79+10.49%0.0230✓1.28119.2M2022-03-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.2346.0996-2.16%6.443+3.35%0.0016✓0.477.4M2022-03-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.48730.476799-2.16%0.5551+13.91%0.0389✗1.001.3M2022-03-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,512.1041,598.33-2.15%47,265.50+11.18%0.0188✓0.9660k2022-03-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097280.095204-2.13%0.1123+15.44%0.0654✗0.8828k2022-03-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075610.073996-2.13%0.08728+15.43%0.0455✗1.0660k2022-03-29
CELLCellframeEthereum1.4661.4348-2.13%1.6089+9.75%0.0388✓1.35201k2022-03-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.0217.6375-2.12%22.13+22.81%0.1123✗1.0114.5M2022-03-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.310.303519-2.09%0.3543+14.29%0.0256✗1.14202k2022-03-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0133070.013029-2.09%0.014685+10.36%0.0162✓0.9111k2022-03-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5618810.550155-2.09%0.729966+29.91%0.1647✗1.041.6M2022-03-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.756.6097-2.08%7.67+13.63%0.0637✗0.751.6M2022-03-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0405620.03973-2.05%0.045104+11.20%0.0200✓0.944.1M2022-03-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.3913-1.99%2.76+13.11%0.0326✗0.98146k2022-03-29
XLMStellarStellar0.206890.202789-1.98%0.233124+12.68%0.0277✗0.9917.0M2022-03-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.910.891971-1.98%1.065+17.03%0.0258✗1.342.2M2022-03-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.780.764701-1.96%1.1993+53.76%0.4122✗0.33620k2022-03-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7220.707961-1.94%0.77+6.65%0.0216✓0.931.9M2022-03-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018990.018621-1.94%0.0204+7.42%0.0242✓1.021.4M2022-03-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1364.0557-1.94%4.125-0.27%0.0564✓0.65769k2022-03-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.657076-1.93%0.78+16.42%0.0011✓1.53440k2022-03-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.87543.8016-1.91%4.592+18.49%0.1189✗0.623.9M2022-03-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055670.05461-1.90%0.05599+0.57%0.0940✓1.05506k2022-03-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6261.5951-1.90%1.952+20.05%0.0901✗0.992.3M2022-03-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3084-1.89%6.82+6.07%0.0042✓0.731.4M2022-03-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.09050.0888-1.88%0.1238+36.80%0.1939✗1.22504k2022-03-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.929.3391-1.88%32.72+9.43%0.0069✓0.90723k2022-03-29
AAVEAaveEthereum152.91150.059-1.86%222.76+45.68%0.2501✗1.288.8M2022-03-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.56390.553435-1.86%0.6395+13.41%0.0314✗1.004,7232022-03-29
NANOnanopayBase2.24992.2082-1.85%2.499+11.07%0.0054✓1.14142k2022-03-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.40640.398967-1.83%0.594+46.16%0.1831✗1.902.1M2022-03-29
DIADIAEthereum0.950.932901-1.80%1.05+10.53%0.0769✗0.37207k2022-03-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.77460.760659-1.80%0.8635+11.48%0.0225✗0.927.2M2022-03-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.22710.22312-1.75%0.2422+6.65%0.0311✓1.001.7M2022-03-29
ETHEthereumEthereum2,970.512,918.74-1.74%3,401.71+14.52%0.0343✗1.05501.7M2022-03-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.7690.1703-1.73%97.8+6.58%0.0057✓0.771.2M2022-03-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41050.403415-1.73%0.4882+18.93%0.0609✗1.159.6M2022-03-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.3213.0916-1.71%13.95+4.73%0.0144✓0.433.0M2022-03-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1223650.120305-1.68%0.144391+18.00%0.0897✗0.822.6M2022-03-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.4315.1707-1.68%16.99+10.11%0.0073✓1.0732.5M2022-03-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.1715.9006-1.67%15.96-1.30%0.1309✓1.19586k2022-03-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15430.151793-1.62%0.1676+8.62%0.0179✓1.03205k2022-03-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.676.5623-1.62%7.08+6.15%0.0081✓0.74822k2022-03-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.2180.214515-1.60%0.2879+32.06%0.1479✗1.291.8M2022-03-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,305.8219,997.93-1.52%23,320.96+14.85%0.0303✗1.095.9M2022-03-29
SCSiacoinnative0.00960.009456-1.50%0.01179+22.81%0.0967✗1.10441k2022-03-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076270.075131-1.49%0.08818+15.62%0.0704✗0.799,5962022-03-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.042220.04159-1.49%0.0491+16.30%0.0710✗0.8423k2022-03-29
SUSHISushiEthereum3.453.3994-1.47%4.22+22.32%0.0845✗1.166.4M2022-03-29
BTTCBTTC0.000001860.000001833-1.45%0.0000021+12.90%0.0655✗0.6212.1M2022-03-29
STORJStorjEthereum1.12491.1092-1.40%1.351+20.09%0.0691✗1.13116k2022-03-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.261.2425-1.39%1.383+9.76%0.0049✓0.992.9M2022-03-29
XMRMoneroMonero193.89191.2341-1.37%221.94+14.47%0.0421✗0.941.7M2022-03-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.026330.025973-1.36%0.02727+3.57%0.0359✓0.752.8M2022-03-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011790.011631-1.35%0.01376+16.71%0.0309✗1.213.2M2022-03-29
MINAMina Protocolnative2.152.1212-1.34%2.62+21.86%0.0933✗1.04361k2022-03-29
KCSKuCoinnative18.26118.0199-1.32%21.714+18.91%0.0854✗0.896.0M2022-03-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7820.5089-1.30%24.45+17.66%0.0252✗1.33232k2022-03-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012870.012703-1.30%0.01373+6.68%0.0020✓0.709,5442022-03-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.809460.799051-1.29%0.89389+10.43%0.0129✓1.11118k2022-03-29
XVSVenusEthereum9.389.2617-1.26%11.08+18.12%0.0623✗1.033.0M2022-03-29
CBKCobakEthereum2.2552.227-1.24%2.707+20.04%0.1061✗0.7920k2022-03-29
GTGateEthereum6.42776.3484-1.23%6.7628+5.21%0.0083✓0.633.6M2022-03-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51510.508784-1.23%0.5773+12.08%0.0433✗0.73399k2022-03-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023440.000023155-1.21%0.00002734+16.64%0.0336✗1.172.3M2022-03-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0260.02569-1.19%0.03123+20.12%0.0736✗1.08200k2022-03-29
XVGVergenative0.009990.009871-1.19%0.01201+20.22%0.0668✗1.141.7M2022-03-29
XEMNEMnative0.10820.106926-1.18%0.1222+12.94%0.0383✗0.8440k2022-03-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07590.07501-1.17%0.0857+12.91%0.0272✗0.94146k2022-03-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2530.250104-1.14%0.2784+10.04%0.0145✗0.821.9M2022-03-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,378.2641,906.23-1.11%47,454.19+11.98%0.0112✗1.00729.5M2022-03-29
UOSUltraEthereum1.15251.14-1.09%1.2858+11.56%0.0238✓1.271.6M2022-03-29
TRXTRONTron0.0634470.062895-0.87%0.069428+9.43%0.0261✗0.64281k2022-03-29
XYMSymbolnative0.13710.136014-0.79%0.1493+8.90%0.0046✓0.78301k2022-03-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.104174-0.79%0.141+34.29%0.2414✗0.5426k2022-03-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.