8=======>

2022-03-11 · +7d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 156 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0100
156 of 156 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.8%
in alpha space · 11.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (156 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain8.89288.0321-9.68%9.5428+7.31%0.0967✓1.0014.1M2022-03-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.7615.4164-5.98%6.275+8.92%0.1103✗0.491.5M2022-03-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011640.000001096-5.81%0.000001177+1.07%0.0051✓1.001.4M2022-03-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4982.3821-4.64%2.566+2.72%0.0013✓1.0052k2022-03-18
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7051.6337-4.18%1.645-3.52%0.0664✓0.973.3M2022-03-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7073.5616-3.92%4.3273+16.73%0.1391✗0.732.4M2022-03-18
STXStacksnative1.361.3085-3.79%1.3-4.41%0.0746✓0.90419k2022-03-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05760.055507-3.63%0.0633+9.90%0.0008✓1.7352.1M2022-03-18
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6621.6016-3.63%1.639-1.38%0.0396✓0.8364k2022-03-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.155360.149858-3.54%0.1531-1.45%0.0454✓0.8816k2022-03-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46083.3395-3.50%3.8721+11.88%0.0967✗0.683.4M2022-03-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.48671.4365-3.38%1.578+6.14%0.0057✓1.32289k2022-03-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8413.3774-3.34%13.06-5.64%0.0592✓0.463.2M2022-03-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.575.3852-3.32%5.95+6.82%0.0028✓1.36610k2022-03-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.21360.206531-3.31%0.2302+7.77%0.0329✓1.00168k2022-03-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071180.068834-3.30%0.07318+2.81%0.0220✓1.1054k2022-03-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39240.379526-3.28%0.4549+15.93%0.0351✗1.932.2M2022-03-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.31520.305195-3.17%0.3368+6.85%0.0091✓1.4210.7M2022-03-18
LUNATerraTerra 288.2885.5097-3.14%88.61+0.37%0.0715✓1.427.0M2022-03-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.25850.250699-3.02%0.3002+16.13%0.0929✗1.15220k2022-03-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.19310.187444-2.93%0.2087+8.08%0.0167✓1.202.3M2022-03-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.48160.467543-2.92%0.588+22.09%0.1536✗1.004,8972022-03-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1654.0441-2.90%5.029+20.74%0.1219✗1.272.2M2022-03-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.944.5698-2.90%50.47+9.96%0.0292✓1.265.4M2022-03-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2260.219467-2.89%0.233+3.10%0.0045✓0.8554k2022-03-18
GITCOINGITCOIN5.5565.3999-2.81%5.917+6.50%0.0097✓1.3425k2022-03-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.0307-2.76%1.05-0.94%0.0634✓1.08599k2022-03-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.57492.5041-2.75%3.3831+31.39%0.2395✗0.813.6M2022-03-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.847.6243-2.75%8.18+4.34%0.0144✓0.74807k2022-03-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003433-2.75%0.00358+1.42%0.0700✓1.485.4M2022-03-18
UMAUMAEthereum7.0756.8826-2.72%7.638+7.96%0.0045✓1.323.7M2022-03-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.06283.9524-2.72%4.289+5.57%0.0085✓0.97207k2022-03-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.05291.9981-2.67%2.1916+6.76%0.0355✗0.7520k2022-03-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011510.011206-2.65%0.0115-0.09%0.0678✓1.243.2M2022-03-18
XECeCashnative0.00007310.000071177-2.63%0.00008127+11.18%0.0573✗1.004.2M2022-03-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.8245.6751-2.56%6.264+7.55%0.0231✓1.00523k2022-03-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.655840.63909-2.55%0.84294+28.53%0.1880✗1.17127k2022-03-18
BANDBandEthereum3.443.3526-2.54%3.723+8.23%0.0174✓1.161.0M2022-03-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.30332.2456-2.51%2.4451+6.16%0.0066✓1.212.6M2022-03-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4641.4274-2.50%1.574+7.51%0.0205✓1.021.8M2022-03-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8070.786935-2.49%0.836+3.59%0.0411✓1.342.1M2022-03-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.19620.191324-2.49%0.2119+8.00%0.0009✓1.362.2M2022-03-18
AAVEAaveEthereum116.61113.7155-2.48%160.34+37.50%0.2502✗1.237.3M2022-03-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.3797-2.48%15.01+9.40%0.0179✓1.282.3M2022-03-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.495.3549-2.46%6.43+17.12%0.1262✗0.75604k2022-03-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11440.111609-2.44%0.1214+6.12%0.0064✓1.202.9M2022-03-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2620.25575-2.39%0.616+135.11%0.7895✗1.181.9M2022-03-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.040780.039812-2.37%0.03367-17.44%0.2238✓0.741.1M2022-03-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.717.2824-2.36%18.96+7.12%0.0083✓1.1225.2M2022-03-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69780.681406-2.35%0.7275+4.26%0.0381✓1.37120k2022-03-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.966520.943887-2.34%1.0729+11.01%0.0403✗1.16112k2022-03-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.1571.1299-2.34%1.365+17.98%0.0953✗1.242.2M2022-03-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7412.6771-2.33%3.346+22.07%0.1624✗0.80330k2022-03-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0118620.011586-2.32%0.011938+0.64%0.0455✓1.0011k2022-03-18
NANOnanopayBase1.68741.6482-2.32%2.3491+39.22%0.2723✗1.08139k2022-03-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5944.4886-2.29%4.924+7.18%0.0213✓0.94123k2022-03-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67060.655238-2.29%0.8733+30.23%0.1915✗1.273.1M2022-03-18
AVTAventusEthereum2.192.1398-2.29%2.07-5.48%0.0634✓0.40288k2022-03-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.1142.0663-2.26%2.189+3.55%0.0040✓0.8219k2022-03-18
ZECZcashZcash153.51150.0753-2.24%172.57+12.42%0.0634✗1.017.4M2022-03-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.11552.0685-2.22%2.1269+0.54%0.0365✓0.85109k2022-03-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.488410.477672-2.20%0.537425+10.04%0.0382✗1.052.2M2022-03-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5910.3572-2.20%12.43+17.37%0.1402✗0.561.1M2022-03-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.091150.089151-2.19%0.0956+4.88%0.0002✓0.9237k2022-03-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8922.3903-2.18%25.79+12.67%0.0431✗1.30997k2022-03-18
XYMSymbolnative0.13350.130595-2.18%0.133-0.37%0.0440✓0.82294k2022-03-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83625.7093-2.17%6.0844+4.25%0.0333✗0.40201k2022-03-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.068310.066828-2.17%0.0728+6.57%0.0207✓0.8613k2022-03-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.6049-2.14%1.85+12.80%0.0455✗1.281.4M2022-03-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.590.577438-2.13%0.68+15.25%0.0420✗1.61798k2022-03-18
ZENHorizenBase37.8637.0548-2.13%41.26+8.98%0.0087✓1.31280k2022-03-18
ORCAOrcaSolana2.092.0458-2.11%2.19+4.78%0.0156✓0.69213k2022-03-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,538.1118,148.57-2.10%20,575.06+10.99%0.0533✗0.955.4M2022-03-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9590.938977-2.09%1.515+57.98%0.4090✗0.921.0M2022-03-18
FTTFTXEthereum40.8139.9597-2.08%44.58+9.24%0.0297✗1.0517.0M2022-03-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023010.022532-2.08%0.0271+17.77%0.1022✗1.09435k2022-03-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71110.696349-2.07%0.7285+2.45%0.0302✓1.007.9M2022-03-18
DIADIAEthereum0.930.910833-2.06%0.94+1.08%0.0054✓0.35274k2022-03-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.07870.07708-2.06%0.0868+10.29%0.0130✓1.40494k2022-03-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.4726.9056-2.05%28.63+4.22%0.0255✓1.1646.0M2022-03-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.1511-2.05%6.37+1.43%0.0237✓0.78625k2022-03-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3264.2382-2.03%4.828+11.60%0.0750✗0.73498k2022-03-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche71.2569.8094-2.02%85.76+20.36%0.1054✗1.33123.1M2022-03-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.971.9302-2.02%2.251+14.26%0.0529✗1.339.7M2022-03-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin17.3717.0192-2.02%17.61+1.38%0.0413✓1.006.7M2022-03-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8692.8112-2.01%3.671+27.95%0.2101✗0.75427k2022-03-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.525.9697-2.00%28.05+5.85%0.0015✓1.004.8M2022-03-18
DODODODOEthereum0.3850.377332-1.99%0.402+4.42%0.0220✓1.133.4M2022-03-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.024680.024196-1.96%0.02515+1.90%0.0179✓0.753.2M2022-03-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017140.016807-1.94%0.01673-2.39%0.0794✓0.991.5M2022-03-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.0115.7024-1.92%16.88+5.43%0.0074✓1.0516.1M2022-03-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.71560.702002-1.90%0.74+3.41%0.0271✗0.341.0M2022-03-18
HIVEHivenative0.86610.849671-1.90%0.9186+6.06%0.0085✓1.141.9M2022-03-18
ADACardanoCardano0.78840.773462-1.89%0.852+8.07%0.0185✓1.0373.7M2022-03-18
PROPropyEthereum1.511.4814-1.89%1.4-7.28%0.1416✓1.13317k2022-03-18
XMRMoneroMonero170.68167.4556-1.89%195+14.25%0.0830✗0.921.5M2022-03-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011860.01164-1.86%0.01224+3.20%0.0075✓0.7612k2022-03-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3071.2829-1.85%1.451+11.02%0.0166✓1.41596k2022-03-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3211.2966-1.84%1.591+20.44%0.1307✗0.98739k2022-03-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.115390.11329-1.82%0.119322+3.41%0.0142✓0.873.3M2022-03-18
KSMKusamaHydration124.19121.9418-1.81%148.53+19.60%0.1114✗1.14671k2022-03-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.15141.1308-1.79%1.1296-1.89%0.1033✓1.352.6M2022-03-18
UNIUniswapEthereum8.518.3593-1.77%9.62+13.04%0.0609✗1.056.4M2022-03-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70140.688997-1.77%0.7552+7.67%0.0112✓1.0618.5M2022-03-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7412.5171-1.75%13.65+7.14%0.0046✓1.09331k2022-03-18
XTZTezosTezos2.98892.9366-1.75%3.1614+5.77%0.0127✓1.141.3M2022-03-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0400590.039358-1.75%0.0395-1.40%0.0715✓0.995.8M2022-03-18
MINAMina Protocolnative1.751.7195-1.74%2.26+29.14%0.1941✗1.05343k2022-03-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29240.287329-1.73%0.3288+12.45%0.0342✗1.33857k2022-03-18
MOVRMoonriverBase48.759147.9148-1.73%54.2608+11.28%0.0230✗1.34193k2022-03-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14890.146352-1.71%0.1516+1.81%0.0432✓1.04267k2022-03-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50090.492429-1.69%0.512+2.22%0.0214✓0.80456k2022-03-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039060.038407-1.67%0.04078+4.40%0.0065✓0.8827k2022-03-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1110.109163-1.65%0.105-5.41%0.0798✓0.5444k2022-03-18
QTUMQtumQtum5.87555.7785-1.65%6.123+4.21%0.0300✓1.16153k2022-03-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.7571-1.65%4.24+10.99%0.0116✓1.45348k2022-03-18
SCSiacoinnative0.008790.008646-1.64%0.00919+4.55%0.0239✓1.12489k2022-03-18
GTGateEthereum6.3286.2245-1.64%6.34+0.19%0.0320✓0.672.8M2022-03-18
SUSHISushiEthereum2.892.843-1.63%3.31+14.53%0.0693✗1.096.4M2022-03-18
QNTQuantEthereum113.22111.3922-1.61%116.39+2.80%0.0269✓0.945.8M2022-03-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1131.0951-1.60%1.216+9.25%0.0287✗1.003.0M2022-03-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.8117.5287-1.58%20.21+13.48%0.0402✗1.35280k2022-03-18
TRXTRONTron0.0602030.059261-1.56%0.061738+2.55%0.0108✓0.68282k2022-03-18
SOLSolanaSolana80.779.4641-1.53%89.87+11.36%0.0271✗1.27106.0M2022-03-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1835910.1808-1.52%0.192891+5.07%0.0123✓1.0219.8M2022-03-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7784.7069-1.49%5.34+11.76%0.0535✗0.9676k2022-03-18
DASHDashDash94.9593.5444-1.48%98.87+4.13%0.0204✓1.001.5M2022-03-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.422.3842-1.48%2.369-2.11%0.0868✓1.06555k2022-03-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06610.065129-1.47%0.0711+7.56%0.0015✓1.18687k2022-03-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01430.014092-1.46%0.04379+206.22%1.0272✗1.4112.7M2022-03-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.855.7651-1.45%6.14+4.96%0.0060✓0.751.0M2022-03-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6360.626879-1.43%0.64+0.63%0.0494✓0.932.5M2022-03-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.55103.0519-1.43%111.9+7.03%0.0052✓1.0226.6M2022-03-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9127.5139-1.42%28.09+0.64%0.0480✓0.91959k2022-03-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04720.046533-1.41%0.04977+5.44%0.0162✓1.10467k2022-03-18
XEMNEMnative0.09350.092223-1.37%0.1+6.95%0.0160✗0.8640k2022-03-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,852.8038,328.90-1.35%41,510.70+6.84%0.0060✓0.9746k2022-03-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21860.215679-1.34%0.2478+13.36%0.0735✗0.861.9M2022-03-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash287.73283.9061-1.33%305.71+6.25%0.0028✓0.947.2M2022-03-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.162.1316-1.31%2.4+11.11%0.0447✗0.98161k2022-03-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.0477.0243-1.30%80.59+3.27%0.0115✓0.75899k2022-03-18
XVGVergenative0.009390.009269-1.29%0.00928-1.17%0.0859✓1.151.5M2022-03-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,556.422,523.54-1.29%2,939.17+14.97%0.0732✗1.05518.1M2022-03-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,732.0438,259.31-1.22%41,774.98+7.86%0.0123✗1.00741.9M2022-03-18
COMPCompoundEthereum102.07100.8643-1.18%119.38+16.96%0.0842✗1.1244k2022-03-18
XVSVenusEthereum8.548.4392-1.18%8.77+2.69%0.0427✓1.073.5M2022-03-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.0512.9014-1.14%15.02+15.10%0.0686✗1.1047.1M2022-03-18
RADRadworksEthereum4.444.391-1.10%4.31-2.93%0.0884✓0.92521k2022-03-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001761-1.05%0.00000186+4.49%0.0079✓0.6213.3M2022-03-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.014890.014737-1.03%0.017275+16.02%0.1042✗0.72143k2022-03-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.31890.315645-1.02%0.4108+28.82%0.1698✗1.247.9M2022-03-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06960.068966-0.91%0.0717+3.02%0.0339✓0.96151k2022-03-18
KCSKuCoinnative18.1718.0128-0.86%18.259+0.49%0.0587✓0.958.4M2022-03-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022060.000021872-0.85%0.00002236+1.36%0.0691✓1.213.6M2022-03-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.41520.412172-0.73%0.4424+6.55%0.0328✓1.37418k2022-03-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.7764.8179+0.88%4.609-3.50%0.0914✗0.627.0M2022-03-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.