8=======>

2022-02-28 · +7d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0186
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-11.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.4%
in alpha space · 90.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum7.2286.7634-6.43%7.8+7.91%0.3158✗1.351.9M2022-03-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.557.1384-5.45%7.76+2.78%0.1985✗0.90461k2022-03-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.6642.5289-5.07%2.56-3.90%0.1836✗1.34584k2022-03-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5040.478469-5.07%0.4075-19.15%0.0960✗2.002.1M2022-03-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.035030.033569-4.17%0.03434-1.97%0.1387✗0.901.2M2022-03-07
PROPropyEthereum1.841.7633-4.17%1.59-13.59%0.0530✗1.22483k2022-03-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.40e-76.14e-7-4.13%0.000001442+125.18%0.9821✗1.001.2M2022-03-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75840.72738-4.09%0.73-3.74%0.0493✗0.361.3M2022-03-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07030.067509-3.97%0.0544-22.62%0.0124✓1.7876.7M2022-03-07
LUNATerraTerra 291.3887.7807-3.94%77.85-14.81%0.0667✗1.464.5M2022-03-07
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8361.7645-3.89%1.725-6.05%0.0895✗0.8776k2022-03-07
ORCAOrcaSolana2.642.5479-3.49%2.28-13.64%0.0171✓1.00490k2022-03-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2045-3.39%3.353+1.09%0.1694✗0.97741k2022-03-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.796.5628-3.35%5.62-17.23%0.0270✓1.421.1M2022-03-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.3901-3.18%5.93-10.15%0.0395✗0.89452k2022-03-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4422.3644-3.18%1.98-18.92%0.0099✓1.4613.6M2022-03-07
AVTAventusEthereum2.522.4402-3.16%2.32-7.94%0.0777✗1.00486k2022-03-07
API3Api3Ethereum7.5297.3012-3.03%5.302-29.58%0.2594✓0.472.3M2022-03-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.515.3452-2.99%5.01-9.07%0.0457✗0.86510k2022-03-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.43912.3662-2.99%2.469+1.23%0.1551✗0.882.7M2022-03-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.361.3198-2.95%1.13-16.91%0.0188✓1.06932k2022-03-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1153.023-2.95%2.706-13.13%0.0045✓0.90218k2022-03-07
STXStacksnative1.251.2136-2.91%1.04-16.80%0.0013✓1.19610k2022-03-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36570.35508-2.90%0.3173-13.23%0.0948✗1.6214.6M2022-03-07
MOVRMoonriverBase67.76365.839-2.84%52.8584-22.00%0.0406✓1.40214k2022-03-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7221.111-2.80%17.82-17.96%0.0239✓1.148.6M2022-03-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11963.0323-2.80%2.8817-7.63%0.0621✗0.883.6M2022-03-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5654.4419-2.70%4.234-7.25%0.0614✗0.85435k2022-03-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017960.017479-2.68%0.01158-35.52%0.2133✓1.5512.5M2022-03-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1319.5948-2.66%16.42-18.43%0.0260✓1.1821.3M2022-03-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1815.7552-2.63%17.31+6.98%0.1865✗0.722.2M2022-03-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.864.733-2.61%3.97-18.31%0.0190✓1.52430k2022-03-07
COMPCompoundEthereum120.75117.6003-2.61%98.5-18.43%0.0218✓1.2164k2022-03-07
XTZTezosTezos3.54833.4584-2.53%2.9274-17.50%0.0008✓1.292.1M2022-03-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.300212-2.53%0.268-12.99%0.0540✗1.312.1M2022-03-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0226550.022086-2.51%0.017437-23.03%0.1263✓0.86117k2022-03-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1544.0501-2.50%3.62-12.86%0.0467✗1.242.3M2022-03-07
CELLCellframeEthereum1.67541.6336-2.50%1.3125-21.66%0.0556✓1.27272k2022-03-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02140.020872-2.47%0.01691-20.98%0.0688✓1.112.2M2022-03-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11043.034-2.46%2.8397-8.70%0.0480✗0.892.4M2022-03-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3521.3188-2.45%1.243-8.06%0.1098✗1.322.0M2022-03-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.92585.7805-2.45%5.3807-9.20%0.0320✓0.31385k2022-03-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.159.9039-2.43%10.23+0.79%0.1180✗0.67928k2022-03-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13030.127162-2.41%0.1105-15.20%0.0241✓1.282.9M2022-03-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3715.0003-2.41%13.71-10.80%0.1005✗1.492.4M2022-03-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.442.3814-2.40%2.11-13.52%0.0080✓1.01254k2022-03-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.861.8157-2.38%1.7-8.60%0.1033✗1.321.9M2022-03-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.19250.187931-2.37%0.1942+0.88%0.2089✗1.372.8M2022-03-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.635.4969-2.36%4.618-17.98%0.0540✓0.9468k2022-03-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.128883-2.36%0.1-24.24%0.1799✓0.5844k2022-03-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2361.2069-2.35%0.976-21.04%0.0749✓1.071.2M2022-03-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2333.1575-2.33%2.878-10.98%0.0189✓0.87477k2022-03-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.3625.7532-2.30%22.43-14.91%0.0392✗1.381.6M2022-03-07
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0455-2.29%0.93-13.08%0.0821✓0.27286k2022-03-07
BTTCBTTC0.000001990.000001945-2.26%0.00000177-11.06%0.0085✓0.6714.0M2022-03-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010990.010745-2.23%0.01182+7.55%0.2735✗1.392.7M2022-03-07
ZENHorizenBase37.9137.1004-2.14%33.73-11.03%0.0898✗1.44280k2022-03-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.79670.779934-2.10%0.694-12.89%0.0238✗1.109.6M2022-03-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5661.5339-2.05%1.307-16.54%0.0257✗1.45863k2022-03-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.734695-2.04%0.6-20.00%0.0174✓1.72995k2022-03-07
MANADecentralandEthereum2.85072.793-2.02%2.3622-17.14%0.0121✓1.213.2M2022-03-07
XECeCashnative0.000078690.000077112-2.01%0.0000689-12.44%0.0289✗1.104.4M2022-03-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,589.2921,157.36-2.00%18,376.27-14.88%0.0148✓0.985.7M2022-03-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.028423-1.99%0.0248-14.48%0.0353✗1.34494k2022-03-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.3830.7579-1.98%28.29-9.85%0.0644✗1.1550.3M2022-03-07
XMRMoneroMonero170.31166.9503-1.97%157.95-7.26%0.0720✗0.991.0M2022-03-07
AAVEAaveEthereum145.83142.9653-1.96%116.88-19.85%0.0279✓1.356.6M2022-03-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9518.5789-1.96%16.4-13.46%0.0320✗1.2227.9M2022-03-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5051.4756-1.96%1.274-15.35%0.0030✓1.12931k2022-03-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0492640.0483-1.96%0.041733-15.29%0.0087✓1.078.1M2022-03-07
HIVEHivenative0.98030.961242-1.94%0.8412-14.19%0.0179✓1.182.0M2022-03-07
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5310.3271-1.93%8.31-21.08%0.0647✓1.1910.8M2022-03-07
DODODODOEthereum0.4610.452135-1.92%0.381-17.35%0.0067✓1.284.2M2022-03-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.4772.4302-1.89%2.085-15.83%0.0338✓0.9321k2022-03-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.5329.9611-1.86%26.15-14.35%0.0033✓1.095.1M2022-03-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche84.5983.0308-1.84%71.75-15.18%0.0381✗1.44116.5M2022-03-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0780.076587-1.81%0.0672-13.85%0.0385✗1.321.0M2022-03-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.4253.4377-1.81%46.15-15.20%0.0188✗1.296.7M2022-03-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.19292.1538-1.78%1.9115-12.83%0.0287✓0.7126k2022-03-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072010.070752-1.75%0.06777-5.89%0.1158✗1.2469k2022-03-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50070.492207-1.70%0.4144-17.24%0.0036✓1.37484k2022-03-07
FTTFTXEthereum45.9545.2139-1.60%39.76-13.47%0.0096✓1.0820.8M2022-03-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.1620.8245-1.59%18.4-13.04%0.0604✗1.44325k2022-03-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8230.810047-1.57%0.7051-14.33%0.0477✗1.45270k2022-03-07
BANDBandEthereum3.9343.8722-1.57%3.496-11.13%0.0637✗1.291.8M2022-03-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39430.38818-1.55%0.3195-18.97%0.0102✓1.441.2M2022-03-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23454.1694-1.54%3.6598-13.57%0.0163✗1.14244k2022-03-07
SUSHISushiEthereum3.543.4859-1.53%2.88-18.64%0.0277✓1.276.8M2022-03-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2360.232475-1.49%0.231-2.12%0.1031✗0.8559k2022-03-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8770.86411-1.47%0.762-13.11%0.0392✗1.292.2M2022-03-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121480.01198-1.38%0.011201-7.80%0.0651✗1.0316k2022-03-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.214.0038-1.38%12.47-12.18%0.0254✗1.10331k2022-03-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56070.553044-1.37%0.4925-12.16%0.0006✓0.91641k2022-03-07
KSMKusamaHydration130.28128.501-1.37%120.6-7.43%0.0832✗1.14930k2022-03-07
XVGVergenative0.010370.010229-1.36%0.00883-14.85%0.0131✓1.251.2M2022-03-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24540.242182-1.31%0.2184-11.00%0.0127✓0.911.9M2022-03-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.08570.084581-1.31%0.0802-6.42%0.1349✗1.47613k2022-03-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37720.372385-1.28%0.3298-12.57%0.0542✗1.378.7M2022-03-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.86840.857506-1.25%0.7277-16.20%0.0171✓1.1520.7M2022-03-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.290845-1.24%0.2527-14.19%0.0289✗1.32367k2022-03-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5641.5446-1.24%1.585+1.34%0.1607✗1.053.4M2022-03-07
SCSiacoinnative0.009680.00956-1.24%0.00866-10.54%0.0625✗1.26546k2022-03-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.930.5272-1.21%28.16-8.87%0.0392✗0.941.5M2022-03-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.32781.3118-1.20%1.1872-10.59%0.0749✗1.362.7M2022-03-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004390.004337-1.20%0.00392-10.71%0.1076✗1.639.6M2022-03-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06950.06868-1.18%0.0671-3.45%0.1053✗1.0012k2022-03-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.563029-1.15%0.6711+17.82%0.3454✗1.322.4M2022-03-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.1414.966-1.15%12.7-16.12%0.0123✓1.1853.4M2022-03-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025790.000025496-1.14%0.00002279-11.63%0.0471✗1.243.8M2022-03-07
GITCOINGITCOIN6.756.6753-1.11%5.615-16.81%0.0064✓1.4027k2022-03-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5711.5538-1.10%1.435-8.66%0.0678✗1.151.8M2022-03-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1641.1513-1.09%1.085-6.79%0.0960✗1.212.9M2022-03-07
SOLSolanaSolana99.7498.6602-1.08%81.66-18.13%0.0254✓1.28127.4M2022-03-07
MINAMina Protocolnative2.212.1861-1.08%1.84-16.74%0.0214✓1.18343k2022-03-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.71631.6981-1.06%1.8793+9.50%0.2309✗1.0172k2022-03-07
QNTQuantEthereum115.74114.5199-1.05%110.5-4.53%0.0906✗0.996.3M2022-03-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.04261.0317-1.05%0.89059-14.58%0.0235✗1.33162k2022-03-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16120.159547-1.03%0.1422-11.79%0.0172✗1.03446k2022-03-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin113.82112.6589-1.02%98.35-13.59%0.0092✓1.1329.3M2022-03-07
ZECZcashZcash118.68117.4767-1.01%109.5-7.74%0.0755✗1.147.2M2022-03-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092130.091196-1.01%0.08764-4.87%0.0970✗1.0745k2022-03-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041940.041525-0.99%0.03834-8.58%0.0482✗1.0029k2022-03-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048710.048245-0.95%0.04852-0.39%0.1611✗1.21686k2022-03-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.8755.8201-0.93%4.783-18.59%0.0602✓1.06189k2022-03-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1976750.195904-0.90%0.169685-14.16%0.0063✓1.0719.8M2022-03-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.029370.029108-0.89%0.02497-14.98%0.0530✓0.784.1M2022-03-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5750510.570147-0.85%0.472233-17.88%0.0421✓1.142.8M2022-03-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1334510.132319-0.85%0.116934-12.38%0.0025✓0.943.7M2022-03-07
KCSKuCoinnative20.67720.5039-0.84%17.761-14.10%0.0151✓1.009.3M2022-03-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,192.6642,835.47-0.83%37,994.00-12.04%0.0083✗1.00630.5M2022-03-07
ETHEthereumEthereum2,923.082,900.16-0.78%2,491.58-14.76%0.0178✓1.05540.3M2022-03-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.23210.230472-0.70%0.1993-14.13%0.0451✗1.482.6M2022-03-07
XYMSymbolnative0.15310.152052-0.68%0.1333-12.93%0.0266✓0.82295k2022-03-07
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.8169-0.68%4.4-9.28%0.0375✗1.00828k2022-03-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.166390.165316-0.65%0.14835-10.84%0.0472✗1.2127k2022-03-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6970.692509-0.64%0.649-6.89%0.0731✗1.082.4M2022-03-07
QTUMQtumQtum6.49256.451-0.64%5.712-12.02%0.0500✗1.34184k2022-03-07
ADACardanoCardano0.9640.957871-0.64%0.7932-17.72%0.0449✓1.1296.0M2022-03-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash339.27337.2151-0.61%273.86-19.28%0.0816✓0.997.3M2022-03-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,136.2042,888.24-0.57%37,523.40-13.01%0.0085✓0.9846k2022-03-07
XVSVenusEthereum9.339.2817-0.52%8.37-10.29%0.0531✗1.223.1M2022-03-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012310.012248-0.51%0.012-2.52%0.0751✗0.7512k2022-03-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.741170.737493-0.50%0.63315-14.57%0.0240✗1.38206k2022-03-07
TRXTRONTron0.0617860.061543-0.39%0.058556-5.23%0.0491✗0.77286k2022-03-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0730.072752-0.34%0.0657-10.00%0.0249✗0.99160k2022-03-07
XEMNEMnative0.10810.107739-0.33%0.0935-13.51%0.0169✓0.9740k2022-03-07
DASHDashDash100.51100.2606-0.25%85.9-14.54%0.0085✓1.141.5M2022-03-07
GTGateEthereum6.716.6942-0.24%6.77+0.89%0.1024✗0.712.8M2022-03-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.66.5864-0.21%6.17-6.52%0.0002✓0.511.1M2022-03-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV88.6788.5794-0.10%76.42-13.82%0.0390✓0.85905k2022-03-07
NANOnanopayBase1.93811.9479+0.50%1.6162-16.61%0.0343✗1.19179k2022-03-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.