2022-02-24 · +7d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1612

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.22%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

57.6%

in alpha space · 41.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+10.74%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01693	0.017223	+1.73%	0.01525	-9.92%	0.2840	✗	1.59	11.9M	2022-03-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002389	0.00002421	+1.34%	0.00002507	+4.94%	0.1028	✗	1.35	3.7M	2022-03-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0389	3.0776	+1.27%	3.3937	+11.68%	0.0379	✗	1.33	2.1M	2022-03-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.647051	+1.10%	0.72	+12.50%	0.0867	✗	1.90	1.0M	2022-03-03
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.18	2.2039	+1.10%	3.084	+41.47%	0.1974	✓	1.36	579k	2022-03-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.504	1.5186	+0.97%	1.46	-2.93%	0.1508	✗	1.09	3.5M	2022-03-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.13	1.1404	+0.92%	1.24	+9.73%	0.0448	✗	1.26	934k	2022-03-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4313	0.435037	+0.87%	0.4943	+14.61%	0.0218	✗	1.47	572k	2022-03-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1641	0.165333	+0.75%	0.1971	+20.11%	0.0331	✓	1.40	2.9M	2022-03-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3452	0.347553	+0.68%	0.381	+10.37%	0.0565	✗	1.45	1.3M	2022-03-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0685	0.068891	+0.57%	0.0725	+5.84%	0.0903	✗	1.39	1.1M	2022-03-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.00894	0.008991	+0.57%	0.01001	+11.97%	0.0236	✗	1.28	1.2M	2022-03-03
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0646	0.064953	+0.55%	0.072	+11.46%	0.0032	✓	1.04	176k	2022-03-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8143	0.818559	+0.52%	0.9796	+20.30%	0.0505	✓	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	26.6599	+0.49%	30.25	+14.02%	0.0138	✓	1.10	5.1M	2022-03-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8533	0.857422	+0.48%	0.9021	+5.72%	0.0668	✗	1.15	97.3M	2022-03-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.219	0.219936	+0.43%	0.273	+24.66%	0.1280	✓	0.86	59k	2022-03-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.188	2.197	+0.41%	2.873	+31.31%	0.1423	✓	1.24	772k	2022-03-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.97	9.005	+0.39%	10.07	+12.26%	0.0434	✓	0.67	853k	2022-03-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6254	2.6354	+0.38%	2.95	+12.36%	0.0191	✓	0.92	2.9M	2022-03-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.6203	2.6296	+0.36%	2.9519	+12.66%	0.0167	✓	0.97	2.3M	2022-03-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.03	5.0471	+0.34%	7.63	+51.69%	0.3268	✓	0.85	398k	2022-03-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0532	0.05338	+0.34%	0.0637	+19.74%	0.0083	✗	1.81	67.8M	2022-03-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.73	109.0957	+0.34%	127.04	+16.84%	0.0481	✓	1.02	6.6M	2022-03-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1205	0.120886	+0.32%	0.1221	+1.33%	0.1231	✗	1.30	3.1M	2022-03-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.1	6.1192	+0.31%	6.42	+5.25%	0.0077	✓	0.40	1.3M	2022-03-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.338	1.342	+0.30%	1.523	+13.83%	0.0060	✓	1.18	1.8M	2022-03-03
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.19	2.1962	+0.28%	2.38	+8.68%	0.0216	✗	1.00	639k	2022-03-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.72	13.7573	+0.27%	14.3	+4.23%	0.1193	✗	1.55	2.7M	2022-03-03
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.717	1.7215	+0.26%	1.976	+15.08%	0.0359	✓	1.00	84k	2022-03-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	104.24	104.5138	+0.26%	111.69	+7.15%	0.0538	✗	1.18	29.5M	2022-03-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1956	0.196043	+0.23%	0.2283	+16.72%	0.0013	✓	1.51	3.3M	2022-03-03
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000181	0.000001814	+0.22%	0.0000019	+4.97%	0.0219	✗	0.67	14.4M	2022-03-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00977	0.009789	+0.19%	0.01199	+22.72%	0.0523	✓	1.48	2.3M	2022-03-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2141	0.214482	+0.18%	0.249	+16.30%	0.0466	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,597.42	2,601.83	+0.17%	2,833.66	+9.10%	0.0235	✗	1.07	561.7M	2022-03-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.344	1.3461	+0.16%	1.437	+6.92%	0.0546	✗	1.18	1.1M	2022-03-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.56	1.5624	+0.15%	1.85	+18.59%	0.0330	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.274	0.274396	+0.14%	0.295	+7.66%	0.0679	✗	1.38	2.2M	2022-03-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.481	2.4844	+0.14%	2.882	+16.16%	0.0644	✓	0.82	205k	2022-03-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.27	13.2875	+0.13%	14.89	+12.21%	0.0105	✗	1.22	60.6M	2022-03-03
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.9584	+0.09%	9.34	+4.36%	0.0904	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.458	0.458414	+0.09%	0.8058	+75.94%	0.4286	✓	1.33	2.2M	2022-03-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.124116	0.124226	+0.09%	0.129579	+4.40%	0.0595	✗	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.72	102.8079	+0.09%	129.17	+25.75%	0.1146	✓	1.11	7.8M	2022-03-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9716	+0.08%	2.04	+3.55%	0.0903	✗	1.22	343k	2022-03-03
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00413	0.004133	+0.07%	0.00456	+10.41%	0.0892	✗	1.84	12.6M	2022-03-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.24	4.2427	+0.06%	4.42	+4.25%	0.1121	✗	1.50	456k	2022-03-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.093	0.093022	+0.02%	0.1029	+10.65%	0.0047	✗	1.04	38k	2022-03-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.747	4.7479	+0.02%	5.231	+10.20%	0.0134	✓	0.82	65k	2022-03-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.42	5.4211	+0.02%	6.33	+16.79%	0.0703	✓	0.83	430k	2022-03-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.93	117.9498	+0.02%	131.9	+11.85%	0.0112	✗	1.21	930k	2022-03-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00834	0.008341	+0.01%	0.00902	+8.15%	0.0523	✗	1.28	546k	2022-03-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.173	18.1746	+0.01%	19.526	+7.45%	0.0356	✗	1.05	9.6M	2022-03-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007114	0.000071145	+0.01%	0.00007449	+4.71%	0.0737	✗	1.17	4.4M	2022-03-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3302	0.330212	+0.00%	0.3687	+11.66%	0.0629	✗	1.70	16.0M	2022-03-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3618	0.361771	-0.01%	0.3647	+0.80%	0.1422	✓	1.47	8.4M	2022-03-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.016	5.015	-0.02%	5.584	+11.32%	0.0097	✗	0.96	241k	2022-03-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5371	1.5368	-0.02%	2.1075	+37.10%	0.2138	✗	1.00	72k	2022-03-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.182403	0.182363	-0.02%	0.187901	+3.01%	0.0822	✓	1.10	21.4M	2022-03-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.7351	3.7329	-0.06%	4.2636	+14.15%	0.0114	✗	1.19	291k	2022-03-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.89559	0.895009	-0.06%	1.0476	+16.97%	0.0147	✗	1.40	165k	2022-03-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.41	89.3476	-0.07%	95.61	+6.93%	0.0631	✓	1.28	132.7M	2022-03-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.945	3.9404	-0.12%	4.418	+11.99%	0.0301	✗	0.83	414k	2022-03-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.41	22.3801	-0.13%	25.18	+12.36%	0.0319	✓	1.47	1.8M	2022-03-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0436	0.043541	-0.14%	0.05073	+16.35%	0.0245	✗	1.26	768k	2022-03-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.97	13.9488	-0.15%	16.42	+17.54%	0.0913	✗	0.70	1.9M	2022-03-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.36	1.3579	-0.15%	1.479	+8.75%	0.0679	✓	1.50	970k	2022-03-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.1023	-0.16%	1.174	+6.34%	0.0689	✓	1.29	2.8M	2022-03-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.89	81.7608	-0.16%	83.45	+1.90%	0.0692	✓	0.88	946k	2022-03-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.718	5.7083	-0.17%	5.6206	-1.70%	0.0569	✓	0.41	433k	2022-03-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.208	1.2059	-0.17%	1.545	+27.90%	0.1099	✗	1.35	1.8M	2022-03-03
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,347.30	38,278.14	-0.18%	42,464.41	+10.74%	0.0018	✓	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.77	108.57	-0.18%	116.89	+7.47%	0.0583	✓	1.30	64k	2022-03-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.42	4.4113	-0.20%	5.38	+21.72%	0.1202	✗	0.77	459k	2022-03-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	87.88	87.7069	-0.20%	96.75	+10.09%	0.0156	✓	1.12	1.5M	2022-03-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8411	5.8292	-0.20%	6.3922	+9.43%	0.0545	✓	1.44	172k	2022-03-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.22	34.1464	-0.21%	38.18	+11.57%	0.0411	✓	1.50	309k	2022-03-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.6953	0.69373	-0.23%	0.7596	+9.25%	0.0203	✓	1.09	9.7M	2022-03-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.64	0.638533	-0.23%	0.714	+11.56%	0.0061	✓	1.16	2.2M	2022-03-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.423	0.421935	-0.25%	0.448	+5.91%	0.0804	✓	1.38	4.7M	2022-03-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	300.94	300.1473	-0.26%	315.29	+4.77%	0.0527	✓	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06073	0.060561	-0.28%	0.06983	+14.98%	0.0182	✗	1.22	77k	2022-03-03
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.83	8.8039	-0.30%	9.55	+8.15%	0.0545	✓	1.33	11.0M	2022-03-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.021665	0.021595	-0.32%	0.020258	-6.49%	0.1690	✓	1.03	114k	2022-03-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.785	4.7682	-0.35%	9.598	+100.59%	0.6013	✗	0.96	1.9M	2022-03-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1304	0.129923	-0.37%	0.1559	+19.56%	0.0768	✗	1.03	446k	2022-03-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.079	0.078681	-0.40%	0.095	+20.25%	0.0311	✗	1.54	668k	2022-03-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.827	0.823551	-0.42%	0.852	+3.02%	0.1054	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0609	0.06064	-0.43%	0.0725	+19.05%	0.0712	✗	1.05	14k	2022-03-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.82	48.609	-0.43%	53.31	+9.20%	0.0442	✓	1.34	7.5M	2022-03-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5825	2.5713	-0.43%	2.6368	+2.11%	0.1070	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-03-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.793	5.7678	-0.44%	6.363	+9.84%	0.0355	✓	1.31	29k	2022-03-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	11.99	11.9377	-0.44%	13.32	+11.09%	0.0049	✗	1.03	369k	2022-03-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	76.41	76.0661	-0.45%	78.49	+2.72%	0.1218	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-03-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	125.3	124.726	-0.46%	129.96	+3.72%	0.1046	✓	1.43	6.5M	2022-03-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.235	6.2051	-0.48%	6.7949	+8.98%	0.0104	✗	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.558	3.5405	-0.49%	3.962	+11.35%	0.0226	✓	1.32	1.9M	2022-03-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01718	0.017095	-0.50%	0.01877	+9.25%	0.0196	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.42	18.3278	-0.50%	20.13	+9.28%	0.0364	✓	1.28	9.4M	2022-03-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.003	1.9928	-0.51%	2.212	+10.43%	0.0014	✓	1.04	20k	2022-03-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.19	2.1785	-0.53%	2.38	+8.68%	0.0142	✓	1.01	275k	2022-03-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.18	16.0937	-0.53%	18.03	+11.43%	0.0210	✓	1.32	27.9M	2022-03-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	147	146.1764	-0.56%	172.04	+17.03%	0.0617	✗	0.99	966k	2022-03-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02616	0.026013	-0.56%	0.02753	+5.24%	0.0228	✓	0.78	4.4M	2022-03-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66022	0.656473	-0.57%	0.7113	+7.74%	0.0723	✓	1.50	246k	2022-03-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.48	19.3662	-0.58%	19.77	+1.49%	0.1403	✓	1.58	334k	2022-03-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1177	2.1053	-0.59%	2.2899	+8.13%	0.0053	✓	0.88	27k	2022-03-03
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061098	0.060725	-0.61%	0.060032	-1.74%	0.0972	✓	0.84	286k	2022-03-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4805	0.477482	-0.63%	0.5501	+14.48%	0.0489	✗	0.91	643k	2022-03-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7738	1.762	-0.66%	1.868	+5.31%	0.0655	✓	1.21	206k	2022-03-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.89	5.8497	-0.68%	6.34	+7.64%	0.0572	✓	1.35	1.3M	2022-03-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08206	0.081493	-0.69%	0.09337	+13.78%	0.0233	✗	1.11	47k	2022-03-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7779	0.772504	-0.69%	0.7967	+2.42%	0.0930	✓	1.21	22.9M	2022-03-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8008	0.795112	-0.71%	0.865	+8.02%	0.0313	✗	0.52	1.5M	2022-03-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.509766	0.506143	-0.71%	0.534619	+4.88%	0.0661	✓	1.18	3.2M	2022-03-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.44	4.4081	-0.72%	5.51	+24.10%	0.1206	✗	1.01	696k	2022-03-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1579	1.1492	-0.75%	1.4091	+21.69%	0.0563	✗	1.45	2.6M	2022-03-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03323	0.032977	-0.76%	0.03435	+3.37%	0.0441	✓	0.83	1.6M	2022-03-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.241	2.2236	-0.78%	2.508	+11.91%	0.0336	✓	1.51	13.2M	2022-03-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.14	3.1149	-0.80%	3.3	+5.10%	0.0792	✓	1.34	7.1M	2022-03-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	63.0112	62.4985	-0.81%	66.5878	+5.68%	0.0877	✓	1.48	243k	2022-03-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.3	40.9393	-0.87%	44.86	+8.62%	0.0251	✓	1.14	26.3M	2022-03-03
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.1101	-0.88%	1.21	+8.04%	0.0462	✓	1.30	725k	2022-03-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1399	0.138664	-0.88%	0.146	+4.36%	0.0315	✓	0.81	345k	2022-03-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,425.17	19,251.81	-0.89%	21,698.86	+11.70%	0.0184	✗	0.99	5.7M	2022-03-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.74	0.733394	-0.89%	0.7864	+6.27%	0.0861	✓	1.53	317k	2022-03-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	16.6	16.4511	-0.90%	19.97	+20.30%	0.0764	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03686	0.036517	-0.93%	0.03967	+7.62%	0.0270	✓	1.08	31k	2022-03-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15132	0.14987	-0.96%	0.16147	+6.71%	0.0648	✓	1.37	29k	2022-03-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.045853	0.04536	-1.07%	0.046937	+2.36%	0.0906	✓	1.22	8.6M	2022-03-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01188	0.011752	-1.08%	0.01236	+4.04%	0.0273	✓	0.76	15k	2022-03-03
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8131	1.793	-1.11%	2.773	+52.94%	0.3672	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.941	3.897	-1.12%	3.808	-3.37%	0.1569	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-03
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3935	0.38908	-1.12%	0.4722	+20.00%	0.0155	✓	2.05	2.1M	2022-03-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.69	1.6709	-1.13%	1.92	+13.61%	0.0214	✓	1.57	539k	2022-03-03
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.68	2.6494	-1.14%	2.46	-8.21%	0.1761	✓	1.00	608k	2022-03-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	24.86	24.5734	-1.15%	34.01	+36.81%	0.2138	✗	1.09	52.8M	2022-03-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2371	0.234342	-1.16%	0.2824	+19.11%	0.0462	✗	1.38	469k	2022-03-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01147	0.011335	-1.17%	0.011953	+4.21%	0.0603	✓	1.11	37k	2022-03-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.747	2.7114	-1.30%	2.941	+7.06%	0.0134	✓	0.93	477k	2022-03-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.76	30.3445	-1.35%	30.05	-2.31%	0.1159	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,311.50	37,732.45	-1.51%	42,572.60	+11.12%	0.0230	✗	0.96	39k	2022-03-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.126	0.123937	-1.64%	0.118	-6.35%	0.1424	✓	0.91	53k	2022-03-03
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.998956	-2.06%	1.05	+2.94%	0.0472	✗	0.03	286k	2022-03-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4257	1.3943	-2.20%	1.6497	+15.71%	0.0253	✗	1.40	238k	2022-03-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.001	6.8339	-2.39%	7.315	+4.49%	0.0302	✗	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.187	1.1566	-2.56%	1.176	-0.93%	0.1103	✓	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0281	0.027375	-2.58%	0.0283	+0.71%	0.1177	✓	1.48	513k	2022-03-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.24	63.3941	-2.83%	90.56	+38.81%	0.2183	✗	1.36	4.5M	2022-03-03
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.02e-7	6.66e-7	-5.20%	6.88e-7	-2.03%	0.0691	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.