2022-02-20 · +7d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1941

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.49%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

68.0%

in alpha space · 69.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.75%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	9.0705	+1.35%	8.4	-6.15%	0.0537	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1375	2.1628	+1.18%	2.23	+4.33%	0.0473	✓	0.94	28k	2022-02-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.23	27.4408	+0.77%	27.37	+0.51%	0.0164	✓	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00962	0.009665	+0.47%	0.00923	-4.05%	0.0232	✗	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.783639	+0.47%	0.67	-14.10%	0.1219	✗	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.796	0.799326	+0.42%	0.812	+2.01%	0.0399	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-02-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0988	0.099178	+0.38%	0.1	+1.21%	0.0261	✓	1.01	38k	2022-02-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0729	0.073173	+0.37%	0.0675	-7.41%	0.0607	✗	1.13	194k	2022-02-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01078	0.010816	+0.33%	0.00965	-10.48%	0.0864	✗	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002547	0.00002555	+0.31%	0.00002342	-8.05%	0.0625	✗	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.240703	+0.29%	0.217	-9.58%	0.0871	✗	0.94	68k	2022-02-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.82	1.8253	+0.29%	1.412	-22.42%	0.2381	✗	1.06	3.2M	2022-02-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.2326	6.2501	+0.28%	5.8667	-5.87%	0.0374	✗	1.47	172k	2022-02-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2213	0.221835	+0.24%	0.1985	-10.30%	0.0840	✗	1.54	3.6M	2022-02-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.17	7.1855	+0.22%	6.06	-15.48%	0.1668	✗	0.20	1.4M	2022-02-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.98	13.003	+0.18%	12	-7.55%	0.0621	✗	1.03	448k	2022-02-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00912	0.009132	+0.13%	0.00867	-4.93%	0.0338	✗	1.03	504k	2022-02-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,622.47	2,625.84	+0.13%	2,618.01	-0.17%	0.0167	✓	1.12	581.4M	2022-02-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.7	0.700798	+0.11%	0.648	-7.43%	0.0596	✗	1.06	2.0M	2022-02-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02715	0.027178	+0.10%	0.02689	-0.96%	0.0045	✓	0.86	5.0M	2022-02-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.1	52.1268	+0.05%	47.98	-7.91%	0.0602	✗	1.29	8.7M	2022-02-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9319	0.932319	+0.04%	0.8569	-8.05%	0.0646	✗	1.12	97.3M	2022-02-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.44	1.4405	+0.03%	1.31	-9.03%	0.0732	✗	1.23	1.2M	2022-02-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.3	0.300053	+0.02%	0.28	-6.67%	0.0457	✗	1.33	2.2M	2022-02-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02116	0.021163	+0.01%	0.01609	-23.96%	0.2456	✗	1.61	10.9M	2022-02-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.87	302.9022	+0.01%	304.19	+0.44%	0.0215	✓	0.98	8.0M	2022-02-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194647	0.194561	-0.04%	0.181008	-7.01%	0.0539	✓	1.04	21.8M	2022-02-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.828	2.8267	-0.05%	2.358	-16.62%	0.1586	✓	1.28	579k	2022-02-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.70618	0.705591	-0.08%	0.66823	-5.37%	0.0280	✓	1.49	298k	2022-02-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.899078	-0.10%	1.179	+31.00%	0.2936	✗	1.28	878k	2022-02-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.454	1.4525	-0.10%	1.43	-1.65%	0.0046	✗	1.14	2.1M	2022-02-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.1324	-0.12%	5.65	-7.98%	0.0666	✓	0.87	430k	2022-02-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.6894	-0.14%	14.64	-0.48%	0.0092	✗	0.71	1.8M	2022-02-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03914	0.03908	-0.15%	0.03926	+0.31%	0.0240	✗	1.10	32k	2022-02-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08575	0.085604	-0.17%	0.08363	-2.47%	0.0042	✓	1.08	49k	2022-02-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.98512	0.983432	-0.17%	0.9359	-5.00%	0.0308	✓	1.06	180k	2022-02-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.6417	-0.18%	4.21	-9.46%	0.0785	✓	1.08	510k	2022-02-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,642.80	38,564.06	-0.20%	37,686.70	-2.47%	0.0060	✓	0.97	42k	2022-02-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007437	0.000074212	-0.21%	0.00007235	-2.72%	0.0054	✓	1.13	4.7M	2022-02-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2624	3.2545	-0.24%	3.1219	-4.31%	0.0190	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-02-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.6163	-0.25%	1.5293	-5.61%	0.0352	✓	1.14	75k	2022-02-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2401	0.239502	-0.25%	0.2326	-3.12%	0.0115	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5079	0.506635	-0.25%	0.4426	-12.86%	0.1100	✓	1.42	610k	2022-02-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,389.03	38,292.43	-0.25%	37,717.08	-1.75%	0.0025	✗	1.00	633.0M	2022-02-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.591	6.5738	-0.26%	5.854	-11.18%	0.1093	✓	0.38	35k	2022-02-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.063	1.0602	-0.26%	1.081	+1.69%	0.0415	✗	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0744	0.07419	-0.28%	0.0698	-6.18%	0.0371	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	107.71	107.4053	-0.28%	105.8	-1.77%	0.0027	✓	1.01	6.6M	2022-02-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0654	0.065195	-0.31%	0.0644	-1.53%	0.0066	✗	1.07	15k	2022-02-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.63	23.5546	-0.32%	23.96	+1.40%	0.0437	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2563	6.2361	-0.32%	6.3355	+1.27%	0.0308	✗	0.85	3.5M	2022-02-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9539	2.9444	-0.32%	2.859	-3.21%	0.0120	✓	0.98	2.5M	2022-02-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1176	1.1139	-0.34%	1.1719	+4.86%	0.0745	✗	1.34	2.5M	2022-02-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.75	34.6326	-0.34%	32.64	-6.07%	0.0317	✓	1.56	364k	2022-02-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9689	1.9622	-0.34%	1.7425	-11.50%	0.0967	✓	1.25	233k	2022-02-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	98.1	97.7626	-0.34%	88.3	-9.99%	0.0822	✓	1.11	1.5M	2022-02-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2525	0.251593	-0.36%	0.2684	+6.30%	0.0844	✗	1.12	518k	2022-02-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.36	9.3263	-0.36%	9.77	+4.38%	0.0698	✗	1.32	11.4M	2022-02-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06201	0.061779	-0.37%	0.058112	-6.29%	0.0464	✓	0.84	307k	2022-02-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3961	0.394526	-0.40%	0.3419	-13.68%	0.1179	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.067	2.0579	-0.44%	2.379	+15.09%	0.1634	✗	1.04	20k	2022-02-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.78	90.3766	-0.44%	85.7	-5.60%	0.0314	✓	1.23	171.7M	2022-02-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.69	110.1759	-0.46%	103.05	-6.90%	0.0455	✓	1.21	30.0M	2022-02-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7217	-0.48%	1.6	-7.51%	0.0498	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.46	84.0544	-0.48%	81.71	-3.26%	0.0126	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.211	4.1887	-0.53%	4.06	-3.59%	0.0164	✓	0.84	395k	2022-02-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00465	0.004625	-0.53%	0.00404	-13.12%	0.1010	✓	1.94	13.2M	2022-02-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.697	5.6667	-0.53%	5.036	-11.60%	0.0996	✓	1.04	327k	2022-02-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.7171	-0.54%	9.35	-4.30%	0.0267	✓	0.67	821k	2022-02-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.87	138.1	-0.55%	117.66	-15.27%	0.1394	✓	1.17	930k	2022-02-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570834	0.56764	-0.56%	0.521555	-8.63%	0.0646	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3917	0.389476	-0.57%	0.3363	-14.14%	0.1222	✓	1.39	8.7M	2022-02-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.39	76.931	-0.59%	75.09	-2.97%	0.0014	✓	1.45	106.7M	2022-02-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1343	0.133489	-0.60%	0.115	-14.37%	0.1261	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-02-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9158	0.910256	-0.61%	0.8849	-3.37%	0.0007	✓	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.798	2.7809	-0.61%	2.647	-5.40%	0.0351	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.6643	-0.63%	6.32	+10.88%	0.1244	✗	0.84	398k	2022-02-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	108.11	107.4292	-0.63%	102.66	-5.04%	0.0243	✓	1.19	7.6M	2022-02-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06754	0.067114	-0.63%	0.06333	-6.23%	0.0443	✓	0.78	84k	2022-02-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.6	14.5073	-0.63%	13.65	-6.51%	0.0397	✓	1.20	63.5M	2022-02-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.154	0.152921	-0.70%	0.141	-8.44%	0.0678	✓	0.76	350k	2022-02-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.532	1.5212	-0.71%	1.377	-10.12%	0.0745	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-02-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.962	18.82	-0.75%	19.035	+0.38%	0.0325	✗	1.20	9.8M	2022-02-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.136714	0.135682	-0.75%	0.123115	-9.95%	0.0795	✓	1.00	4.7M	2022-02-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.516	0.512099	-0.76%	0.4859	-5.83%	0.0292	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.5	2.4806	-0.77%	3.224	+28.96%	0.2845	✗	1.27	845k	2022-02-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.92	16.7883	-0.78%	17.5	+3.43%	0.0652	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-02-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.23	15.1098	-0.79%	13.22	-13.20%	0.1036	✓	1.70	3.0M	2022-02-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.091	0.090265	-0.81%	0.0773	-15.05%	0.1284	✓	1.51	807k	2022-02-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15607	0.154804	-0.81%	0.15123	-3.10%	0.0019	✓	1.43	30k	2022-02-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0531	0.052658	-0.83%	0.0605	+13.94%	0.1697	✗	1.75	64.3M	2022-02-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8455	0.838406	-0.84%	0.7983	-5.58%	0.0271	✓	1.24	24.6M	2022-02-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7859	0.779197	-0.85%	0.7097	-9.70%	0.0737	✓	1.12	9.9M	2022-02-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.55	136.3421	-0.88%	131.61	-4.32%	0.0099	✓	1.44	6.8M	2022-02-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2598	-0.88%	2.17	-4.82%	0.0225	✓	1.02	299k	2022-02-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0929	4.0566	-0.89%	3.8286	-6.46%	0.0369	✓	1.19	327k	2022-02-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1362	0.134961	-0.91%	0.1447	+6.24%	0.0878	✗	1.03	470k	2022-02-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012543	-0.92%	0.01158	-8.53%	0.0655	✓	0.82	15k	2022-02-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8239	0.816118	-0.94%	0.7266	-11.81%	0.0893	✓	1.52	417k	2022-02-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.01	4.9624	-0.95%	4.64	-7.39%	0.0534	✓	0.78	431k	2022-02-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019255	0.01907	-0.96%	0.01839	-4.49%	0.0160	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1863	0.184473	-0.98%	0.1674	-10.14%	0.0728	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0487	0.04822	-0.99%	0.04436	-8.91%	0.0590	✓	1.38	903k	2022-02-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.516	5.4607	-1.00%	4.682	-15.12%	0.1398	✓	0.80	65k	2022-02-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	49.33	48.8321	-1.01%	72.51	+46.99%	0.4198	✗	1.38	5.1M	2022-02-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.79	18.5998	-1.01%	19.91	+5.96%	0.0953	✗	1.54	350k	2022-02-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.38	4.3313	-1.11%	3.452	-21.19%	0.2049	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.02	2.9863	-1.12%	2.8883	-4.36%	0.0159	✓	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.49	1.4731	-1.13%	1.384	-7.11%	0.0406	✓	1.23	1.1M	2022-02-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6921	2.6614	-1.14%	2.5576	-5.00%	0.0179	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.48	2.4515	-1.15%	1.97	-20.56%	0.1977	✓	1.19	359k	2022-02-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.84	40.3686	-1.15%	41.51	+1.64%	0.0484	✗	1.16	27.9M	2022-02-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0176	1.993	-1.22%	1.897	-5.98%	0.0403	✓	0.51	2.8M	2022-02-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.82	19.577	-1.23%	20.38	+2.83%	0.0619	✗	1.23	10.5M	2022-02-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.735	5.6647	-1.23%	5.951	+3.77%	0.0561	✗	0.38	430k	2022-02-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.09	25.7643	-1.25%	26.8	+2.72%	0.0584	✗	1.07	57.6M	2022-02-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.87	151.9424	-1.25%	150.62	-2.11%	0.0090	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.63	3.5832	-1.29%	3.12	-14.05%	0.1141	✓	1.38	7.2M	2022-02-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.41	1.3917	-1.30%	1.197	-15.11%	0.1264	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-02-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	116.98	115.4221	-1.33%	108.08	-7.61%	0.0432	✓	1.27	66k	2022-02-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.36	5.2878	-1.35%	4.795	-10.54%	0.0803	✓	0.99	1.8M	2022-02-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.0647	-1.36%	3.002	-3.38%	0.0047	✓	0.91	492k	2022-02-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.471	0.464558	-1.37%	0.416	-11.68%	0.0860	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-02-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.93	27.5417	-1.39%	29.13	+4.30%	0.0731	✗	0.97	1.4M	2022-02-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.06	4.001	-1.45%	3.741	-7.86%	0.0455	✓	1.23	2.3M	2022-02-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.025474	0.025094	-1.49%	0.022401	-12.06%	0.0942	✓	1.09	89k	2022-02-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.3242	73.1967	-1.52%	61.5448	-17.19%	0.1467	✓	1.51	281k	2022-02-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5119	0.504057	-1.53%	0.5151	+0.63%	0.0378	✗	0.91	724k	2022-02-27
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000197	0.000001938	-1.63%	0.00000184	-6.60%	0.0341	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-02-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,667.46	20,324.96	-1.66%	19,385.43	-6.20%	0.0293	✓	1.02	6.0M	2022-02-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01318	0.012952	-1.73%	0.011286	-14.37%	0.1176	✓	1.14	81k	2022-02-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	18.7	18.371	-1.76%	17.24	-7.81%	0.0429	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-02-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.028	0.027496	-1.80%	0.0267	-4.64%	0.0035	✓	1.46	499k	2022-02-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051219	0.050286	-1.82%	0.046151	-9.89%	0.0630	✓	1.29	7.5M	2022-02-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3785	0.371367	-1.88%	0.3174	-16.14%	0.1275	✓	1.67	16.9M	2022-02-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.57	6.4444	-1.91%	5.93	-9.74%	0.0760	✓	0.41	1.4M	2022-02-27
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.57	2.5194	-1.97%	2.14	-16.73%	0.1456	✓	1.00	681k	2022-02-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4602	0.450562	-2.09%	0.4116	-10.56%	0.0561	✓	1.94	2.0M	2022-02-27
STX	Stacks	native	1.23	1.2032	-2.18%	1.12	-8.94%	0.0492	✓	1.28	817k	2022-02-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.124189	-2.21%	0.14	+10.24%	0.1392	✗	1.09	51k	2022-02-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.55	2.4911	-2.31%	2.185	-14.31%	0.1031	✓	1.59	14.5M	2022-02-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8141	1.7706	-2.40%	1.541	-15.05%	0.1122	✓	1.51	189k	2022-02-27
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.76	2.6899	-2.54%	2.41	-12.68%	0.0922	✓	1.00	696k	2022-02-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.95	0.924553	-2.68%	0.7935	-16.47%	0.1398	✓	0.74	1.5M	2022-02-27
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.039	1.9833	-2.73%	1.681	-17.56%	0.1477	✓	1.00	84k	2022-02-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.9064	-2.74%	1.81	-7.65%	0.0200	✓	1.81	690k	2022-02-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03634	0.035323	-2.80%	0.03182	-12.44%	0.0917	✓	0.72	1.9M	2022-02-27
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.910913	-3.09%	0.99	+5.32%	0.1009	✗	1.00	277k	2022-02-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.97	6.7107	-3.72%	6.6	-5.31%	0.0121	✓	0.26	2.0M	2022-02-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.05	6.6181	-6.13%	4.3	-39.01%	0.4154	✓	0.89	682k	2022-02-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.