2022-02-02 · +7d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1578

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+9.73%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

64.8%

in alpha space · 3.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.29%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.83	7.8713	+0.53%	10.06	+28.48%	0.0025	✓	1.31	2.7M	2022-02-09
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00607	0.006081	+0.19%	0.00744	+22.57%	0.2288	✗	2.33	22.6M	2022-02-09
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.76	13.7475	-0.09%	16.51	+19.99%	0.0012	✓	1.00	762k	2022-02-09
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8664	0.865559	-0.10%	1.0976	+26.69%	0.1015	✓	1.83	852k	2022-02-09
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.037204	0.03715	-0.14%	0.03747	+0.71%	0.2723	✓	1.52	149k	2022-02-09
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.638987	-0.16%	1.09	+70.31%	0.1881	✗	1.87	1.0M	2022-02-09
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.77	5.7584	-0.20%	7.06	+22.36%	0.0284	✗	0.95	835k	2022-02-09
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	278	277.3635	-0.23%	346.21	+24.54%	0.0298	✗	1.04	6.8M	2022-02-09
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.035872	0.035788	-0.24%	0.05819	+62.22%	0.2555	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-09
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.12	48.9884	-0.27%	67.62	+37.66%	0.1029	✗	1.19	8.0M	2022-02-09
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1064	2.1005	-0.28%	2.4	+13.94%	0.0922	✓	1.22	888k	2022-02-09
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4277	0.426314	-0.32%	0.5406	+26.40%	0.0264	✓	1.43	2.2M	2022-02-09
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.05	92.7463	-0.33%	114.95	+23.54%	0.0032	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-02-09
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.53	6.5056	-0.37%	7.48	+14.55%	0.0960	✗	0.24	1.1M	2022-02-09
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00952	0.009484	-0.38%	0.01509	+58.51%	0.2265	✗	1.29	1.9M	2022-02-09
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009743	-0.38%	0.01253	+28.12%	0.0073	✗	1.32	1.5M	2022-02-09
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02927	0.029158	-0.38%	0.0312	+6.59%	0.0933	✓	0.87	8.4M	2022-02-09
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002064	0.000020561	-0.38%	0.00003298	+59.79%	0.2136	✗	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-09
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.079082	-0.40%	0.0943	+18.77%	0.0495	✓	1.22	299k	2022-02-09
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1092	0.108729	-0.43%	0.1429	+30.86%	0.0274	✗	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-09
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2783	0.277094	-0.43%	0.3218	+15.63%	0.1524	✓	1.63	4.3M	2022-02-09
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.719	0.715803	-0.44%	0.827	+15.02%	0.0534	✓	1.07	1.7M	2022-02-09
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.883	0.878856	-0.47%	1.086	+22.99%	0.0426	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-09
XEM	NEM	native	0.1015	0.10097	-0.52%	0.1212	+19.41%	0.0027	✓	1.00	41k	2022-02-09
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.193151	0.192024	-0.58%	0.238854	+23.66%	0.0274	✗	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-09
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0599	0.059546	-0.59%	0.0867	+44.74%	0.1383	✗	1.29	554k	2022-02-09
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.025	5.9877	-0.62%	7.2042	+19.57%	0.0817	✓	1.44	174k	2022-02-09
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.582	2.5658	-0.63%	3.083	+19.40%	0.0928	✓	1.50	986k	2022-02-09
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.316	0.313906	-0.66%	0.406	+28.48%	0.0062	✓	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-09
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.18	2.1653	-0.67%	2.21	+1.38%	0.2453	✓	1.44	2.3M	2022-02-09
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058639	0.058233	-0.69%	0.069943	+19.28%	0.0132	✗	0.92	403k	2022-02-09
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1125	1.1047	-0.70%	1.3519	+21.51%	0.0157	✗	1.01	338k	2022-02-09
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2314	0.229742	-0.72%	0.2963	+28.05%	0.0389	✗	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-09
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0268	1.0193	-0.73%	1.1947	+16.35%	0.0539	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-09
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.35	97.6296	-0.73%	126.05	+28.16%	0.0097	✗	1.33	7.0M	2022-02-09
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.81012	0.803914	-0.77%	0.94117	+16.18%	0.1610	✓	1.72	419k	2022-02-09
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00983	0.009755	-0.77%	0.01205	+22.58%	0.0212	✗	1.03	565k	2022-02-09
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,923.39	36,638.51	-0.77%	44,416.35	+20.29%	0.0077	✓	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-09
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.55	26.3447	-0.77%	33.92	+27.76%	0.0547	✓	1.66	2.5M	2022-02-09
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6005	1.5877	-0.80%	1.9982	+24.85%	0.0283	✗	1.09	79k	2022-02-09
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.03	3.0058	-0.80%	3.347	+10.46%	0.0425	✓	0.81	262k	2022-02-09
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,883.40	37,576.12	-0.81%	44,492.60	+17.45%	0.0170	✓	1.01	51k	2022-02-09
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.22	5.1776	-0.81%	6.08	+16.48%	0.0339	✓	1.05	1000k	2022-02-09
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.29	26.0692	-0.84%	33.84	+28.72%	0.0620	✗	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-09
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.37	3.3416	-0.84%	4.17	+23.74%	0.0100	✓	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-09
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0423	1.0333	-0.86%	1.2907	+23.84%	0.0116	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-09
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.465	0.461	-0.86%	0.591	+27.10%	0.0319	✓	1.52	4.6M	2022-02-09
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4048	0.401305	-0.86%	0.4877	+20.48%	0.0535	✓	1.35	10.0M	2022-02-09
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8016	6.7421	-0.87%	7.0423	+3.54%	0.1309	✓	0.94	4.2M	2022-02-09
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.36	107.3998	-0.89%	140.21	+29.39%	0.0162	✗	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-09
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.53	10.4365	-0.89%	12.33	+17.09%	0.0825	✓	1.35	12.5M	2022-02-09
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1756	0.174017	-0.90%	0.1868	+6.38%	0.0557	✓	0.69	457k	2022-02-09
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.41	2.3881	-0.91%	2.83	+17.43%	0.0184	✓	1.02	667k	2022-02-09
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.01	17.8464	-0.91%	21.27	+18.10%	0.1633	✓	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-09
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0418	0.04142	-0.91%	0.041	-1.91%	0.2160	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-02-09
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5398	0.5347	-0.94%	0.6233	+15.47%	0.0903	✓	1.32	2.8M	2022-02-09
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0643	0.06369	-0.95%	0.0794	+23.48%	0.0177	✗	1.10	21k	2022-02-09
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.49	5.4374	-0.96%	6.66	+21.31%	0.0007	✓	1.10	2.1M	2022-02-09
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,682.66	2,656.81	-0.96%	3,246.22	+21.01%	0.0039	✓	1.11	575.5M	2022-02-09
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0126	0.012478	-0.97%	0.01324	+5.08%	0.1033	✓	0.88	13k	2022-02-09
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.754	5.6977	-0.98%	6.897	+19.86%	0.0341	✗	0.85	116k	2022-02-09
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.137104	0.135693	-1.03%	0.159048	+16.01%	0.0371	✓	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-09
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03913	0.038719	-1.05%	0.0468	+19.60%	0.0156	✓	1.11	29k	2022-02-09
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.79	15.6237	-1.05%	18.7	+18.43%	0.0462	✓	1.22	85.9M	2022-02-09
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.05	5.9858	-1.06%	7.18	+18.68%	0.0210	✗	0.87	529k	2022-02-09
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.5718	0.565704	-1.07%	0.706728	+23.60%	0.0005	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-02-09
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9235	0.913653	-1.07%	1.0371	+12.30%	0.0896	✓	1.17	34.5M	2022-02-09
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.37	0.366002	-1.08%	0.8202	+121.68%	0.4982	✗	1.67	1.9M	2022-02-09
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.46	2.433	-1.10%	2.94	+19.51%	0.0370	✓	1.22	566k	2022-02-09
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020246	0.020023	-1.10%	0.024233	+19.69%	0.0009	✓	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-09
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.776	17.5798	-1.10%	20.705	+16.48%	0.1150	✓	1.51	10.6M	2022-02-09
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.13	37.7088	-1.10%	47.83	+25.44%	0.0585	✓	1.60	626k	2022-02-09
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007582	0.000074968	-1.12%	0.00009721	+28.21%	0.0496	✗	1.14	5.7M	2022-02-09
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05325	0.052647	-1.13%	0.05941	+11.57%	0.1417	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-09
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.998	3.9516	-1.16%	4.801	+20.09%	0.0430	✗	0.82	351k	2022-02-09
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.279	1.2641	-1.17%	1.43	+11.81%	0.1072	✓	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-09
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.99	100.7666	-1.20%	114.04	+11.81%	0.1008	✓	1.22	187.6M	2022-02-09
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.9	1.8769	-1.21%	2.28	+20.00%	0.0847	✓	1.51	3.9M	2022-02-09
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1803	0.178102	-1.22%	0.2412	+33.78%	0.0571	✗	1.33	3.7M	2022-02-09
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0397	-1.23%	4.76	+16.38%	0.0940	✓	1.40	8.8M	2022-02-09
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.696	1.6749	-1.25%	2.16	+27.36%	0.0206	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-09
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90	88.8711	-1.25%	101.5	+12.78%	0.0411	✓	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-09
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8404	0.829828	-1.26%	1.0216	+21.56%	0.0039	✓	1.10	15.7M	2022-02-09
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6281	0.620125	-1.27%	0.7609	+21.14%	0.0809	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-09
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6307	4.5718	-1.27%	5.3633	+15.82%	0.0807	✓	1.30	365k	2022-02-09
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	67.87	67.0051	-1.27%	90.18	+32.87%	0.0438	✗	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-09
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.31	160.236	-1.28%	192.22	+18.43%	0.0364	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-02-09
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8666	0.855234	-1.31%	1.3852	+59.84%	0.2122	✗	1.46	103k	2022-02-09
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.02	5.9406	-1.32%	7.14	+18.60%	0.0370	✗	0.80	504k	2022-02-09
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.04	4.9728	-1.33%	6	+19.05%	0.0485	✗	0.75	404k	2022-02-09
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.57	23.2551	-1.34%	28.48	+20.83%	0.0550	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-09
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.36	9.2306	-1.38%	10.91	+16.56%	0.0276	✗	0.76	709k	2022-02-09
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07379	0.07276	-1.40%	0.08573	+16.18%	0.0279	✗	0.74	80k	2022-02-09
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.11	0.108459	-1.40%	0.1237	+12.45%	0.1454	✓	1.50	1.6M	2022-02-09
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.5972	72.5633	-1.40%	107.0699	+45.48%	0.1508	✗	1.29	383k	2022-02-09
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.09	13.8911	-1.41%	18.16	+28.89%	0.1388	✗	0.70	851k	2022-02-09
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.09	19.8033	-1.43%	25.8	+28.42%	0.0264	✓	1.57	438k	2022-02-09
XMR	Monero	Monero	145.08	143.0042	-1.43%	185.83	+28.09%	0.0770	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-09
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.87	1.8431	-1.44%	2.28	+21.93%	0.0285	✓	1.31	2.8M	2022-02-09
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.278	0.273997	-1.44%	0.3185	+14.57%	0.0602	✓	1.14	545k	2022-02-09
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1357	3.0905	-1.44%	3.8968	+24.27%	0.0285	✗	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-09
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08941	0.088098	-1.47%	0.10785	+20.62%	0.0115	✓	1.03	46k	2022-02-09
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9455	0.931233	-1.51%	1.1728	+24.04%	0.0515	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-02-09
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.564	7.4486	-1.53%	9.329	+23.33%	0.1777	✗	0.26	41k	2022-02-09
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3481	-1.53%	4.04	+18.82%	0.1450	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-09
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.33	25.9249	-1.54%	30.94	+17.51%	0.0399	✓	1.17	120.6M	2022-02-09
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	151.26	148.8886	-1.57%	188.2	+24.42%	0.0278	✓	1.42	12.2M	2022-02-09
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.883	5.7907	-1.57%	8.263	+40.46%	0.1661	✗	1.03	341k	2022-02-09
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	47.6	46.8476	-1.58%	57.56	+20.92%	0.1096	✓	1.71	8.8M	2022-02-09
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.537	2.4968	-1.59%	3.3415	+31.71%	0.1158	✗	0.95	3.1M	2022-02-09
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.25	0.245971	-1.61%	0.288	+15.20%	0.0162	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-09
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19118	0.188093	-1.61%	0.23058	+20.61%	0.0977	✓	1.63	25k	2022-02-09
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.76	18.4556	-1.62%	21.97	+17.11%	0.0835	✓	1.40	47.3M	2022-02-09
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1348	0.132603	-1.63%	0.1678	+24.48%	0.0516	✗	1.00	337k	2022-02-09
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.166	3.114	-1.64%	3.796	+19.90%	0.0375	✗	0.87	766k	2022-02-09
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.03	2.9801	-1.65%	2.81	-7.26%	0.3261	✓	1.45	2.2M	2022-02-09
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0352	2.9849	-1.66%	3.885	+28.00%	0.0737	✗	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-09
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.033427	-1.69%	0.0337	-0.88%	0.2613	✓	1.46	513k	2022-02-09
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6024	-1.70%	1.93	+18.40%	0.0539	✓	1.30	2.0M	2022-02-09
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8613	1.8283	-1.77%	1.9679	+5.73%	0.0570	✓	0.71	3.2M	2022-02-09
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.22	118.9468	-1.88%	144.23	+18.98%	0.0491	✓	1.31	59k	2022-02-09
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,029.36	22,595.42	-1.88%	26,293.98	+14.18%	0.0281	✓	0.97	14.8M	2022-02-09
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.9	42.0779	-1.92%	47.97	+11.82%	0.0964	✓	1.23	37.0M	2022-02-09
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.19	19.8006	-1.93%	24.32	+20.46%	0.0166	✓	1.20	11.3M	2022-02-09
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5361	0.525694	-1.94%	0.6017	+12.24%	0.0795	✓	1.16	1.7M	2022-02-09
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4666	0.457397	-1.97%	0.5665	+21.41%	0.1420	✓	1.93	46.2M	2022-02-09
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014783	0.01449	-1.98%	0.017007	+15.04%	0.0539	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-09
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	113.54	111.2672	-2.00%	150.18	+32.27%	0.1146	✗	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-09
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.3042	3.2372	-2.03%	3.8694	+17.11%	0.0172	✓	0.87	25k	2022-02-09
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.589	1.5542	-2.19%	1.832	+15.29%	0.0520	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-09
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1355	4.0353	-2.42%	6.8052	+64.56%	0.5214	✗	0.01	376k	2022-02-09
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.235	2.1766	-2.61%	2.609	+16.73%	0.0162	✓	1.07	22k	2022-02-09
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.54	7.3406	-2.64%	9.31	+23.47%	0.1826	✗	0.30	1.8M	2022-02-09
STX	Stacks	native	1.41	1.3709	-2.78%	1.72	+21.99%	0.0421	✗	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-09
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.0226	-2.81%	3.5	+12.54%	0.1255	✓	1.47	23.3M	2022-02-09
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.33	5.1705	-2.99%	5.84	+9.57%	0.1120	✓	1.27	3.0M	2022-02-09
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.59	20.9217	-3.10%	23.1	+6.99%	0.1263	✓	1.22	34.3M	2022-02-09
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0786	0.076005	-3.30%	0.086	+9.41%	0.3475	✓	2.55	25.7M	2022-02-09
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04359	0.042127	-3.36%	0.04699	+7.80%	0.0755	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-09
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7524	3.625	-3.40%	4.4429	+18.40%	0.0520	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-09
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.114784	-3.54%	0.128	+7.56%	0.0758	✓	1.00	125k	2022-02-09
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.081	4.8933	-3.69%	5.908	+16.28%	0.0037	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-09
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.12	2.0395	-3.80%	2.46	+16.04%	0.0027	✓	1.00	2.9M	2022-02-09
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.24	1.1916	-3.90%	1.351	+8.95%	0.0592	✓	1.00	2.9M	2022-02-09
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.2564	-7.62%	1.43	+5.15%	0.1412	✓	1.46	490k	2022-02-09

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.