2022-01-04 · +7d

gru_s7 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2920

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+9.44%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

84.1%

in alpha space · 94.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-6.68%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	15.7	14.7754	-5.89%	11.23	-28.47%	0.2757	✓	-0.02	3.9M	2022-01-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6206	0.586385	-5.51%	0.6261	+0.89%	0.1618	✗	1.39	650k	2022-01-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.92	3.753	-4.26%	3.57	-8.93%	0.0407	✓	1.31	10.7M	2022-01-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5925	1.5263	-4.16%	1.3102	-17.73%	0.0571	✓	1.38	5.2M	2022-01-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	33.82	32.4514	-4.05%	34.45	+1.86%	0.1556	✗	1.39	24.2M	2022-01-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02111	0.020259	-4.03%	0.01458	-30.93%	0.2598	✓	1.00	28.5M	2022-01-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8381	0.804502	-4.01%	0.6826	-18.55%	0.0457	✓	1.72	33.4M	2022-01-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		15.672	15.0556	-3.93%	11.203	-28.52%	0.3007	✓	-0.07	86k	2022-01-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	42.83	41.2936	-3.59%	36.84	-13.99%	0.0004	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-01-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.29	11.8547	-3.54%	9.67	-21.32%	0.1617	✓	0.61	1.2M	2022-01-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.08	5.8674	-3.50%	4.61	-24.18%	0.1471	✓	1.36	29.4M	2022-01-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.4484	1.4005	-3.31%	0.9389	-35.18%	0.3430	✓	0.82	4.4M	2022-01-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.89	3.7624	-3.28%	2.93	-24.68%	0.1809	✓	1.00	3.3M	2022-01-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0351	1.0024	-3.16%	0.8921	-13.82%	0.0474	✓	1.00	145k	2022-01-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0651	2.0028	-3.02%	1.4915	-27.78%	0.1650	✓	1.88	1.4M	2022-01-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.662	0.642099	-3.01%	0.516	-22.05%	0.1318	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-01-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7133	0.692045	-2.98%	0.5799	-18.70%	0.0856	✓	1.32	2.8M	2022-01-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1744	3.0811	-2.94%	2.9312	-7.66%	0.0155	✓	0.95	5.7M	2022-01-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01947	0.018921	-2.82%	0.01475	-24.24%	0.1611	✓	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	42.05	40.8651	-2.82%	38.71	-7.94%	0.0079	✓	0.90	43.4M	2022-01-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1192	0.115866	-2.80%	0.077	-35.40%	0.3395	✓	1.00	33.0M	2022-01-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	6.6	6.4219	-2.70%	5.08	-23.03%	0.1550	✓	1.15	3.3M	2022-01-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3025	0.294421	-2.67%	0.2641	-12.69%	0.0186	✓	1.30	4.6M	2022-01-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	84.56	82.3504	-2.61%	73.57	-13.00%	0.0436	✓	1.00	6.3M	2022-01-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	38.67	37.6601	-2.61%	26.75	-30.82%	0.2178	✓	1.80	5.4M	2022-01-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	64.42	62.7451	-2.60%	56.11	-12.90%	0.0078	✓	1.50	807k	2022-01-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.71	3.6141	-2.58%	3.45	-7.01%	0.0279	✗	1.08	626k	2022-01-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.03	8.7986	-2.56%	8.65	-4.21%	0.0602	✗	1.12	3.9M	2022-01-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20404	0.198828	-2.55%	0.17303	-15.20%	0.0310	✓	1.56	6,446	2022-01-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.27	10.9841	-2.54%	8.01	-28.93%	0.2578	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-01-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.35	40.3149	-2.50%	39.78	-3.80%	0.0592	✗	1.05	19.4M	2022-01-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.693	2.6264	-2.47%	2.311	-14.18%	0.0569	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-01-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.6714	1.6319	-2.36%	1.4467	-13.44%	0.0430	✓	1.12	30.0M	2022-01-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	103.3	100.9272	-2.30%	89.66	-13.20%	0.0409	✓	1.12	115.7M	2022-01-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08388	0.081985	-2.26%	0.07076	-15.64%	0.0630	✓	1.22	20.9M	2022-01-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	223.02	217.9863	-2.26%	188.96	-15.27%	0.0639	✓	1.14	211k	2022-01-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.4543	181.2815	-2.25%	165.565	-10.72%	0.0102	✓	1.16	574k	2022-01-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01547	0.015124	-2.24%	0.0135	-12.73%	0.0475	✓	0.96	783k	2022-01-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3398	2.2876	-2.23%	2.1025	-10.14%	0.0067	✓	1.12	100k	2022-01-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1943	0.189986	-2.22%	0.1471	-24.29%	0.1740	✓	1.18	2.1M	2022-01-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0623	0.060935	-2.19%	0.064925	+4.21%	0.1597	✗	1.39	7.4M	2022-01-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.36	9.1582	-2.16%	8.221	-12.17%	0.0657	✓	0.61	299k	2022-01-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3574	0.349718	-2.15%	0.3228	-9.68%	0.0110	✓	1.00	293k	2022-01-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11	0.107661	-2.13%	0.09134	-16.96%	0.1201	✓	0.64	55k	2022-01-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	5.039	4.9333	-2.10%	4.1752	-17.14%	0.0751	✓	1.33	4.9M	2022-01-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	36,282.47	35,537.08	-2.05%	32,768.96	-9.68%	0.0388	✓	0.61	17.3M	2022-01-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.42	3.35	-2.05%	2.8	-18.13%	0.0897	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-01-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033406	0.03273	-2.02%	0.029265	-12.40%	0.0410	✓	1.02	7.3M	2022-01-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.873	0.855659	-1.99%	0.747	-14.43%	0.0339	✓	1.47	8.1M	2022-01-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.046	21.615	-1.96%	19.378	-12.10%	0.0038	✓	1.63	13.6M	2022-01-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	296.29	290.5318	-1.94%	260.77	-11.99%	0.0313	✓	1.11	1.3M	2022-01-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.74	4.648	-1.94%	3.61	-23.84%	0.1836	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-01-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05513	0.054064	-1.93%	0.04765	-13.57%	0.0501	✓	1.10	15k	2022-01-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003245	0.000031823	-1.93%	0.00002762	-14.88%	0.0555	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-01-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.2788	1.2545	-1.90%	1.141	-10.78%	0.0294	✓	0.95	21.2M	2022-01-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01721	0.016884	-1.90%	0.01386	-19.47%	0.1149	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-01-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.15	3.0903	-1.90%	2.765	-12.22%	0.0522	✓	0.85	41k	2022-01-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.72	4.6306	-1.89%	3.8424	-18.59%	0.1391	✓	0.69	17k	2022-01-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.1	4.0228	-1.88%	3.54	-13.66%	0.0587	✓	1.00	967k	2022-01-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.39	3.3262	-1.88%	3.2	-5.60%	0.0303	✗	1.00	995k	2022-01-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4602	1.4332	-1.85%	1.2365	-15.32%	0.0814	✓	0.96	3.6M	2022-01-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3673	0.360503	-1.85%	0.3101	-15.57%	0.0625	✓	1.27	3.0M	2022-01-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.66	5.5585	-1.79%	5.14	-9.19%	0.0038	✓	1.19	2.1M	2022-01-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	35.83	35.1905	-1.78%	29.43	-17.86%	0.0731	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-01-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0695	0.068277	-1.76%	0.0574	-17.41%	0.0766	✓	1.40	1.6M	2022-01-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.51	11.3159	-1.69%	9.73	-15.46%	0.1625	✓	-0.17	2.2M	2022-01-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.2829	1.2613	-1.68%	1.0548	-17.79%	0.0569	✓	1.76	1.2M	2022-01-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3934	0.386797	-1.68%	0.3363	-14.51%	0.0372	✓	1.49	3.4M	2022-01-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	147.34	144.8993	-1.66%	141.38	-4.05%	0.0689	✗	1.35	10.1M	2022-01-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011292	0.000111084	-1.63%	0.00009356	-17.14%	0.1037	✓	0.98	7.2M	2022-01-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.64	1.6134	-1.62%	1.36	-17.07%	0.0517	✓	1.72	964k	2022-01-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01973	0.019414	-1.60%	0.01644	-16.68%	0.1214	✓	0.65	35k	2022-01-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6784	0.667587	-1.59%	0.5691	-16.11%	0.0706	✓	1.29	11.4M	2022-01-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7795	3.7194	-1.59%	3.7323	-1.25%	0.0042	✓	-0.11	364k	2022-01-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.9939	8.8528	-1.57%	7.521	-16.38%	0.0651	✓	1.42	268k	2022-01-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1995	0.196459	-1.52%	0.1605	-19.55%	0.1163	✓	1.24	4.8M	2022-01-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04929	0.048544	-1.51%	0.04184	-15.11%	0.0861	✓	0.90	8.2M	2022-01-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.363	3.3121	-1.51%	3.766	+11.98%	0.2386	✗	1.59	1.8M	2022-01-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	134.69	132.6589	-1.51%	141.85	+5.32%	0.1548	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0617	5.9703	-1.51%	5.328	-12.10%	0.0308	✓	1.20	553k	2022-01-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.239	8.1153	-1.50%	7.094	-13.90%	0.0472	✓	1.26	336k	2022-01-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1324	0.130451	-1.47%	0.1102	-16.77%	0.0945	✓	1.07	304k	2022-01-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.43	23.087	-1.46%	26.6	+13.53%	0.2331	✗	1.32	69.2M	2022-01-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.888431	0.875502	-1.46%	0.718632	-19.11%	0.1197	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-01-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	146.44	144.3278	-1.44%	131.67	-10.09%	0.0013	✓	1.35	36.7M	2022-01-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11972	0.11802	-1.42%	0.10496	-12.33%	0.0411	✓	1.10	26k	2022-01-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	251.96	248.4342	-1.40%	213.29	-15.35%	0.0739	✓	1.14	14.7M	2022-01-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.69	28.2907	-1.39%	25.55	-10.94%	0.0125	✓	1.29	71.0M	2022-01-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.223	1.2062	-1.38%	1.045	-14.55%	0.0783	✓	0.94	2.4M	2022-01-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0991	0.097742	-1.37%	0.0824	-16.85%	0.0765	✓	1.36	1.5M	2022-01-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.409	0.403403	-1.37%	0.361	-11.74%	0.0605	✓	0.73	39k	2022-01-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6945	0.684997	-1.37%	0.6511	-6.25%	0.0370	✗	1.27	5.2M	2022-01-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	222.22	219.1815	-1.37%	193.01	-13.14%	0.0574	✓	1.01	3.2M	2022-01-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.7918	1.7678	-1.34%	1.5924	-11.12%	0.0486	✓	0.81	668k	2022-01-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022317	0.022023	-1.32%	0.018697	-16.22%	0.0807	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-01-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.21	17.9727	-1.30%	15.98	-12.25%	0.0288	✓	1.28	14.1M	2022-01-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.673	4.6125	-1.30%	4.382	-6.23%	0.0014	✓	0.76	1.1M	2022-01-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.279308	0.275728	-1.28%	0.263177	-5.78%	0.0240	✗	1.02	24.9M	2022-01-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.15	1.1353	-1.27%	0.96	-16.52%	0.0986	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-01-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.07	7.9692	-1.25%	6.99	-13.38%	0.0403	✓	1.31	18.2M	2022-01-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1872	1.1724	-1.25%	1.025	-13.66%	0.0374	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-01-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.13	35.6946	-1.21%	28.89	-20.04%	0.1400	✓	1.03	22.7M	2022-01-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3427	1.3266	-1.20%	1.3709	+2.10%	0.1091	✗	1.10	922k	2022-01-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.646	1.6263	-1.20%	1.273	-22.66%	0.1559	✓	1.29	3.4M	2022-01-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4901	6.415	-1.16%	6.4129	-1.19%	0.0577	✗	0.84	3.9M	2022-01-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.7143	3.6719	-1.14%	3.0312	-18.39%	0.1185	✓	1.06	798k	2022-01-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.16	7.0786	-1.14%	6.78	-5.31%	0.0009	✓	0.64	801k	2022-01-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	179.48	177.4533	-1.13%	169.57	-5.52%	0.0207	✗	0.96	8.3M	2022-01-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.56	10.4414	-1.12%	10.19	-3.50%	0.0271	✗	0.74	1.2M	2022-01-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.678	1.6593	-1.12%	1.398	-16.69%	0.0773	✓	1.36	5.7M	2022-01-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.04	14.8729	-1.11%	14.78	-1.73%	0.0411	✗	0.69	1.1M	2022-01-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08927	0.088299	-1.09%	0.07976	-10.65%	0.0012	✓	1.45	2.9M	2022-01-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.5	8.4081	-1.08%	8.1	-4.71%	0.0154	✗	0.76	773k	2022-01-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.075989	0.075171	-1.08%	0.064934	-14.55%	0.0814	✓	0.94	556k	2022-01-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0856	0.084688	-1.07%	0.076	-11.21%	0.0342	✓	1.07	18k	2022-01-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.507	4.459	-1.06%	4.1768	-7.33%	0.0239	✗	1.29	4.7M	2022-01-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.27	30.9457	-1.04%	28.42	-9.11%	0.0383	✓	0.68	385k	2022-01-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2101	0.207939	-1.03%	0.2062	-1.86%	0.0326	✗	0.59	441k	2022-01-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.02	23.7768	-1.01%	20.39	-15.11%	0.0824	✓	1.03	1.2M	2022-01-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0903	3.059	-1.01%	3.1857	+3.09%	0.1232	✗	1.20	2.9M	2022-01-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1957	0.193745	-1.00%	0.1778	-9.15%	0.0232	✓	0.91	506k	2022-01-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,785.00	3,747.30	-1.00%	3,240.83	-14.38%	0.0736	✓	1.04	619.8M	2022-01-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		120.8	119.6422	-0.96%	110.22	-8.76%	0.0161	✓	0.95	3.2M	2022-01-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.11	33.7897	-0.94%	29.69	-12.96%	0.0574	✓	1.04	3.7M	2022-01-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3092	1.2976	-0.89%	1.1879	-9.27%	0.0126	✓	1.09	97.2M	2022-01-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	167.72	166.2446	-0.88%	140.27	-16.37%	0.0961	✓	1.07	211.5M	2022-01-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.168474	0.167048	-0.85%	0.153722	-8.76%	0.0070	✓	1.10	4.6M	2022-01-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.48	2.4591	-0.84%	2.15	-13.31%	0.0610	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-01-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.228	2.2093	-0.84%	1.86	-16.52%	0.0946	✓	1.12	2.5M	2022-01-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.107	5.0652	-0.82%	4.814	-5.74%	0.0092	✓	0.60	549k	2022-01-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	92.88	92.1308	-0.81%	72.75	-21.67%	0.1697	✓	0.96	6.3M	2022-01-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1252	0.124222	-0.78%	0.1145	-8.55%	0.0054	✓	1.10	115k	2022-01-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	45,814.61	45,485.54	-0.72%	42,753.44	-6.68%	0.0072	✓	1.00	727.0M	2022-01-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.92	15.8153	-0.66%	13.71	-13.88%	0.0634	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-01-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.76	8.703	-0.65%	8	-8.68%	0.0424	✓	0.60	828k	2022-01-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	427.38	424.8337	-0.60%	369.84	-13.46%	0.0686	✓	1.01	9.0M	2022-01-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.112	4.0883	-0.58%	3.818	-7.15%	0.0226	✓	0.66	483k	2022-01-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,006.00	45,756.84	-0.54%	42,770.20	-7.03%	0.0000	✓	0.98	10k	2022-01-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.