2023-08-06 · +30d
gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted
These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
rank IC
–
0 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
–
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
–
in alpha space · – on raw price
BTC over horizon
–
the unhedgeable market factor
Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)
| token | name | chain | anchor px | pred px ▾ | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d | vol 30d | target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GNO | Gnosis | Ethereum | 111.303 | 111.521 | +0.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 11 | 2023-09-05 |
| IQ | IQ | Ethereum | 0.0054 | 0.005383 | -0.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 4 | 2023-09-05 |
| CRO | Cronos | Ethereum | 0.05837 | 0.058126 | -0.42% | – | pending | – | – | 0.38 | 7,807 | 2023-09-05 |
| BONE | Bone ShibaSwap | Ethereum | 1.6705 | 1.6632 | -0.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 2,805 | 2023-09-05 |
| RONIN | RONIN | Solana | 0.68619 | 0.682154 | -0.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 | 10 | 2023-09-05 |
| QUICK | Quickswap | Ethereum | 0.045432 | 0.045148 | -0.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 | 520 | 2023-09-05 |
| NIM | Nimiq | native | 0.0008774 | 0.000871491 | -0.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 | 10k | 2023-09-05 |
| PHA | PHALA | Ethereum | 0.091 | 0.090307 | -0.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 4,303 | 2023-09-05 |
| ORDI | ORDI | Solana | 5.581 | 5.5347 | -0.83% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 | 239 | 2023-09-05 |
| ETHW | EthereumPoW | native | 1.6954 | 1.6805 | -0.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 229 | 2023-09-05 |
| IOTX | IoTeX | Ethereum | 0.017694 | 0.017527 | -0.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 150 | 2023-09-05 |
| TFUEL | Theta Fuel | native | 0.040726 | 0.040337 | -0.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.77 | 15 | 2023-09-05 |
| BRISE | Bitgert | Ethereum | 2.22e-7 | 2.20e-7 | -0.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 | 521k | 2023-09-05 |
| JOE | JOE | Arbitrum | 0.3138 | 0.310098 | -1.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.27 | 65 | 2023-09-05 |
| BTTC | BTTC | 4.70e-7 | 4.64e-7 | -1.24% | – | pending | – | – | 0.48 | 293k | 2023-09-05 | |
| DKA | dKargo | Ethereum | 0.03106 | 0.030662 | -1.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.65 | 11k | 2023-09-05 |
| BFC | Bifrost | Ethereum | 0.04314 | 0.042563 | -1.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.59 | 11k | 2023-09-05 |
| XCH | Chia | native | 30.411 | 29.9628 | -1.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 56 | 2023-09-05 |
| METRONOME | METRONOME | 1.2186 | 1.2 | -1.53% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 | 11k | 2023-09-05 | |
| KCS | KuCoin | native | 5.614 | 5.5263 | -1.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.69 | 541k | 2023-09-05 |
| CBK | Cobak | Ethereum | 0.62604 | 0.616157 | -1.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.62 | 12k | 2023-09-05 |
| STRAX | Xertra | native | 0.46632 | 0.458372 | -1.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 5 | 2023-09-05 |
| ONG | Ontology Gas | native | 0.2419 | 0.23771 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 18 | 2023-09-05 |
| DOGE | Dogecoin | Dogecoin | 0.074159 | 0.072819 | -1.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 | 4.5M | 2023-09-05 |
| IOST | IOST | Binance Smart Chain | 0.008606 | 0.008449 | -1.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.22 | 10 | 2023-09-05 |
| ASR | AS Roma Fan Token | Solana | 2.602 | 2.5512 | -1.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.75 | 612k | 2023-09-05 |
| XVS | Venus | Ethereum | 4.37 | 4.2842 | -1.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 | 972k | 2023-09-05 |
| LEO | LEO Token | Ethereum | 4.0118 | 3.9324 | -1.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.26 | 111k | 2023-09-05 |
| ATM | Atletico Madrid Fan Token | Solana | 2.763 | 2.7081 | -1.99% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 | 939k | 2023-09-05 |
| XMR | Monero | Monero | 159.48 | 156.2237 | -2.04% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 | 449k | 2023-09-05 |
| OG | OG Fan Token | Solana | 3.717 | 3.6405 | -2.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 | 1.4M | 2023-09-05 |
| ONT | Ontology | native | 0.19055 | 0.186624 | -2.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 54 | 2023-09-05 |
| MBL | MovieBloc | Ontology | 0.003394 | 0.003319 | -2.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.33 | 297 | 2023-09-05 |
| NANO | nanopay | Base | 0.668965 | 0.653887 | -2.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.51 | 20k | 2023-09-05 |
| CITY | Manchester City Fan Token | Solana | 3.36 | 3.2828 | -2.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 | 802k | 2023-09-05 |
| JUV | Juventus Fan Token | Solana | 2.377 | 2.3223 | -2.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 548k | 2023-09-05 |
| ZIL | Zilliqa | Binance Smart Chain | 0.020156 | 0.019689 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 135 | 2023-09-05 |
| DODO | DODO | Ethereum | 0.0987 | 0.096407 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.46 | 562k | 2023-09-05 |
| VRA | Verasity | Ethereum | 0.00468 | 0.004571 | -2.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.33 | 3,915 | 2023-09-05 |
| POR | Portugal National Team Fan Token | Solana | 0.9906 | 0.966872 | -2.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.44 | 14k | 2023-09-05 |
| GT | Gate | Ethereum | 4.1208 | 4.0208 | -2.43% | – | pending | – | – | 0.76 | 322k | 2023-09-05 |
| PROM | Prom | Ethereum | 4.38 | 4.2692 | -2.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 | 165k | 2023-09-05 |
| TLM | Alien Worlds | Ethereum | 0.01125 | 0.010952 | -2.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 | 542 | 2023-09-05 |
| TRX | TRON | Tron | 0.076815 | 0.074763 | -2.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.49 | 356k | 2023-09-05 |
| FIS | Stafi | Ethereum | 0.2622 | 0.25515 | -2.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 | 631 | 2023-09-05 |
| LUNC | Terra Luna Classic | native | 0.00007867 | 0.000076545 | -2.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 41k | 2023-09-05 |
| USTC | TerraClassicUSD | Terra | 0.015153 | 0.014741 | -2.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 | 4.1M | 2023-09-05 |
| BTT | BitTorrent | Ethereum | 4.70e-7 | 4.57e-7 | -2.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 | 6,599 | 2023-09-05 |
| REQ | Request | Ethereum | 0.07595 | 0.073838 | -2.78% | – | pending | – | – | 0.97 | 66 | 2023-09-05 |
| XNO | Nano | native | 0.66243 | 0.643721 | -2.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 13 | 2023-09-05 |
| LADYS | Milady Meme Coin | Ethereum | 2.65e-8 | 2.57e-8 | -2.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.48 | 3,797 | 2023-09-05 |
| XTZ | Tezos | Tezos | 0.8015 | 0.778409 | -2.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.03 | 67k | 2023-09-05 |
| NEO | NEO | Neo | 8.4799 | 8.2336 | -2.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 18 | 2023-09-05 |
| XYM | Symbol | native | 0.028161 | 0.027342 | -2.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.54 | 13k | 2023-09-05 |
| AGI | Delysium | Ethereum | 0.054421 | 0.052808 | -2.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.38 | 64k | 2023-09-05 |
| BCHSV | Bitcoin Cash SV | 35.412 | 34.3571 | -2.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 | 465k | 2023-09-05 | |
| CKB | Nervos Network | native | 0.00295 | 0.002861 | -3.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 701 | 2023-09-05 |
| THETA | Theta Network | native | 0.7224 | 0.700305 | -3.06% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 8 | 2023-09-05 |
| NUM | Numbers Protocol | Ethereum | 0.025724 | 0.024928 | -3.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.93 | 148 | 2023-09-05 |
| MTL | Metal DAO | Metal L2 | 1.368 | 1.3249 | -3.15% | – | pending | – | – | 0.75 | 3.7M | 2023-09-05 |
| UOS | Ultra | Ethereum | 0.18013 | 0.174432 | -3.16% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 | 84k | 2023-09-05 |
| NEXO | NEXO | Ethereum | 0.647 | 0.626531 | -3.16% | – | pending | – | – | 0.56 | 494k | 2023-09-05 |
| SHIB | Shiba Inu | Ethereum | 0.00000937 | 0.000009073 | -3.16% | – | pending | – | – | 0.91 | 380k | 2023-09-05 |
| XPR | XPR Network | Ethereum | 0.000895 | 0.000866576 | -3.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.51 | 271k | 2023-09-05 |
| ACM | AC Milan Fan Token | Solana | 2.227 | 2.1554 | -3.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 | 387k | 2023-09-05 |
| WAXP | WAX | Ethereum | 0.050292 | 0.048662 | -3.24% | – | pending | – | – | 0.72 | 186 | 2023-09-05 |
| CTK | Shentu | Osmosis | 0.56 | 0.541789 | -3.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 | 341k | 2023-09-05 |
| LUNA | Terra | Terra 2 | 0.00007894 | 0.000076372 | -3.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.10 | 96k | 2023-09-05 |
| DUSK | DUSK | Ethereum | 0.122 | 0.118009 | -3.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 | 1.1M | 2023-09-05 |
| QTUM | Qtum | Qtum | 2.5767 | 2.4923 | -3.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 | 8,373 | 2023-09-05 |
| GALA | GALA | Ethereum | 0.0235 | 0.02273 | -3.28% | – | pending | – | – | 1.50 | 482k | 2023-09-05 |
| CWEB | Coinweb | Ethereum | 0.017987 | 0.017396 | -3.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.34 | 54k | 2023-09-05 |
| LMWR | LimeWire | Ethereum | 0.0625 | 0.060405 | -3.35% | – | pending | – | – | 0.89 | 1,224 | 2023-09-05 |
| BAT | Basic Attention | Ethereum | 0.21026 | 0.203173 | -3.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 | 36k | 2023-09-05 |
| RVN | Ravencoin | native | 0.017635 | 0.01704 | -3.38% | – | pending | – | – | 2.00 | 92 | 2023-09-05 |
| XEM | NEM | native | 0.030051 | 0.029022 | -3.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.04 | 18k | 2023-09-05 |
| ELON | Dogelon Mars | Ethereum | 1.54e-7 | 1.48e-7 | -3.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 | 1,373 | 2023-09-05 |
| VSYS | V.SYSTEMS | native | 0.001052 | 0.001016 | -3.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 | 3,929 | 2023-09-05 |
| IDEX | IDEX | Ethereum | 0.0516 | 0.049823 | -3.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.32 | 1,057 | 2023-09-05 |
| STEEM | Steem | native | 0.1832 | 0.176848 | -3.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.60 | 405k | 2023-09-05 |
| BAR | FC Barcelona Fan Token | Solana | 2.753 | 2.6574 | -3.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.28 | 594k | 2023-09-05 |
| LRC | Loopring | Ethereum | 0.2166 | 0.208928 | -3.54% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 | 16k | 2023-09-05 |
| ORBS | Orbs | Ethereum | 0.02649 | 0.02555 | -3.55% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 | 4,100 | 2023-09-05 |
| WBTC | Wrapped Bitcoin | Ethereum | 29,139.30 | 28,100.54 | -3.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.96 | 4,494 | 2023-09-05 |
| COMP | Compound | Ethereum | 56.81 | 54.7828 | -3.57% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 | 14k | 2023-09-05 |
| RIF | Rootstock Infrastructure Framework | Ethereum | 0.0766 | 0.073864 | -3.57% | – | pending | – | – | 1.84 | 721k | 2023-09-05 |
| SANTOS | Santos FC Fan Token | Binance Smart Chain | 3.149 | 3.0349 | -3.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.97 | 848k | 2023-09-05 |
| MANA | Decentraland | Ethereum | 0.37312 | 0.359483 | -3.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 | 60k | 2023-09-05 |
| KSM | Kusama | Hydration | 21.95 | 21.1361 | -3.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 | 82k | 2023-09-05 |
| HOT | Holo | Ethereum | 0.001293 | 0.001245 | -3.71% | – | pending | – | – | 0.72 | 373 | 2023-09-05 |
| DEXE | DeXe | Ethereum | 2.226 | 2.1432 | -3.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.75 | 165k | 2023-09-05 |
| ADX | heyAura | Ethereum | 0.13865 | 0.133464 | -3.74% | – | pending | – | – | 0.80 | 466 | 2023-09-05 |
| TWT | Trust Wallet | Binance Smart Chain | 0.8922 | 0.858775 | -3.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 1.3M | 2023-09-05 |
| ID | SPACE ID | Ethereum | 0.25636 | 0.246721 | -3.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.79 | 4.9M | 2023-09-05 |
| PORTO | FC Porto | Binance Smart Chain | 2.192 | 2.1089 | -3.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.82 | 869k | 2023-09-05 |
| DGB | DigiByte | native | 0.007916 | 0.007615 | -3.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.79 | 328 | 2023-09-05 |
| GMX | GMX | Arbitrum | 52.99 | 50.9749 | -3.80% | – | pending | – | – | 1.29 | 31k | 2023-09-05 |
| BORA | BORA | Klay Token | 0.14206 | 0.136617 | -3.83% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 | 13k | 2023-09-05 |
| POLYX | Polymesh | native | 0.12984 | 0.124857 | -3.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 521 | 2023-09-05 |
| LAZIO | Lazio Fan Token | Binance Smart Chain | 2.211 | 2.1248 | -3.90% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 | 633k | 2023-09-05 |
| LQTY | Liquity | Ethereum | 1.0678 | 1.0259 | -3.92% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 | 383 | 2023-09-05 |
| FIDA | Bonfida | Solana | 0.213 | 0.204628 | -3.93% | – | pending | – | – | 1.15 | 2,075 | 2023-09-05 |
| SLP | Smooth Love Potion | Ethereum | 0.00159 | 0.001528 | -3.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.43 | 109 | 2023-09-05 |
| WBETH | Wrapped Beacon ETH | Ethereum | 1,847.95 | 1,774.41 | -3.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 28k | 2023-09-05 |
| ASTR | Astar | Ethereum | 0.05 | 0.047982 | -4.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.29 | 38k | 2023-09-05 |
| MOVR | Moonriver | Base | 4.8508 | 4.6547 | -4.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 | 11k | 2023-09-05 |
| RUNE | THORChain | THORChain | 0.943 | 0.903956 | -4.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 | 38k | 2023-09-05 |
| SC | Siacoin | native | 0.00361 | 0.00346 | -4.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 | 69k | 2023-09-05 |
| IOTA | IOTA | IOTA | 0.1691 | 0.161965 | -4.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 732k | 2023-09-05 |
| CERE | Cere Network | Ethereum | 0.003131 | 0.002997 | -4.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 | 37k | 2023-09-05 |
| STORJ | Storj | Ethereum | 0.29101 | 0.278195 | -4.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 19k | 2023-09-05 |
| OMG | OMG Network | Ethereum | 0.552375 | 0.52799 | -4.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.61 | 25k | 2023-09-05 |
| PEOPLE | ConstitutionDAO | Ethereum | 0.01283 | 0.012263 | -4.42% | – | pending | – | – | 1.51 | 779k | 2023-09-05 |
| CELR | Celer Network | Ethereum | 0.014292 | 0.013645 | -4.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.57 | 1,481 | 2023-09-05 |
| POKT | Pocket Network | Ethereum | 0.0287 | 0.027393 | -4.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 | 36k | 2023-09-05 |
| LSK | Lisk | Ethereum | 0.849425 | 0.810685 | -4.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.74 | 28k | 2023-09-05 |
| PSG | Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token | Solana | 3.74 | 3.5677 | -4.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.69 | 828k | 2023-09-05 |
| GLMR | Moonbeam | Base | 0.227 | 0.216293 | -4.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.04 | 17k | 2023-09-05 |
| POND | Marlin | Ethereum | 0.008448 | 0.008044 | -4.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.06 | 4,410 | 2023-09-05 |
| ENJ | Enjin Coin | Ethereum | 0.288 | 0.2741 | -4.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 | 21k | 2023-09-05 |
| WOO | WOO | Ethereum | 0.1774 | 0.168828 | -4.83% | – | pending | – | – | 1.78 | 9,757 | 2023-09-05 |
| XEC | eCash | native | 0.00002904 | 0.000027615 | -4.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 | 4.1M | 2023-09-05 |
| MED | Medibloc | Osmosis | 0.01206 | 0.011468 | -4.91% | – | pending | – | – | 0.57 | 12k | 2023-09-05 |
| GITCOIN | GITCOIN | 1.1717 | 1.1139 | -4.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.58 | 14k | 2023-09-05 | |
| HIVE | Hive | native | 0.3463 | 0.329163 | -4.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.89 | 428k | 2023-09-05 |
| MAV | Maverick Protocol | Ethereum | 0.3073 | 0.291363 | -5.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.03 | 6.0M | 2023-09-05 |
| TKO | Tokocrypto | Binance Smart Chain | 0.2384 | 0.226011 | -5.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.98 | 399k | 2023-09-05 |
| SUN | Sun Token | Tron | 0.005474 | 0.005188 | -5.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.65 | 8,070 | 2023-09-05 |
| ALPINE | Alpine F1 Team Fan Token | Binance Smart Chain | 2.016 | 1.9107 | -5.23% | – | pending | – | – | 0.77 | 835k | 2023-09-05 |
| FET | Artificial Superintelligence Alliance | Ethereum | 0.1966 | 0.185796 | -5.50% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 | 74k | 2023-09-05 |
| XVG | Verge | native | 0.004242 | 0.004002 | -5.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.70 | 8.1M | 2023-09-05 |
| MINA | Mina Protocol | native | 0.435 | 0.410221 | -5.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 | 50k | 2023-09-05 |
| EWT | Energy Web Token | Ethereum | 2.392 | 2.2547 | -5.74% | – | pending | – | – | 0.43 | 56k | 2023-09-05 |
| SYN | Synapse | Ethereum | 0.5678 | 0.535044 | -5.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 | 25k | 2023-09-05 |
| RDNT | Radiant Capital | Ethereum | 0.29179 | 0.274887 | -5.79% | – | pending | – | – | 1.72 | 451k | 2023-09-05 |
| BEL | Bella Protocol | Ethereum | 0.6535 | 0.615006 | -5.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 | 1.5M | 2023-09-05 |
| ANKR | Ankr Network | Ethereum | 0.02415 | 0.02272 | -5.92% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 | 17k | 2023-09-05 |
| NAKA | Nakamoto Games | Polygon | 0.49312 | 0.463815 | -5.94% | – | pending | – | – | 1.40 | 2.0M | 2023-09-05 |
| QKC | QuarkChain | Ethereum | 0.009661 | 0.009079 | -6.02% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 | 318k | 2023-09-05 |
| CELL | Cellframe | Ethereum | 0.2091 | 0.196407 | -6.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.35 | 32k | 2023-09-05 |
| OBI | Orbofi AI | Ethereum | 0.010141 | 0.009508 | -6.24% | – | pending | – | – | 0.98 | 3,736 | 2023-09-05 |
| CHR | Chromia | Ethereum | 0.1144 | 0.107245 | -6.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.62 | 524 | 2023-09-05 |
| DYDX | dYdX | Cosmos | 2.036 | 1.9071 | -6.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.38 | 63k | 2023-09-05 |
| GNS | Syli | 4.584 | 4.2845 | -6.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.16 | 615k | 2023-09-05 | |
| YGG | Yield Guild Games | Ethereum | 0.544 | 0.497094 | -8.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 | 6,795 | 2023-09-05 |
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add
&limit=2000 to widen.