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2022-09-08 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1707
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
89.0%
in alpha space · 7.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000516290.00049652-3.83%0.00043064-16.59%0.2147✓0.721.2M2022-09-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16240.157832-2.81%0.1389-14.47%0.2331✓1.0524k2022-09-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.30120.293911-2.42%0.2765-8.20%0.1576✓0.9683k2022-09-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.68227.575-1.40%7.5152-2.17%0.0445✓0.369.9M2022-09-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.62.5669-1.27%2.58-0.77%0.0719✓0.77262k2022-09-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7224.6638-1.23%4.674-1.02%0.0974✓0.99298k2022-09-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09260.091573-1.11%0.0939+1.40%0.0735✓0.9811k2022-09-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.48e-77.40e-7-1.04%7.32e-7-2.17%0.0957✓0.842.3M2022-09-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.3861-0.99%1.48+5.71%0.0311✓0.9681k2022-09-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.89376.8286-0.94%6.9482+0.79%0.0090✓0.268.4M2022-09-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.25442.2335-0.93%2.3273+3.23%0.0797✓1.2013k2022-09-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.136.7599-0.92%39.19+5.63%0.0922✓1.5511.8M2022-09-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32731.3156-0.88%1.3263-0.08%0.1147✓1.221.1M2022-09-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.41612.3091-0.86%12.387-0.23%0.0494✓0.5516.0M2022-09-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0381.0291-0.86%1.04+0.19%0.0313✓0.422.9M2022-09-09
FISStafiEthereum0.32520.322471-0.84%0.382+17.47%0.0723✗0.976202022-09-09
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105630.010478-0.81%0.011178+5.82%0.0358✓1.005382022-09-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7115.5836-0.80%15.48-1.46%0.1077✓1.011.7M2022-09-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11090.110012-0.80%0.1144+3.16%0.0487✓0.87169k2022-09-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.130.12896-0.80%0.1242-4.46%0.1171✓0.79203k2022-09-09
XTZTezosTezos1.58771.5753-0.78%1.6453+3.63%0.0693✓1.12247k2022-09-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.88313.7746-0.78%16.126+16.16%0.0435✗1.1414.8M2022-09-09
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176190.01749-0.73%0.018384+4.34%0.0506✓1.001512022-09-09
STEEMSteemnative0.22190.220316-0.71%0.2297+3.52%0.0532✓0.94503k2022-09-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4744.4424-0.71%4.4753+0.03%0.0556✓0.637.3M2022-09-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.272.254-0.70%2.35+3.52%0.0852✓1.26232k2022-09-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77211.7602-0.67%1.8421+3.95%0.0505✓0.951.2M2022-09-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.381180.378621-0.67%0.4161+9.16%0.0034✓0.97392k2022-09-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.05171.0447-0.66%1.0805+2.74%0.0524✓0.8637k2022-09-09
STXStacksnative0.36210.359715-0.66%0.3813+5.30%0.0590✓1.17365k2022-09-09
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4348.111-0.66%51.69+6.73%0.0567✓1.289,1802022-09-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0244250.024267-0.65%0.02424-0.76%0.0117✓0.11465k2022-09-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0933.0734-0.63%3.24+4.75%0.0031✓0.56720k2022-09-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14910.148173-0.62%0.1548+3.82%0.0674✓1.11469k2022-09-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5010.498028-0.59%0.561+11.98%0.0109✗1.0857k2022-09-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21350.212241-0.59%0.2217+3.84%0.0582✓1.0157k2022-09-09
QNTQuantEthereum101.92101.3223-0.59%103.35+1.40%0.0672✓0.873.4M2022-09-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14020.139391-0.58%0.1499+6.92%0.0288✓1.01128k2022-09-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1812-0.58%1.234+3.87%0.0520✓0.951.1M2022-09-09
FLOWFlownative1.9561.9448-0.57%2.111+7.92%0.0564✓1.381.1M2022-09-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.62125.9042-0.57%132.9+4.96%0.0642✓1.184.4M2022-09-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,266.669,215.49-0.55%10,439.05+12.65%0.0182✓1.424.5M2022-09-09
KSMKusamaHydration50.2649.9872-0.54%52.65+4.76%0.0487✓1.00409k2022-09-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.21291.2064-0.54%1.3501+11.31%0.0171✗0.951.3M2022-09-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4077.3677-0.53%7.744+4.55%0.0566✓1.0618.0M2022-09-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.294.2674-0.53%4.322+0.75%0.0221✓0.352.2M2022-09-09
PROPropyEthereum0.730.72621-0.52%0.73+0.00%0.0286✓0.3453k2022-09-09
HIVEHivenative0.55180.548941-0.52%0.5768+4.53%0.0319✓0.81867k2022-09-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.1870.186042-0.51%0.2053+9.79%0.0118✗0.863.1M2022-09-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47360.471213-0.50%0.4993+5.43%0.0577✓1.15384k2022-09-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8655.8355-0.50%6.379+8.76%0.0016✓0.876.2M2022-09-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035150.034974-0.50%0.03907+11.15%0.0092✗1.0159k2022-09-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3817.2931-0.50%18.09+4.09%0.0237✓0.68396k2022-09-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044380.044159-0.50%0.04619+4.08%0.0300✓0.7514k2022-09-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012230.00001217-0.49%0.00001292+5.64%0.0364✓0.96898k2022-09-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.376.3389-0.49%6.47+1.57%0.0294✓0.502.1M2022-09-09
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.44514.4237-0.48%4.5671+2.74%0.1858✓2.17129k2022-09-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30780.306341-0.47%0.3246+5.46%0.0335✓0.915.8M2022-09-09
BANDBandEthereum1.2731.267-0.47%1.38+8.41%0.0357✓1.21429k2022-09-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50670.504325-0.47%0.5324+5.07%0.0195✓0.73467k2022-09-09
XECeCashnative0.000042190.000041992-0.47%0.00004454+5.57%0.0257✓0.842.5M2022-09-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8513.7852-0.47%14.71+6.21%0.0463✓1.11925k2022-09-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8511.8424-0.47%1.936+4.59%0.0618✓1.1123k2022-09-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.929.8739-0.47%10.69+7.76%0.0491✓1.28281k2022-09-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27940.278103-0.46%0.2922+4.58%0.0481✓0.972.7M2022-09-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31490.313444-0.46%0.332+5.43%0.0561✓1.1387k2022-09-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10430.103818-0.46%0.1126+7.96%0.0277✓1.082.7M2022-09-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027280.002715-0.46%0.002899+6.27%0.0274✓0.921.2M2022-09-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.346.3108-0.46%6.39+0.79%0.0388✓0.512.2M2022-09-09
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1726-0.46%1.411+19.78%0.0203✗1.642.8M2022-09-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.046288-0.46%0.0475+2.15%0.0717✓0.97138k2022-09-09
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,491.781,485.02-0.45%1,597.30+7.07%0.0276✓1.003.5M2022-09-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3897.3555-0.45%7.759+5.01%0.0522✓1.0510.0M2022-09-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40450.402683-0.45%0.4155+2.72%0.0844✓1.15215k2022-09-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.39930.397507-0.45%0.4513+13.02%0.0098✗1.1775k2022-09-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.12791.1229-0.45%1.2042+6.76%0.0854✓1.554.5M2022-09-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.798512.7413-0.45%12.9714+1.35%0.0813✓0.9925k2022-09-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170340.169586-0.44%0.17882+4.98%0.0470✓1.00268k2022-09-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83170.828024-0.44%0.8564+2.97%0.1152✓1.4899k2022-09-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0490.048784-0.44%0.052+6.12%0.0279✓0.91204k2022-09-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1126.0853-0.44%6.12+0.13%0.0488✓0.543.9M2022-09-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.377.3379-0.44%7.92+7.46%0.0372✓1.13276k2022-09-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052980.303988-0.43%0.313944+2.83%0.0775✓1.09514k2022-09-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008860.008822-0.43%0.00972+9.71%0.0228✗0.743.5M2022-09-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013350.001329-0.43%0.001388+3.96%0.0369✓0.802.5M2022-09-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.414-0.42%1.43+0.70%0.0336✗-0.22124k2022-09-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.772840.769569-0.42%0.80804+4.55%0.0385✓0.87537k2022-09-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.096789-0.42%0.0985+1.34%0.0815✓0.99368k2022-09-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.007399-0.42%0.00784+5.52%0.0542✓1.12389k2022-09-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.6562.645-0.42%2.75+3.54%0.0500✓0.88671k2022-09-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066060.065786-0.41%0.06733+1.92%0.0722✓0.956022022-09-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81840.815016-0.41%0.881+7.65%0.0270✓1.041.0M2022-09-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.7439-0.41%8.88+1.14%0.0365✓0.522.2M2022-09-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.325.2981-0.41%5.39+1.32%0.0319✓0.492.0M2022-09-09
QTUMQtumQtum3.16923.1563-0.41%3.3109+4.47%0.0560✓1.0319k2022-09-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.261932-0.41%0.277+5.32%0.0207✓0.76581k2022-09-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038046-0.40%0.0391+2.36%0.0667✓0.9466k2022-09-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.020643-0.40%0.02179+5.13%0.0268✓0.8113k2022-09-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,635.731,629.20-0.40%1,719.21+5.10%0.0847✓1.38660.9M2022-09-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6783-0.40%1.685+0.00%0.0833✓0.8759k2022-09-09
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024802-0.39%0.0271+8.84%0.0273✗0.6147k2022-09-09
CBKCobakEthereum0.854290.850948-0.39%0.84654-0.91%0.1057✓1.0014k2022-09-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5250.52295-0.39%0.548+4.38%0.0703✓1.1774k2022-09-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.7631.7561-0.39%1.845+4.65%0.0446✓0.94578k2022-09-09
XVGVergenative0.003160.003148-0.39%0.00328+3.80%0.0612✓1.02483k2022-09-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060430.060196-0.39%0.06971+15.36%0.0366✗1.101.5M2022-09-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059050.005883-0.38%0.006215+5.24%0.0164✓0.712,0942022-09-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06180.061565-0.38%0.064+3.56%0.0890✓1.27617k2022-09-09
SCSiacoinnative0.003990.003975-0.38%0.00416+4.26%0.0529✓0.98123k2022-09-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001514-0.38%0.001624+6.84%0.0029✓0.677,1022022-09-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.155609-0.38%0.1641+5.06%0.0470✓1.001,2532022-09-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.91480.911349-0.38%0.9795+7.07%0.0502✓1.22908k2022-09-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.2753.073-0.37%55.512+4.21%0.0349✓0.79287k2022-09-09
NANOnanopayBase0.8753490.872175-0.36%0.927032+5.90%0.0224✓0.8352k2022-09-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0409740.040825-0.36%0.042569+3.89%0.0093✓0.5125k2022-09-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0564.0414-0.36%4.223+4.12%0.0062✓0.502.1M2022-09-09
APEApeCoinEthereum4.54.484-0.36%5.047+12.16%0.0157✓1.336.4M2022-09-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.544.5238-0.36%4.61+1.54%0.0393✓0.581.3M2022-09-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.067870.067629-0.35%0.07205+6.16%0.0582✗0.05389k2022-09-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.22680.225999-0.35%0.2292+1.06%0.0690✓0.8366k2022-09-09
METISMetisEthereum29.1329.0272-0.35%32.42+11.29%0.0730✓1.83186k2022-09-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020880.020808-0.34%0.02126+1.82%0.0580✓0.79241k2022-09-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.9957.7915-0.34%61.15+5.45%0.0454✓1.0113.1M2022-09-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29840.297386-0.34%0.3091+3.59%0.0712✓1.0997k2022-09-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.279690.278741-0.34%0.29001+3.69%0.0658✓1.0514k2022-09-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.451.4451-0.34%1.545+6.55%0.0511✓1.1745k2022-09-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024090.024009-0.34%0.026+7.93%0.0503✓1.292,9142022-09-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09930.098966-0.34%0.1034+4.13%0.0303✓0.742,7842022-09-09
ADACardanoCardano0.4790.477411-0.33%0.5022+4.84%0.0436✓0.9438.4M2022-09-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.9215-0.33%2.999+2.32%0.1271✓1.533.3M2022-09-09
XMRMoneroMonero152.39151.9037-0.32%161.29+5.84%0.0454✓1.051.3M2022-09-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34260.341507-0.32%0.3721+8.61%0.0212✓1.0671k2022-09-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157780.15728-0.32%0.17041+8.00%0.1231✓2.022952022-09-09
GTGateEthereum4.04594.0332-0.31%4.3137+6.62%0.0110✓0.78724k2022-09-09
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.77e-7-0.31%9.10e-7+3.41%0.0434✓0.801.8M2022-09-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.458-0.31%7.1+9.60%0.0098✗0.854.4M2022-09-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.87e-7-0.31%9.50e-7+6.74%0.0098✓0.7815k2022-09-09
DASHDashDash46.2846.1385-0.31%49.01+5.90%0.0402✓1.00338k2022-09-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96724.9521-0.30%4.9689+0.03%0.0064✓0.10115k2022-09-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6520.650027-0.30%0.685+5.06%0.0343✓0.86134k2022-09-09
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2988.0233-0.30%91.14+3.23%0.1202✓1.546.0M2022-09-09
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.4831-0.30%16.88+8.69%0.0266✓1.1287k2022-09-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.65330.651331-0.30%0.7844+20.07%0.0452✗1.40210k2022-09-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04830.048157-0.30%0.0518+7.25%0.0285✓1.01620k2022-09-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1310.130618-0.29%0.1374+4.89%0.0018✓0.523.2M2022-09-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129740.012936-0.29%0.013248+2.11%0.0441✓0.68929k2022-09-09
XEMNEMnative0.0443210.044193-0.29%0.046222+4.29%0.0396✓0.8429k2022-09-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037460.037353-0.28%0.03896+4.00%0.0402✓0.822,5652022-09-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061910.006174-0.28%0.006311+1.94%0.0234✓0.4538k2022-09-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8940.891481-0.28%0.962+7.61%0.0534✓1.291.5M2022-09-09
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.124549-0.28%0.1353+8.33%0.0236✓1.061.4M2022-09-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.529670.528244-0.27%0.55787+5.32%0.0779✓1.3241k2022-09-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02090.020844-0.27%0.02351+12.49%0.0412✗0.799.2M2022-09-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.330340.329463-0.27%0.35417+7.21%0.0278✓1.0035k2022-09-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070730.070543-0.26%0.07407+4.72%0.0699✓1.1825k2022-09-09
DIADIAEthereum0.379080.378092-0.26%0.39753+4.87%0.0483✓0.9832k2022-09-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1043550.104085-0.26%0.114404+9.63%0.0107✗0.836.5M2022-09-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1736.1571-0.26%6.51+5.46%0.0772✓1.326.9M2022-09-09
FTTFTXEthereum26.0525.9831-0.26%27.21+4.45%0.0518✓0.976.8M2022-09-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97410.97162-0.25%1.0469+7.47%0.0218✗0.532.8M2022-09-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1419.0914-0.25%20.4+6.58%0.0615✓1.2719.2M2022-09-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4151.4114-0.25%1.485+4.95%0.0666✓1.1771k2022-09-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.636398-0.25%0.659+3.29%0.0642✓0.99178k2022-09-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.2779.2541-0.25%9.611+3.60%0.0591✓0.961.2M2022-09-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0722.0669-0.25%2.192+5.79%0.0586✓1.1734k2022-09-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.326610.325829-0.24%0.33379+2.20%0.0582✓0.82327k2022-09-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20420.203714-0.24%0.2145+5.04%0.0802✓1.31139k2022-09-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6430.641475-0.24%0.691+7.47%0.0427✓1.163.9M2022-09-09
SOLSolanaSolana33.6233.5435-0.23%34.69+3.18%0.0805✓1.1461.7M2022-09-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.005670.005657-0.23%0.00584+3.00%0.0335✓0.65951k2022-09-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,295.1019,252.20-0.22%21,371.80+10.76%0.0105✗0.9412k2022-09-09
ZECZcashZcash61.1360.9946-0.22%66.01+7.98%0.0405✓1.191.2M2022-09-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4690.467983-0.22%0.497+5.97%0.0647✓1.244,4682022-09-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011670.011646-0.21%0.01236+5.91%0.0064✓0.66228k2022-09-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136630.136354-0.20%0.14129+3.41%0.0850✓1.20167k2022-09-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,321.8719,285.40-0.19%21,364.50+10.57%0.0019✗1.00480.9M2022-09-09
XVSVenusEthereum4.84.791-0.19%5.02+4.58%0.0384✓0.85943k2022-09-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05550.055399-0.18%0.0602+8.47%0.0093✓0.9280k2022-09-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0609780.06087-0.18%0.063921+4.83%0.0590✓1.071.3M2022-09-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.41726-0.18%0.444+6.22%0.0431✓1.057,7812022-09-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17670.176387-0.18%0.1851+4.75%0.0886✓1.361,5202022-09-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.05170.051609-0.18%0.0531+2.71%0.0806✓1.09234k2022-09-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03510.03504-0.17%0.0376+7.12%0.0032✓0.736,2432022-09-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05990.059803-0.16%0.0636+6.18%0.0221✓0.8382k2022-09-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8431.8401-0.16%2.01+9.06%0.0815✓1.6965k2022-09-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0014630.001461-0.15%0.001551+6.02%0.0187✓0.78397k2022-09-09
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19920.198953-0.12%0.2125+6.68%0.0680✓1.33111k2022-09-09
TRXTRONTron0.0611930.06113-0.10%0.063383+3.58%0.0257✓0.62123k2022-09-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8389-0.06%1.85+0.54%0.0418✓0.4868k2022-09-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13970.14009+0.28%0.1358-2.79%0.0356✗0.0490k2022-09-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.915.9807+0.51%17.28+8.68%0.0014✓0.791.6M2022-09-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.