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2022-09-04 · +1d

gru_s5 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1119
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.6%
in alpha space · 66.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9219.0427+0.65%18.31-3.22%0.0318✗0.711.7M2022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.180282-0.01%0.1628-9.71%0.1019✓0.0193k2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.056147-0.09%0.0559-0.53%0.0049✗0.8891k2022-09-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9779-0.11%1.97-0.51%0.0014✗0.5175k2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.036344-0.15%0.0367+0.82%0.0179✗0.788,1752022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.1732.116-0.17%32.18+0.03%0.0140✗1.1461.7M2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.9015-0.17%4.93+0.41%0.0148✗0.851.3M2022-09-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.204241-0.18%0.2046+0.00%0.0157✗1.32111k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.177859-0.19%0.1872+5.05%0.0657✗1.382,0092022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.063424-0.19%0.062937-0.96%0.0012✓0.62123k2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.203674-0.21%0.209+2.40%0.0400✗1.34140k2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7319,961.95-0.21%19,794.58-1.05%0.0021✗1.00480.9M2022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.063078-0.22%0.062695-0.83%0.0052✗1.071.3M2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.498837-0.23%0.487-2.60%0.0112✓1.223,8602022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9554-0.24%1.916-2.24%0.0025✓1.6974k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.9647-0.24%19.44+2.26%0.0383✗1.2820.1M2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.669386-0.24%0.662-1.34%0.0008✓0.98196k2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.2289-0.24%3.3484+3.45%0.0470✗1.0119k2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.298245-0.26%0.298688-0.11%0.0129✗1.08514k2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.231904-0.26%0.2337+0.52%0.0172✗0.9067k2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.006064-0.26%0.00599-1.48%0.0056✓0.63977k2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.013137-0.26%0.013125-0.36%0.0059✗0.65929k2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.426.3292-0.27%26.62+0.83%0.0212✗0.976.8M2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1629-0.27%1.17+0.34%0.0164✗0.971.3M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.151884-0.27%0.1562+2.56%0.0391✗1.051,4472022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.138141-0.27%0.13844-0.06%0.0149✗1.21183k2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.106033-0.27%0.10507-1.18%0.0004✓0.836.8M2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.975912-0.27%0.9784-0.02%0.0078✗0.503.1M2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006437-0.28%0.00635-1.63%0.0089✓0.4444k2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.044008-0.28%0.043718-0.94%0.0023✓0.8429k2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012823-0.29%0.01272-1.09%0.0012✓0.65220k2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.05753-0.29%0.0571-1.04%0.0024✓0.9497k2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.3949.3662-0.30%9.414+0.21%0.0153✗0.971.2M2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.385626-0.30%0.38052-1.62%0.0030✓0.9834k2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.036391-0.30%0.0367+0.55%0.0182✗0.9266k2022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,806.27-0.30%19,866.30+0.00%0.0129✗0.9413k2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.037627-0.30%0.03742-0.85%0.0031✗0.822,6312022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash63.863.608-0.30%63.41-0.61%0.0092✗1.161.3M2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.2402-0.30%5.0514-3.89%0.0356✓0.10115k2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.355924-0.30%0.3741+4.79%0.0632✗1.26194k2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.348089-0.30%0.34064-2.44%0.0112✓0.9940k2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.268178-0.31%0.271+0.74%0.0184✗0.75627k2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.526358-0.31%0.522-1.14%0.0030✓1.0768k2022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum30.1130.0152-0.31%30.53+1.39%0.0369✗1.88241k2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.89778-0.32%0.898557-0.23%0.0097✗0.8454k2022-09-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.02640.026316-0.32%0.0255-3.41%0.0250✓0.6147k2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.042049-0.32%0.041483-1.66%0.0082✓0.5125k2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.7234-0.32%1.69-2.26%0.0098✓0.93540k2022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.36780.366616-0.32%0.3681+0.08%0.0163✗1.16335k2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.670825-0.32%0.663-1.49%0.0026✓0.86199k2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1212.1141-0.32%2.117-0.19%0.0135✗1.1538k2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.77e-7-0.33%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0231✗0.811.7M2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.87e-7-0.33%8.90e-7+0.00%0.0117✗0.8015k2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.21214.1982-0.33%4.0071-4.87%0.0383✓0.78724k2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.4665-0.33%6.576+1.36%0.0306✗1.316.9M2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.095481-0.33%0.0939-1.98%0.0065✓0.97375k2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.044252-0.33%0.0446+0.45%0.0182✗0.98132k2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.288166-0.34%0.28593-1.11%0.0033✓1.0512k2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.23909-0.34%0.2373-1.08%0.0026✓0.9681k2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.056805-0.34%0.0558-2.11%0.0060✓1.12220k2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.020643-0.34%0.020653-0.29%0.0091✗0.8112k2022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.866057-0.34%0.85582-1.52%0.0013✓1.0113k2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.021495-0.35%0.02134-1.07%0.0008✓0.769.8M2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.684615-0.35%0.676-1.60%0.0001✓1.214.0M2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.210265-0.35%0.2097-0.62%0.0078✗1.0058k2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27353.0873-0.35%53.71+0.82%0.0197✗0.76302k2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001557-0.36%0.001564+0.06%0.0140✗0.93413k2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8588.533-0.36%91.3+2.76%0.0471✗1.555.2M2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.055-0.36%1.0444-1.36%0.0011✓0.8641k2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.130.129532-0.36%0.1279-1.62%0.0017✓1.041.5M2022-09-05
DASHDashDash47.5947.4185-0.36%47.59+0.00%0.0139✗0.98419k2022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.050417-0.36%0.0496-1.98%0.0058✓1.00739k2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36117.9302-0.36%125.75+6.24%0.0764✗1.154.2M2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero155.77155.2017-0.36%157.52+1.12%0.0258✗1.041.4M2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.467775-0.37%0.4722+0.58%0.0216✗1.15384k2022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.024928-0.37%0.02511+0.36%0.0208✗1.283,2982022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.073488-0.37%0.07261-1.56%0.0004✓1.1725k2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.224261-0.37%0.222-1.38%0.0003✓0.94468k2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.4923-0.38%1.465-2.20%0.0061✓1.1784k2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.7796-0.38%4.75-1.00%0.0080✗1.346.8M2022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.9695-0.38%3.005+0.81%0.0281✗1.533.6M2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum95.2994.9162-0.39%93.14-2.26%0.0099✓0.863.5M2022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004004-0.39%0.00402+0.00%0.0144✗0.99127k2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.54390.541751-0.40%0.5388-0.94%0.0033✓0.83953k2022-09-05
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,437.02-0.40%1,477.28+2.39%0.0382✗1.003.3M2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.051395-0.40%0.0508-1.55%0.0019✓0.92204k2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.311254-0.40%0.307-1.76%0.0015✓1.17111k2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.7087-0.40%7.53-2.71%0.0119✓1.09317k2022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.1187-0.41%1.1375+1.26%0.0261✗0.891.1M2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,572.59-0.41%1,618.01+2.47%0.0432✗1.39628.3M2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.003110.003097-0.41%0.00309-0.64%0.0084✗1.02486k2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008883-0.41%0.00891-0.11%0.0109✗0.744.7M2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.082457-0.41%0.0818-1.21%0.0020✓0.9410k2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.359273-0.41%0.35378-1.94%0.0070✓0.80332k2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.173275-0.42%0.173-0.57%0.0088✗0.98268k2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.13802-0.42%0.1447+4.40%0.0527✗0.513.4M2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5664-0.42%1.573+0.00%0.0167✗1.1856k2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.531743-0.42%0.533-0.19%0.0144✗1.1476k2022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.968487-0.42%0.9577-1.53%0.0016✓1.22841k2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9360.6689-0.43%60.36-0.94%0.0054✗0.9912.7M2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3757.3432-0.43%7.368-0.09%0.0144✗1.0510.0M2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.104049-0.43%0.104-0.48%0.0110✗1.082.8M2022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.06223-0.43%0.0625+0.00%0.0179✗1.28713k2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.143077-0.43%0.1448+0.77%0.0227✗1.0199k2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.066789-0.43%0.06802+1.40%0.0279✗0.917702022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.84163-0.43%0.8473+0.24%0.0177✗1.041.4M2022-09-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1689-0.44%1.199+2.13%0.0433✗1.693.0M2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.730.726789-0.44%0.72-1.37%0.0059✓0.3369k2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.154495-0.44%0.158+1.82%0.0439✗2.033442022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.551433-0.44%0.55546+0.28%0.0212✗1.3239k2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0876-0.44%1.1527+5.51%0.0743✗1.534.4M2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.7587-0.45%2.722-1.77%0.0040✓0.88682k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.00293-0.45%0.002935-0.27%0.0115✗0.921.1M2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001333-0.45%0.00133-0.65%0.0065✗0.802.4M2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.802851-0.46%0.7895-2.12%0.0075✓0.87519k2022-09-05
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.010816-0.46%0.010516-3.22%0.0176✓1.005602022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.314231-0.47%0.3145-0.38%0.0124✗1.0999k2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3917.3088-0.47%17.32-0.40%0.0079✗0.69503k2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.50192-0.47%0.5193+2.97%0.0422✗0.77496k2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.122318-0.47%0.1229+0.00%0.0158✗1.0525k2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1557.121-0.48%7.382+3.17%0.0471✗1.0517.4M2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.10241-0.48%0.1025-0.39%0.0086✗0.732,7842022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.6541-0.48%6.734+0.72%0.0208✗0.844.4M2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.8565-0.48%4.72-3.28%0.0228✓0.541.3M2022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146113.0824-0.48%12.9054-1.83%0.0032✓0.9932k2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.703664-0.49%0.6925-2.06%0.0013✓1.40210k2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative1.951.9405-0.49%1.919-1.59%0.0033✓1.361.3M2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.501034-0.49%0.4987-0.95%0.0051✗0.9339.1M2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.365597-0.49%0.355-3.38%0.0183✓1.0575k2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.064411-0.49%0.06402-1.10%0.0054✗1.081.9M2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4748.2303-0.49%48.36-0.23%0.0161✗1.279,0502022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.022149-0.50%0.02235+0.40%0.0177✗0.82459k2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.289335-0.50%0.2822-2.96%0.0149✓0.952.8M2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.044584-0.51%0.0442-1.36%0.0009✓0.7415k2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.7531-0.51%1.752-0.57%0.0090✗0.91108k2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.4865-0.51%10.8+2.47%0.0426✗1.24277k2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.421819-0.51%–pending––1.048,1172022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.311091-0.51%0.3046-2.59%0.0116✓0.905.8M2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1522-0.51%1.2398+7.05%0.0861✗1.21949k2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0451.0396-0.52%1.044-0.10%0.0176✗1.271.5M2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001512-0.52%0.001468-3.42%0.0224✓0.698,3412022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.343-0.52%1.37+1.48%0.0296✗0.9295k2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5479-0.52%1.546-0.65%0.0106✗1.12253k2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.3868-0.52%4.31-2.27%0.0127✓0.472.3M2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.6472-0.53%14.53+5.90%0.0736✗1.041.7M2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.007888-0.53%0.00785-1.01%0.0071✗1.13428k2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.3289-0.53%1.307-2.17%0.0041✓1.19449k2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4632.2854-0.54%39.67+22.21%0.2221✗1.539.5M2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.269.2095-0.55%9.21-0.54%0.0053✓0.502.0M2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.7681-0.55%5.7-1.72%0.0071✓0.452.3M2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.07771-0.55%0.07583-2.96%0.0240✓0.05397k2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.499,385.44-0.55%9,493.61+0.59%0.0263✗1.405.6M2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.6929-0.55%6.64-1.34%0.0030✓0.462.2M2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.843694-0.57%0.8257-2.69%0.0058✓1.49116k2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2656.2295-0.57%6.141-1.98%0.0053✓0.857.6M2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2968-0.57%2.31+0.00%0.0137✗0.76262k2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044320.000044063-0.58%0.00004372-1.35%0.0010✓0.841.8M2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration50.6150.3142-0.58%51.33+1.42%0.0304✗0.99459k2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.351752-0.58%0.35-1.08%0.0051✓0.95392k2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.6766-0.59%1.6684-1.07%0.0055✓0.981.1M2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.7697-0.59%6.72-1.32%0.0023✓0.482.1M2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.4738-0.59%14.28-1.92%0.0019✓1.101.0M2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005943-0.60%0.00602+0.68%0.0202✗0.702,1662022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.432248-0.61%0.4308-0.94%0.0088✗1.1591k2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.102662-0.62%0.104+0.68%0.0221✗0.86150k2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.6217-0.62%6.361-4.53%0.0355✓0.444.4M2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4807-0.62%1.45-2.68%0.0224✓-0.13128k2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.9647-0.62%12.633-3.17%0.0140✓1.1312.3M2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.8979-0.63%1.8663-2.28%0.0053✓1.0927k2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.2951-0.65%2.34+1.30%0.0316✗1.16217k2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.5669-0.66%4.501-2.09%0.0120✓0.242.4M2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase16.4516.3409-0.66%16.1-2.13%0.0031✓1.11107k2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.145218-0.67%0.1398-4.38%0.0268✓1.06409k2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.120478-0.68%0.1303+7.42%0.0858✗0.70208k2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012751-0.69%0.00001261-1.79%0.0010✓0.96861k2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.035583-0.74%0.03562-0.64%0.0117✗1.0151k2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.211782-0.76%0.2073-2.86%0.0125✓0.843.1M2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.025476-0.77%0.025549-0.49%0.0041✓0.12315k2022-09-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13625.0963-0.78%4.7997-6.55%0.0494✓1.00141k2022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.974297-0.78%1.056+7.54%0.0844✗0.372.9M2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.2978-0.81%2.3084-0.35%0.0166✗1.1313k2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0534.0187-0.85%4.075+0.54%0.0242✗0.97259k2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.6299-0.87%4.9518+6.02%0.0735✗0.604.7M2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53913.4014-1.02%13.008-3.92%0.0242✓0.5315.8M2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.9444-1.05%7.2089+2.72%0.0398✗0.236.5M2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0383.0055-1.07%2.972-2.17%0.0056✓0.53650k2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-79.11e-7-1.41%8.55e-7-7.51%0.0547✓0.861.7M2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44227.3317-1.49%7.3781-0.86%0.0100✓0.357.6M2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.000248937-1.90%0.00040493+59.57%0.4947✗0.78640k2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.