XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s4

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +1d

assessed

314

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

57.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0390

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.079176	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.077847	-0.48%	0.07959	+1.74%	0.0269	✗	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.076007	-0.43%	0.078225	+2.48%	0.0071	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.076416	-0.40%	0.076335	-0.50%	0.0022	✓	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.078361	-0.39%	0.07672	-2.47%	0.0335	✓	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.082354	-0.45%	0.078665	-4.91%	0.0435	✓	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.085158	-0.62%	0.08273	-3.45%	0.0168	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.07993	-0.41%	0.08569	+6.77%	0.0588	✗	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.082348	-0.38%	0.08026	-2.90%	0.0042	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.080175	-0.39%	0.08266	+2.70%	0.0041	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.087998	-0.46%	0.08049	-8.95%	0.0531	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.086858	-0.53%	0.088405	+1.24%	0.0038	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.084192	-0.50%	0.08732	+3.20%	0.0298	✗	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.08334	-0.48%	0.084615	+1.04%	0.0004	✓	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.087123	-0.54%	0.08374	-4.40%	0.0112	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.08937	-0.48%	0.087595	-2.46%	0.0204	✗	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.094235	-0.61%	0.0898	-5.28%	0.0445	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.09568	-0.66%	0.09481	-1.56%	0.0046	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.094944	-0.74%	0.096315	+0.69%	0.0181	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.092618	-0.75%	0.095655	+2.50%	0.0279	✗	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.095482	-0.70%	0.09332	-2.94%	0.0165	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.094276	-0.62%	0.09615	+1.36%	0.0049	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.095192	-0.60%	0.09486	-0.95%	0.0019	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.097709	-0.58%	0.095765	-2.56%	0.0236	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.105436	-0.62%	0.09828	-7.36%	0.0498	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.11073	-0.66%	0.10609	-4.82%	0.0437	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.113541	-0.95%	0.111465	-2.76%	0.0251	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.110001	-0.77%	0.11463	+3.41%	0.0473	✗	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.0899	-0.11%	0.11085	+23.17%	0.2093	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.096297	-0.08%	0.09	-6.61%	0.0327	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097874	-0.12%	0.096375	-1.65%	0.0082	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.089133	-0.11%	0.09799	+9.81%	0.0036	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.092046	-0.15%	0.089235	-3.20%	0.0297	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.093581	-0.25%	0.092185	-1.74%	0.0217	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.087132	-0.33%	0.093815	+7.32%	0.0132	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080857	-0.15%	0.08742	+7.96%	0.0740	✗	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081706	-0.21%	0.080975	-1.11%	0.0208	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083765	-0.18%	0.08188	-2.43%	0.0273	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077758	-0.05%	0.083915	+7.87%	0.0505	✗	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080056	-0.01%	0.077795	-2.83%	0.0200	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082529	+0.06%	0.08006	-2.93%	0.0314	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084108	+0.02%	0.08248	-1.91%	0.0323	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089293	+0.12%	0.08409	-5.71%	0.0276	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098284	-0.06%	0.089185	-9.31%	0.0938	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.092979	+0.04%	0.09834	+5.81%	0.0692	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089731	+0.17%	0.09294	+3.75%	0.0612	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093174	+0.06%	0.08958	-3.80%	0.0499	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093224	+0.03%	0.09312	-0.09%	0.0044	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.096299	-0.18%	0.0932	-3.39%	0.0001	✓	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083168	-0.13%	0.09647	+15.84%	0.0595	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082481	-0.19%	0.08328	+0.77%	0.0118	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.083743	-0.15%	0.08264	-1.47%	0.0108	✗	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.083903	-0.22%	0.08387	-0.26%	0.0183	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086623	-0.28%	0.08409	-3.20%	0.0189	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084369	-0.23%	0.08687	+2.73%	0.0217	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.089792	-0.46%	0.084565	-6.26%	0.0147	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.087465	-0.29%	0.09021	+2.84%	0.0078	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090145	-0.36%	0.08772	-3.04%	0.0364	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.09679	-0.60%	0.09047	-7.09%	0.0593	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.100701	-0.92%	0.09737	-4.20%	0.0566	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093068	-0.70%	0.10164	+8.45%	0.0757	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.100189	-1.39%	0.09372	-7.76%	0.0439	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.088477	-0.44%	0.1016	+14.32%	0.0450	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.080193	-0.27%	0.08887	+10.52%	0.0337	✗	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.075685	-0.27%	0.08041	+5.96%	0.0367	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.075897	-0.24%	0.07589	-0.25%	0.0046	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.074666	-0.21%	0.07608	+1.68%	0.0187	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.075669	-0.23%	0.074825	-1.34%	0.0070	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.076147	-0.28%	0.07584	-0.68%	0.0050	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.075148	-0.28%	0.07636	+1.33%	0.0265	✗	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.073735	-0.25%	0.075355	+1.94%	0.0214	✗	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.078235	-0.37%	0.07392	-5.86%	0.0539	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.07831	-0.47%	0.078525	-0.20%	0.0116	✗	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.076267	-0.45%	0.07868	+2.70%	0.0534	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.075781	-0.40%	0.07661	+0.69%	0.0123	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.07544	-0.42%	0.076085	+0.44%	0.0081	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.074775	-0.41%	0.075755	+0.90%	0.0016	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.074643	-0.44%	0.07508	+0.15%	0.0137	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.077487	-0.52%	0.07497	-3.76%	0.0458	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.077232	-0.45%	0.077895	+0.41%	0.0053	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.0757	-0.39%	0.07758	+2.08%	0.0253	✗	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.07491	-0.32%	0.076	+1.13%	0.0030	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.073373	-0.24%	0.07515	+2.18%	0.0254	✗	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077725	-0.42%	0.07355	-5.77%	0.0112	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.076879	-0.35%	0.07805	+1.17%	0.0035	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.08313	-0.50%	0.07715	-7.66%	0.0758	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.078531	-0.40%	0.08355	+5.96%	0.0585	✗	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.08488	-0.43%	0.07885	-7.51%	0.0376	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.082884	-0.44%	0.08525	+2.40%	0.0054	✗	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.084223	-0.50%	0.08325	-1.65%	0.0163	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080863	-0.35%	0.08465	+4.31%	0.0673	✗	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.08464	-0.31%	0.08115	-4.42%	0.0196	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.083435	-0.26%	0.0849	+1.49%	0.0267	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084719	-0.39%	0.08365	-1.65%	0.0408	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.08019	-0.26%	0.08505	+5.78%	0.0474	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082514	-0.23%	0.0804	-2.78%	0.0235	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.085025	-0.21%	0.0827	-2.93%	0.0475	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.086226	-0.20%	0.0852	-1.39%	0.0148	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.091762	-0.26%	0.0864	-6.09%	0.0405	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092885	-0.34%	0.092	-1.29%	0.0039	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.089196	-0.34%	0.0932	+4.13%	0.0146	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088598	-0.28%	0.0895	+0.73%	0.0429	✗	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090653	-0.27%	0.08885	-2.26%	0.0193	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.091628	-0.24%	0.0909	-1.03%	0.0005	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.095168	-0.24%	0.09185	-3.72%	0.0588	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090797	-0.11%	0.0954	+4.95%	0.0261	✗	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.098666	-0.14%	0.0909	-8.00%	0.0556	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.108914	-0.26%	0.0988	-9.52%	0.0814	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.106403	-0.23%	0.1092	+2.39%	0.0159	✗	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.106352	-0.23%	0.10665	+0.05%	0.0092	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.106408	-0.27%	0.1066	-0.09%	0.0120	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094995	-0.11%	0.1067	+12.20%	0.0912	✗	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.090768	-0.03%	0.0951	+4.74%	0.0094	✗	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.086644	+0.05%	0.0908	+4.85%	0.0127	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.104667	-0.22%	0.0866	-17.45%	0.1540	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.095702	-0.10%	0.1049	+9.50%	0.0772	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.100684	-0.16%	0.0958	-5.01%	0.0400	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.103416	-0.27%	0.10085	-2.75%	0.0237	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.104359	-0.52%	0.1037	-1.14%	0.0127	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.091844	-0.17%	0.1049	+14.02%	0.1618	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.088692	-0.12%	0.092	+3.60%	0.0753	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.084817	-0.04%	0.0888	+4.66%	0.0765	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.089075	-0.14%	0.08485	-4.88%	0.0655	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.09405	-0.27%	0.0892	-5.41%	0.0300	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.100238	-0.56%	0.0943	-6.45%	0.0788	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.097291	-0.52%	0.1008	+3.07%	0.0213	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.1103	-2.04%	0.0978	-13.14%	0.0855	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.090872	-0.47%	0.1126	+23.33%	0.2424	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.089656	-0.55%	0.0913	+1.28%	0.0341	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.089188	-0.46%	0.09015	+0.61%	0.0031	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.086544	-0.52%	0.0896	+2.99%	0.0018	✓	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.081938	-0.80%	0.087	+5.33%	0.0373	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.075166	-0.31%	0.0826	+9.55%	0.0949	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061388	+0.31%	0.0754	+23.20%	0.1555	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.066235	+0.20%	0.0612	-7.41%	0.0733	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.07004	+0.06%	0.0661	-5.57%	0.0254	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.069348	+0.07%	0.07	+1.01%	0.0151	✓	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.06569	+0.29%	0.0693	+5.80%	0.0031	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.067205	+0.31%	0.0655	-2.24%	0.0215	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.084232	-0.20%	0.067	-20.62%	0.1742	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.093272	-0.67%	0.0844	-10.12%	0.0950	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.085994	-0.24%	0.0939	+8.93%	0.1468	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.092471	-0.57%	0.0862	-7.31%	0.0202	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.088723	-0.42%	0.093	+4.38%	0.0906	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.090549	-0.50%	0.0891	-2.09%	0.0124	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.088292	-0.46%	0.091	+2.59%	0.0225	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.094771	-0.76%	0.0887	-7.12%	0.0633	✓	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.084812	-0.34%	0.0955	+12.22%	0.1347	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.087734	-0.42%	0.0851	-3.41%	0.0004	✓	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.085688	-0.42%	0.0881	+2.38%	0.0583	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.081042	-0.32%	0.08605	+5.84%	0.0542	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.083942	-0.43%	0.0813	-3.56%	0.0387	✓	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.081946	-0.31%	0.0843	+2.55%	0.0030	✓	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.089211	-0.55%	0.0822	-8.36%	0.0388	✓	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.086655	-0.63%	0.0897	+2.87%	0.0331	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.081334	-0.39%	0.0872	+6.80%	0.0553	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.083394	-0.42%	0.08165	-2.51%	0.0176	✓	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.083259	-0.41%	0.08375	+0.18%	0.0153	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.086306	-0.45%	0.0836	-3.58%	0.0178	✓	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.088583	-0.47%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0023	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.09587	-0.50%	0.089	-7.63%	0.0348	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.093652	-0.58%	0.09635	+2.28%	0.0067	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.095515	-0.56%	0.0942	-1.93%	0.0090	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.101908	-0.48%	0.09605	-6.20%	0.0365	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.106883	-0.44%	0.1024	-4.61%	0.0343	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.10565	-0.52%	0.10735	+1.08%	0.0121	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.109403	-0.72%	0.1062	-3.63%	0.0383	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.105845	-0.71%	0.1102	+3.38%	0.0370	✗	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.099468	-0.58%	0.1066	+6.55%	0.0918	✗	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.092029	-0.56%	0.10005	+8.10%	0.0754	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.087823	-0.65%	0.09255	+4.69%	0.0363	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.088999	-0.78%	0.0884	-1.45%	0.0272	✓	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.089879	-0.80%	0.0897	-0.99%	0.0000	✓	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.09036	-0.81%	0.0906	-0.55%	0.0045	✓	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.090413	-0.86%	0.0911	-0.11%	0.0251	✓	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.092209	-0.90%	0.0912	-1.99%	0.0206	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.095231	-0.90%	0.09305	-3.17%	0.0131	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.09755	-0.86%	0.0961	-2.34%	0.0035	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.099917	-0.78%	0.0984	-2.28%	0.0076	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.099285	-0.86%	0.1007	+0.55%	0.0038	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.099212	-0.84%	0.10015	+0.10%	0.0060	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.100297	-0.75%	0.10005	-0.99%	0.0121	✗	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.101002	-0.74%	0.10105	-0.69%	0.0008	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.101771	-0.81%	0.10175	-0.83%	0.0338	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.103739	-0.82%	0.1026	-1.91%	0.0200	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.102999	-0.82%	0.1046	+0.72%	0.0237	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.1086	-0.69%	0.10385	-5.03%	0.0082	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.126598	-0.63%	0.10935	-14.17%	0.1213	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.139437	-0.97%	0.1274	-9.52%	0.1273	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.130088	-0.73%	0.1408	+7.44%	0.0728	✗	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.132999	-0.75%	0.13105	-2.20%	0.0277	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.138689	-0.94%	0.134	-4.29%	0.0291	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.123358	-0.72%	0.14	+12.68%	0.0539	✗	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.135639	-0.78%	0.12425	-9.11%	0.0421	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.129352	-0.77%	0.1367	+4.87%	0.0536	✗	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.122349	-0.65%	0.13035	+5.85%	0.0402	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.123876	-0.66%	0.12315	-1.24%	0.0198	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.129268	-0.79%	0.1247	-4.30%	0.0199	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.119196	-0.75%	0.1303	+8.49%	0.0274	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.120719	-0.77%	0.1201	-1.27%	0.0020	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.116474	-0.75%	0.12165	+3.66%	0.0082	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.109513	-0.71%	0.11735	+6.39%	0.0622	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.116842	-1.90%	0.1103	-7.39%	0.0590	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.10515	-0.80%	0.1191	+12.36%	0.1506	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.092381	-0.51%	0.106	+14.16%	0.1399	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.088025	-0.37%	0.09285	+5.09%	0.0216	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.086155	-0.28%	0.08835	+2.26%	0.0082	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.088374	-0.31%	0.0864	-2.54%	0.0147	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.089006	-0.27%	0.08865	-0.67%	0.0033	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.093305	-0.37%	0.08925	-4.70%	0.0076	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.100074	-0.42%	0.09365	-6.82%	0.0139	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.097366	-0.34%	0.1005	+2.87%	0.0160	✗	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.096295	-0.26%	0.0977	+1.19%	0.0215	✗	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090923	-0.14%	0.09655	+6.04%	0.0032	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.092633	-0.07%	0.09105	-1.78%	0.0054	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.094281	+0.03%	0.0927	-1.64%	0.0160	✓	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.099037	+0.04%	0.09425	-4.80%	0.0616	✗	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.108483	+0.03%	0.099	-8.71%	0.0639	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.11857	+0.02%	0.10845	-8.52%	0.0354	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.123694	-0.09%	0.11855	-4.24%	0.0238	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.107558	+0.10%	0.1238	+15.22%	0.1013	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.110277	+0.02%	0.10745	-2.54%	0.0581	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.108358	+0.01%	0.11025	+1.75%	0.0115	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.10648	-0.02%	0.10835	+1.74%	0.0090	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099634	+0.03%	0.1065	+6.93%	0.0599	✓	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.099155	+0.01%	0.0996	+0.45%	0.0006	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.091094	+0.10%	0.09915	+8.96%	0.0530	✓	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.093133	+0.09%	0.091	-2.20%	0.0777	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094916	+0.12%	0.09305	-1.85%	0.0090	✓	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098852	+0.15%	0.0948	-3.95%	0.0234	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.118903	-0.04%	0.0987	-17.02%	0.1298	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.114257	+0.05%	0.11895	+4.16%	0.0765	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.115631	-0.06%	0.1142	-1.30%	0.1068	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.10476	+0.15%	0.1157	+10.61%	0.1104	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097798	+0.20%	0.1046	+7.17%	0.0021	✗	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.102054	+0.15%	0.0976	-4.22%	0.0171	✗	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.09195	+0.27%	0.1019	+11.12%	0.0778	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094853	+0.27%	0.0917	-3.07%	0.0029	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.103516	+0.11%	0.0946	-8.51%	0.0790	✗	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.087382	+0.32%	0.1034	+18.71%	0.0841	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.087311	+0.36%	0.0871	+0.11%	0.0099	✓	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089852	+0.34%	0.087	-2.85%	0.0330	✓	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.096973	+0.28%	0.08955	-7.39%	0.0725	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.095438	+0.30%	0.0967	+1.63%	0.0137	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093967	+0.34%	0.09515	+1.60%	0.0091	✗	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.092688	+0.37%	0.09365	+1.41%	0.0016	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.096924	+0.34%	0.09235	-4.40%	0.0259	✗	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.102469	+0.26%	0.0966	-5.48%	0.0298	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.096532	+0.34%	0.1022	+6.24%	0.0557	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.102444	+0.24%	0.0962	-5.87%	0.0425	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.097588	+0.30%	0.1022	+5.04%	0.0263	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.092202	+0.38%	0.0973	+5.93%	0.0004	✓	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.082094	+0.61%	0.09185	+12.56%	0.1297	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081533	+0.60%	0.0816	+0.68%	0.0386	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.084105	+0.54%	0.08105	-3.11%	0.0101	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.083088	+0.59%	0.08365	+1.27%	0.0104	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.084332	+0.63%	0.0826	-1.43%	0.0422	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.084302	+0.66%	0.0838	+0.06%	0.0208	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.07981	+1.15%	0.08375	+6.15%	0.1526	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095297	+0.47%	0.0789	-16.82%	0.1413	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.095533	+0.45%	0.09485	-0.26%	0.0752	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.104218	+0.26%	0.0951	-8.51%	0.0017	✓	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.101804	+0.50%	0.10395	+2.62%	0.0322	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106775	+0.45%	0.1013	-4.70%	0.0001	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.122594	-0.21%	0.1063	-13.47%	0.0185	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.125338	-0.29%	0.12285	-2.27%	0.0086	✓	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.143363	-1.13%	0.1257	-13.31%	0.0052	✓	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.136551	-1.34%	0.145	+4.77%	0.0588	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.124082	-0.62%	0.1384	+10.85%	0.0868	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.118329	-0.23%	0.12485	+5.27%	0.0097	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.128132	-0.75%	0.1186	-8.13%	0.0128	✓	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.123543	-0.69%	0.1291	+3.78%	0.0540	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.122069	-0.64%	0.1244	+1.26%	0.0186	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.125063	-0.74%	0.12285	-2.50%	0.0204	✓	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.120015	-0.48%	0.126	+4.48%	0.0221	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.132608	-0.89%	0.1206	-9.87%	0.0123	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.130342	-0.81%	0.1338	+1.83%	0.0532	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.13936	-0.74%	0.1314	-6.41%	0.0227	✓	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.143751	-0.66%	0.1404	-2.97%	0.0141	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.141922	-0.61%	0.1447	+1.33%	0.0214	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.160726	-0.66%	0.1428	-11.74%	0.0873	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.160537	-0.72%	0.1618	+0.06%	0.0285	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.152254	-0.68%	0.1617	+5.48%	0.0499	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.163309	-0.72%	0.1533	-6.81%	0.0719	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.159929	-0.66%	0.1645	+2.17%	0.0146	✗	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.168096	-0.65%	0.161	-4.85%	0.0393	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.164118	-0.59%	0.1692	+2.48%	0.0445	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.177653	-0.59%	0.1651	-7.61%	0.0664	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.207456	-0.83%	0.1787	-14.58%	0.0928	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.188621	-0.62%	0.2092	+10.22%	0.1070	✗	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.191386	-0.63%	0.1898	-1.45%	0.0706	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.197425	-0.69%	0.1926	-3.12%	0.0495	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.193839	-0.90%	0.1988	+1.64%	0.0074	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.170104	-0.52%	0.1956	+14.39%	0.1083	✗	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.160511	-0.43%	0.171	+6.08%	0.0492	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.16312	-0.42%	0.1612	-1.59%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.157569	-0.40%	0.1638	+3.54%	0.0241	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.154715	-0.44%	0.1582	+1.80%	0.0310	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.152451	-0.42%	0.1554	+1.50%	0.0184	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.139383	-0.26%	0.1531	+9.55%	0.0880	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.132927	-0.20%	0.13975	+4.92%	0.0486	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.132637	-0.27%	0.1332	+0.15%	0.0092	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.129638	-0.20%	0.133	+2.39%	0.0236	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.128095	-0.24%	0.1299	+1.17%	0.0268	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.128969	-0.26%	0.1284	-0.70%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.136411	-0.43%	0.1293	-5.62%	0.0571	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.130627	-0.44%	0.137	+4.42%	0.0450	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119321	+0.02%	0.1312	+9.97%	0.0646	✓	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.125154	-0.08%	0.1193	-4.75%	0.0392	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.133183	-0.20%	0.12525	-6.14%	0.0425	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.135095	-0.11%	0.13345	-1.33%	0.0287	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.151166	-0.25%	0.13525	-10.76%	0.0912	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.155718	-0.31%	0.15155	-2.98%	0.0038	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.148033	-0.25%	0.1562	+5.26%	0.0540	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.162844	-0.25%	0.1484	-9.10%	0.0681	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.