XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s4

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +7d

assessed

308

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1008

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0209

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.077163	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.075973	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.074247	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.074673	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.076587	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.080493	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.083292	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.07823	-2.53%	0.07959	-0.83%	0.0046	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.080778	-2.28%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0289	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.078522	-2.45%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0301	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.086165	-2.53%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0850	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.084885	-2.79%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0481	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.082232	-2.82%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0252	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.081319	-2.89%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0444	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.084837	-3.15%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0248	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.087257	-2.83%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0106	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.091788	-3.19%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0582	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.093188	-3.25%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0008	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.09212	-3.70%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0192	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.089868	-3.70%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0234	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.092991	-3.29%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0454	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.091718	-3.31%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0406	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.092557	-3.35%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0664	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.094962	-3.38%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0454	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.102591	-3.30%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.1041	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.107862	-3.23%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1267	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.110705	-3.42%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1793	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.107585	-2.95%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1219	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.088685	-1.46%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0846	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.095359	-1.05%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0535	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097147	-0.86%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0694	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.087936	-1.46%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1272	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.090814	-1.49%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1473	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.092288	-1.63%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1577	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.085899	-1.74%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.1036	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080055	-1.14%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0386	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.0808	-1.32%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0336	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083064	-1.01%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0133	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077315	-0.62%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0635	✗	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.079629	-0.54%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0741	✗	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082153	-0.40%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0657	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.083531	-0.66%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0491	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.088985	-0.22%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0545	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.097538	-0.82%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1164	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.092665	-0.30%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0804	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089919	+0.38%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0699	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093208	+0.09%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.0976	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093466	+0.28%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0729	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.096787	+0.33%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0412	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.08272	-0.67%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0529	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.081959	-0.82%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1580	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.083492	-0.45%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0964	✗	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.083431	-0.78%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0184	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086259	-0.70%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0466	✗	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084067	-0.59%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0686	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.089864	-0.38%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0530	✗	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.087463	-0.29%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0167	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090002	-0.52%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0645	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.096514	-0.88%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1328	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.099994	-1.62%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1720	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.092731	-1.06%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0869	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.099699	-1.87%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1559	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.087776	-1.23%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0987	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078886	-1.90%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0676	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.074112	-2.34%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0740	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.074284	-2.36%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0198	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.073183	-2.19%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0193	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.074059	-2.35%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0566	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.074449	-2.50%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0074	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.073393	-2.60%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0151	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.072023	-2.57%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0230	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.076253	-2.89%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0315	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.076281	-3.05%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0158	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.074289	-3.03%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0554	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.073871	-2.91%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0716	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.073599	-2.85%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0824	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.072977	-2.80%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0520	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.072861	-2.81%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0426	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.075553	-3.01%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0507	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.075318	-2.92%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0331	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.073907	-2.75%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0039	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.073259	-2.52%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0126	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071848	-2.31%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0044	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.075916	-2.73%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0006	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.075159	-2.58%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0185	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.081149	-2.87%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0455	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.07677	-2.64%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0157	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.083043	-2.59%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0483	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.081053	-2.64%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0416	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.082397	-2.66%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.0857	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079351	-2.22%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0092	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.083288	-1.90%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0286	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.082285	-1.63%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0737	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083346	-2.00%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0219	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.078961	-1.79%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0624	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.081288	-1.71%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0345	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.083791	-1.65%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0060	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.08501	-1.61%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0758	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.090393	-1.75%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0908	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.091455	-1.87%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1207	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087682	-2.03%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.0937	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.087172	-1.89%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.1014	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.089185	-1.89%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.0991	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.090164	-1.84%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0510	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.093573	-1.92%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.0944	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.089488	-1.55%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0334	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.097183	-1.64%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0815	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.107064	-1.96%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1376	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.104625	-1.90%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1672	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.10465	-1.83%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1574	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.1048	-1.78%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1708	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.093802	-1.37%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0237	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.089781	-1.12%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0430	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.085913	-0.79%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0290	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.103131	-1.69%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0222	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.094489	-1.37%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0363	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.099259	-1.58%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0067	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.101853	-1.78%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0055	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.102653	-2.14%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.1137	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.090698	-1.41%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0242	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.087653	-1.29%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0857	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.083952	-1.06%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3134	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.087984	-1.36%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1775	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.092702	-1.69%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1867	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.098431	-2.35%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1371	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.095635	-2.21%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1701	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.107579	-4.46%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0785	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.089547	-1.92%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0637	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.088369	-1.98%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0162	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.087874	-1.93%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0763	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.085262	-2.00%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1061	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.080816	-2.16%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2226	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.074423	-1.30%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.2908	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061377	+0.29%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5363	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.065989	-0.17%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2330	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069474	-0.75%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1874	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.068769	-0.77%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2084	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065614	+0.17%	0.087	+32.82%	0.2002	✓	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.067119	+0.18%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1502	✓	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.082862	-1.82%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0897	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.091257	-2.81%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3431	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.084312	-2.19%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1295	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.089969	-3.26%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0862	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.086218	-3.23%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0087	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.087912	-3.39%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0240	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.08584	-3.22%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0116	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.09209	-3.57%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1165	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.082665	-2.86%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3473	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.085484	-2.97%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.2008	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.08353	-2.93%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2389	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.079132	-2.67%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.1927	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.081897	-2.85%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1661	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.080032	-2.64%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1474	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.086941	-3.08%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1776	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.08445	-3.15%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0729	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.079386	-2.77%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1233	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.081322	-2.90%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0503	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.081168	-2.91%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0104	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.084053	-3.05%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0325	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.086175	-3.17%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0268	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.093353	-3.11%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0299	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.090803	-3.61%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0041	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.092609	-3.58%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0537	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.099121	-3.20%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0793	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.104213	-2.92%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1318	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.102752	-3.25%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1223	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.106355	-3.49%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1572	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.102812	-3.55%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0844	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.097027	-3.02%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0044	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.089701	-3.08%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0749	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.085391	-3.40%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1532	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.086194	-3.91%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1628	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.087068	-3.90%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1677	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.087425	-4.03%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.2005	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.087295	-4.28%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1378	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.089053	-4.30%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0214	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.091928	-4.34%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0723	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.094384	-4.08%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1084	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.097107	-3.57%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0773	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.096226	-3.92%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0784	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.096205	-3.84%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0683	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.097574	-3.44%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0321	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.098294	-3.40%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0106	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.098481	-4.02%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0239	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.100272	-4.14%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0463	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.099036	-4.64%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0746	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.104702	-4.25%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0800	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.122629	-3.74%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2101	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.134607	-4.40%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3459	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.125534	-4.21%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2740	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.12846	-4.13%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2671	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.134068	-4.24%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2758	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.118901	-4.30%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.1960	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.131212	-4.01%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2324	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.125272	-3.90%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0600	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.118433	-3.83%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.1090	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.119891	-3.86%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0170	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.125168	-3.94%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0248	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.11555	-3.79%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0811	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.117047	-3.78%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0241	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.113153	-3.58%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0731	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.106672	-3.29%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0803	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.113317	-4.86%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0156	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.102539	-3.27%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1340	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.090391	-2.65%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2894	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.086356	-2.26%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2848	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.084702	-1.96%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2967	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.086797	-2.09%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2806	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.08748	-1.98%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2187	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.091448	-2.35%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.3044	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.098015	-2.47%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1446	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.095622	-2.13%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0188	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.094815	-1.80%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0165	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.0898	-1.37%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0023	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.09158	-1.21%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0230	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.093435	-0.87%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0419	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098122	-0.89%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0225	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.107459	-0.91%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0681	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.117524	-0.87%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.1164	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.12256	-1.00%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1583	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.106882	-0.53%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0603	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.10935	-0.82%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1173	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.107442	-0.84%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1219	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.105527	-0.91%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0512	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.098856	-0.75%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0713	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098338	-0.82%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1068	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.090499	-0.55%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1840	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092483	-0.61%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0028	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094298	-0.53%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0708	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098275	-0.43%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0376	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.117637	-1.10%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0924	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.113361	-0.73%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0792	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.114611	-0.94%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1809	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.104257	-0.33%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1271	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097463	-0.14%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0510	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.101563	-0.33%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0755	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091855	+0.17%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0216	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094719	+0.13%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1541	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.103056	-0.33%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0029	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.087505	+0.47%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.1880	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.087509	+0.59%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.0890	✓	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089932	+0.43%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1218	✓	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.096826	+0.13%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0722	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.095353	+0.21%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0066	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.094007	+0.38%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0048	✗	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.09282	+0.51%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0743	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.096911	+0.32%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0325	✗	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.102211	+0.01%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0704	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.096539	+0.35%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0506	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.102172	-0.03%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0173	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.097574	+0.28%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0081	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.092627	+0.85%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0051	✓	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.083068	+1.80%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1188	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.082444	+1.72%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.1867	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.084816	+1.39%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2122	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.083944	+1.63%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1671	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.08539	+1.90%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1684	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.085387	+1.95%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1665	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.082993	+5.19%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0098	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095615	+0.81%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0286	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.095627	+0.55%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0530	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.103466	-0.47%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0532	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.101924	+0.62%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0004	✓	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106599	+0.28%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0572	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.120118	-2.22%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0619	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.122674	-2.41%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2709	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.138663	-4.37%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0920	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.132075	-4.57%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0571	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.120995	-3.09%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.1120	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.1165	-1.77%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1298	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.1247	-3.41%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1205	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.120446	-3.18%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1598	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.119159	-3.00%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1823	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.121938	-3.22%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1783	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.117624	-2.47%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1423	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.12869	-3.82%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0785	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.126441	-3.77%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.1197	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.135269	-3.65%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.1044	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.139723	-3.44%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0339	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.137923	-3.42%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0369	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.156418	-3.33%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0385	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.155838	-3.63%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0850	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.147655	-3.68%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1351	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.158228	-3.81%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2600	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.154868	-3.81%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2243	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.162716	-3.83%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2496	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.158715	-3.87%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2276	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.171903	-3.80%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2095	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.200977	-3.93%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2550	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.182912	-3.63%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1138	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.185637	-3.62%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1043	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.191643	-3.60%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1680	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.188306	-3.73%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1225	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.165751	-3.07%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0624	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.1567	-2.79%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0891	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.159188	-2.82%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2147	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.154098	-2.59%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1336	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.151358	-2.60%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.2006	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.149193	-2.55%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2558	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.136649	-2.22%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3286	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.130473	-2.05%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2527	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.130148	-2.14%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2152	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.127293	-2.01%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2411	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.125656	-2.14%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2468	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.126516	-2.15%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2143	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.133724	-2.39%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1412	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.128171	-2.31%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.0956	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.118096	-1.01%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1005	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.123494	-1.40%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0581	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.130856	-1.94%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.133035	-1.64%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0599	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.148326	-2.13%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1426	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.152543	-2.34%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.14493	-2.34%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0750	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.15941	-2.35%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2102	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.