XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s4

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +30d

assessed

285

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1819

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0481

actual -0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.073092	-8.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.072216	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.070299	-7.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.070724	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.072545	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.076588	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.079838	-6.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.074351	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.077863	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.074922	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.083235	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.081453	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.078587	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.077376	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.081034	-7.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.084405	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.088455	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.089899	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.087814	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.08567	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.089525	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.087734	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.088452	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.090667	-7.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.098484	-7.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.10396	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.107439	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.105212	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.087981	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.096078	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.098985	+1.02%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.1459	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.086682	-2.86%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.1356	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089712	-2.68%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1726	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.091158	-2.83%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1935	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.083352	-4.65%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1544	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.077716	-4.02%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0405	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.0784	-4.25%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0436	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.081493	-2.89%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0783	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.075363	-3.13%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0218	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.078113	-2.43%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0514	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.081291	-1.44%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0324	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.082579	-1.80%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0612	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089183	-0.00%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.1288	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.09747	-0.88%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.2157	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.093412	+0.51%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1475	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.091683	+2.35%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.1251	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.094946	+1.96%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.1205	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.096137	+3.15%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.1345	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.100906	+4.60%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.1230	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083575	+0.35%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0482	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082996	+0.43%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0181	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.085551	+2.00%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0038	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.085144	+1.25%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0021	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.088944	+2.39%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0041	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.08711	+3.01%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0762	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.095799	+6.20%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.0776	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.092714	+5.69%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1208	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.095254	+5.29%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0481	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.102648	+5.42%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2261	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.105749	+4.04%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2412	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.099049	+5.69%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1770	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.108327	+6.62%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.2435	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.090322	+1.63%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.1214	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.077716	-3.35%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0161	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.071641	-5.60%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0347	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.071637	-5.84%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1155	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.070685	-5.53%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1215	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.07122	-6.09%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1489	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.071411	-6.48%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.2040	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.070187	-6.86%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1578	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.068824	-6.89%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1142	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.072539	-7.62%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1298	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.072492	-7.87%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.0951	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.070623	-7.81%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0401	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.070225	-7.70%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0225	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.070102	-7.46%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0791	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.069371	-7.60%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0326	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.069316	-7.54%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0214	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.071663	-8.00%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0567	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.07111	-8.34%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1403	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.069773	-8.19%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1323	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.069033	-8.14%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1424	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.067655	-8.01%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1006	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.07226	-7.42%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.0966	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.071345	-7.52%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1161	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.07727	-7.52%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1766	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.07295	-7.48%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1270	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.08	-6.16%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1366	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.077678	-6.69%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0646	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.079162	-6.48%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0221	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.076934	-5.20%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0458	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.081776	-3.68%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0249	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.081461	-2.62%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0459	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.081844	-3.77%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.1041	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.077326	-3.82%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0187	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.079882	-3.41%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0420	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.082289	-3.42%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0716	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.083664	-3.17%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0807	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.089102	-3.15%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.1177	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.090249	-3.17%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1474	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.085471	-4.50%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1701	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.085502	-3.77%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0805	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.087534	-3.70%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.1099	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.088603	-3.54%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1625	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.091635	-3.95%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.2281	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.087926	-3.27%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.2143	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.095606	-3.23%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2643	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.105045	-3.80%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3514	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.102631	-3.77%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2870	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.102805	-3.56%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2907	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.103271	-3.21%	0.076	-28.77%	0.3305	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.092739	-2.48%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.2412	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.088778	-2.23%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2575	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.085102	-1.73%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.2280	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.101309	-3.42%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.3497	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.092954	-2.97%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1966	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.09743	-3.39%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2883	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.099877	-3.69%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2661	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.100587	-4.11%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2831	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.089535	-2.68%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.1237	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.086839	-2.21%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.1220	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.083545	-1.54%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0327	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.087114	-2.34%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.1168	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.091493	-2.98%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0957	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.096448	-4.32%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.2104	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.093929	-3.96%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1723	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.105472	-6.33%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.2013	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.088834	-2.70%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0166	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.087867	-2.53%	0.092	+2.05%	0.0839	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.086979	-2.93%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.0867	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.084391	-3.00%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1160	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.080645	-2.37%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.0917	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.074344	-1.40%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.1957	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061289	+0.15%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3414	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.065484	-0.93%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3409	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.068546	-2.08%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3016	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.067597	-2.46%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.3790	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.064572	-1.42%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4531	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066122	-1.31%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4197	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.080169	-5.01%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.2989	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.087543	-6.77%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2307	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.080959	-6.08%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.2796	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.085241	-8.34%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.2955	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.081451	-8.58%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3806	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.082852	-8.95%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5222	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.0811	-8.57%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4624	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.087026	-8.87%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4412	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.078519	-7.73%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.5942	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.081247	-7.78%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6125	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.07952	-7.59%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5347	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.075418	-7.23%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5008	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.077964	-7.52%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3720	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.076078	-7.45%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4407	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.082626	-7.89%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4275	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.080205	-8.02%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5405	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.075249	-7.84%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5727	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.077011	-8.05%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6566	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.076849	-8.08%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4325	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.079645	-8.14%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3816	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.081672	-8.23%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3851	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.08918	-7.44%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3354	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.085667	-9.06%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3115	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.087647	-8.75%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2099	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.094731	-7.49%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0148	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.100241	-6.62%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0071	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.098099	-7.63%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0268	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.101549	-7.85%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0336	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.097904	-8.16%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0021	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.093501	-6.55%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0332	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.086106	-6.96%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2768	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.081328	-8.00%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.4141	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.081085	-9.60%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2666	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.0821	-9.38%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2476	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.082105	-9.87%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1589	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.081264	-10.90%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1574	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.083078	-10.72%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.1075	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.085992	-10.52%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1555	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.089081	-9.47%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0087	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.092901	-7.74%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0027	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.091314	-8.82%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0523	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.091502	-8.54%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1095	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.093761	-7.21%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0772	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.094619	-7.01%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0908	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.093219	-9.14%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0603	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.094733	-9.43%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1124	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.09229	-11.13%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.1786	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.098576	-9.85%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.1855	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.116653	-8.44%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3388	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.126933	-9.85%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4371	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.118205	-9.80%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3634	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.121071	-9.65%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3590	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.126716	-9.49%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.3887	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.111223	-10.48%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3308	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.123923	-9.35%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3479	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.118666	-8.96%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2671	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.111883	-9.15%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2148	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.113074	-9.32%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.1945	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.118255	-9.24%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2529	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.109063	-9.19%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3245	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.110488	-9.18%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.4033	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.107006	-8.81%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4313	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.10138	-8.09%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3448	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.107467	-9.77%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3974	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.097783	-7.75%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2708	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.086364	-6.99%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1079	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.082229	-6.93%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0593	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.080643	-6.66%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0356	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.082695	-6.72%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0484	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.083657	-6.27%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0605	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.087856	-6.19%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0457	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.094791	-5.68%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0661	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.092933	-4.88%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0671	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.092889	-3.79%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0516	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.087803	-3.57%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0152	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.090081	-2.83%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0102	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.092881	-1.45%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0449	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.097466	-1.55%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0015	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.10698	-1.36%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0590	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.117642	-0.77%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.1558	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.123001	-0.65%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.0644	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.107659	+0.19%	0.134	+24.71%	0.1930	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.109404	-0.77%	0.14	+26.98%	0.1827	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.107542	-0.75%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1483	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.105485	-0.95%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2078	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099037	-0.56%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2180	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098453	-0.70%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.1862	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.090532	-0.51%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2656	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092047	-1.08%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2193	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094115	-0.72%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2089	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098424	-0.28%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.1926	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.116924	-1.70%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.0770	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.113693	-0.44%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.0885	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.114599	-0.95%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.0712	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.105072	+0.45%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0248	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.098035	+0.45%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.1101	✗	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.102102	+0.20%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.1394	✗	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.092825	+1.23%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0739	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.095929	+1.41%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0527	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.104	+0.58%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.1164	✗	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.088291	+1.37%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0413	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.088595	+1.83%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0132	✓	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.091183	+1.82%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0082	✓	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.097753	+1.09%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0729	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.096344	+1.26%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0536	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.095115	+1.56%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0668	✗	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.093936	+1.72%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0824	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.097856	+1.30%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0396	✗	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.10293	+0.71%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0035	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.097576	+1.43%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.0920	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.102926	+0.71%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.0846	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.098594	+1.33%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0060	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.093662	+1.97%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.0603	✓	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.083996	+2.94%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.1737	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.0832	+2.65%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2112	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.085294	+1.96%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.1529	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.084103	+1.82%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.1711	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.085002	+1.43%	0.091	+8.59%	0.0853	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.084748	+1.19%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.1908	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.080876	+2.50%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0400	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.093546	-1.37%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2056	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.092882	-2.33%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.3972	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.098594	-5.15%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3293	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.0969	-4.34%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4525	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.100012	-5.92%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3567	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.110921	-9.71%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4622	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.112785	-10.27%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4564	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.12918	-10.91%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3718	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.122588	-11.42%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3955	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.111419	-10.76%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.5239	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.106434	-10.26%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4847	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.115693	-10.38%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4368	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.111756	-10.16%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.4128	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.110645	-9.93%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4879	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.113577	-9.86%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4427	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.109099	-9.54%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4680	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.121547	-9.16%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4827	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.119532	-9.03%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5538	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.128833	-8.24%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.5136	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.133794	-7.54%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4251	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.132151	-7.46%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4682	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.15076	-6.82%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3096	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.149105	-7.79%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3272	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.140305	-8.48%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.2114	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.150096	-8.76%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0737	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.146699	-8.88%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0662	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.154078	-8.94%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0004	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.150195	-9.03%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0983	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.162792	-8.90%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0278	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.190894	-8.75%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0282	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.174129	-8.26%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0624	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.176438	-8.39%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1568	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.182229	-8.34%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.2065	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.179546	-8.21%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1774	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.158809	-7.13%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1243	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.150623	-6.56%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1643	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.152829	-6.70%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1505	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.148576	-6.08%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0476	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.1462	-5.92%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0688	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.144129	-5.86%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1486	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.1321	-5.47%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0994	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.12614	-5.30%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.125779	-5.43%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0321	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.122771	-5.49%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0224	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.120908	-5.84%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0322	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.121621	-5.94%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.12869	-6.07%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0079	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.123007	-6.24%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.112774	-5.47%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1121	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.118149	-5.67%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1003	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.125329	-6.09%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.127758	-5.54%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1212	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.14286	-5.73%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.147148	-5.80%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.139501	-6.00%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1583	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.154311	-5.48%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0661	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.