XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s2

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +1d

assessed

314

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

55.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0393

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0046

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.078761	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.077473	-0.96%	0.07959	+1.74%	0.0317	✗	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.075796	-0.71%	0.078225	+2.48%	0.0099	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.076221	-0.65%	0.076335	-0.50%	0.0048	✓	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.078278	-0.49%	0.07672	-2.47%	0.0325	✓	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.082257	-0.57%	0.078665	-4.91%	0.0423	✓	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.085021	-0.78%	0.08273	-3.45%	0.0152	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.079865	-0.49%	0.08569	+6.77%	0.0596	✗	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.082079	-0.70%	0.08026	-2.90%	0.0075	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.080108	-0.47%	0.08266	+2.70%	0.0049	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.0875	-1.02%	0.08049	-8.95%	0.0475	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.08662	-0.80%	0.088405	+1.24%	0.0065	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.084148	-0.55%	0.08732	+3.20%	0.0303	✗	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.083485	-0.30%	0.084615	+1.04%	0.0022	✓	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.086753	-0.96%	0.08374	-4.40%	0.0070	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.088458	-1.49%	0.087595	-2.46%	0.0306	✗	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.093277	-1.62%	0.0898	-5.28%	0.0343	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.095229	-1.13%	0.09481	-1.56%	0.0093	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.094611	-1.09%	0.096315	+0.69%	0.0145	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.092626	-0.74%	0.095655	+2.50%	0.0278	✗	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.095562	-0.61%	0.09332	-2.94%	0.0174	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.094416	-0.47%	0.09615	+1.36%	0.0064	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.095368	-0.41%	0.09486	-0.95%	0.0038	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.097869	-0.42%	0.095765	-2.56%	0.0252	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.105659	-0.41%	0.09828	-7.36%	0.0519	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.110997	-0.42%	0.10609	-4.82%	0.0461	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.11409	-0.47%	0.111465	-2.76%	0.0299	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.110364	-0.44%	0.11463	+3.41%	0.0440	✗	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.090076	+0.08%	0.11085	+23.17%	0.2074	✓	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.096415	+0.04%	0.09	-6.61%	0.0340	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.097943	-0.05%	0.096375	-1.65%	0.0089	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.089177	-0.07%	0.09799	+9.81%	0.0041	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.092014	-0.19%	0.089235	-3.20%	0.0293	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.093507	-0.33%	0.092185	-1.74%	0.0210	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.087144	-0.32%	0.093815	+7.32%	0.0134	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080872	-0.13%	0.08742	+7.96%	0.0738	✗	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.0818	-0.10%	0.080975	-1.11%	0.0219	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083774	-0.17%	0.08188	-2.43%	0.0272	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077865	+0.09%	0.083915	+7.87%	0.0491	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080169	+0.14%	0.077795	-2.83%	0.0214	✗	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.08264	+0.19%	0.08006	-2.93%	0.0327	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084262	+0.20%	0.08248	-1.91%	0.0342	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089329	+0.16%	0.08409	-5.71%	0.0280	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098355	+0.02%	0.089185	-9.31%	0.0946	✗	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.093092	+0.16%	0.09834	+5.81%	0.0680	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089853	+0.30%	0.09294	+3.75%	0.0598	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.093291	+0.18%	0.08958	-3.80%	0.0511	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093303	+0.11%	0.09312	-0.09%	0.0052	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.096468	-0.00%	0.0932	-3.39%	0.0017	✓	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083555	+0.33%	0.09647	+15.84%	0.0549	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.08295	+0.38%	0.08328	+0.77%	0.0061	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.084217	+0.41%	0.08264	-1.47%	0.0052	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.084423	+0.40%	0.08387	-0.26%	0.0245	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.087174	+0.35%	0.08409	-3.20%	0.0252	✗	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.084891	+0.39%	0.08687	+2.73%	0.0156	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.090449	+0.26%	0.084565	-6.26%	0.0220	✗	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.087867	+0.17%	0.09021	+2.84%	0.0032	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090358	-0.12%	0.08772	-3.04%	0.0387	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.096695	-0.69%	0.09047	-7.09%	0.0583	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.100453	-1.17%	0.09737	-4.20%	0.0541	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.092821	-0.96%	0.10164	+8.45%	0.0783	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.099868	-1.70%	0.09372	-7.76%	0.0407	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.088055	-0.92%	0.1016	+14.32%	0.0497	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.080084	-0.40%	0.08887	+10.52%	0.0351	✗	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.075566	-0.43%	0.08041	+5.96%	0.0351	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.075796	-0.37%	0.07589	-0.25%	0.0033	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.074733	-0.12%	0.07608	+1.68%	0.0196	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.075728	-0.15%	0.074825	-1.34%	0.0078	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.076242	-0.16%	0.07584	-0.68%	0.0063	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.075186	-0.22%	0.07636	+1.33%	0.0259	✗	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.073738	-0.25%	0.075355	+1.94%	0.0214	✗	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.078214	-0.40%	0.07392	-5.86%	0.0536	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.078221	-0.58%	0.078525	-0.20%	0.0128	✗	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.075894	-0.94%	0.07868	+2.70%	0.0583	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.075244	-1.11%	0.07661	+0.69%	0.0194	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.074804	-1.25%	0.076085	+0.44%	0.0166	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.074126	-1.27%	0.075755	+0.90%	0.0072	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.07372	-1.67%	0.07508	+0.15%	0.0262	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.076526	-1.76%	0.07497	-3.76%	0.0333	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.076561	-1.31%	0.077895	+0.41%	0.0034	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.075329	-0.88%	0.07758	+2.08%	0.0302	✗	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.074844	-0.41%	0.076	+1.13%	0.0022	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.073312	-0.32%	0.07515	+2.18%	0.0262	✗	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077688	-0.46%	0.07355	-5.77%	0.0107	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.07686	-0.38%	0.07805	+1.17%	0.0033	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.083147	-0.48%	0.07715	-7.66%	0.0760	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.078546	-0.39%	0.08355	+5.96%	0.0583	✗	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.084855	-0.46%	0.07885	-7.51%	0.0374	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.082878	-0.45%	0.08525	+2.40%	0.0054	✗	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.084168	-0.57%	0.08325	-1.65%	0.0156	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080614	-0.66%	0.08465	+4.31%	0.0704	✗	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.08454	-0.42%	0.08115	-4.42%	0.0184	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.083573	-0.09%	0.0849	+1.49%	0.0250	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084902	-0.17%	0.08365	-1.65%	0.0430	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.080412	+0.01%	0.08505	+5.78%	0.0446	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082696	-0.00%	0.0804	-2.78%	0.0257	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.08511	-0.11%	0.0827	-2.93%	0.0485	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.086241	-0.18%	0.0852	-1.39%	0.0150	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.091762	-0.26%	0.0864	-6.09%	0.0405	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092989	-0.23%	0.092	-1.29%	0.0050	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.089162	-0.38%	0.0932	+4.13%	0.0142	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.08869	-0.18%	0.0895	+0.73%	0.0418	✗	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090775	-0.14%	0.08885	-2.26%	0.0207	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.09176	-0.10%	0.0909	-1.03%	0.0009	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.095217	-0.19%	0.09185	-3.72%	0.0593	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090746	-0.17%	0.0954	+4.95%	0.0266	✗	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.098623	-0.18%	0.0909	-8.00%	0.0551	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.10883	-0.34%	0.0988	-9.52%	0.0806	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.106232	-0.39%	0.1092	+2.39%	0.0175	✗	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.106035	-0.53%	0.10665	+0.05%	0.0062	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.105833	-0.81%	0.1066	-0.09%	0.0066	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094507	-0.62%	0.1067	+12.20%	0.0963	✗	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.090124	-0.74%	0.0951	+4.74%	0.0165	✗	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.086048	-0.64%	0.0908	+4.85%	0.0196	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.103801	-1.05%	0.0866	-17.45%	0.1457	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.095239	-0.59%	0.1049	+9.50%	0.0820	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.100105	-0.74%	0.0958	-5.01%	0.0342	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.102641	-1.02%	0.10085	-2.75%	0.0162	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.103338	-1.49%	0.1037	-1.14%	0.0028	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.091522	-0.52%	0.1049	+14.02%	0.1653	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.088513	-0.32%	0.092	+3.60%	0.0773	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.084694	-0.18%	0.0888	+4.66%	0.0780	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.088985	-0.24%	0.08485	-4.88%	0.0645	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.093984	-0.34%	0.0892	-5.41%	0.0293	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.100202	-0.59%	0.0943	-6.45%	0.0784	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.097099	-0.72%	0.1008	+3.07%	0.0233	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.110614	-1.76%	0.0978	-13.14%	0.0884	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.090773	-0.58%	0.1126	+23.33%	0.2435	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.089539	-0.68%	0.0913	+1.28%	0.0354	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.088879	-0.81%	0.09015	+0.61%	0.0004	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.086119	-1.01%	0.0896	+2.99%	0.0067	✓	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.08157	-1.25%	0.087	+5.33%	0.0418	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.074686	-0.95%	0.0826	+9.55%	0.1014	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061144	-0.09%	0.0754	+23.20%	0.1595	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.065849	-0.38%	0.0612	-7.41%	0.0675	✓	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069399	-0.86%	0.0661	-5.57%	0.0162	✓	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.068515	-1.13%	0.07	+1.01%	0.0272	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065012	-0.75%	0.0693	+5.80%	0.0073	✓	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066449	-0.82%	0.0655	-2.24%	0.0101	✓	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.082794	-1.90%	0.067	-20.62%	0.1570	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.091445	-2.61%	0.0844	-10.12%	0.0752	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.085389	-0.94%	0.0939	+8.93%	0.1538	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.092478	-0.56%	0.0862	-7.31%	0.0202	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.088826	-0.31%	0.093	+4.38%	0.0895	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.090644	-0.39%	0.0891	-2.09%	0.0135	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.088347	-0.40%	0.091	+2.59%	0.0219	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.094684	-0.85%	0.0887	-7.12%	0.0624	✓	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.084845	-0.30%	0.0955	+12.22%	0.1344	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.08776	-0.39%	0.0851	-3.41%	0.0007	✓	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.085783	-0.31%	0.0881	+2.38%	0.0572	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.081245	-0.07%	0.08605	+5.84%	0.0517	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.084183	-0.14%	0.0813	-3.56%	0.0416	✓	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.082234	+0.04%	0.0843	+2.55%	0.0005	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.089355	-0.38%	0.0822	-8.36%	0.0404	✓	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.086723	-0.55%	0.0897	+2.87%	0.0323	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.081549	-0.12%	0.0872	+6.80%	0.0527	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.083607	-0.17%	0.08165	-2.51%	0.0201	✓	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.083532	-0.08%	0.08375	+0.18%	0.0121	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.086271	-0.49%	0.0836	-3.58%	0.0174	✓	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.088056	-1.06%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0037	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.095093	-1.30%	0.089	-7.63%	0.0267	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.093385	-0.87%	0.09635	+2.28%	0.0038	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.095276	-0.81%	0.0942	-1.93%	0.0115	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.101827	-0.56%	0.09605	-6.20%	0.0357	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.106659	-0.64%	0.1024	-4.61%	0.0322	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.105277	-0.87%	0.10735	+1.08%	0.0086	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.108801	-1.27%	0.1062	-3.63%	0.0328	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.104924	-1.57%	0.1102	+3.38%	0.0457	✗	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.098508	-1.54%	0.1066	+6.55%	0.1015	✗	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.091252	-1.40%	0.10005	+8.10%	0.0839	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.087371	-1.16%	0.09255	+4.69%	0.0415	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.088279	-1.58%	0.0884	-1.45%	0.0191	✓	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.089355	-1.37%	0.0897	-0.99%	0.0058	✓	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.08976	-1.47%	0.0906	-0.55%	0.0021	✓	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.090002	-1.31%	0.0911	-0.11%	0.0206	✓	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.09185	-1.29%	0.0912	-1.99%	0.0167	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.094381	-1.79%	0.09305	-3.17%	0.0041	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.096706	-1.72%	0.0961	-2.34%	0.0121	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.099637	-1.06%	0.0984	-2.28%	0.0104	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.09882	-1.33%	0.1007	+0.55%	0.0009	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.09909	-0.96%	0.10015	+0.10%	0.0073	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.100752	-0.30%	0.10005	-0.99%	0.0076	✗	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.101568	-0.18%	0.10105	-0.69%	0.0064	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.102222	-0.37%	0.10175	-0.83%	0.0383	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.104207	-0.38%	0.1026	-1.91%	0.0245	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.103461	-0.37%	0.1046	+0.72%	0.0282	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.108891	-0.42%	0.10385	-5.03%	0.0109	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.12676	-0.50%	0.10935	-14.17%	0.1226	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.13979	-0.72%	0.1274	-9.52%	0.1298	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.130249	-0.61%	0.1408	+7.44%	0.0716	✗	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.133162	-0.63%	0.13105	-2.20%	0.0289	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.139058	-0.67%	0.134	-4.29%	0.0318	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.123643	-0.49%	0.14	+12.68%	0.0516	✗	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.13572	-0.72%	0.12425	-9.11%	0.0427	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.12943	-0.71%	0.1367	+4.87%	0.0530	✗	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.122437	-0.58%	0.13035	+5.85%	0.0395	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.123969	-0.59%	0.12315	-1.24%	0.0206	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.129281	-0.78%	0.1247	-4.30%	0.0200	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.119488	-0.51%	0.1303	+8.49%	0.0250	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.120834	-0.67%	0.1201	-1.27%	0.0030	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.116642	-0.60%	0.12165	+3.66%	0.0067	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.109632	-0.61%	0.11735	+6.39%	0.0611	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.117408	-1.42%	0.1103	-7.39%	0.0638	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.105336	-0.63%	0.1191	+12.36%	0.1489	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.09256	-0.31%	0.106	+14.16%	0.1379	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.088196	-0.17%	0.09285	+5.09%	0.0197	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.08632	-0.09%	0.08835	+2.26%	0.0062	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.088539	-0.13%	0.0864	-2.54%	0.0165	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.089168	-0.09%	0.08865	-0.67%	0.0051	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.093262	-0.41%	0.08925	-4.70%	0.0080	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.100025	-0.47%	0.09365	-6.82%	0.0134	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.097385	-0.32%	0.1005	+2.87%	0.0158	✗	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.09636	-0.20%	0.0977	+1.19%	0.0208	✗	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.091003	-0.05%	0.09655	+6.04%	0.0041	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.092631	-0.07%	0.09105	-1.78%	0.0054	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.094255	+0.01%	0.0927	-1.64%	0.0163	✓	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098962	-0.04%	0.09425	-4.80%	0.0608	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.108357	-0.09%	0.099	-8.71%	0.0628	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.11846	-0.08%	0.10845	-8.52%	0.0345	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.123574	-0.18%	0.11855	-4.24%	0.0229	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.107506	+0.05%	0.1238	+15.22%	0.1018	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.110159	-0.08%	0.10745	-2.54%	0.0570	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.108225	-0.12%	0.11025	+1.75%	0.0127	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.106348	-0.14%	0.10835	+1.74%	0.0102	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099614	+0.01%	0.1065	+6.93%	0.0601	✓	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.099163	+0.01%	0.0996	+0.45%	0.0007	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.091245	+0.27%	0.09915	+8.96%	0.0514	✓	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.093273	+0.24%	0.091	-2.20%	0.0792	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094913	+0.12%	0.09305	-1.85%	0.0090	✓	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098731	+0.03%	0.0948	-3.95%	0.0222	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.118502	-0.38%	0.0987	-17.02%	0.1264	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.113961	-0.21%	0.11895	+4.16%	0.0791	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.11449	-1.05%	0.1142	-1.30%	0.0969	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.104188	-0.39%	0.1157	+10.61%	0.1158	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097143	-0.47%	0.1046	+7.17%	0.0046	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.10124	-0.65%	0.0976	-4.22%	0.0091	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091418	-0.31%	0.1019	+11.12%	0.0836	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094329	-0.29%	0.0917	-3.07%	0.0084	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.102486	-0.88%	0.0946	-8.51%	0.0690	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086841	-0.30%	0.1034	+18.71%	0.0903	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086791	-0.24%	0.0871	+0.11%	0.0158	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089459	-0.10%	0.087	-2.85%	0.0374	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.096449	-0.26%	0.08955	-7.39%	0.0670	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.094916	-0.25%	0.0967	+1.63%	0.0192	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.09341	-0.26%	0.09515	+1.60%	0.0031	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.092142	-0.22%	0.09365	+1.41%	0.0043	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.096319	-0.29%	0.09235	-4.40%	0.0196	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.101726	-0.46%	0.0966	-5.48%	0.0225	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.095913	-0.30%	0.1022	+6.24%	0.0621	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.101669	-0.52%	0.0962	-5.87%	0.0349	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.096913	-0.40%	0.1022	+5.04%	0.0333	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.091673	-0.19%	0.0973	+5.93%	0.0054	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081944	+0.42%	0.09185	+12.56%	0.1316	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081439	+0.48%	0.0816	+0.68%	0.0397	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083838	+0.22%	0.08105	-3.11%	0.0069	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.082754	+0.19%	0.08365	+1.27%	0.0144	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.083888	+0.10%	0.0826	-1.43%	0.0370	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.083408	-0.41%	0.0838	+0.06%	0.0314	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.080026	+1.43%	0.08375	+6.15%	0.1553	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.09288	-2.08%	0.0789	-16.82%	0.1670	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.094065	-1.09%	0.09485	-0.26%	0.0907	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.103811	-0.13%	0.0951	-8.51%	0.0022	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.100823	-0.47%	0.10395	+2.62%	0.0226	✓	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106206	-0.09%	0.1013	-4.70%	0.0054	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.12266	-0.15%	0.1063	-13.47%	0.0179	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.125422	-0.22%	0.12285	-2.27%	0.0093	✓	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.144195	-0.56%	0.1257	-13.31%	0.0110	✓	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.137407	-0.72%	0.145	+4.77%	0.0526	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.124452	-0.32%	0.1384	+10.85%	0.0838	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.118566	-0.03%	0.12485	+5.27%	0.0077	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.128077	-0.79%	0.1186	-8.13%	0.0123	✓	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.123551	-0.68%	0.1291	+3.78%	0.0539	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.122277	-0.47%	0.1244	+1.26%	0.0169	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.125362	-0.51%	0.12285	-2.50%	0.0228	✓	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.120726	+0.10%	0.126	+4.48%	0.0162	✓	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.131344	-1.84%	0.1206	-9.87%	0.0219	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.129288	-1.61%	0.1338	+1.83%	0.0613	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.138327	-1.48%	0.1314	-6.41%	0.0153	✓	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.142741	-1.35%	0.1404	-2.97%	0.0070	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.141306	-1.05%	0.1447	+1.33%	0.0258	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.160268	-0.95%	0.1428	-11.74%	0.0844	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.160793	-0.56%	0.1618	+0.06%	0.0301	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.153418	+0.08%	0.1617	+5.48%	0.0575	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.164339	-0.10%	0.1533	-6.81%	0.0781	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.160991	-0.01%	0.1645	+2.17%	0.0080	✗	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.168971	-0.14%	0.161	-4.85%	0.0445	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.164955	-0.09%	0.1692	+2.48%	0.0394	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.178364	-0.19%	0.1651	-7.61%	0.0704	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.208512	-0.33%	0.1787	-14.58%	0.0979	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.189538	-0.14%	0.2092	+10.22%	0.1021	✗	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.192237	-0.19%	0.1898	-1.45%	0.0750	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.198211	-0.30%	0.1926	-3.12%	0.0534	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.194765	-0.43%	0.1988	+1.64%	0.0027	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.170733	-0.16%	0.1956	+14.39%	0.1046	✗	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.161025	-0.11%	0.171	+6.08%	0.0460	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.163575	-0.14%	0.1612	-1.59%	0.0044	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.157928	-0.17%	0.1638	+3.54%	0.0218	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.15511	-0.19%	0.1582	+1.80%	0.0285	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.152761	-0.22%	0.1554	+1.50%	0.0163	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.139615	-0.10%	0.1531	+9.55%	0.0864	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.13314	-0.04%	0.13975	+4.92%	0.0470	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.132925	-0.06%	0.1332	+0.15%	0.0071	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.12988	-0.02%	0.133	+2.39%	0.0217	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.128416	+0.01%	0.1299	+1.17%	0.0243	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.129318	+0.01%	0.1284	-0.70%	0.0062	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.136874	-0.09%	0.1293	-5.62%	0.0605	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.131135	-0.05%	0.137	+4.42%	0.0411	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119484	+0.15%	0.1312	+9.97%	0.0632	✓	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.125392	+0.11%	0.1193	-4.75%	0.0411	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.133529	+0.06%	0.12525	-6.14%	0.0451	✗	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.135465	+0.16%	0.13345	-1.33%	0.0315	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.15145	-0.07%	0.13525	-10.76%	0.0930	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.15601	-0.12%	0.15155	-2.98%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.148514	+0.08%	0.1562	+5.26%	0.0507	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.163032	-0.13%	0.1484	-9.10%	0.0693	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.