XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s2

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +7d

assessed

309

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

62.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1007

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0092

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.082275	0.079641	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.08196	0.079302	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.07607	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.0745	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.075086	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.077615	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.081638	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.084305	-1.62%	0.082275	-3.99%	0.0644	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.079516	-0.93%	0.08196	+2.12%	0.0168	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.081683	-1.18%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0401	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.079851	-0.79%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0469	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.086982	-1.61%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0945	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.08615	-1.34%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0629	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.084032	-0.69%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0035	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.083502	-0.28%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0180	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.086759	-0.95%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0472	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.087976	-2.03%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0188	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.091825	-3.15%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0586	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.09273	-3.72%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0041	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.092722	-3.07%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0257	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.090986	-2.50%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0357	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.093264	-3.00%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0483	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.092685	-2.29%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0511	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.093874	-1.97%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0805	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.096574	-1.74%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0622	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.104855	-1.16%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.1260	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.110437	-0.92%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1503	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.113696	-0.82%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.2060	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.110332	-0.47%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1471	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.091142	+1.27%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0573	✓	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.097648	+1.32%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0298	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.099009	+1.04%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0504	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.089804	+0.64%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1061	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.09249	+0.33%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1290	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.093756	-0.06%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1419	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.086819	-0.69%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.0929	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080897	-0.10%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0490	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081868	-0.01%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0467	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083831	-0.10%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0041	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.078356	+0.72%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0501	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080763	+0.88%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0599	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.083335	+1.04%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0514	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.085015	+1.10%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0315	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.090211	+1.15%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0682	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098939	+0.61%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1306	✗	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.094354	+1.52%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0984	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.091696	+2.36%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0894	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.095037	+2.06%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.1170	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.094997	+1.93%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0892	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.097936	+1.52%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0530	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.085532	+2.70%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0195	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.084761	+2.57%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1244	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.085722	+2.21%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0700	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.085653	+1.86%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0079	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.08812	+1.44%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0252	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.085778	+1.43%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0485	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.091282	+1.19%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0373	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.088288	+0.65%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0260	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.09022	-0.28%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0669	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.095962	-1.45%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1271	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.09935	-2.25%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1656	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.091722	-2.13%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0760	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.098831	-2.73%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1472	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.086836	-2.29%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0879	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.079876	-0.66%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0801	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.073949	-2.56%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0718	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.074074	-2.64%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0169	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.074105	-0.96%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0068	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.074826	-1.34%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0669	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.07538	-1.28%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0198	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.074353	-1.33%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0281	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.073086	-1.13%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0377	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.077537	-1.26%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0482	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.07753	-1.46%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0320	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.075211	-1.83%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0430	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.074415	-2.20%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0642	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.073963	-2.37%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0774	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.073196	-2.51%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0490	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.072667	-3.07%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0453	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.07495	-3.78%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0587	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.074656	-3.77%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0419	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.073566	-3.20%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0085	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.074006	-1.52%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0227	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.072074	-2.01%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0013	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.076365	-2.16%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0065	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.075944	-1.56%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0289	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.0824	-1.38%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0608	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.078275	-0.73%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0037	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.084771	-0.56%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0689	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.08273	-0.63%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0620	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.08394	-0.84%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.1042	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080591	-0.69%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0247	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.083114	-2.10%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0265	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.082151	-1.79%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0753	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083269	-2.09%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0210	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.079191	-1.50%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0595	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.081747	-1.15%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0289	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.083946	-1.47%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0042	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.085337	-1.23%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0796	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.09134	-0.72%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.1012	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092774	-0.46%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1350	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.088353	-1.28%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.1013	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088554	-0.33%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.1171	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090741	-0.17%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.1164	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.091859	+0.01%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0697	✗	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.095061	-0.36%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.1101	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.09058	-0.35%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0455	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.098544	-0.26%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0954	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.108508	-0.63%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1510	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.105783	-0.81%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1782	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.105413	-1.11%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1647	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.104937	-1.65%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1722	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.093799	-1.37%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0237	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.088761	-2.25%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0315	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.084238	-2.73%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0487	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.100603	-4.10%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0026	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.092392	-3.56%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0588	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.097686	-3.14%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0227	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.100263	-3.31%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0103	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.100968	-3.75%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.0971	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.090648	-1.47%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0247	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.087977	-0.93%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0821	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.084316	-0.63%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3090	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.088547	-0.73%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1711	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.093388	-0.97%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1793	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.09942	-1.37%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1271	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.096371	-1.46%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1624	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.109599	-2.67%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0971	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.090161	-1.25%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0568	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.088881	-1.41%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0104	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.088195	-1.57%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0726	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.085553	-1.66%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1027	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.081191	-1.71%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2180	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.074427	-1.29%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.2907	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061772	+0.93%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5299	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.066184	+0.13%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2300	✓	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069199	-1.14%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1913	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.068017	-1.85%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2194	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.064805	-1.06%	0.087	+32.82%	0.2126	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.065913	-1.62%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1683	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.080889	-4.16%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0656	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.089069	-5.14%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3188	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.081879	-5.01%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1003	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.091133	-2.01%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0991	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.088102	-1.12%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0303	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.089755	-1.37%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0447	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.087471	-1.39%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0072	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.093208	-2.40%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1045	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.084128	-1.14%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3297	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.086952	-1.30%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.1837	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.085356	-0.81%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2173	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.081341	+0.05%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.1651	✓	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.08414	-0.19%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1391	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.082509	+0.38%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1169	✓	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.089365	-0.37%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1501	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.086885	-0.36%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0444	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.082283	+0.78%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.0875	✓	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.084376	+0.75%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0135	✓	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.084392	+0.95%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0285	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.086424	-0.32%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0046	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.086949	-2.30%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0178	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.09224	-4.27%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0419	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.091673	-2.68%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0137	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.092715	-3.47%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0549	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.098194	-4.11%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0699	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.103239	-3.83%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1224	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.102407	-3.57%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1189	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.1058	-3.99%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1520	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.101715	-4.58%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0737	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.095518	-4.53%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0201	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.088969	-3.87%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0831	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.085933	-2.79%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1469	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.087426	-2.53%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1486	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.088571	-2.24%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1505	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.089267	-2.01%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1797	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.090455	-0.82%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1022	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.092264	-0.84%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0140	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.094389	-1.78%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0987	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.09629	-2.14%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1283	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.098637	-2.05%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0930	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.097725	-2.42%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0938	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.097875	-2.17%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0855	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.099384	-1.65%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0505	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.099893	-1.82%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0267	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.10065	-1.90%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0457	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.102406	-2.10%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0674	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.102196	-1.59%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.1060	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.107211	-1.96%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.1037	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.125127	-1.78%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2303	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.137363	-2.44%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3661	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.128327	-2.08%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2960	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.131251	-2.05%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2886	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.137164	-2.03%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2986	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.12228	-1.59%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.2240	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.13379	-2.13%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2518	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.12772	-2.02%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0793	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.121076	-1.68%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.0869	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.122605	-1.68%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0054	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.127694	-2.00%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0048	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.118255	-1.54%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0580	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.119402	-1.85%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0042	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.115391	-1.67%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0535	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.108548	-1.59%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0629	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.116177	-2.45%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0405	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.10419	-1.71%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1180	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.092076	-0.83%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2709	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.087913	-0.49%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2669	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.086132	-0.31%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2799	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.088315	-0.38%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2633	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.088994	-0.29%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2015	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.092922	-0.78%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.2884	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.098382	-2.11%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1409	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.095335	-2.42%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0218	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.09477	-1.84%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0170	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090169	-0.97%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0018	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.092316	-0.41%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0150	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.094681	+0.46%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0286	✓	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.0993	+0.30%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0344	✗	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.108702	+0.23%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0796	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.119277	+0.61%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.1312	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.124621	+0.66%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1750	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.109015	+1.46%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0800	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.111287	+0.94%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1348	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.109435	+1.00%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1402	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.107641	+1.07%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0711	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.101439	+1.85%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0455	✓	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.10087	+1.73%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.0813	✓	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.093521	+2.77%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1511	✓	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.094688	+1.76%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0207	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.096292	+1.57%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0499	✓	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.099694	+1.01%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0233	✓	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.11916	+0.18%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.1052	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.114921	+0.63%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0929	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.114806	-0.77%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1826	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.104681	+0.08%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1312	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097114	-0.50%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0474	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.101319	-0.57%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0731	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091427	-0.30%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0263	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094568	-0.03%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1557	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.102764	-0.62%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0057	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086867	-0.27%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.1953	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086886	-0.13%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.0962	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089915	+0.41%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1220	✓	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.096898	+0.21%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0714	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.095395	+0.26%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0062	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093833	+0.20%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0030	✗	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.092634	+0.31%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0763	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.096917	+0.33%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0326	✗	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.102336	+0.13%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0717	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.096695	+0.51%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0522	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.102277	+0.08%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0183	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.097801	+0.51%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0104	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.092977	+1.23%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0089	✓	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.083942	+2.87%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1084	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.083564	+3.10%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.1732	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.085604	+2.34%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2030	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.084458	+2.25%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1610	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.085542	+2.08%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1666	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.084453	+0.84%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1775	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.083339	+5.63%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0057	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.090988	-4.07%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0782	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.092623	-2.60%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0849	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.103834	-0.11%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0496	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.10034	-0.95%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0153	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106303	+0.00%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0600	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.122595	-0.21%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0415	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.125146	-0.44%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2510	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.143564	-0.99%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0573	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.137106	-0.94%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0197	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.125261	+0.33%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.0774	✓	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.119922	+1.11%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1009	✓	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.128478	-0.48%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.0907	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.123921	-0.38%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1313	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.122485	-0.30%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1548	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.125058	-0.75%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1531	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.121162	+0.47%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1126	✓	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.12866	-3.84%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0788	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.126344	-3.85%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.1205	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.1347	-4.06%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.1086	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.138542	-4.26%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0424	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.137242	-3.89%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0419	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.152079	-6.01%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0104	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.154417	-4.50%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0759	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.1551	+1.17%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1843	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.16456	+0.04%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2993	✗	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.161114	+0.07%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2639	✗	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.168191	-0.60%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2827	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.16469	-0.25%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2645	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.177719	-0.55%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2428	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.207337	-0.89%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2861	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.189176	-0.33%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1475	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.191696	-0.47%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1364	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.197476	-0.67%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1980	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.194117	-0.76%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1529	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.170628	-0.22%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0914	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.161015	-0.11%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0619	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.163605	-0.12%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.1873	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.157923	-0.18%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1091	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.15522	-0.12%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.1754	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.152793	-0.20%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2319	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.139844	+0.07%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3055	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.133477	+0.21%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2299	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.133263	+0.20%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.1916	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.130268	+0.28%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2180	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.128916	+0.40%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2212	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.129791	+0.38%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.1887	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.13701	+0.01%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1169	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.131446	+0.19%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.0703	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.120315	+0.85%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.0819	✓	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.126206	+0.76%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0363	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.134286	+0.63%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0284	✗	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.136404	+0.85%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0849	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.151291	-0.17%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1624	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.154565	-1.05%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0990	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.147502	-0.61%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0926	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.160529	-1.67%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2172	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.