XPL

Plasma · native · gru_s2

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +30d

assessed

285

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

64.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1827

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0252

actual -0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.074915	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.073392	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.071228	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.071227	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.074073	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.078631	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.081995	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.076829	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.07898	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.077022	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.084025	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.082948	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.080659	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.080247	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.083346	-4.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.083952	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.087501	-7.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.088766	-7.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.088237	-7.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.086615	-7.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.088554	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.088052	-7.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.089007	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.091427	-6.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.098881	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.103974	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.107201	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.104067	-6.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.087431	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.093949	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.09624	-1.79%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.1178	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.0871	-2.39%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.1404	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089892	-2.49%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1746	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.091431	-2.54%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1965	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.083941	-3.98%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1615	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.078079	-3.58%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0452	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.078894	-3.65%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0499	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.081683	-2.66%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0807	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.075715	-2.67%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0264	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.07845	-2.01%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0557	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.081764	-0.87%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0382	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.083831	-0.31%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0763	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089306	+0.14%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.1302	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.098038	-0.31%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.2215	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.093579	+0.69%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1492	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.091177	+1.78%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.1196	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.094602	+1.59%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.1169	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.094943	+1.87%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.1220	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.098932	+2.55%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.1032	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.086043	+3.32%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0773	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.086107	+4.20%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0549	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.08773	+4.60%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0214	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.088045	+4.70%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0314	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.091144	+4.92%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0203	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.088399	+4.53%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0616	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.095296	+5.64%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.0828	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.092106	+5.00%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1273	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.094297	+4.23%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0582	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.100768	+3.49%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2076	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.103578	+1.91%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2204	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.096945	+3.44%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1555	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.104772	+3.12%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.2101	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.090401	+1.72%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.1223	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078592	-2.26%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0273	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.074019	-2.47%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0674	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.074004	-2.73%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1480	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.073356	-1.96%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1586	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.074103	-2.29%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1886	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.074412	-2.55%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.2452	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.073072	-3.03%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1981	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071556	-3.20%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1531	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.075474	-3.89%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1695	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.075498	-4.04%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.1357	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.073551	-3.99%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0005	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.072784	-4.34%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0583	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.072373	-4.46%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.1110	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.071728	-4.46%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0660	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.071135	-5.12%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0473	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.073302	-5.90%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0793	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.072834	-6.12%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1643	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.071371	-6.09%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1549	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.071477	-4.89%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1772	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071629	-2.61%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1577	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.07479	-4.18%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1310	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.074133	-3.91%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1545	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.080125	-4.10%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.2128	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.075867	-3.78%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1662	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.08283	-2.84%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1713	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.080708	-3.05%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.1029	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.082044	-3.08%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0579	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079081	-2.55%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0734	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.082979	-2.26%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0395	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.082496	-1.38%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0585	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083434	-1.90%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.1234	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.079161	-1.54%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0422	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.080987	-2.07%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0557	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.082525	-3.14%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0745	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.082918	-4.03%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0717	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.087479	-4.91%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.0994	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.088776	-4.75%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1309	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.084221	-5.90%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1554	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.084544	-4.85%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0693	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.086962	-4.33%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.1033	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.088311	-3.85%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1592	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.091343	-4.25%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.2249	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.087069	-4.21%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.2045	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.095361	-3.48%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2617	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.105327	-3.55%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3541	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.10262	-3.78%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2868	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.10233	-4.01%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2861	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.101936	-4.46%	0.076	-28.77%	0.3174	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.090989	-4.32%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.2221	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.086416	-4.83%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2305	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.082423	-4.82%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.1960	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.098491	-6.11%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.3215	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.090606	-5.42%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1711	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.094986	-5.81%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2629	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.096929	-6.53%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2361	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.097356	-7.19%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2505	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.086518	-5.96%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.0894	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.083705	-5.74%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0852	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.080344	-5.31%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0064	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.084803	-4.93%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0899	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.089833	-4.74%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0774	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.095864	-4.90%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.2044	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.093288	-4.61%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1655	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.106544	-5.38%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.2114	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.087178	-4.51%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0354	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.085797	-4.83%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1077	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.085185	-4.93%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1075	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.083004	-4.59%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1326	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.07926	-4.04%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1091	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.072232	-4.20%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2245	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.059436	-2.88%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3721	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.063894	-3.34%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3654	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.066891	-4.44%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3261	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.065889	-4.92%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.4046	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.063192	-3.52%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4747	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.064606	-3.57%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4428	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.079278	-6.07%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3101	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.087705	-6.60%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2288	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.080097	-7.08%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.2903	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.085816	-7.73%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.2888	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.083395	-6.40%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3570	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.085321	-6.24%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.4928	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.083006	-6.42%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4392	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.088472	-7.36%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4247	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.079595	-6.47%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.5806	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.082166	-6.74%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6012	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.080827	-6.07%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5184	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.077151	-5.10%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.4781	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.080058	-5.03%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3455	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.078607	-4.37%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4080	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.085063	-5.17%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.3984	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.082887	-4.95%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5076	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.07831	-4.09%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5328	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.080537	-3.84%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6119	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.081162	-2.92%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.3779	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.084657	-2.36%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3206	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.087324	-1.88%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3182	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.095163	-1.23%	0.087	-9.70%	0.2705	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.092322	-1.99%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.2367	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.09545	-0.62%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.1246	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.10116	-1.21%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0805	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.104652	-2.51%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0360	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.104589	-1.52%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0373	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.108136	-1.87%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0965	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.104088	-2.36%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0634	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.096078	-3.97%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0060	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.089397	-3.41%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2393	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.08569	-3.07%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.3619	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.086281	-3.81%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2045	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.086696	-4.31%	0.093	+2.65%	0.1931	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.086688	-4.84%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1046	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.087027	-4.58%	0.091	-0.22%	0.0889	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.088592	-4.79%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0433	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.091306	-4.99%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.0956	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.093863	-4.61%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0436	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.096791	-3.88%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0437	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.095534	-4.61%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0974	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.095609	-4.44%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1534	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.097351	-3.66%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.1148	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.097457	-4.22%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.1204	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.096353	-6.09%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0933	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.097637	-6.66%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1426	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.096314	-7.26%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.2212	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.101486	-7.19%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.2146	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.118208	-7.22%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3521	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.128819	-8.51%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4518	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.12017	-8.30%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3798	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.122896	-8.29%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3740	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.128321	-8.34%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.4013	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.116619	-6.14%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3781	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.125088	-8.49%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3573	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.119946	-7.98%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2778	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.115124	-6.52%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2433	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.117381	-5.87%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.2319	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.122117	-6.28%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2850	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.114621	-4.56%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3742	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.115678	-4.91%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.4492	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.112537	-4.10%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4817	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.106239	-3.68%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3916	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.114467	-3.89%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.4605	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.101849	-3.92%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.3116	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.089955	-3.12%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1486	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.085931	-2.74%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.1034	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.084439	-2.27%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0816	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.08638	-2.56%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0920	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.087138	-2.37%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.1013	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.090643	-3.21%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0769	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.097852	-2.64%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0979	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.094969	-2.80%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0888	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.094294	-2.34%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0666	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.088878	-2.39%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0274	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.090473	-2.40%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0059	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.093032	-1.29%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0433	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.097555	-1.46%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0024	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.107234	-1.12%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0567	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.118354	-0.17%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.1497	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.124654	+0.69%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.0510	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.10937	+1.79%	0.134	+24.71%	0.1772	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.111808	+1.41%	0.14	+26.98%	0.1610	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.110447	+1.94%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1216	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.109116	+2.46%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.1739	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.103449	+3.86%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.1744	✓	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.103197	+4.08%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.1391	✓	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.095969	+5.46%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2073	✓	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.096755	+3.98%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.1694	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.098114	+3.50%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.1673	✓	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.101734	+3.07%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.1596	✓	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.122593	+3.06%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.0297	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.118538	+3.80%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.0468	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.119237	+3.06%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.0315	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.108878	+4.09%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0108	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.099903	+2.36%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.1290	✗	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.10548	+3.51%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.1720	✗	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.095026	+3.63%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0974	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.099058	+4.71%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0848	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.107892	+4.34%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.1532	✗	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.088583	+1.70%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0446	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.089056	+2.36%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0184	✓	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.092931	+3.78%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0108	✓	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.099551	+2.95%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0912	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.097809	+2.79%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0686	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.095861	+2.36%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0746	✗	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.094005	+1.79%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0831	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.098156	+1.61%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0427	✗	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.10364	+1.41%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0034	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.096871	+0.70%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.0992	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.102173	-0.03%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.0919	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.09769	+0.40%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0152	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.093482	+1.78%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.0622	✓	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.08346	+2.28%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.1801	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.082361	+1.62%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2213	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.084147	+0.59%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.1664	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.082997	+0.48%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.1844	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.084536	+0.88%	0.091	+8.59%	0.0908	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.083628	-0.15%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2041	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.08525	+8.05%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0126	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.089098	-6.06%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2543	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.089288	-6.11%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4366	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.099917	-3.88%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3160	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.096325	-4.91%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4585	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.10271	-3.38%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3301	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.120356	-2.03%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.3805	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.122709	-2.38%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.3720	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.140757	-2.93%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.2859	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.135226	-2.29%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.2974	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.123317	-1.23%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.4225	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.118081	-0.44%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.3809	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.126568	-1.96%	0.087	-32.61%	0.3470	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.122636	-1.42%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3199	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.121436	-1.15%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.3948	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.123954	-1.62%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.3553	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.119167	-1.19%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.3797	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.124205	-7.17%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4610	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.123626	-5.92%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5201	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.132157	-5.87%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.4881	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.13547	-6.38%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4126	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.133504	-6.51%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4580	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.14851	-8.21%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3246	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.150008	-7.23%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3211	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.149761	-2.31%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.1462	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.159777	-2.87%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0111	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.157487	-2.18%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0047	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.164101	-3.01%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0627	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.160455	-2.81%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0322	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.171689	-3.92%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0810	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.197691	-5.50%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0632	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.181411	-4.42%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.1034	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.185327	-3.78%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.2060	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.191763	-3.54%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.2575	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.190043	-2.84%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.2342	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.168425	-1.51%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1831	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.159645	-0.96%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.2225	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.162364	-0.88%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.2110	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.157467	-0.46%	0.145	-8.34%	0.1058	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.155094	-0.20%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.1279	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.152615	-0.32%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.2058	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.139589	-0.12%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.1545	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.133101	-0.07%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0522	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.132784	-0.16%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0863	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.129277	-0.48%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0740	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.127502	-0.70%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0209	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.127963	-1.03%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0555	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.134926	-1.51%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0552	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.129175	-1.54%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.11786	-1.21%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.0680	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.123354	-1.51%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.0572	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.130453	-2.25%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.133171	-1.54%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.0797	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.147319	-2.79%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.149998	-3.97%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0115	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.142864	-3.73%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1345	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.154422	-5.41%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0654	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.