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2022-09-14 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2043
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.1%
in alpha space · 85.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.062314+1.08%0.064+3.82%0.0495✓0.43129k2022-10-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.131703+0.92%0.1129-13.49%0.1263✗0.5283k2022-10-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1218.2829+0.90%14.99-17.27%0.1594✗0.741.4M2022-10-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.071358+0.65%0.05883-17.02%0.1418✗0.9625k2022-10-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7720,324.89+0.48%19,178.00-5.19%0.0048✗1.00480.9M2022-10-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.4448+0.41%0.302-31.83%0.3241✗1.184,5592022-10-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.220191+0.31%0.2237+1.91%0.0637✓0.90504k2022-10-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.21049+0.28%0.1539-26.68%0.2836✗0.5666k2022-10-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0020,289.81+0.15%19,147.40-5.49%0.0095✗0.9113k2022-10-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.023183-0.25%0.02065-11.14%0.0588✓1.072,9142022-10-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.057814-0.66%0.0541-7.04%0.0254✓0.7782k2022-10-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.01206-1.01%0.01404+15.24%0.1983✗0.87851k2022-10-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.020429-1.28%0.017637-14.77%0.1123✓0.6512k2022-10-14
XMRMoneroMonero149.8147.8488-1.30%140.46-6.23%0.0011✓0.981.5M2022-10-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.786-1.33%2.25+24.31%0.2553✗0.4656k2022-10-14
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9282.7364-1.41%72.83-13.21%0.0506✓1.446.2M2022-10-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001533-1.46%0.001483-4.69%0.0065✓0.75340k2022-10-14
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.042089-1.46%0.037936-11.19%0.0558✓0.9028k2022-10-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005528-1.47%0.00482-14.08%0.1037✓0.62911k2022-10-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.059194-1.51%0.0525-12.65%0.0549✓1.22608k2022-10-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005884-1.54%0.0079+32.21%0.3269✗0.611,9622022-10-14
FTTFTXEthereum25.525.1021-1.56%23.45-8.04%0.0145✓1.016.8M2022-10-14
QTUMQtumQtum3.09633.0454-1.65%2.6157-15.52%0.0987✓1.0019k2022-10-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.371339-1.66%0.3071-18.67%0.1387✓0.96202k2022-10-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.798253-1.66%0.74011-8.83%0.0350✓0.7613k2022-10-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.601807-1.67%0.56-8.50%0.0184✓1.01178k2022-10-14
GTGateEthereum4.30854.235-1.70%4.3878+1.84%0.0723✗0.69696k2022-10-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0523-1.71%0.814-23.97%0.1783✓1.474.5M2022-10-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.02007-1.72%0.01711-16.21%0.1297✓0.56173k2022-10-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.264241-1.77%0.21178-21.27%0.1764✓0.8415k2022-10-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6689-1.84%2.07-23.87%0.1739✓1.512.9M2022-10-14
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.122584-1.85%0.1189-4.80%0.0281✗1.101.4M2022-10-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.0655-1.86%0.05449-18.35%0.1336✓0.958692022-10-14
HIVEHivenative0.55510.543331-2.12%0.4831-12.97%0.0873✓0.57836k2022-10-14
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057111.7979-2.15%9.9729-17.29%0.1184✓0.9321k2022-10-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.85197-2.15%0.741825-14.80%0.0943✓0.8347k2022-10-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.035526-2.16%0.03213-11.51%0.0625✓0.712,2982022-10-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.160121-2.19%0.1465-10.51%0.0299✓1.111,5602022-10-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.421097-2.30%0.386-10.44%0.0295✓1.087,9852022-10-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.7664-2.34%1.5603-13.74%0.0662✓1.0928k2022-10-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1826.0361-2.36%6.285+1.67%0.1116✗1.346.9M2022-10-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.093038-2.37%0.1617+69.67%0.5933✗0.762,9132022-10-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000011898-2.40%0.00001019-16.41%0.1039✓0.96951k2022-10-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.1926-2.48%0.17-13.92%0.0740✓0.95130k2022-10-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.7223-2.52%4.45-24.19%0.2244✓0.512.1M2022-10-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.041907-2.54%0.0338-21.40%0.1537✓1.15546k2022-10-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.7533-2.57%4.4399-8.99%0.0625✓0.11135k2022-10-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.501279-2.57%0.40748-20.80%0.1274✓1.5039k2022-10-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.039404-2.60%0.035376-12.55%0.0771✓0.5824k2022-10-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.102433-2.64%0.112512+6.94%0.1394✗0.866.5M2022-10-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.2638-2.65%3.43-21.69%0.1903✓0.511.4M2022-10-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.327559-2.69%0.2521-25.10%0.2039✓1.0972k2022-10-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.008269-2.72%0.00513-39.65%0.4299✓0.893.3M2022-10-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3716-2.73%1.7+20.57%0.2046✗-0.19113k2022-10-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1093.0236-2.75%2.739-11.90%0.0819✓0.32676k2022-10-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.428.184-2.80%6.54-22.33%0.1960✓0.532.4M2022-10-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.035572-2.81%0.0315-13.93%0.0682✓1.0093k2022-10-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.144508-2.82%0.1493+0.40%0.0923✗1.128922022-10-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.03798-2.86%0.0348-11.00%0.0487✓0.739,5132022-10-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.012015-2.87%0.00989-20.05%0.1624✓0.61233k2022-10-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.313523-2.88%0.34725+7.57%0.1433✗0.77326k2022-10-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.263977-2.91%0.2484-8.64%0.0089✓0.972.7M2022-10-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.54e-7-2.93%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0286✓0.7015k2022-10-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02441.9651-2.93%1.5821-21.85%0.1582✓1.1013k2022-10-14
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.54e-7-2.95%8.00e-7-9.09%0.0285✓0.691.7M2022-10-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.8218-2.95%3.062-22.24%0.1953✓0.492.1M2022-10-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.04182-2.97%0.03705-14.04%0.0796✓0.7814k2022-10-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.722199-2.97%0.62338-16.25%0.0907✓1.06584k2022-10-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.473779-2.97%0.4145-15.11%0.0803✓1.00366k2022-10-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.5599-2.98%15.67-18.09%0.0981✓1.3317.5M2022-10-14
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.466536-3.01%0.3667-23.76%0.1902✓0.9536.8M2022-10-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.4895-3.03%1.501-2.28%0.0447✗0.6929k2022-10-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.5275-3.05%4.51-3.43%0.0396✗0.82808k2022-10-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.121319-3.10%0.1172-6.39%0.0206✓1.032.6M2022-10-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.132058-3.13%0.12084-11.36%0.0285✓1.13146k2022-10-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.470093-3.13%0.3733-23.08%0.1879✓0.80396k2022-10-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.4199-3.15%1.404-4.23%0.0481✗1.1168k2022-10-14
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1024.941-3.16%4.517-11.47%0.0244✓1.236.4M2022-10-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1514-3.16%1.4654+23.26%0.2976✗1.061.2M2022-10-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.13-3.17%0.961-17.65%0.1142✓0.901.1M2022-10-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.045025-3.17%0.0313-32.69%0.3192✓0.83142k2022-10-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,586.97-3.18%1,296.36-20.91%0.1334✓1.29569.9M2022-10-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.328584-3.19%0.2801-17.47%0.1065✓1.0079k2022-10-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.041.9739-3.24%1.59-22.06%0.1482✓1.28226k2022-10-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.88695-3.28%0.866-5.56%0.0332✓1.071.5M2022-10-14
KSMKusamaHydration47.5846.0189-3.28%39.92-16.10%0.0913✓0.95363k2022-10-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.2053-3.39%6.89-7.62%0.0126✓1.0818.0M2022-10-14
DASHDashDash45.5844.0357-3.39%40.19-11.83%0.0357✓1.04299k2022-10-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.490725-3.40%0.42-17.32%0.0930✓1.1870k2022-10-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36650.5529-3.46%49.267-5.92%0.0196✓0.85221k2022-10-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.01710.981745-3.48%0.909812-10.55%0.0335✓0.8039k2022-10-14
FLOWFlownative1.8681.803-3.48%1.48-20.77%0.1257✓1.35967k2022-10-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.1424-3.52%3.92-26.45%0.2470✓0.462.4M2022-10-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.274891-3.55%0.2031-28.74%0.2486✓1.0172k2022-10-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.053327-3.57%0.0532-3.80%0.0350✓0.70234k2022-10-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.204273-3.60%0.1796-15.24%0.0800✓0.9257k2022-10-14
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011309-3.60%0.009888-15.71%0.0809✓1.007452022-10-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.391434-3.64%0.3242-20.19%0.1279✓1.1466k2022-10-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.865526-3.68%0.7535-16.15%0.0750✓1.19874k2022-10-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.257.9672-3.71%51.32-14.75%0.0717✓0.9414.4M2022-10-14
ZENHorizenBase15.114.523-3.82%12.32-18.41%0.1025✓1.1675k2022-10-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.086.8061-3.87%5.78-18.36%0.1078✓1.04210k2022-10-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.019789-3.94%0.01992-3.30%0.0561✗0.939.2M2022-10-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.6016-3.98%8.44-15.60%0.0601✓1.29288k2022-10-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002757-3.99%0.002103-26.78%0.2224✓0.911.2M2022-10-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.058276-3.99%0.0667+9.88%0.1917✗1.0677k2022-10-14
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.364846-4.00%0.38981+2.57%0.1170✗0.9529k2022-10-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.007728-4.00%0.00585-27.33%0.2180✓1.13463k2022-10-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003734-4.02%0.00322-17.22%0.0989✓0.9289k2022-10-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.087715-4.03%0.0798-12.69%0.0502✓0.8310k2022-10-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.8587-4.09%0.9248-52.28%0.6622✓0.671.5M2022-10-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9816.2806-4.12%14.25-16.08%0.1041✓0.55384k2022-10-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.0497-4.14%4.86-22.99%0.1687✓0.944.3M2022-10-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6914.0787-4.16%19.69+34.04%0.3816✗0.871.9M2022-10-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.7384-4.17%1.454-19.85%0.0929✓1.6160k2022-10-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.15664-4.18%0.13698-16.21%0.0797✓1.02262k2022-10-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.180936-4.22%0.1475-21.92%0.1499✓1.0286k2022-10-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.006058-4.22%0.0058-8.30%0.0264✓0.3229k2022-10-14
QNTQuantEthereum99.0594.858-4.23%165.76+67.35%0.6049✗0.883.5M2022-10-14
STXStacksnative0.35220.337279-4.24%0.2998-14.88%0.0614✓1.06298k2022-10-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.601369-4.24%0.523-16.72%0.0837✓1.053.2M2022-10-14
SOLSolanaSolana34.1232.6592-4.28%29.99-12.10%0.0225✓1.1852.2M2022-10-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.5924-4.30%1.533-7.87%0.0083✓0.87578k2022-10-14
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.541-4.31%1.3651-15.23%0.0674✓1.01236k2022-10-14
ZECZcashZcash61.9659.2554-4.37%49.94-19.40%0.1142✓1.071.1M2022-10-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.814142-4.39%0.8303-2.49%0.0924✗1.3789k2022-10-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.05844-4.39%0.058661-4.03%0.0533✗0.931.1M2022-10-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.065728-4.41%0.06559-4.61%0.0085✓0.20351k2022-10-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.102771-4.49%0.0958-10.97%0.0261✓0.83188k2022-10-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.603596-4.49%0.528-16.46%0.0806✓1.00114k2022-10-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.090704-4.52%0.0968+1.89%0.1178✗0.99319k2022-10-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0291.9358-4.59%1.522-24.99%0.1800✓1.1327k2022-10-14
METISMetisEthereum27.5826.3063-4.62%24.63-10.70%0.0160✓1.54155k2022-10-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.489305-4.62%0.431-15.98%0.0673✓1.1266k2022-10-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2086.8724-4.66%6.044-16.15%0.0729✓1.049.9M2022-10-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.3688.9297-4.68%9.765+4.24%0.1346✗0.851.2M2022-10-14
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,473.83-4.73%1,258.83-18.63%0.1044✓1.003.3M2022-10-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.288829-4.74%0.3174+4.68%0.1441✗0.935.9M2022-10-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.883905-4.75%0.827-10.88%0.0416✓0.472.5M2022-10-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.27987-4.76%0.244239-16.89%0.0816✓1.02430k2022-10-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.2777-4.80%4.1388-25.34%0.2379✓0.109.6M2022-10-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001166-4.80%0.0008958-26.87%0.2226✓0.772.1M2022-10-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01730.968378-4.81%0.9771-3.95%0.0329✓0.452.8M2022-10-14
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.305251-4.88%0.292-9.01%0.0065✓0.957782022-10-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001455-4.93%0.001262-17.52%0.1007✓0.785,8832022-10-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.4844-4.96%2.169-17.02%0.0913✓0.83464k2022-10-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3737.3981-5.01%23.13-41.25%0.4000✓1.5110.6M2022-10-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.25.8881-5.03%5.59-9.84%0.0290✓0.432.1M2022-10-14
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.016282-5.05%0.013974-18.50%0.0996✓1.001,0682022-10-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.254414-5.07%0.229-14.55%0.0651✓0.75512k2022-10-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.8077-5.12%3.032-24.45%0.2096✓0.342.0M2022-10-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.024621-5.15%0.024857-4.24%0.0072✓-0.04485k2022-10-14
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.2838-5.18%3.003-33.53%0.3019✓1.001.4M2022-10-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.132577-5.23%0.1151-17.73%0.0883✓1.00119k2022-10-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99113.707-5.24%107.52-10.39%0.0031✓1.114.3M2022-10-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.032609-5.26%0.02697-21.64%0.1334✓1.0629k2022-10-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.2257-5.29%1.93-17.87%0.1108✓0.60200k2022-10-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.308799-5.31%0.29045-10.93%0.0069✓1.0233k2022-10-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.2288-5.33%11.643-16.68%0.0626✓1.2220.3M2022-10-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3112.5957-5.37%10.81-18.78%0.0948✓1.09874k2022-10-14
XVGVergenative0.003370.003184-5.52%0.00305-9.50%0.0042✓0.88483k2022-10-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.777665-5.55%0.6293-23.57%0.1536✓1.09920k2022-10-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.008,679.33-5.60%7,558.88-17.78%0.0674✓1.334.0M2022-10-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.045968-5.61%0.0366-24.85%0.1721✓1.05177k2022-10-14
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000043564-5.62%0.00003692-20.02%0.1214✓0.833.5M2022-10-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.414-5.66%3.784-34.07%0.3312✓0.513.1M2022-10-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.3077-5.72%1.532+10.45%0.2201✗1.1643k2022-10-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.6069-5.91%2.9723-22.47%0.1606✓0.626.3M2022-10-14
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.1826-5.92%1.054-16.15%0.0516✓1.19303k2022-10-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.139317-5.99%0.1319-11.00%0.0047✓0.94322k2022-10-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2455-6.35%1.04-21.80%0.1283✓0.9856k2022-10-14
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.138-6.42%0.719-40.87%0.3757✓1.572.7M2022-10-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.289646-6.44%0.2572-16.93%0.0699✓0.9289k2022-10-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.5544-6.73%5.068-14.90%0.0402✓0.975.9M2022-10-14
PROPropyEthereum0.720.670678-6.85%0.54-25.00%0.2052✓0.2242k2022-10-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.179168-6.88%0.1801-6.39%0.0532✓0.903.1M2022-10-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.383772-7.07%0.3101-24.91%0.1607✓0.98379k2022-10-14
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.1554-7.34%3.7821-15.67%0.0241✓1.31118k2022-10-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.10443-7.42%0.0853-24.38%0.1344✓1.272.4M2022-10-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.624651-7.47%0.5741-14.96%0.0042✓1.50194k2022-10-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.055968-7.48%0.05442-10.03%0.0350✓1.181.1M2022-10-14
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0955.5678-7.53%54.51-9.29%0.0384✓1.088,4972022-10-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.5426-7.62%4.5087-24.85%0.1930✓0.2512.5M2022-10-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.33.9343-8.50%3.774-12.23%0.0074✓0.92223k2022-10-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.186286-8.91%0.1348-34.08%0.2824✓0.7730k2022-10-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.103314-9.21%0.0686-39.72%0.3845✓0.47182k2022-10-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17210.0625-9.93%12.749+14.12%0.2554✗0.3515.8M2022-10-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.1045-10.10%1.0714-12.80%0.0252✓1.04844k2022-10-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000264476-11.96%0.00027202-9.45%0.0289✓0.012.4M2022-10-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-75.76e-7-12.42%4.84e-7-26.38%0.1314✓0.792.1M2022-10-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.