8=======>

2022-09-13 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3550
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.8%
in alpha space · 89.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.061698+1.67%0.060975+0.48%0.0063✓0.45123k2022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14324.1541+0.26%4.3617+5.27%0.0780✓0.72696k2022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001515-0.27%0.001497-1.45%0.0180✗0.74353k2022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1020,102.12-0.67%19,353.70-4.37%0.0009✓0.9215k2022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7820,025.58-0.74%19,378.65-3.95%0.0074✓1.00480.9M2022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.6087-1.10%4.61-1.07%0.0339✗0.83839k2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.9889-1.14%2.6695-11.70%0.0723✓1.0120k2022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.501257-1.32%0.41049-19.19%0.1475✓1.3041k2022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44143.2002-1.54%142.89-1.75%0.0377✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.011957-1.61%0.010334-14.96%0.1124✓0.83882k2022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.058661-1.63%0.059662+0.04%0.0555✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.8546-1.66%6.09-12.63%0.0759✓1.05224k2022-10-13
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9781.5264-1.74%70.96-14.48%0.0799✓1.466.2M2022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.057892-1.88%0.053-10.17%0.0400✓1.20568k2022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.5219-2.00%1.479-4.76%0.0007✓0.6929k2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.066535-2.01%0.06122-9.84%0.0447✓0.9625k2022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02231.0017-2.02%0.9674-5.37%0.0152✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.342584-2.03%0.3005-14.07%0.0886✓1.06313k2022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.7482-2.06%1.495-16.25%0.0914✓1.6265k2022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.8665-2.08%4.2295-14.90%0.1368✓0.09119k2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.9071-2.10%6.15+1.92%0.0945✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,540.18-2.19%1,286.96-18.27%0.1269✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005763-2.31%0.005472-7.24%0.0261✓0.641,9622022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.082826-2.33%0.082-3.30%0.0288✗0.9711k2022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.04173-2.34%0.03722-12.89%0.0868✓0.6814k2022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2549.0327-2.39%9.399+1.57%0.0730✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.3761-2.40%1.531+8.58%0.1547✗1.1943k2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.30303-2.41%0.277-10.79%0.0498✓0.9982k2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.480988-2.44%0.426-13.59%0.0737✓1.1877k2022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.063091-2.46%0.05314-17.84%0.1360✓0.897802022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.058031-2.49%0.05517-7.29%0.0022✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.8458-2.55%7.028+0.04%0.0708✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.101973-2.56%0.1121+7.11%0.1297✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.094301-2.58%0.0743-23.24%0.2096✓0.722,9132022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9257.3417-2.68%50.94-13.54%0.0739✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.202832-2.72%0.1796-13.86%0.0850✓0.9159k2022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.974742-2.79%0.905877-9.66%0.0422✓0.7741k2022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039168-2.81%0.0342-15.14%0.1040✓0.799,5132022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.822334-2.83%0.761919-9.97%0.0424✓0.8446k2022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.035446-2.83%0.03232-11.40%0.0638✓0.712,2982022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0132.0585-2.88%30.49-7.63%0.0019✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.20981-2.91%0.225+4.12%0.1049✗0.87527k2022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.130822-2.92%0.12034-10.70%0.0376✓1.14151k2022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.204144-2.93%0.1528-27.34%0.2599✓0.7467k2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.412-2.95%1.407-3.30%0.0395✗1.0771k2022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6114.0491-3.02%108.8-7.48%0.0009✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.9626-3.02%2.773-9.23%0.0505✓0.39759k2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.9455-3.07%3.961-35.43%0.3836✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.435072-3.10%0.319-28.95%0.2636✓1.164,5592022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.019793-3.12%0.0198-3.08%0.0417✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1153-3.18%0.978-15.10%0.0938✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6318-3.21%2.183-19.71%0.1276✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.157.1952-3.22%51.09-13.55%0.0739✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.034929-3.24%0.0319-11.63%0.0502✓1.0190k2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.287967-3.37%0.2072-30.47%0.2903✓0.9774k2022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.817567-3.40%0.8267-2.32%0.0706✗1.4894k2022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.3358-3.40%12.53-15.57%0.0857✓1.2275k2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4825-3.41%1.3832-9.88%0.0281✓1.02246k2022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.257789-3.42%0.20766-22.20%0.1807✓0.8815k2022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.2794-3.45%0.246962-14.66%0.0842✓0.97487k2022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.926.9321-3.47%24.71-11.43%0.0242✓1.54159k2022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.386742-3.51%0.3093-22.83%0.1834✓0.99202k2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000042391-3.55%0.00003711-15.56%0.0996✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.159118-3.57%0.1439-12.79%0.0552✓1.131,7442022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.29e-7-3.62%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0452✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.573426-3.63%0.563-5.38%0.0217✓1.00178k2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.12075-3.63%0.1164-7.10%0.0080✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.055093-3.68%0.0499-12.76%0.0666✓0.8090k2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.057208-3.69%0.0671+12.96%0.2019✗1.0578k2022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.704302-3.71%0.63573-13.09%0.0590✓1.08624k2022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.253204-3.72%0.23-12.55%0.0665✓0.74534k2022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.4889-3.73%10.1346-15.08%0.0860✓0.9821k2022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.119625-3.76%0.1168-6.03%0.0185✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.886262-3.77%0.836-9.23%0.0399✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.6165-3.78%1.553-7.56%0.0021✓0.94627k2022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.816.1634-3.79%14.34-14.64%0.0969✓0.57396k2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.150183-3.79%0.153-1.99%0.0661✗1.189132022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003665-3.79%0.00324-14.96%0.0857✓0.9495k2022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.022286-3.82%0.02101-9.32%0.0180✓1.022,9582022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.793248-3.82%0.73564-10.80%0.0459✓0.7313k2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.043474-3.82%0.0333-26.33%0.2323✓0.85142k2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.3569-3.83%8.67-10.89%0.0227✓1.33288k2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2933.9363-3.84%23.01-34.80%0.3280✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.309034-3.84%0.29812-7.24%0.0055✓1.0333k2022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.040537-3.86%0.038379-8.97%0.0185✓0.9028k2022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.042398-3.86%0.0344-22.00%0.1624✓1.16546k2022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.103422-3.88%0.0911-15.33%0.0928✓0.84188k2022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.775146-3.90%0.6504-19.37%0.1307✓1.11946k2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.499696-3.90%0.439-15.58%0.0848✓1.1166k2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56649.5398-3.93%50.036-2.97%0.0442✗0.85246k2022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.444291-3.94%0.4211-8.95%0.0086✓1.12366k2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.1245-3.95%15.65-17.06%0.0926✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.1943-4.00%1.068-14.15%0.0627✓1.22323k2022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.35e-7-4.00%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0533✓0.6915k2022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1423.9758-4.01%3.061-26.10%0.2467✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.160651-4.02%0.14863-11.20%0.0496✓0.703542022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.047596-4.04%0.0541+9.07%0.1628✗0.86234k2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7741.9876-4.07%40.41-7.68%0.0032✓1.03312k2022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.023676-4.11%0.024977+1.15%0.0552✗0.04471k2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.1353-4.14%5.03-21.41%0.1597✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.25678-4.15%0.2551-4.78%0.0332✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1214-4.18%1.2571+7.42%0.1582✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.712-4.18%1.5752-11.84%0.0392✓1.1025k2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2228-4.19%1.85-20.26%0.1591✓0.61247k2022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,635.21-4.23%7,725.27-14.33%0.0570✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0079-4.24%0.8006-23.93%0.1709✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019334-4.24%0.01784-11.64%0.0551✓0.6312k2022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7331-4.25%2.79+54.14%0.4947✗0.4656k2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8353.4503-4.26%54.83-1.79%0.0711✗1.138,6412022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.18792-4.27%0.1351-31.18%0.2992✓0.7730k2022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.595417-4.27%0.53-14.79%0.0724✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.46548-4.32%0.3679-24.38%0.2025✓0.81422k2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.088395-4.33%0.0998+8.01%0.1621✗1.01336k2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007614-4.35%0.00571-28.27%0.2434✓1.10463k2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.03813-4.36%0.035845-10.10%0.0400✓0.5423k2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.103449-4.39%0.0879-18.76%0.1112✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.334559-4.41%0.319-8.86%0.0091✓0.961,1592022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.525618-4.50%0.4902-10.94%0.0455✓0.60871k2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.2413-4.52%1.06-18.46%0.1169✓1.0258k2022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,404.67-4.53%1,248.14-15.17%0.0779✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.155424-4.55%0.13775-15.41%0.0790✓1.04271k2022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.003215-4.59%0.00306-9.20%0.0119✓0.94483k2022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.3636-4.61%0.39142+2.69%0.1121✗0.9531k2022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.181041-4.61%0.141-25.71%0.2088✓1.02101k2022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.189761-4.64%0.1711-14.02%0.0627✓1.01132k2022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.2889-4.69%3.53-21.56%0.1719✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.58127-4.71%0.536-12.13%0.0391✓1.04114k2022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005363-4.75%0.0048-14.74%0.0843✓0.66911k2022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9259-4.75%1.535-24.09%0.1788✓1.1930k2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.132574-4.76%0.1172-15.80%0.0839✓0.98128k2022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3428-4.76%1.66+17.73%0.2077✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.589-4.80%5.141-12.43%0.0445✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8793.1209-4.85%160.75+64.25%0.5832✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.214.4607-4.86%14.3-5.92%0.0204✓0.781.4M2022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1238-4.93%0.732-38.07%0.3642✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8924.6093-4.95%23.44-9.46%0.0085✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.5215-5.00%11.09-15.86%0.0762✓1.12925k2022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.065666-5.01%0.071+2.71%0.0861✗0.20354k2022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010446-5.02%0.009275-15.67%0.0786✓1.006682022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.866979-5.04%0.847-7.23%0.0221✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011479-5.05%0.00001039-14.06%0.0607✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.137096-5.06%0.1342-7.06%0.0178✓0.97336k2022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.768-5.15%1.511-18.94%0.1010✓1.39967k2022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.293602-5.19%0.327+5.60%0.1335✗0.64326k2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002678-5.27%0.002098-25.79%0.2076✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.7638-5.27%19.43+33.72%0.3821✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.011858-5.29%0.01008-19.49%0.1375✓0.62233k2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.671929-5.36%0.52-26.76%0.2465✓0.2442k2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.6886-5.39%6.113-13.54%0.0454✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.438643-5.40%0.3769-18.72%0.1128✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9217-5.47%1.5924-21.67%0.1452✓1.0613k2022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.831022-5.52%0.7636-13.19%0.0358✓1.21899k2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.01896-5.53%0.01727-13.95%0.0697✓0.59173k2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1364.8508-5.55%4.551-11.39%0.0111✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.280127-5.55%0.3194+7.69%0.1696✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.2634-5.56%6.57-24.91%0.2068✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.008032-5.62%0.00533-37.37%0.3737✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.1144-5.63%11.342-18.39%0.0949✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.312055-5.67%0.2586-21.83%0.1435✓1.1072k2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.016232-5.69%0.013771-19.99%0.1242✓1.001,0292022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3843.7314-5.71%40.69-12.27%0.0311✓1.02363k2022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.3787-5.97%3.81-33.39%0.3238✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.1519-6.02%3.04-31.19%0.2714✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.9074-6.04%1.6-21.18%0.1269✓1.21227k2022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.407735-6.05%0.38-12.44%0.0285✓1.047,9852022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.7472-6.09%4.46-27.12%0.2327✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.376613-6.18%0.3269-18.56%0.0955✓1.1467k2022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.323097-6.19%0.2499-27.44%0.2210✓0.8989k2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.044934-6.19%0.0379-20.88%0.1259✓1.10177k2022-10-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.128014-6.22%0.1133-17.00%0.1011✓0.5283k2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001434-6.36%0.001276-16.66%0.0893✓0.676,5532022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.4512-6.37%2.208-15.66%0.0722✓0.80523k2022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.0494-6.50%5.61-13.29%0.0559✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.031458-6.57%0.02754-18.21%0.0908✓1.0532k2022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.8287-6.63%0.9616-50.90%0.6136✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.005797-6.74%0.00599-3.64%0.0462✓0.3330k2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.2869-6.87%3.7246-19.08%0.0874✓1.32118k2022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.7993-6.93%3.097-24.13%0.1839✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.388724-7.45%0.35148-16.32%0.0631✓0.93392k2022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.609328-7.76%0.5935-10.16%0.0337✓1.49210k2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001138-7.95%0.0008937-27.71%0.2091✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.7813-8.49%2.9712-28.09%0.2147✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.176929-8.52%0.1844-4.65%0.0785✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.1364-8.57%1.0884-12.43%0.0007✓1.09922k2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09210.9879-9.13%13.225+9.37%0.2001✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.585.9548-9.50%3.9876-39.40%0.3945✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.4678-10.60%4.5312-37.37%0.3443✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.097837-11.38%0.0666-39.67%0.3619✓0.56182k2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.15e-7-11.65%4.93e-7-29.22%0.1871✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.7208-11.66%3.817-9.38%0.0625✓0.92245k2022-10-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000304722-14.90%0.00027827-22.28%0.0869✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.