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2022-09-13 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2148
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.1%
in alpha space · 85.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000310909-13.17%0.00027827-22.28%0.1070✓0.102.4M2022-10-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.06e-7-12.96%4.93e-7-29.22%0.1721✓0.862.2M2022-10-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09210.7991-10.69%13.225+9.37%0.2175✗0.3715.8M2022-10-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.114-10.37%1.0884-12.43%0.0207✓1.09922k2022-10-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.10015-9.28%0.0666-39.67%0.3853✓0.56182k2022-10-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2123.8523-8.54%3.817-9.38%0.0278✓0.92245k2022-10-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.179571-8.52%0.1351-31.18%0.2537✓0.7730k2022-10-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.6445-8.16%4.5312-37.37%0.3712✓0.2912.2M2022-10-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.2388-7.91%3.7246-19.08%0.0761✓1.32118k2022-10-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.318445-7.54%0.2499-27.44%0.2065✓0.8989k2022-10-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.61135-7.46%0.5935-10.16%0.0304✓1.49210k2022-10-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.388831-7.42%0.35148-16.32%0.0634✓0.93392k2022-10-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.100454-7.16%0.0879-18.76%0.0818✓1.282.5M2022-10-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.66002-7.04%0.52-26.76%0.2286✓0.2442k2022-10-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.055339-7.01%0.05517-7.29%0.0453✓1.201.2M2022-10-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.179971-6.94%0.1844-4.65%0.0615✓0.923.2M2022-10-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.7168-6.80%3.961-35.43%0.3444✓0.563.1M2022-10-13
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8352.1249-6.64%54.83-1.79%0.0962✗1.138,6412022-10-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.4866-6.55%5.141-12.43%0.0260✓0.976.2M2022-10-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.3221-6.23%1.531+8.58%0.1947✗1.1943k2022-10-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.2193-6.21%1.06-18.46%0.0990✓1.0258k2022-10-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.8847-5.99%2.9712-28.09%0.2417✓0.667.3M2022-10-13
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1123-5.89%0.732-38.07%0.3540✓1.602.8M2022-10-13
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.171-5.87%1.068-14.15%0.0430✓1.22323k2022-10-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.136149-5.71%0.1342-7.06%0.0248✓0.97336k2022-10-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1423.9087-5.63%3.061-26.10%0.2297✓0.372.0M2022-10-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.045228-5.58%0.0379-20.88%0.1324✓1.10177k2022-10-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,515.16-5.57%7,725.27-14.33%0.0430✓1.354.1M2022-10-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.1114-5.54%5.61-13.29%0.0661✓0.482.1M2022-10-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.30368-5.51%0.29812-7.24%0.0230✓1.0333k2022-10-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.016271-5.46%0.013771-19.99%0.1266✓1.001,0292022-10-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.76282-5.43%0.6504-19.37%0.1147✓1.11946k2022-10-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.2237-5.41%3.9876-39.40%0.4386✓0.169.1M2022-10-13
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000041583-5.39%0.00003711-15.56%0.0803✓0.833.0M2022-10-13
XVGVergenative0.003370.003189-5.38%0.00306-9.20%0.0036✓0.94483k2022-10-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.031886-5.30%0.02754-18.21%0.1043✓1.0532k2022-10-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.1639-5.27%11.342-18.39%0.0987✓1.2520.3M2022-10-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.198-5.26%1.85-20.26%0.1479✓0.61247k2022-10-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.131902-5.24%0.1172-15.80%0.0788✓0.98128k2022-10-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.493961-5.01%0.439-15.58%0.0733✓1.1166k2022-10-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.5208-5.00%11.09-15.86%0.0761✓1.12925k2022-10-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02230.971255-4.99%0.9674-5.37%0.0156✓0.492.8M2022-10-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6111.737-4.99%108.8-7.48%0.0196✓1.154.4M2022-10-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.4353-4.98%3.81-33.39%0.3343✓0.522.0M2022-10-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.4877-4.98%2.208-15.66%0.0869✓0.80523k2022-10-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001175-4.93%0.0008937-27.71%0.2415✓0.812.2M2022-10-13
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.2004-4.92%3.04-31.19%0.2831✓1.001.4M2022-10-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.02348-4.91%0.024977+1.15%0.0635✗0.04471k2022-10-13
METISMetisEthereum27.926.5486-4.84%24.71-11.43%0.0099✓1.54159k2022-10-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.876784-4.80%0.836-9.23%0.0291✓0.462.7M2022-10-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.250466-4.77%0.23-12.55%0.0556✓0.74534k2022-10-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001459-4.69%0.001276-16.66%0.1070✓0.676,5532022-10-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9296-4.57%1.535-24.09%0.1807✓1.1930k2022-10-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.27628-4.53%0.246962-14.66%0.0730✓0.97487k2022-10-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.7533-4.48%6.113-13.54%0.0550✓1.1110.0M2022-10-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,406.04-4.44%1,248.14-15.17%0.0789✓1.003.4M2022-10-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.102849-4.42%0.0911-15.33%0.0873✓0.84188k2022-10-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.2548.8456-4.41%9.399+1.57%0.0939✗0.831.2M2022-10-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.066101-4.38%0.071+2.71%0.0795✗0.20354k2022-10-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.283705-4.35%0.3194+7.69%0.1569✗0.956.0M2022-10-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.583552-4.34%0.536-12.13%0.0430✓1.04114k2022-10-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.8745-4.30%0.9616-50.90%0.6383✓0.721.5M2022-10-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.1307-4.21%5.03-21.41%0.1589✓0.974.3M2022-10-13
STXStacksnative0.34970.334986-4.21%0.3005-14.07%0.0661✓1.06313k2022-10-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.6094-4.20%1.553-7.56%0.0023✓0.94627k2022-10-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2933.8149-4.18%23.01-34.80%0.3244✓1.5010.6M2022-10-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.7105-4.17%1.495-16.25%0.0696✓1.6265k2022-10-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.9293-4.13%19.43+33.72%0.3702✗0.931.8M2022-10-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.156118-4.13%0.13775-15.41%0.0835✓1.04271k2022-10-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.005961-4.11%0.00599-3.64%0.0183✓0.3330k2022-10-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.811543-4.11%0.8267-2.32%0.0779✗1.4894k2022-10-13
FISStafiEthereum0.350.335651-4.10%0.319-8.86%0.0123✓0.961,1592022-10-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.057217-4.05%0.059662+0.04%0.0805✗0.961.2M2022-10-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.596783-4.05%0.53-14.79%0.0747✓1.093.2M2022-10-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.285981-4.03%0.2072-30.47%0.2834✓0.9774k2022-10-13
QNTQuantEthereum97.8793.9409-4.01%160.75+64.25%0.5744✗0.933.5M2022-10-13
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.365934-3.99%0.39142+2.69%0.1057✗0.9531k2022-10-13
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.252-3.96%12.53-15.57%0.0798✓1.2275k2022-10-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.088787-3.91%0.0998+8.01%0.1577✗1.01336k2022-10-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.816.1458-3.89%14.34-14.64%0.0958✓0.57396k2022-10-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.150056-3.87%0.153-1.99%0.0669✗1.189132022-10-13
FLOWFlownative1.8641.7928-3.82%1.511-18.94%0.1150✓1.39967k2022-10-13
ZECZcashZcash58.9256.6732-3.81%50.94-13.54%0.0622✓1.101.1M2022-10-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.7058-3.79%6.09-12.63%0.0540✓1.05224k2022-10-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.00766-3.77%0.00571-28.27%0.2495✓1.10463k2022-10-13
SOLSolanaSolana33.0131.7698-3.76%30.49-7.63%0.0071✓1.2054.5M2022-10-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.057191-3.72%0.0671+12.96%0.2022✗1.0578k2022-10-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.081657-3.71%0.082-3.30%0.0431✗0.9711k2022-10-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.00367-3.69%0.00324-14.96%0.0869✓0.9495k2022-10-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.182806-3.68%0.141-25.71%0.2185✓1.02101k2022-10-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.019679-3.68%0.0198-3.08%0.0475✗1.039.7M2022-10-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002724-3.65%0.002098-25.79%0.2246✓0.901.2M2022-10-13
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.4788-3.65%1.3832-9.88%0.0256✓1.02246k2022-10-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.156.9659-3.61%51.09-13.55%0.0699✓0.9714.4M2022-10-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.387196-3.54%0.3269-18.56%0.1232✓1.1467k2022-10-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.4986-3.50%1.479-4.76%0.0148✓0.6929k2022-10-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.3897-3.50%8.67-10.89%0.0262✓1.33288k2022-10-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.967681-3.50%0.905877-9.66%0.0350✓0.7741k2022-10-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.849373-3.44%0.7636-13.19%0.0576✓1.21899k2022-10-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56649.8128-3.40%50.036-2.97%0.0387✗0.85246k2022-10-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.883321-3.25%0.847-7.23%0.0034✓1.131.5M2022-10-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.201798-3.21%0.1796-13.86%0.0799✓0.9159k2022-10-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.9648-3.21%1.6-21.18%0.1565✓1.21227k2022-10-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010648-3.18%0.009275-15.67%0.0978✓1.006682022-10-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039023-3.17%0.0342-15.14%0.1003✓0.799,5132022-10-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.4797-3.09%6.57-24.91%0.2327✓0.562.4M2022-10-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.3844.9574-3.07%40.69-12.27%0.0588✓1.02363k2022-10-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.471582-3.07%0.3679-24.38%0.2156✓0.81422k2022-10-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.3627-3.05%3.53-21.56%0.1890✓0.571.4M2022-10-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.44e-7-3.04%7.70e-7-11.49%0.0633✓0.6915k2022-10-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03291.9712-3.04%1.5924-21.67%0.1707✓1.0613k2022-10-13
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1364.9813-3.01%4.551-11.39%0.0377✓1.316.4M2022-10-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.120576-3.00%0.1168-6.03%0.0106✓1.052.6M2022-10-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1356-2.97%1.2571+7.42%0.1457✗1.091.1M2022-10-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.8194-2.93%7.028+0.04%0.0746✗1.1118.0M2022-10-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.478618-2.92%0.426-13.59%0.0688✓1.1877k2022-10-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,528.96-2.91%1,286.96-18.27%0.1196✓1.31616.7M2022-10-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.043891-2.90%0.0333-26.33%0.2419✓0.85142k2022-10-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.964-2.89%3.097-24.13%0.2263✓0.512.3M2022-10-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.3268-2.88%15.65-17.06%0.1037✓1.3518.0M2022-10-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.5261-2.87%4.61-1.07%0.0520✗0.83839k2022-10-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1189-2.87%0.978-15.10%0.0970✓0.931.1M2022-10-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.041511-2.85%0.03722-12.89%0.0815✓0.6814k2022-10-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.9474-2.82%4.46-27.12%0.2670✓0.522.1M2022-10-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.04286-2.81%0.0344-22.00%0.1732✓1.16546k2022-10-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.008273-2.79%0.00533-37.37%0.4033✓0.903.3M2022-10-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.711259-2.76%0.63573-13.09%0.0689✓1.08624k2022-10-13
DASHDashDash43.7742.5718-2.74%40.41-7.68%0.0106✓1.03312k2022-10-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.131076-2.73%0.12034-10.70%0.0395✓1.14151k2022-10-13
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.37e-7-2.67%7.70e-7-10.47%0.0549✓0.711.7M2022-10-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.035137-2.67%0.0319-11.63%0.0562✓1.0190k2022-10-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.260857-2.63%0.2551-4.78%0.0174✓0.992.7M2022-10-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.101903-2.63%0.1121+7.11%0.1304✗0.876.5M2022-10-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.048303-2.61%0.0541+9.07%0.1481✗0.86234k2022-10-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.8407-2.60%4.2295-14.90%0.1315✓0.09119k2022-10-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.4172-2.59%1.407-3.30%0.0358✗1.0771k2022-10-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.451713-2.59%0.3769-18.72%0.1422✓0.9738.3M2022-10-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.322256-2.58%0.2586-21.83%0.1757✓1.1072k2022-10-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.301667-2.58%0.327+5.60%0.1064✗0.64326k2022-10-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.450631-2.57%0.4211-8.95%0.0227✓1.12366k2022-10-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0552.9778-2.53%2.773-9.23%0.0556✓0.39759k2022-10-13
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.038872-2.50%0.035845-10.10%0.0593✓0.5423k2022-10-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.390927-2.46%0.3093-22.83%0.1942✓0.99202k2022-10-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.163354-2.41%0.14863-11.20%0.0663✓0.703542022-10-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3764-2.38%1.66+17.73%0.1830✗-0.11113k2022-10-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.094501-2.38%0.0743-23.24%0.2117✓0.722,9132022-10-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.194466-2.28%0.1711-14.02%0.0872✓1.01132k2022-10-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.161243-2.28%0.1439-12.79%0.0684✓1.131,7442022-10-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.496575-2.25%0.41049-19.19%0.1381✓1.3041k2022-10-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.035665-2.23%0.03232-11.40%0.0699✓0.712,2982022-10-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.424313-2.23%0.38-12.44%0.0684✓1.047,9852022-10-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012243-2.22%0.01008-19.49%0.1694✓0.62233k2022-10-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.7476-2.18%1.5752-11.84%0.0598✓1.1025k2022-10-13
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.9038-2.16%6.15+1.92%0.0950✗1.356.9M2022-10-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.303807-2.16%0.277-10.79%0.0523✓0.9982k2022-10-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6618-2.10%2.183-19.71%0.1389✓1.482.9M2022-10-13
HIVEHivenative0.55040.53931-2.01%0.4902-10.94%0.0712✓0.60871k2022-10-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.01967-1.99%0.01727-13.95%0.1064✓0.59173k2022-10-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.829616-1.97%0.761919-9.97%0.0513✓0.8446k2022-10-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011853-1.96%0.00001039-14.06%0.0928✓0.971.0M2022-10-13
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.7013-1.95%10.1346-15.08%0.1043✓0.9821k2022-10-13
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.122976-1.86%0.1164-7.10%0.0102✓1.111.4M2022-10-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.810126-1.77%0.73564-10.80%0.0669✓0.7313k2022-10-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.4448-1.72%23.44-9.46%0.0419✓1.006.8M2022-10-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0348-1.68%0.8006-23.93%0.1973✓1.474.5M2022-10-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.262703-1.58%0.20766-22.20%0.1996✓0.8815k2022-10-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.058089-1.54%0.053-10.17%0.0434✓1.20568k2022-10-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005547-1.47%0.0048-14.74%0.1182✓0.66911k2022-10-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.586473-1.43%0.563-5.38%0.0008✓1.00178k2022-10-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.063796-1.37%0.05314-17.84%0.1471✓0.897802022-10-13
GTGateEthereum4.14324.0884-1.32%4.3617+5.27%0.0939✗0.72696k2022-10-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001499-1.29%0.001497-1.45%0.0283✗0.74353k2022-10-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.787-1.27%2.79+54.14%0.4641✗0.4656k2022-10-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005826-1.24%0.005472-7.24%0.0369✓0.641,9622022-10-13
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.041639-1.24%0.038379-8.97%0.0453✓0.9028k2022-10-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.9862-1.23%2.6695-11.70%0.0714✓1.0120k2022-10-13
XMRMoneroMonero145.44143.6837-1.21%142.89-1.75%0.0343✗0.991.4M2022-10-13
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9781.9859-1.19%70.96-14.48%0.0855✓1.466.2M2022-10-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019959-1.15%0.01784-11.64%0.0869✓0.6312k2022-10-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.012026-1.03%0.010334-14.96%0.1182✓0.83882k2022-10-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.023126-0.19%0.02101-9.32%0.0550✓1.022,9582022-10-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.057116-0.15%0.0499-12.76%0.1027✓0.8090k2022-10-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.210692+0.19%0.1528-27.34%0.2915✗0.7467k2022-10-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.450288+0.29%0.319-28.95%0.2980✗1.164,5592022-10-13
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.216735+0.29%0.225+4.12%0.0724✓0.87527k2022-10-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1020,317.39+0.40%19,353.70-4.37%0.0116✗0.9215k2022-10-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.137291+0.58%0.1133-17.00%0.1710✗0.5283k2022-10-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7820,293.29+0.59%19,378.65-3.95%0.0059✗1.00480.9M2022-10-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.068642+1.09%0.06122-9.84%0.0759✗0.9625k2022-10-13
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.06148+1.32%0.060975+0.48%0.0098✓0.45123k2022-10-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.4967+1.95%14.3-5.92%0.0488✗0.781.4M2022-10-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.