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2022-09-13 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2260
190 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.1%
in alpha space · 40.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.193278-1.54%0.2045+4.18%0.0544✗0.7730k2022-09-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000353654-1.23%0.00030041-16.10%0.1634✓0.102.4M2022-09-14
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8355.2758-0.99%60.09+7.63%0.0805✗1.138,6412022-09-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09211.9832-0.90%11.172-7.61%0.0711✓0.3715.8M2022-09-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.90e-7-0.82%6.58e-7-5.48%0.0503✓0.862.2M2022-09-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23497.1795-0.77%6-17.07%0.1802✓0.2912.2M2022-09-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.2334-0.76%1.2286-1.15%0.0068✓1.09922k2022-09-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.341911-0.72%0.3096-10.10%0.1016✓0.8989k2022-09-14
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.017088-0.71%0.017147-0.37%0.0008✓1.001,0292022-09-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.6794-0.71%5.33-6.82%0.0649✓0.522.0M2022-09-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.109638-0.69%0.1138+3.08%0.0358✗0.56182k2022-09-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.417363-0.63%0.41296-1.68%0.0131✓0.93392k2022-09-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2124.1857-0.63%4.3+2.09%0.0245✗0.92245k2022-09-14
PROPropyEthereum0.710.705763-0.60%0.72+1.41%0.0193✗0.2442k2022-09-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.541-0.59%5.5438-15.75%0.1658✓0.169.1M2022-09-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1346.0978-0.59%5.739-6.44%0.0621✓0.563.1M2022-09-14
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.5761-0.58%4.4848-2.57%0.0236✓1.32118k2022-09-14
FISStafiEthereum0.350.347986-0.58%0.3209-8.31%0.0835✓0.961,1592022-09-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.192454-0.49%0.1924-0.52%0.0027✓0.923.2M2022-09-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02231.0174-0.48%1.0173-0.49%0.0014✓0.492.8M2022-09-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.657441-0.48%0.6751+2.19%0.0226✗1.49210k2022-09-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13214.1132-0.46%3.8335-7.23%0.0721✓0.667.3M2022-09-14
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000043751-0.45%0.00004616+5.03%0.0514✗0.833.0M2022-09-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.9498-0.45%1.9379-1.06%0.0080✓0.721.5M2022-09-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1424.1241-0.43%4.013-3.11%0.0283✓0.372.0M2022-09-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.107761-0.41%0.1128+4.25%0.0423✗1.282.5M2022-09-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.4446-0.39%6.2-4.17%0.0400✓0.482.1M2022-09-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.311-0.39%2.35+1.29%0.0151✗0.61247k2022-09-14
XVGVergenative0.003370.003357-0.38%0.00337+0.00%0.0014✓0.94483k2022-09-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,982.99-0.38%9,194.00+1.96%0.0197✗1.354.1M2022-09-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.0246-0.37%0.025957+5.12%0.0536✗0.04471k2022-09-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.138685-0.37%0.1399+0.50%0.0062✗0.98128k2022-09-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.040154-0.36%0.0391-2.98%0.0287✓0.799,5132022-09-14
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1778-0.36%1.216+2.88%0.0277✗1.602.8M2022-09-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.143903-0.34%0.1482+2.63%0.0269✗0.97336k2022-09-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.8519-0.32%13.974+0.55%0.0055✗1.2520.3M2022-09-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001526-0.32%0.00153-0.07%0.0008✓0.676,5532022-09-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.843633-0.32%0.8515+0.61%0.0054✗1.4894k2022-09-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.288479-0.31%0.293868+1.55%0.0160✗0.97487k2022-09-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6117.2397-0.31%119.99+2.03%0.0202✗1.154.4M2022-09-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.4859-0.30%14.69+1.10%0.0116✗0.931.8M2022-09-14
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010965-0.30%0.011731+6.66%0.0649✗1.006682022-09-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1813.1412-0.29%13.31+0.99%0.0098✗1.12925k2022-09-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.047762-0.29%0.0487+1.67%0.0166✗1.10177k2022-09-14
FLOWFlownative1.8641.8586-0.29%1.868+0.21%0.0014✓1.39967k2022-09-14
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.4054-0.29%4.518+2.26%0.0226✗1.001.4M2022-09-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.077.0504-0.28%7.208+1.95%0.0192✗1.1110.0M2022-09-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.6755-0.27%1.664-0.95%0.0093✓0.94627k2022-09-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.262294-0.27%0.268+1.90%0.0196✗0.74534k2022-09-14
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.380139-0.27%0.38003-0.30%0.0028✓0.9531k2022-09-14
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.2407-0.27%1.257+1.05%0.0099✗1.22323k2022-09-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.297206-0.27%0.285-4.36%0.0445✓0.9774k2022-09-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.399745-0.26%0.3776-5.79%0.0596✓0.99202k2022-09-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7272-0.26%8.42-3.77%0.0373✓0.562.4M2022-09-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.6112-0.26%2.614-0.15%0.0010✓0.80523k2022-09-14
KCSKuCoinnative9.2549.2308-0.25%9.368+1.23%0.0126✗0.831.2M2022-09-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.608477-0.25%0.632+3.61%0.0352✗1.04114k2022-09-14
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,467.77-0.24%1,547.05+5.14%0.0500✗1.003.4M2022-09-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007941-0.24%0.00805+1.13%0.0108✗1.10463k2022-09-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.107349-0.23%0.1076+0.00%0.0001✓0.84188k2022-09-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.918867-0.23%0.928+0.76%0.0087✗0.462.7M2022-09-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.092187-0.23%0.095+2.81%0.0274✗1.01336k2022-09-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.877616-0.23%0.8986+2.16%0.0204✗1.21899k2022-09-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.804806-0.22%0.8234+2.08%0.0199✗1.11946k2022-09-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.911008-0.22%0.917+0.44%0.0036✗1.131.5M2022-09-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.158.9729-0.22%60.2+1.86%0.0181✗0.9714.4M2022-09-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2935.2151-0.21%39.37+11.56%0.1076✗1.5010.6M2022-09-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.295972-0.21%0.3032+2.23%0.0216✗0.956.0M2022-09-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.407-0.21%1.41+0.00%0.0024✗-0.11113k2022-09-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.8586-0.21%5.955+1.43%0.0138✗0.976.2M2022-09-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.0336-0.21%0.03442+2.23%0.0214✗1.0532k2022-09-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001234-0.21%0.001225-0.92%0.0093✓0.812.2M2022-09-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.3868-0.21%6.311-1.39%0.0145✓0.974.3M2022-09-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.7813-0.21%1.814+1.62%0.0139✗1.6265k2022-09-14
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.8098-0.20%15.1+1.75%0.0162✗1.2275k2022-09-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0222.018-0.20%2.029+0.35%0.0023✗1.1930k2022-09-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.059395-0.19%0.06049+1.65%0.0151✗1.201.2M2022-09-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.2975-0.19%1.33+2.31%0.0220✗1.0258k2022-09-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.068999-0.19%0.06876-0.54%0.0040✓0.20354k2022-09-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.320796-0.18%0.32611+1.47%0.0137✗1.0333k2022-09-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.126.1091-0.18%5.87-4.08%0.0413✓0.522.1M2022-09-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.9611-0.18%4.8787-1.84%0.0170✓0.09119k2022-09-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.492-0.18%4.38-2.67%0.0267✓0.571.4M2022-09-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.485666-0.17%0.4853-0.25%0.0029✓0.81422k2022-09-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.155835-0.17%0.1487-4.74%0.0500✓1.189132022-09-14
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1365.1273-0.17%5.102-0.66%0.0084✓1.316.4M2022-09-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.162567-0.17%0.16348+0.39%0.0029✗1.04271k2022-09-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0824.0753-0.16%3.938-3.53%0.0356✓0.512.3M2022-09-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.519174-0.16%0.513-1.35%0.0149✓1.1166k2022-09-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.134548-0.16%0.13632+1.16%0.0101✗1.14151k2022-09-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03292.0298-0.15%2.0244-0.42%0.0054✓1.0613k2022-09-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.104495-0.15%0.105209+0.53%0.0045✗0.876.5M2022-09-14
HIVEHivenative0.55040.549576-0.15%0.5551+0.85%0.0084✗0.60871k2022-09-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.816.7749-0.15%16.98+1.07%0.0107✗0.57396k2022-09-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002823-0.15%0.002872+1.59%0.0149✗0.901.2M2022-09-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.4079-0.15%1.387-1.63%0.0181✓1.1943k2022-09-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.006207-0.14%0.006325+1.75%0.0179✗0.3330k2022-09-14
STXStacksnative0.34970.349204-0.14%0.3522+0.71%0.0058✗1.06313k2022-09-14
QNTQuantEthereum97.8797.7325-0.14%99.05+1.21%0.0110✗0.933.5M2022-09-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1687-0.14%1.1889+1.59%0.0143✗1.091.1M2022-09-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.189557-0.13%0.1889-0.47%0.0062✓1.02101k2022-09-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.400909-0.12%0.4062+1.20%0.0101✗1.1467k2022-09-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.69e-7-0.12%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0108✗0.6915k2022-09-14
ZECZcashZcash58.9258.8505-0.12%61.96+5.16%0.0486✗1.101.1M2022-09-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.7186-0.12%10+2.77%0.0251✗1.33288k2022-09-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0257.0171-0.11%7.458+6.16%0.0580✗1.1118.0M2022-09-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0553.0516-0.11%3.109+1.77%0.0176✗0.39759k2022-09-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.124162-0.11%0.1252+0.72%0.0056✗1.052.6M2022-09-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.05957-0.11%0.061125+2.50%0.0233✗0.961.2M2022-09-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56651.5103-0.11%52.366+1.55%0.0142✗0.85246k2022-09-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1508-0.10%1.167+1.30%0.0115✗0.931.1M2022-09-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.00271.0017-0.10%1.0171+1.43%0.0132✗0.7741k2022-09-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000012078-0.10%0.00001219+0.83%0.0067✗0.971.0M2022-09-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.008502-0.10%0.0085-0.12%0.0026✓0.903.3M2022-09-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,573.19-0.10%1,639.14+4.09%0.0376✗1.31616.7M2022-09-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012508-0.10%0.01237-1.20%0.0127✓0.62233k2022-09-14
SOLSolanaSolana33.0132.9782-0.10%34.12+3.36%0.0309✗1.2054.5M2022-09-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.198809-0.10%0.1975-0.75%0.0093✓1.01132k2022-09-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.730771-0.10%0.74432+1.76%0.0155✗1.08624k2022-09-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.823944-0.10%0.81175-1.57%0.0168✓0.7313k2022-09-14
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.59e-7-0.09%8.80e-7+2.33%0.0221✗0.711.7M2022-09-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.032.0281-0.09%2.04+0.49%0.0027✗1.21227k2022-09-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.084722-0.09%0.0914+7.78%0.0733✗0.9711k2022-09-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.785-0.09%1.8088+1.24%0.0104✗1.1025k2022-09-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.309387-0.09%0.32281+4.25%0.0408✗0.64326k2022-09-14
KSMKusamaHydration46.3846.3399-0.09%47.58+2.59%0.0237✗1.02363k2022-09-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.042696-0.08%0.0431+0.87%0.0076✗0.6814k2022-09-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.045166-0.07%0.0465+2.88%0.0269✗0.85142k2022-09-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.330556-0.07%0.3366+1.75%0.0152✗1.1072k2022-09-14
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.5337-0.07%1.6104+4.93%0.0461✗1.02246k2022-09-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.044069-0.07%0.043-2.49%0.0276✓1.16546k2022-09-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.059358-0.07%0.0607+2.19%0.0196✗1.0578k2022-09-14
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.463377-0.07%0.481+3.73%0.0348✗0.9738.3M2022-09-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.46218-0.07%0.4883+5.58%0.0520✗1.12366k2022-09-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.049566-0.07%0.0553+11.49%0.1072✗0.86234k2022-09-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.7171-0.07%2.719+0.00%0.0032✓1.482.9M2022-09-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.167268-0.07%–pending––0.703542022-09-14
METISMetisEthereum27.927.8819-0.06%27.58-1.15%0.0149✓1.54159k2022-09-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.8583-0.06%19.13+1.38%0.0108✗1.3518.0M2022-09-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.036078-0.06%0.0366+1.39%0.0117✗1.0190k2022-09-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.621637-0.06%0.628+0.96%0.0073✗1.093.2M2022-09-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0519-0.06%1.0706+1.72%0.0138✗1.474.5M2022-09-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.6575-0.05%4.67+0.21%0.0005✓0.83839k2022-09-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.096749-0.05%0.0953-1.55%0.0170✓0.722,9132022-09-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.02006-0.05%0.02042+1.74%0.0162✗0.59173k2022-09-14
DASHDashDash43.7743.7488-0.05%45.58+4.14%0.0383✗1.03312k2022-09-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003808-0.04%0.00389+2.10%0.0188✗0.9495k2022-09-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.020423-0.04%0.0206+0.83%0.0059✗1.039.7M2022-09-14
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.8811-0.03%25.5-1.51%0.0175✓1.006.8M2022-09-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.492849-0.03%0.508+3.04%0.0272✗1.1877k2022-09-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.266838-0.03%0.26901+0.78%0.0058✗0.8815k2022-09-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.9679-0.03%7.08+1.58%0.0132✗1.05224k2022-09-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005898-0.02%0.005976+1.30%0.0114✗0.641,9622022-09-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.267853-0.02%0.2719+1.49%0.0124✗0.992.7M2022-09-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.036474-0.02%0.03631-0.47%0.0064✓0.712,2982022-09-14
QTUMQtumQtum3.02333.0229-0.01%3.0963+2.42%0.0213✗1.0120k2022-09-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.4549-0.01%1.466+0.76%0.0048✗1.0771k2022-09-14
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9782.9629-0.01%83.92+1.14%0.0076✗1.466.2M2022-09-14
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.04216-0.01%0.042714+1.31%0.0107✗0.9028k2022-09-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.16499-0.01%0.1637-0.79%0.0108✓1.131,7442022-09-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.310503+0.00%0.3394+9.31%0.0864✓0.9982k2022-09-14
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.553+0.00%1.536-1.09%0.0128✗0.6929k2022-09-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.208508+0.00%0.2119+1.63%0.0137✓0.9159k2022-09-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.012153+0.00%0.012183+0.26%0.0003✓0.83882k2022-09-14
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.125307+0.01%0.1249-0.32%0.0062✗1.111.4M2022-09-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.13651+0.01%0.1305-4.40%0.0464✗0.5283k2022-09-14
GTGateEthereum4.14324.1436+0.01%4.3085+3.99%0.0371✓0.72696k2022-09-14
XMRMoneroMonero145.44145.4617+0.01%149.8+3.00%0.0268✓0.991.4M2022-09-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005631+0.03%0.00561-0.36%0.0055✗0.66911k2022-09-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.216165+0.03%0.2195+1.57%0.0130✓0.87527k2022-09-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.434135+0.03%0.431-0.69%0.0100✗1.047,9852022-09-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.846545+0.03%0.870716+2.89%0.0259✓0.8446k2022-09-14
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.938+0.03%12.0571+1.03%0.0074✓0.9821k2022-09-14
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0346.0364+0.04%6.182+2.45%0.0203✓1.356.9M2022-09-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.059024+0.04%0.0601+1.86%0.0149✓1.20568k2022-09-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.8107+0.04%1.81+0.00%0.0016✗0.4656k2022-09-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.00152+0.05%0.001556+2.44%0.0216✓0.74353k2022-09-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.595318+0.05%0.612+2.86%0.0250✓1.00178k2022-09-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.020203+0.06%0.020693+2.49%0.0223✓0.6312k2022-09-14
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.039894+0.06%0.040455+1.47%0.0125✓0.5423k2022-09-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.449313+0.07%0.443-1.34%0.0172✗1.164,5592022-09-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.057259+0.10%0.0582+1.75%0.0142✓0.8090k2022-09-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7820,196.78+0.11%20,227.77+0.26%0.0011✓1.00480.9M2022-09-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.508572+0.12%0.51452+1.29%0.0082✓1.3041k2022-09-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.064757+0.12%0.06674+3.18%0.0278✓0.897802022-09-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1020,269.85+0.16%20,259.00+0.11%0.0029✗0.9215k2022-09-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.06802+0.18%0.0709+4.42%0.0390✓0.9625k2022-09-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.210696+0.19%0.2099-0.19%0.0057✗0.7467k2022-09-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.023214+0.19%0.02324+0.30%0.0016✓1.022,9582022-09-14
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.06083+0.24%0.061645+1.59%0.0121✓0.45123k2022-09-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.238+0.25%18.12+19.21%0.1712✓0.781.4M2022-09-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.