8=======>

2022-09-12 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3133
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.2%
in alpha space · 84.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.49%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.065124+1.94%0.061673-3.46%0.0185✓0.47123k2022-10-12
GTGateEthereum4.38394.4621+1.78%4.405+0.48%0.1030✓0.74688k2022-10-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00451.0197+1.51%0.9569-4.74%0.0257✓0.572.6M2022-10-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7122,661.53+1.16%19,155.92-14.49%0.0115✓1.00480.9M2022-10-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2318.4081+0.98%14.98-17.83%0.1225✗0.53396k2022-10-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,731.77+0.88%1,294.33-24.60%0.0787✗1.36569.9M2022-10-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.064365+0.64%0.05987-6.39%0.0858✓1.011.2M2022-10-12
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9991.5241+0.59%71.52-21.40%0.0072✗1.536.0M2022-10-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.129329+0.57%0.0876-31.88%0.1935✗1.252.5M2022-10-12
XMRMoneroMonero163.77164.6842+0.56%144.74-11.62%0.0222✓0.971.4M2022-10-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.4578+0.51%5.66-23.72%0.1042✗1.10224k2022-10-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001633+0.46%0.001688+3.81%0.1559✓0.79374k2022-10-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4161.6708+0.42%52.23-14.95%0.0028✓1.0414.0M2022-10-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.782+0.31%7.147-7.88%0.0924✓1.1318.0M2022-10-12
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000046073+0.22%0.00003798-17.38%0.0553✗0.883.0M2022-10-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04525.0552+0.20%4.1434-17.87%0.1889✗0.06119k2022-10-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.142365+0.18%0.12114-14.76%0.0280✓1.21151k2022-10-12
SOLSolanaSolana37.4637.4988+0.10%31.16-16.82%0.0064✓1.2254.5M2022-10-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.091561+0.07%0.0807-11.80%0.0278✓0.9814k2022-10-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.7164+0.01%9.053-6.81%0.0644✓0.861.2M2022-10-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.9798-0.00%4.7-5.62%0.0776✗0.87839k2022-10-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2773-0.14%1.022-20.09%0.0768✓0.931.1M2022-10-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,283.73-0.17%19,167.20-14.13%0.0069✓0.9213k2022-10-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.9377-0.18%2.065-29.83%0.1097✓1.552.9M2022-10-12
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.046626-0.18%0.039427-15.59%0.0280✓0.8928k2022-10-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5315.4999-0.19%11.739-24.41%0.0774✓1.2819.6M2022-10-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.065253-0.23%0.0544-16.82%0.0086✗1.22563k2022-10-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.00634-0.25%0.005602-11.86%0.0237✓0.641,9622022-10-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.6175-0.28%1.463-9.80%0.0145✗0.7329k2022-10-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.113444-0.36%0.116277+2.12%0.1637✗0.896.5M2022-10-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.134195-0.38%0.1193-11.43%0.0520✗1.082.7M2022-10-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87128.3628-0.39%111.75-13.28%0.0456✗1.184.4M2022-10-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.023934-0.42%0.024833+3.32%0.0508✗0.09465k2022-10-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.039721-0.45%0.0353-11.53%0.0210✗0.899,1922022-10-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.890395-0.49%0.8317-7.05%0.1771✗1.5789k2022-10-12
ZECZcashZcash62.9262.609-0.49%51.73-17.78%0.0084✓1.171.1M2022-10-12
FTTFTXEthereum28.4628.3049-0.54%23.36-17.92%0.0330✓1.026.8M2022-10-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.2753-0.55%2.7159-17.53%0.0247✓1.0419k2022-10-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.113471-0.55%0.0931-18.40%0.0602✓0.88188k2022-10-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004176-0.57%0.00336-20.00%0.0701✓0.94103k2022-10-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1215.0255-0.62%17.14+13.36%0.2884✗1.001.8M2022-10-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3721.2347-0.63%15.95-25.36%0.0707✓1.3818.0M2022-10-12
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7354.3759-0.65%55.48+1.37%0.2192✗1.278,6412022-10-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.233019-0.67%0.1864-20.55%0.0827✓0.9057k2022-10-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.55915-0.68%0.42113-25.20%0.0741✓1.3439k2022-10-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.048952-0.71%0.0378-23.33%0.1254✓0.85145k2022-10-12
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.233783-0.73%0.2291-2.72%0.1163✗0.87527k2022-10-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.9207-0.74%1.505-22.22%0.0242✗1.7160k2022-10-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.537964-0.74%0.428-21.03%0.0377✓1.2277k2022-10-12
METISMetisEthereum29.9329.704-0.76%24.34-18.68%0.0615✗1.66159k2022-10-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.06617-0.79%0.0689+3.30%0.2045✗1.0579k2022-10-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.047092-0.80%0.03857-18.75%0.0980✓0.6514k2022-10-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.317801-0.82%0.252468-21.21%0.0758✓0.99471k2022-10-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.8981-0.84%4.066-31.64%0.2714✓0.643.1M2022-10-12
STXStacksnative0.38790.38456-0.86%0.3107-19.90%0.0458✓1.07314k2022-10-12
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.91e-7-0.96%7.70e-7-14.44%0.0308✓0.741.7M2022-10-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.068475-0.98%0.05545-19.81%0.0651✓0.938202022-10-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.039302-1.00%0.0326-17.88%0.0276✓1.0289k2022-10-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.214211-1.01%0.128-40.85%0.3977✓0.7526k2022-10-12
HIVEHivenative0.58020.574217-1.03%0.5112-11.89%0.0196✓0.62836k2022-10-12
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.6392-1.05%1.3516-18.41%0.0270✓1.06241k2022-10-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8206-1.06%2.23+21.20%0.2763✗0.4758k2022-10-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.175412-1.07%0.14279-19.47%0.0366✓1.08271k2022-10-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.350518-1.08%0.28328-20.06%0.0441✓1.0833k2022-10-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.477746-1.09%0.328-32.09%0.1865✓1.214,2692022-10-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.100113-1.17%0.0774-23.59%0.1382✓0.762,7302022-10-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012996-1.20%0.010459-20.49%0.0863✓0.84882k2022-10-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.33052-1.22%0.28-16.32%0.0029✓1.0482k2022-10-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.071107-1.23%0.06138-14.74%0.0095✓1.0025k2022-10-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.5712-1.32%6.054-9.09%0.1380✗1.406.9M2022-10-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.5137-1.32%1.389-9.45%0.0903✗1.1371k2022-10-12
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.494732-1.33%0.3813-23.95%0.1030✓1.0138.3M2022-10-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.561419-1.33%0.457-19.68%0.0265✓1.1466k2022-10-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.901554-1.39%0.760819-16.78%0.0351✓0.8649k2022-10-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.222537-1.40%0.1479-34.47%0.2897✓0.7667k2022-10-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8853-1.41%1.0233-46.49%0.4786✓0.851.4M2022-10-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.170062-1.45%0.1565-9.31%0.0362✗0.765152022-10-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.5398-1.48%1.454-6.97%0.1345✗1.2343k2022-10-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0746-1.50%0.929799-14.78%0.0242✓0.7736k2022-10-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.270817-1.52%0.234-14.91%0.0254✓0.77563k2022-10-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.433182-1.61%0.30131-31.56%0.2093✓0.98379k2022-10-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.149342-1.62%0.1213-20.09%0.0517✓1.00119k2022-10-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012671-1.62%0.00001016-21.12%0.0624✓1.011.0M2022-10-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.202958-1.62%0.1782-13.62%0.0403✗1.09135k2022-10-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.048397-1.63%0.0357-27.44%0.1202✓1.18546k2022-10-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.1912-1.66%2.859-11.90%0.0516✓0.37676k2022-10-12
XVGVergenative0.003570.00351-1.68%0.00312-12.61%0.0372✗0.99483k2022-10-12
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.2017-1.69%12.49-24.21%0.0641✓1.2579k2022-10-12
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.392858-1.73%0.3906-2.29%0.1528✗1.0131k2022-10-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.058936-1.77%0.0499-16.83%0.0338✓0.8590k2022-10-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.94e-7-1.79%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0197✓0.7415k2022-10-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.503499-1.83%0.3722-27.43%0.1681✓0.86396k2022-10-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.151849-1.84%0.1346-12.99%0.0378✗1.01336k2022-10-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.778953-1.92%0.64761-18.46%0.0079✓1.13624k2022-10-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.129354-1.93%0.1178-10.69%0.0908✗1.181.4M2022-10-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.951194-1.94%0.833-14.12%0.0533✗1.191.5M2022-10-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.317409-1.94%0.3135-3.15%0.1415✗0.986.0M2022-10-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.635229-1.97%0.57-12.04%0.0517✗1.02178k2022-10-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006087-1.97%0.0049-21.10%0.1177✓0.63911k2022-10-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011767-1.98%0.009569-20.28%0.0502✓1.006492022-10-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.788-1.99%5.07-26.80%0.1354✓1.004.3M2022-10-12
QNTQuantEthereum106.65104.5239-1.99%153.65+44.07%0.5316✗0.933.5M2022-10-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.244-2.01%1.1675-8.03%0.1153✗1.141.1M2022-10-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.399775-2.02%0.3171-22.28%0.0614✓1.09202k2022-10-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.3757-2.12%4.714-14.17%0.0875✗1.406.4M2022-10-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3227-2.17%1.105-18.27%0.0200✓1.28323k2022-10-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.8448-2.20%0.6656-22.95%0.0545✓1.17946k2022-10-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.835144-2.24%0.75156-12.02%0.0180✓0.7913k2022-10-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60953.364-2.28%48.073-11.97%0.0341✗0.88264k2022-10-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.063242-2.31%0.05596-13.56%0.0731✗1.251.2M2022-10-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,577.19-2.35%1,254.87-22.31%0.0720✓1.003.3M2022-10-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.399646-2.36%0.2554-37.60%0.3205✓0.8189k2022-10-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.8814-2.38%11.54-18.85%0.0010✓1.19925k2022-10-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.284698-2.40%0.2577-11.66%0.0593✗1.022.7M2022-10-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9146-2.42%1.5946-18.73%0.0071✓1.1223k2022-10-12
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.9686-2.44%3.153-38.09%0.2982✓1.001.4M2022-10-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.024272-2.44%0.02169-12.82%0.0568✗1.082,9582022-10-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.1799-2.45%3.305-22.87%0.1774✓0.372.2M2022-10-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.653389-2.48%0.556-17.01%0.0054✓1.07111k2022-10-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4537.4868-2.50%23.79-38.13%0.2081✓1.5810.6M2022-10-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.342566-2.51%0.2656-24.42%0.0711✓1.1772k2022-10-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.050272-2.57%0.052+0.78%0.1840✗0.96234k2022-10-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.286696-2.58%0.21464-27.07%0.1480✓0.9015k2022-10-12
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.353036-2.66%0.3109-14.28%0.0382✗1.061,1592022-10-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1123-2.68%0.8202-28.24%0.0628✓1.544.4M2022-10-12
DASHDashDash47.1745.8793-2.74%41.74-11.51%0.0730✗1.07312k2022-10-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5566.3745-2.77%5.147-21.49%0.0622✓0.976.2M2022-10-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.6795-2.77%2.24-18.72%0.0491✓0.83523k2022-10-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.09984-2.79%0.1026-0.10%0.1861✗1.01336k2022-10-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021394-2.83%0.018543-15.78%0.0460✓0.6212k2022-10-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.038862-2.84%0.03373-15.68%0.0325✓0.702,2982022-10-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.2988-2.89%10.3905-17.96%0.0089✓1.0221k2022-10-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7507-2.90%1.584-12.15%0.0591✗1.02627k2022-10-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,458.82-3.00%7,877.53-19.22%0.0390✗1.424.1M2022-10-12
PROPropyEthereum0.730.70807-3.00%0.54-26.03%0.2333✓0.2444k2022-10-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.479889-3.01%0.4253-14.05%0.0603✗1.16384k2022-10-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.022095-3.09%0.02101-7.85%0.1165✗1.0710.3M2022-10-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.4087-3.10%3.72-18.24%0.0746✓0.611.4M2022-10-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.178132-3.14%0.147-20.07%0.0120✓1.151,7442022-10-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.4206-3.18%6.173-19.45%0.0012✓1.1710.0M2022-10-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.6686-3.19%8.85-19.69%0.0237✓1.34288k2022-10-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.305879-3.27%0.33712+6.61%0.2056✗0.69326k2022-10-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.351-3.34%1.0849-22.37%0.0499✓1.08922k2022-10-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008051-3.34%0.00592-28.93%0.1234✓1.18428k2022-10-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3819-3.37%1.52+6.29%0.0738✗-0.14124k2022-10-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.464769-3.37%0.377-21.62%0.0460✓1.047,9852022-10-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.975463-3.42%0.873-13.56%0.0470✓0.412.7M2022-10-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012495-3.44%0.01098-15.15%0.0267✓0.65233k2022-10-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3605-3.51%1.1-21.99%0.0465✓1.0668k2022-10-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.925102-3.54%0.7783-18.85%0.0253✓1.27899k2022-10-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.6861-3.64%3.8083-21.69%0.0263✓1.49122k2022-10-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.041101-3.68%0.035794-16.12%0.0546✓0.5323k2022-10-12
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.2203-3.69%0.747-41.04%0.2255✓1.692.7M2022-10-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008716-3.69%0.0055-39.23%0.3128✓0.943.3M2022-10-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.646819-3.75%0.549-18.30%0.0142✓1.143.3M2022-10-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.002986-3.86%0.002075-33.19%0.2211✓0.911.2M2022-10-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.071125-3.89%0.06929-6.36%0.0051✓0.13378k2022-10-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.157797-3.90%0.1486-9.50%0.1453✗1.319132022-10-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.0842-4.00%1.571-27.64%0.0832✓1.2732k2022-10-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.197038-4.02%0.1515-26.21%0.0872✓1.12108k2022-10-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020174-4.03%0.01798-14.46%0.0203✓0.61191k2022-10-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1013-4.05%1.67-23.74%0.0302✓1.27227k2022-10-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.049214-4.07%0.0392-23.59%0.0453✓1.16178k2022-10-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.017734-4.08%0.014341-22.43%0.0558✓1.009912022-10-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.0552-4.31%3.141-25.88%0.1738✓0.522.3M2022-10-12
FLOWFlownative2.1022.0106-4.35%1.558-25.88%0.0330✓1.42967k2022-10-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.408-4.50%5.67-15.50%0.0451✓0.492.1M2022-10-12
KSMKusamaHydration52.2149.81-4.60%40.13-23.14%0.0551✓1.03363k2022-10-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.707744-4.60%0.628-15.35%0.1216✗1.54210k2022-10-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.0469-4.74%1.672-22.19%0.0257✓1.1313k2022-10-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.005929-4.90%0.00603-3.27%0.0750✗0.3730k2022-10-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.181966-5.03%0.1135-40.76%0.4502✓0.1483k2022-10-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.3362-5.03%1.91-22.36%0.1062✓0.61261k2022-10-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.190695-5.32%0.1899-5.71%0.1499✗0.983.2M2022-10-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.4738-5.32%6.78-24.25%0.1307✓0.592.4M2022-10-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.0449-5.35%4.06-23.83%0.1163✓0.642.0M2022-10-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.0377-5.37%4.67-26.80%0.1747✓0.522.1M2022-10-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.280504-5.74%0.2122-28.70%0.1100✓1.0874k2022-10-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001245-5.94%0.0009175-30.67%0.1755✓0.832.2M2022-10-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001553-5.95%0.001361-17.57%0.0255✓0.685,8832022-10-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5815.5663-6.11%14.49-12.61%0.0506✓0.781.5M2022-10-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.034942-6.32%0.02798-24.99%0.0562✓1.0635k2022-10-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.413941-6.69%0.3394-23.49%0.0142✓1.1875k2022-10-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.2504-6.85%3.0801-32.50%0.2260✓0.618.1M2022-10-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.4623-7.75%4.2544-39.27%0.4023✓0.109.1M2022-10-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66046.9945-8.69%4.8842-36.24%0.3199✓0.2511.9M2022-10-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3411.2436-8.89%13.627+10.43%0.2510✗0.3816.0M2022-10-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-76.81e-7-9.09%5.04e-7-32.65%0.1636✓0.872.3M2022-10-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.1109-9.13%3.802-15.96%0.0694✓0.94273k2022-10-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000265354-11.55%0.00028659-4.47%0.1192✓0.272.3M2022-10-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.101158-11.58%0.067-41.43%0.3183✓0.60188k2022-10-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.