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2022-09-12 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1334
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.0%
in alpha space · 88.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.49%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-76.50e-7-13.13%5.04e-7-32.65%0.1180✓0.872.3M2022-10-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.057424-11.30%0.05596-13.56%0.1696✗1.251.2M2022-10-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.00026731-10.90%0.00028659-4.47%0.1118✓0.272.3M2022-10-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.2564-10.11%1.0849-22.37%0.0227✓1.08922k2022-10-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3411.1573-9.58%13.627+10.43%0.2587✗0.3816.0M2022-10-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.4162-9.39%1.454-6.97%0.2181✗1.2343k2022-10-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.104732-8.45%0.067-41.43%0.3530✓0.60188k2022-10-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.375191-8.33%0.2554-37.60%0.2573✓0.8189k2022-10-12
METISMetisEthereum29.9327.4955-8.13%24.34-18.68%0.1388✗1.66159k2022-10-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5566.036-7.93%5.147-21.49%0.0077✓0.976.2M2022-10-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.683486-7.87%0.628-15.35%0.1565✗1.54210k2022-10-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.20043-7.38%0.128-40.85%0.3312✓0.7526k2022-10-12
PROPropyEthereum0.730.676305-7.36%0.54-26.03%0.1874✓0.2444k2022-10-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.119606-6.99%0.0876-31.88%0.1153✓1.252.5M2022-10-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.2129-6.88%3.802-15.96%0.0449✓0.94273k2022-10-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.5297-6.85%3.8083-21.69%0.0602✓1.49122k2022-10-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3155-6.70%1.1-21.99%0.0129✓1.0668k2022-10-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.144557-6.56%0.1346-12.99%0.0870✗1.01336k2022-10-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.627132-6.40%0.556-17.01%0.0464✓1.07111k2022-10-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.809646-6.27%0.6656-22.95%0.0120✓1.17946k2022-10-12
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.1908-6.02%0.747-41.04%0.2010✓1.692.7M2022-10-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66047.2009-6.00%4.8842-36.24%0.3490✓0.2511.9M2022-10-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.2715-5.95%1.105-18.27%0.0595✓1.28323k2022-10-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.414103-5.95%0.30131-31.56%0.1643✓0.98379k2022-10-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.3782-5.92%11.54-18.85%0.0379✓1.19925k2022-10-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.333694-5.83%0.28328-20.06%0.0051✓1.0833k2022-10-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,184.98-5.81%7,877.53-19.22%0.0684✗1.424.1M2022-10-12
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7351.573-5.77%55.48+1.37%0.2722✗1.278,6412022-10-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.8257-5.65%1.505-22.22%0.0750✗1.7160k2022-10-12
STXStacksnative0.38790.366222-5.59%0.3107-19.90%0.0031✓1.07314k2022-10-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.04845-5.55%0.0392-23.59%0.0297✓1.16178k2022-10-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.53869-5.33%0.457-19.68%0.0148✓1.1466k2022-10-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.143761-5.30%0.1213-20.09%0.0136✓1.00119k2022-10-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.957253-5.22%0.873-13.56%0.0282✓0.412.7M2022-10-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.848987-5.12%0.8317-7.05%0.2247✗1.5789k2022-10-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.6469-5.06%4.066-31.64%0.2279✓0.643.1M2022-10-12
FLOWFlownative2.1021.996-5.04%1.558-25.88%0.0257✓1.42967k2022-10-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.0692-5.04%3.305-22.87%0.1506✓0.372.2M2022-10-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.3389-4.92%1.91-22.36%0.1074✓0.61261k2022-10-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.035466-4.92%0.02798-24.99%0.0711✓1.0635k2022-10-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.0561-4.90%5.66-23.72%0.0489✓1.10224k2022-10-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.191582-4.87%0.1899-5.71%0.1453✗0.983.2M2022-10-12
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000043752-4.82%0.00003798-17.38%0.0036✓0.883.0M2022-10-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.0674-4.77%1.571-27.64%0.0752✓1.2732k2022-10-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.913446-4.76%0.7783-18.85%0.0380✓1.27899k2022-10-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5314.8095-4.64%11.739-24.41%0.0318✓1.2819.6M2022-10-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87123.003-4.55%111.75-13.28%0.0882✗1.184.4M2022-10-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.3561-4.53%3.0801-32.50%0.2505✓0.618.1M2022-10-12
ZENHorizenBase16.4815.7437-4.47%12.49-24.21%0.0354✓1.2579k2022-10-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.0922-4.46%1.67-23.74%0.0259✓1.27227k2022-10-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.070724-4.43%0.06929-6.36%0.0006✓0.13378k2022-10-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.306262-4.42%0.252468-21.21%0.0389✓0.99471k2022-10-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.262928-4.39%0.234-14.91%0.0042✓0.77563k2022-10-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.6975-4.39%4.2544-39.27%0.4381✓0.109.1M2022-10-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001579-4.38%0.001361-17.57%0.0421✓0.685,8832022-10-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.169551-4.38%0.14279-19.47%0.0026✓1.08271k2022-10-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.0557-4.33%1.672-22.19%0.0300✓1.1313k2022-10-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2317.4422-4.32%14.98-17.83%0.0686✓0.53396k2022-10-12
XVGVergenative0.003570.003417-4.28%0.00312-12.61%0.0640✗0.99483k2022-10-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.4245-4.26%5.67-15.50%0.0477✓0.492.1M2022-10-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.017703-4.25%0.014341-22.43%0.0540✓1.009912022-10-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.157245-4.24%0.1486-9.50%0.1488✗1.319132022-10-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.310001-4.23%0.3135-3.15%0.1651✗0.986.0M2022-10-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.098355-4.23%0.1026-0.10%0.2011✗1.01336k2022-10-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.3407-4.22%6.173-19.45%0.0096✓1.1710.0M2022-10-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.06131-4.14%0.05987-6.39%0.1344✗1.011.2M2022-10-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.021858-4.13%0.02101-7.85%0.1273✗1.0710.3M2022-10-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,548.70-4.12%1,254.87-22.31%0.0538✓1.003.3M2022-10-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001269-4.10%0.0009175-30.67%0.1949✓0.832.2M2022-10-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.3186-4.08%9.053-6.81%0.1062✗0.861.2M2022-10-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4536.8852-4.07%23.79-38.13%0.1919✓1.5810.6M2022-10-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.556-4.07%1.463-9.80%0.0533✗0.7329k2022-10-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.6444-4.07%5.07-26.80%0.1141✓1.004.3M2022-10-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.002983-3.96%0.002075-33.19%0.2200✓0.911.2M2022-10-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7339-3.83%1.584-12.15%0.0687✗1.02627k2022-10-12
KSMKusamaHydration52.2150.2161-3.82%40.13-23.14%0.0632✓1.03363k2022-10-12
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.5944-3.75%1.3516-18.41%0.0007✓1.06241k2022-10-12
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.384856-3.73%0.3906-2.29%0.1734✗1.0131k2022-10-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.286567-3.71%0.2122-28.70%0.1314✓1.0874k2022-10-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.109882-3.70%0.0931-18.40%0.0281✓0.88188k2022-10-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.647277-3.68%0.549-18.30%0.0135✓1.143.3M2022-10-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.064271-3.64%0.0689+3.30%0.2337✗1.0579k2022-10-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.968479-3.59%0.9569-4.74%0.0772✗0.572.6M2022-10-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.6577-3.57%2.24-18.72%0.0409✓0.83523k2022-10-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0522-3.56%0.929799-14.78%0.0031✓0.7736k2022-10-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.322741-3.54%0.28-16.32%0.0209✓1.0482k2022-10-12
ZECZcashZcash62.9260.7325-3.48%51.73-17.78%0.0221✓1.171.1M2022-10-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.284097-3.47%0.21464-27.07%0.1389✓0.9015k2022-10-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.339316-3.44%0.2656-24.42%0.0616✓1.1772k2022-10-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.049859-3.37%0.052+0.78%0.1922✗0.96234k2022-10-12
SOLSolanaSolana37.4636.2103-3.34%31.16-16.82%0.0413✗1.2254.5M2022-10-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.767758-3.33%0.64761-18.46%0.0066✓1.13624k2022-10-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004062-3.28%0.00336-20.00%0.0424✓0.94103k2022-10-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.023254-3.25%0.024833+3.32%0.0797✗0.09465k2022-10-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.6303-3.24%17.14+13.36%0.3150✗1.001.8M2022-10-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006033-3.22%0.00603-3.27%0.0575✗0.3730k2022-10-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.1422-3.17%2.859-11.90%0.0362✓0.37676k2022-10-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.047649-3.15%0.0357-27.44%0.1046✓1.18546k2022-10-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.429778-3.12%0.3394-23.49%0.0518✓1.1875k2022-10-12
QNTQuantEthereum106.65103.3293-3.11%153.65+44.07%0.5431✗0.933.5M2022-10-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.940062-3.09%0.833-14.12%0.0651✗1.191.5M2022-10-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.497073-3.09%0.3722-27.43%0.1552✓0.86396k2022-10-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.7267-3.01%15.95-25.36%0.0465✓1.3818.0M2022-10-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.681-3.01%6.78-24.25%0.1549✓0.592.4M2022-10-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.1725-2.96%4.06-23.83%0.1413✓0.642.0M2022-10-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.4164-2.94%3.72-18.24%0.0764✓0.611.4M2022-10-12
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.9438-2.93%3.153-38.09%0.2932✓1.001.4M2022-10-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2416-2.93%1.022-20.09%0.0485✓0.931.1M2022-10-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4159.6195-2.92%52.23-14.95%0.0310✗1.0414.0M2022-10-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.6992-2.91%8.85-19.69%0.0208✓1.34288k2022-10-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2329-2.88%1.1675-8.03%0.1242✗1.141.1M2022-10-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.837-2.87%4.7-5.62%0.1067✗0.87839k2022-10-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008098-2.78%0.00592-28.93%0.1292✓1.18428k2022-10-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.041486-2.78%0.035794-16.12%0.0640✓0.5323k2022-10-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.4772-2.73%6.054-9.09%0.1524✗1.406.9M2022-10-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.131024-2.73%0.1193-11.43%0.0760✗1.082.7M2022-10-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.186389-2.72%0.1135-40.76%0.4742✓0.1483k2022-10-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04524.9089-2.70%4.1434-17.87%0.1595✓0.06119k2022-10-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.527558-2.66%0.428-21.03%0.0182✓1.2277k2022-10-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.089063-2.66%0.0807-11.80%0.0554✗0.9814k2022-10-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.3461-2.66%4.714-14.17%0.0931✗1.406.4M2022-10-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.5523-2.65%7.147-7.88%0.1223✗1.1318.0M2022-10-12
DASHDashDash47.1745.9238-2.64%41.74-11.51%0.0720✗1.07312k2022-10-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9103-2.63%1.5946-18.73%0.0049✓1.1223k2022-10-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.048011-2.61%0.0378-23.33%0.1060✓0.85145k2022-10-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.199969-2.60%0.1515-26.21%0.1020✓1.12108k2022-10-12
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.353307-2.59%0.3109-14.28%0.0375✗1.061,1592022-10-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.284188-2.58%0.2577-11.66%0.0611✗1.022.7M2022-10-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.548963-2.49%0.42113-25.20%0.0558✓1.3439k2022-10-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.228826-2.46%0.1864-20.55%0.0646✓0.9057k2022-10-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.11107-2.45%0.116277+2.12%0.1849✗0.896.5M2022-10-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.469459-2.40%0.377-21.62%0.0560✓1.047,9852022-10-12
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.78e-7-2.39%7.70e-7-14.44%0.0162✓0.741.7M2022-10-12
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.489453-2.38%0.3813-23.95%0.0923✓1.0138.3M2022-10-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.063844-2.38%0.0544-16.82%0.0304✗1.22563k2022-10-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.2158-2.35%2.7159-17.53%0.0064✓1.0419k2022-10-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.138776-2.35%0.12114-14.76%0.0535✗1.21151k2022-10-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.046367-2.32%0.03857-18.75%0.0825✓0.6514k2022-10-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60953.3729-2.26%48.073-11.97%0.0340✗0.88264k2022-10-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008846-2.26%0.0055-39.23%0.3275✓0.943.3M2022-10-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.1429-2.24%3.141-25.88%0.1952✓0.522.3M2022-10-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.099071-2.20%0.0774-23.59%0.1277✓0.762,7302022-10-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.90e-7-2.18%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0156✓0.7415k2022-10-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.634026-2.16%0.57-12.04%0.0536✗1.02178k2022-10-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8711-2.16%1.0233-46.49%0.4710✓0.851.4M2022-10-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.038855-2.13%0.0326-17.88%0.0162✓1.0289k2022-10-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1193-2.07%0.8202-28.24%0.0691✓1.544.4M2022-10-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.8844-1.99%2.065-29.83%0.0914✓1.552.9M2022-10-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.309976-1.98%0.33712+6.61%0.1923✗0.69326k2022-10-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.5037-1.97%1.389-9.45%0.0969✗1.1371k2022-10-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.129359-1.93%0.1178-10.69%0.0908✗1.181.4M2022-10-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.400211-1.91%0.3171-22.28%0.0625✓1.09202k2022-10-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001595-1.90%0.001688+3.81%0.1797✗0.79374k2022-10-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.039175-1.82%0.0353-11.53%0.0349✗0.899,1922022-10-12
FTTFTXEthereum28.4627.954-1.78%23.36-17.92%0.0205✓1.026.8M2022-10-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.486152-1.75%0.4253-14.05%0.0474✗1.16384k2022-10-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.2709-1.71%4.67-26.80%0.2126✓0.522.1M2022-10-12
HIVEHivenative0.58020.570362-1.70%0.5112-11.89%0.0129✓0.62836k2022-10-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006106-1.68%0.0049-21.10%0.1208✓0.63911k2022-10-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.840226-1.65%0.75156-12.02%0.0120✓0.7913k2022-10-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,688.77-1.63%1,294.33-24.60%0.0536✓1.36569.9M2022-10-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.203027-1.59%0.1782-13.62%0.0399✗1.09135k2022-10-12
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.045985-1.55%0.039427-15.59%0.0141✓0.8928k2022-10-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4092-1.45%1.52+6.29%0.0542✗-0.14124k2022-10-12
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9989.6782-1.44%71.52-21.40%0.0132✓1.536.0M2022-10-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.021703-1.43%0.018543-15.78%0.0604✓0.6212k2022-10-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039457-1.36%0.03373-15.68%0.0476✓0.702,2982022-10-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.902185-1.32%0.760819-16.78%0.0358✓0.8649k2022-10-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012997-1.19%0.010459-20.49%0.0863✓0.84882k2022-10-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012795-1.12%0.01098-15.15%0.0505✓0.65233k2022-10-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011872-1.10%0.009569-20.28%0.0591✓1.006492022-10-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.5368-1.01%10.3905-17.96%0.0281✓1.0221k2022-10-12
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3419-0.96%4.405+0.48%0.1303✗0.74688k2022-10-12
XMRMoneroMonero163.77162.2842-0.91%144.74-11.62%0.0369✗0.971.4M2022-10-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.182443-0.79%0.147-20.07%0.0359✓1.151,7442022-10-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8273-0.69%2.23+21.20%0.2727✗0.4758k2022-10-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020882-0.66%0.01798-14.46%0.0548✓0.61191k2022-10-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012809-0.55%0.00001016-21.12%0.0732✓1.011.0M2022-10-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.068844-0.44%0.05545-19.81%0.0704✓0.938202022-10-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.171816-0.43%0.1565-9.31%0.0259✗0.765152022-10-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006329-0.43%0.005602-11.86%0.0219✓0.641,9622022-10-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.22582+0.05%0.1479-34.47%0.3043✗0.7667k2022-10-12
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.236186+0.29%0.2291-2.72%0.1061✓0.87527k2022-10-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.485043+0.42%0.328-32.09%0.2016✗1.214,2692022-10-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.060336+0.56%0.0499-16.83%0.0572✗0.8590k2022-10-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.025084+0.82%0.02169-12.82%0.0239✓1.082,9582022-10-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,514.75+0.87%19,167.20-14.13%0.0172✗0.9213k2022-10-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7122,600.50+0.88%19,155.92-14.49%0.0088✓1.00480.9M2022-10-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.073031+1.45%0.06138-14.74%0.0172✗1.0025k2022-10-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.8385+1.56%14.49-12.61%0.0279✗0.781.5M2022-10-12
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.065107+1.92%0.061673-3.46%0.0188✓0.47123k2022-10-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.