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2022-09-11 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1554
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.3%
in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.30e-7-13.61%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1273✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000376201-12.79%0.00028097-34.87%0.2414✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.231724-11.25%0.1306-49.98%0.4642✓0.8024k2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.1713-10.89%1.105-15.94%0.0874✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.058165-10.80%0.05586-14.34%0.1296✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.4803-10.18%1.424-13.59%0.1299✗1.2443k2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.3249-10.08%14.164+12.47%0.2747✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.113491-9.50%0.0677-46.01%0.4323✓0.62191k2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.674327-8.27%0.6398-12.96%0.1560✗1.53226k2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9829.4427-7.93%24.24-24.20%0.0370✓1.70168k2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.4632-7.92%3.9604-18.29%0.0888✗1.53129k2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.9107-7.89%5.133-20.01%0.0100✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.663455-7.85%0.56-22.22%0.1380✓0.2346k2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.1535-7.72%3.85-14.46%0.0526✓0.95286k2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.108041-7.42%0.0886-24.08%0.0303✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.143434-7.16%0.1354-12.36%0.0805✗1.02336k2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.302-7.13%0.738-47.36%0.3332✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60947.0722-7.06%5.0794-33.25%0.2968✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.638595-6.91%0.555-19.10%0.0061✓1.08111k2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3592-6.90%1.09-25.34%0.0754✓1.0779k2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2551.5299-6.73%55.84+1.07%0.2554✗1.298,9662022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.308542-6.73%0.255-22.91%0.0870✓0.7684k2022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.2789-6.58%1.115-18.55%0.0355✓1.27343k2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.809306-6.58%0.6867-20.73%0.0040✓1.18946k2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.426989-6.52%0.30021-34.28%0.2156✓1.01379k2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,530.31-6.52%7,823.46-23.26%0.0017✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.8619-6.44%1.515-23.87%0.0274✓1.7260k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.329375-6.35%0.2823-19.73%0.0077✓1.0834k2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4657-6.25%1.94-26.24%0.1553✓0.62262k2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.6543-6.22%11.52-20.88%0.0081✓1.19925k2022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.558888-6.07%0.454-23.70%0.0505✓1.1664k2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.048854-6.05%0.0393-24.42%0.0588✓1.17190k2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.366806-6.02%0.3122-20.01%0.0147✓1.08324k2022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003587-5.87%0.00325-14.70%0.0389✓1.01481k2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.143119-5.72%0.122-19.63%0.0233✓1.00110k2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1161.9965-5.65%1.581-25.28%0.0395✓1.43967k2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.19654-5.65%0.1946-6.58%0.1261✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.7966-5.58%4.3-29.96%0.2089✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.96762-5.51%0.853-16.70%0.0709✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69914.8682-5.29%12.174-22.45%0.0238✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.923253-5.29%0.7788-20.11%0.0025✓1.27899k2022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.035833-5.23%0.02814-25.58%0.0963✓1.0745k2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.0878-5.19%1.57-28.70%0.1109✓1.2832k2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.1866-5.16%1.6843-26.95%0.1065✓1.1413k2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000043266-5.16%0.000038-16.70%0.0097✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001552-5.13%0.001366-16.50%0.0351✓0.686,5532022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,572.92-5.07%1,240.98-25.10%0.1012✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.442-5.06%3.1333-33.03%0.2668✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.159503-5.06%0.1567-6.73%0.1623✗1.321,0012022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35123.7945-5.03%111.17-14.71%0.0535✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1353-5.02%3.34-23.29%0.1630✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.270734-5.01%0.233-18.25%0.0439✓0.78563k2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.7907-4.98%4.4242-38.10%0.4143✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.844633-4.94%0.8294-6.65%0.1949✗1.5794k2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.298309-4.93%0.252068-19.67%0.0344✓0.99471k2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.070494-4.92%0.07114-4.05%0.0275✓0.14378k2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4715.6619-4.91%12.5-24.10%0.0553✓1.2584k2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.2598-4.85%5.83-23.59%0.0694✓1.10230k2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5636.6916-4.85%23.73-38.46%0.2204✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.017398-4.83%0.014339-21.56%0.0575✓1.008742022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.169325-4.81%0.14363-19.26%0.0198✓1.07268k2022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.310865-4.76%0.3177-2.67%0.1559✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9318.0328-4.74%14.03-25.88%0.1768✓0.55384k2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.2197-4.74%1.67-28.33%0.1093✓1.29227k2022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.752-4.68%1.592-13.38%0.0435✓1.02627k2022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.8401-4.64%5.226-27.14%0.1319✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.5788-4.60%1.496-9.61%0.0476✗0.7536k2022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001305-4.60%0.000927-32.21%0.2272✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.4206-4.60%5.78-14.12%0.0369✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.3491-4.58%6.18-19.76%0.0145✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.110395-4.50%0.0922-20.24%0.0610✓0.88169k2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02750.981303-4.50%0.9454-7.99%0.0404✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.060842-4.49%0.060216-5.47%0.1269✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.38717-4.46%0.38304-5.48%0.1271✗1.0132k2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.095275-4.44%0.105+5.32%0.2341✗1.01336k2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.022286-4.43%0.0222-4.80%0.1405✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6114-4.40%1.3396-20.52%0.0402✓1.06241k2022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.327-4.39%8.744-10.36%0.0529✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.346214-4.33%0.2662-26.44%0.1023✓1.1872k2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.647122-4.27%0.553-18.20%0.0016✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.280678-4.17%0.2043-30.25%0.1709✓1.0883k2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.492137-4.07%0.383-25.34%0.1063✓1.067,7812022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.671-3.99%2.134-23.29%0.1177✓0.79586k2022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.949.8398-3.97%40.86-21.27%0.0607✓1.02395k2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82104.5017-3.97%153.96+41.48%0.5170✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.7023-3.96%3.171-35.23%0.2581✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.061956-3.94%0.0631-2.17%0.1585✗1.0379k2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0435-3.94%0.922593-15.07%0.0186✓0.7734k2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.715.0846-3.92%16.63+5.92%0.2354✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.023046-3.87%0.025016+4.35%0.0919✗0.07455k2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.202617-3.79%0.1451-31.10%0.1772✓1.15108k2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2761.8455-3.77%51.54-19.81%0.0220✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002795-3.74%0.002081-28.34%0.1731✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.938422-3.65%0.833-14.48%0.0440✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.00608-3.63%0.006021-4.56%0.0425✗0.3830k2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2561-3.59%1.2564-3.57%0.1565✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.048307-3.58%0.0362-27.74%0.1302✓1.17536k2022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.9186-3.56%4.82-5.49%0.0972✗0.86859k2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6919.9636-3.51%15.96-22.86%0.0375✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004043-3.50%0.00336-19.81%0.0566✓0.95103k2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.321139-3.50%0.2783-16.38%0.0008✓1.0575k2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.8392-3.48%8.81-21.55%0.0222✓1.36298k2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.775816-3.48%0.64753-19.44%0.0261✓1.14584k2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.281357-3.47%0.21515-26.18%0.1465✓0.9015k2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.1659-3.42%2.858-12.81%0.0514✓0.38720k2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0133.8216-3.39%30.8-12.03%0.0705✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.498385-3.36%0.3748-27.32%0.1688✓0.85418k2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.7611-3.35%7.132-11.18%0.0689✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.049102-3.34%0.0515+1.38%0.1758✗0.94234k2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.040911-3.33%0.036015-14.90%0.0557✓0.5323k2022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1860.1161-3.32%52.01-16.36%0.0030✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.4934-3.32%4.693-17.41%0.0340✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.091014-3.28%0.0796-15.41%0.0005✓0.9914k2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.52523-3.27%0.426-21.55%0.0431✓1.2274k2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008165-3.26%0.00619-26.66%0.1166✓1.18406k2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.048083-3.25%0.0383-22.94%0.1119✓0.85138k2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.430325-3.19%0.355-20.13%0.0334✓1.1781k2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.2576-3.17%4.18-23.02%0.1395✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.133503-3.12%0.1203-12.70%0.0480✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.9059-3.10%4.1004-19.01%0.1709✓0.06117k2022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.2125-3.07%1.022-18.31%0.0440✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3546.867-3.07%41.25-14.68%0.0188✓1.08321k2022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.009152-3.05%0.00556-41.10%0.3674✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8669-2.98%1.6014-16.77%0.0013✓1.1223k2022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.223485-2.96%0.1864-19.06%0.0599✓0.8957k2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.283672-2.95%0.2614-10.57%0.0562✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.111041-2.93%0.116096+1.49%0.1648✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.7177-2.92%7.02-21.83%0.1350✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.139625-2.92%0.12111-15.79%0.0225✓1.21151k2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.84e-7-2.90%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0494✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.3063-2.85%5.992-7.69%0.1390✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.045316-2.84%0.03846-17.54%0.0765✓0.6414k2022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.099851-2.77%0.0794-22.69%0.1248✓0.772,6892022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.495963-2.77%0.3906-23.43%0.1018✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.539677-2.77%0.42218-23.94%0.0633✓1.3439k2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.5121-2.76%3.71-20.04%0.1117✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038518-2.73%0.03308-16.46%0.0584✓0.692,1832022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.064411-2.70%0.0548-17.22%0.0052✓1.23555k2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.414033-2.69%0.313-26.44%0.1293✓1.11202k2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.208449-2.64%0.1798-16.02%0.0001✓1.09138k2022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9548-2.63%1.0218-49.11%0.5331✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.86e-7-2.61%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0387✓0.7515k2022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4775-2.60%1.432-5.60%0.1213✗1.1271k2022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.322775-2.60%0.33684+1.64%0.1381✗0.70326k2022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1523-2.60%0.8192-30.75%0.1293✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45453.0635-2.55%47.915-12.01%0.0157✓0.87275k2022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.2937-2.53%3.254-26.13%0.2039✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,722.35-2.52%1,279.94-27.56%0.1105✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.8904-2.45%2.062-30.41%0.1249✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.03834-2.44%0.0324-17.56%0.0296✓1.0288k2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.130064-2.43%0.118-11.48%0.0639✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.499695-2.40%0.4268-16.64%0.0025✓1.18384k2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.341727-2.39%0.3202-8.54%0.0778✗1.057782022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.036337-2.32%0.0355-4.57%0.0955✗0.877,8252022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.4188-2.30%4.92-25.11%0.1922✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.634338-2.26%0.562-13.41%0.0187✓1.03178k2022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.045751-2.21%0.039437-15.71%0.0271✓0.8928k2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6389.6304-2.18%71.42-22.06%0.0187✓1.535.6M2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8927.2831-2.18%23.25-16.64%0.0215✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.011083-2.04%0.009663-14.59%0.0012✓1.006302022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.90896-2.03%0.762754-17.79%0.0571✓0.8749k2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006477-2.01%0.00472-28.59%0.2295✓0.64911k2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001527-2.00%0.001486-4.62%0.0773✗0.77353k2022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.071609-2.00%0.05605-23.29%0.1127✓0.977022022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.2435-1.91%2.6817-18.90%0.0482✓1.0419k2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.568566-1.84%0.5306-8.39%0.0154✓0.62826k2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3941-1.82%1.52+7.04%0.0671✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021521-1.67%0.018475-15.59%0.0683✓0.6212k2022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.837547-1.67%0.75273-11.63%0.0006✓0.7913k2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.171283-1.64%0.15473-11.15%0.0048✓0.783512022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.013002-1.45%0.010365-21.44%0.1118✓0.85920k2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8726-1.44%2.27+19.47%0.2573✗0.4861k2022-10-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012746-1.42%0.0104-19.57%0.1139✓0.66233k2022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22157.033-1.37%144.57-9.20%0.0507✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.2768-1.23%4.365+0.81%0.1200✗0.73690k2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.7377-1.16%10.4764-18.70%0.0565✓1.0222k2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012841-1.15%0.00001023-21.25%0.0890✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021067-1.09%0.0178-16.43%0.0870✓0.60206k2022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006471-1.01%0.005604-14.27%0.0527✓0.672,0442022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.181808-0.65%0.148-19.13%0.0470✓1.171,7442022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.230169-0.45%0.1522-34.17%0.3094✓0.7766k2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.0255+0.00%0.02204-13.57%0.0076✓1.132,9142022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.515279+0.05%0.336-34.76%0.2605✗1.234,2692022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.12719+0.15%0.1155-9.06%0.0957✗0.0183k2022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.061236+0.22%0.0499-18.33%0.0883✗0.8682k2022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.235699+0.30%0.2305-1.91%0.0958✓0.87503k2022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,954.58+0.56%19,058.11-12.70%0.0056✗1.00473.4M2022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,810.95+0.68%19,028.40-12.16%0.0119✗0.9213k2022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.075993+0.71%0.06085-19.36%0.0845✗1.0124k2022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.8484+1.62%14.48-12.67%0.0448✗0.791.5M2022-10-11
TRXTRONTron0.064190.065264+1.67%0.06166-3.94%0.0098✓0.49123k2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.