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2022-09-10 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0571
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.65%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.3%
in alpha space · 51.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.06472+0.21%0.06419-0.61%0.0133✗0.62129k2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.130888+0.14%0.127-2.83%0.0302✗0.0183k2022-09-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.4894+0.11%16.58-5.09%0.0590✗0.681.6M2022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.025493+0.09%0.0255+0.12%0.0114✗1.412,9582022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.229896-0.00%0.2312+0.57%0.0007✓0.7767k2022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,728.86-0.02%21,663.60-0.32%0.0108✓0.9413k2022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.075963-0.02%0.07546-0.68%0.0159✓1.1125k2022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,645.48-0.03%21,831.72+0.83%0.0003✗1.00473.4M2022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.069065-0.07%0.07307+5.73%0.0487✗0.936022022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.021043-0.08%0.0213+1.14%0.0061✗0.73223k2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.555796-0.11%0.55506-0.24%0.0115✓1.2239k2022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.013052-0.11%0.013193+0.97%0.0057✗0.61929k2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum4.3244.3192-0.11%4.3301+0.14%0.0037✓0.75702k2022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8878-0.11%1.9+0.53%0.0022✗0.5161k2022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.042484-0.12%0.042322-0.50%0.0081✓0.5123k2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.18587-0.12%0.183-1.67%0.0267✓1.341,5202022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467613.4488-0.14%12.8866-4.31%0.0500✓0.8822k2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.228977-0.14%0.235+2.49%0.0190✗0.85503k2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001546-0.14%0.001558+0.65%0.0015✗0.77343k2022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.171042-0.15%0.17414+1.66%0.0038✗1.712952022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.021543-0.15%0.021887+1.45%0.0096✗0.7512k2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.220458-0.15%0.2303+4.30%0.0360✗0.9257k2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23655.1475-0.16%54.454-1.42%0.0187✓0.73284k2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.936774-0.16%0.927788-1.12%0.0161✓0.7849k2022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.006217-0.17%0.006309+1.30%0.0110✗0.4433k2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.133369-0.17%0.1333-0.22%0.0093✓1.061.4M2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero157.51157.231-0.18%159.22+1.09%0.0042✗1.011.3M2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.331704-0.18%0.33139-0.27%0.0069✓0.72327k2022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.57790.576854-0.18%0.5792+0.22%0.0021✓0.74826k2022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.039706-0.19%0.0396-0.45%0.0090✓0.762,2982022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.511-0.20%1.517+0.20%0.0052✓1.1071k2022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.655686-0.20%0.649-1.22%0.0178✓0.92178k2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.550878-0.20%0.543-1.63%0.0234✓1.0877k2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.08e-7-0.21%9.10e-7+0.00%0.0042✓0.7515k2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005917-0.21%0.00661+11.47%0.1055✗0.63911k2022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.209545-0.22%0.2106+0.29%0.0045✓1.15108k2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.6198-0.22%4.64+0.22%0.0002✓0.501.3M2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.442418-0.22%0.4445+0.25%0.0047✓1.1381k2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006286-0.22%0.006537+3.75%0.0333✗0.692,0442022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.6572-0.23%1.655-0.36%0.0076✓0.7544k2022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0734.9908-0.23%35.01-0.17%0.0081✓1.0458.3M2022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.848257-0.23%0.8518+0.19%0.0032✓0.8913k2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.03931-0.23%0.0393-0.25%0.0073✓0.8584k2022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.211101-0.24%0.2141+1.18%0.0045✗1.16139k2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.6927.6242-0.24%27.89+0.72%0.0015✓0.976.8M2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050679-0.24%0.0508+0.00%0.0058✓0.99234k2022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.514765-0.24%0.515-0.19%0.0091✓1.154,5592022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4266-0.24%1.42-0.70%0.0042✓-0.05124k2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.00412-0.24%0.00419+1.45%0.0094✗0.90103k2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0243.0166-0.24%2.963-2.02%0.0298✓1.433.0M2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.047782-0.25%0.0497+3.76%0.0320✗0.88132k2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.066834-0.25%0.0662-1.19%0.0195✓1.21608k2022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0525.0394-0.25%5.682+12.47%0.1097✗1.246.2M2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.046024-0.25%0.04664+1.08%0.0074✗0.7114k2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.103339-0.25%0.1027-0.87%0.0121✓0.712,6892022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.678284-0.25%0.676-0.59%0.0127✓1.133.7M2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.511093-0.26%0.5101-0.45%0.0091✓0.8637.9M2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,770.15-0.26%1,766.95-0.44%0.0126✓1.30591.2M2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.059646-0.26%0.0611+2.17%0.0168✗0.8881k2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.2188-0.26%1.251+2.37%0.0182✗0.941.1M2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.294134-0.26%0.2923-0.88%0.0138✓0.922.7M2022-09-11
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.28e-7-0.26%9.10e-7-2.15%0.0255✓0.771.7M2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.504552-0.27%0.512+1.21%0.0056✗1.09384k2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.045613-0.27%0.046785+2.29%0.0188✗0.7928k2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.656-0.27%6.491-2.74%0.0354✓1.246.9M2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.3661-0.27%3.3066-2.04%0.0258✓0.9619k2022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.143324-0.28%0.14382+0.07%0.0058✓1.12157k2022-09-11
DASHDashDash48.7748.6355-0.28%48.35-0.86%0.0138✓0.95328k2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.037795-0.28%0.0372-1.85%0.0220✓0.747,8252022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7492.4832-0.28%91.63-1.20%0.0211✓1.425.6M2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.115.0958-0.28%5.1-0.20%0.0059✓0.81943k2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.9316-0.28%5.0627+2.37%0.0254✗0.09115k2022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.3941-0.29%5.43+0.37%0.0032✗0.412.0M2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4520.3895-0.30%20.69+1.17%0.0049✗1.1718.5M2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.2832-0.30%4.405+2.54%0.0244✗0.442.1M2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.00001324-0.30%0.00001299-2.18%0.0265✓0.90951k2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.009351-0.30%0.00944+0.64%0.0034✗0.723.3M2022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.013019-0.31%0.01293-1.00%0.0128✓0.72228k2022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.138659-0.32%0.1378-0.93%0.0102✓0.482.9M2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007835-0.32%0.00844+7.38%0.0658✗1.03389k2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum105.47105.1335-0.32%108.82+3.18%0.0282✗0.763.4M2022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.4391-0.32%6.57+1.70%0.0165✗0.432.2M2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.9908-0.32%8.98-0.44%0.0049✓0.442.2M2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.7545-0.33%7.63-1.93%0.0247✓1.03237k2022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash65.3365.1075-0.34%64.27-1.62%0.0227✓1.171.2M2022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.066-0.34%1.0863+1.55%0.0122✗0.8034k2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.523093-0.34%0.5157-1.75%0.0197✓0.66444k2022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.02297-0.35%0.02332+1.17%0.0082✗0.839.2M2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.038067-0.35%0.03781-1.02%0.0149✓0.9859k2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.338907-0.35%0.3328-2.15%0.0269✓1.0582k2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.2402-0.35%1.183-4.95%0.0595✓1.484.4M2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.810834-0.35%0.80376-1.22%0.0157✓0.83584k2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.932-0.35%1.9241-0.76%0.0128✓1.0523k2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.797-0.36%2.782-0.89%0.0120✓0.80630k2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.0645-0.36%0.063703-1.59%0.0207✓1.001.3M2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.050818-0.36%0.0501-1.76%0.0220✓0.94546k2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002901-0.36%0.002904-0.24%0.0058✓0.851.2M2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.418884-0.36%0.4255+1.21%0.0071✗1.03209k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration52.3252.1279-0.37%51.9-0.80%0.0121✓0.93363k2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.024101-0.37%0.023973-0.90%0.0057✓0.04454k2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.2597-0.38%3.278+0.18%0.0015✓0.50653k2022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.289249-0.38%0.29146+0.38%0.0004✓0.9614k2022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.071695-0.38%0.07414+3.02%0.0324✗0.13389k2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.66-0.38%1.6855+1.15%0.0066✗1.04241k2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.161876-0.38%0.168+3.38%0.0295✗0.921,0012022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.114256-0.39%0.114387-0.28%0.0057✓0.836.5M2022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3263.0698-0.40%62.18-1.80%0.0221✓0.9513.5M2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001375-0.40%0.001367-0.97%0.0113✓0.672.3M2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0299-0.41%1.0275-0.64%0.0065✓0.512.7M2022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7817-0.41%1.838+2.74%0.0241✗0.85627k2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9617.8857-0.41%18.93+5.40%0.0517✗0.61384k2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.973954-0.41%0.974-0.41%0.0100✓1.211.5M2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.065523-0.42%0.0645-1.98%0.0224✓0.8081k2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.7343-0.43%9.755-0.21%0.0055✓0.921.2M2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.320921-0.43%0.3264+1.27%0.0098✗0.865.9M2022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.2143-0.43%2.202-0.99%0.0147✓1.1033k2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.09847-0.44%0.0997+0.81%0.0050✗0.89336k2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.364903-0.44%0.3619-1.26%0.0167✓1.0271k2022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.8714-0.44%8.03+1.57%0.0120✗0.9618.0M2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.352513-0.44%0.35169-0.67%0.0102✓0.9534k2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.401856-0.45%0.40526+0.40%0.0007✓0.9431k2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1297.0968-0.45%7.173+0.62%0.0037✓0.844.3M2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003220.003205-0.46%0.00381+18.32%0.1651✗0.94481k2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.4972-0.47%15.7+0.83%0.0058✗0.871.7M2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.5886-0.47%6.73+1.66%0.0177✗0.432.1M2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.3289-0.48%2.33-0.43%0.0090✓1.14229k2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001593-0.48%0.001636+2.19%0.0210✗0.666,5532022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.3286-0.49%1.3029-2.41%0.0287✓1.111.1M2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.9912-0.50%6.139+1.96%0.0209✗0.423.3M2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.178694-0.50%0.17789-0.95%0.0122✓0.93268k2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0281.0228-0.50%1.024-0.39%0.0025✓0.442.8M2022-09-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.7887-0.51%4.896+1.72%0.0139✗1.001.2M2022-09-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010917-0.52%0.011314+3.10%0.0274✗1.006082022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.8926-0.52%11.23+2.56%0.0204✗1.22298k2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.315-0.53%2.3057-0.93%0.0131✓1.0913k2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.311016-0.53%0.313787+0.36%0.0007✓0.99514k2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.113888-0.53%0.1156+0.96%0.0085✗0.77169k2022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.098966-0.54%0.0941-5.43%0.0575✓0.8613k2022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.3306-0.54%4.354+0.00%0.0027✓0.322.2M2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.759-0.54%16.47-2.26%0.0263✓1.0885k2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.867189-0.54%0.8663-0.64%0.0092✓0.99988k2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.280268-0.54%0.3308+17.39%0.1592✗0.7984k2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.7343-0.55%7.702-0.96%0.0123✓0.9810.0M2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.312247-0.56%0.2929-6.72%0.0724✓1.0292k2022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64131.8984-0.56%130.35-1.73%0.0210✓1.114.4M2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.051905-0.57%0.052-0.38%0.0053✓0.86204k2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000044306-0.57%0.00004562+2.38%0.0227✗0.792.5M2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.38460.3824-0.57%0.3903+1.48%0.0114✗1.09335k2022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2338.9986-0.59%38.56-1.71%0.0233✓1.4411.7M2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.681849-0.61%0.686+0.00%0.0004✓0.78116k2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.564556-0.61%0.595+4.75%0.0437✗1.0763k2022-09-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,660.25-0.61%1,656.91-0.81%0.0103✓1.003.4M2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.148188-0.61%0.1518+1.81%0.0162✗0.95117k2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0652.7321-0.62%55.25+4.13%0.0367✗1.209,0502022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.200339-0.63%0.2083+3.32%0.0321✗0.833.2M2022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.8944-0.63%15.699-1.85%0.0218✓1.1418.7M2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.6268-0.63%14.56-1.09%0.0131✓1.02925k2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.363-0.65%1.369-0.22%0.0047✓1.09385k2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.980802-0.68%0.9748-1.29%0.0155✓1.13899k2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum32.5532.3226-0.70%31.98-1.75%0.0248✓1.71178k2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.152219-0.71%0.1545+0.78%0.0066✓1.00361k2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3596.314-0.71%6.417+0.91%0.0092✗0.846.2M2022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0482.0333-0.72%1.99-2.83%0.0350✓1.6260k2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.5911-0.72%2.63+0.77%0.0095✗0.66262k2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.479-0.74%1.46-2.01%0.0203✓0.8981k2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.539-0.74%4.6789+2.32%0.0261✗0.517.3M2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.116419-0.75%0.1167-0.51%0.0061✓1.032.5M2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04772.0322-0.76%2.0077-1.95%0.0193✓0.871.2M2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative2.112.094-0.76%2.116+0.28%0.0002✓1.281.1M2022-09-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.417-0.77%4.847+8.89%0.0803✗1.52129k2022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3763-0.77%1.402+1.08%0.0054✓1.582.8M2022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.730.724248-0.79%0.72-1.37%0.0090✓0.3850k2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.9910,356.53-0.81%10,194.93-2.36%0.0273✓1.394.2M2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.5319-0.81%4.501-1.49%0.0143✓0.90289k2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.894597-0.82%0.8885-1.50%0.0181✓1.3694k2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.6013-0.85%1.648+2.04%0.0197✗1.0943k2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.9185-0.86%7.1468+2.42%0.0312✗0.158.6M2022-09-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.018766-0.94%0.01828-3.51%0.0345✓1.006792022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.281309-0.95%0.285+0.35%0.0071✓0.72563k2022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.065239-0.97%0.06521-1.02%0.0095✓1.091.4M2022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41537.3415-1.00%7.6094+2.62%0.0340✗0.229.9M2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.510854-1.00%0.513-0.58%0.0040✓0.997,7812022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.741562-1.01%0.7351-1.87%0.0200✓1.36210k2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.1261-1.02%0.1254-1.57%0.0113✓0.69195k2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.3102-1.12%1.3145-0.79%0.0043✓0.911.1M2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.459662-1.15%0.45678-1.77%0.0140✓0.93392k2022-09-11
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.388399-1.20%0.3501-10.94%0.1126✓1.067402022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21412.0623-1.24%12.594+3.11%0.0395✗0.4416.0M2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-76.76e-7-1.27%7.30e-7+6.57%0.0695✗0.832.3M2022-09-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000426293-1.96%0.00043138-0.79%0.0077✓0.501.8M2022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.169483-2.48%0.2611+50.23%0.4253✗0.8324k2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.