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2022-09-09 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2499
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.6%
in alpha space · 84.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.000373052-13.37%0.00030654-28.82%0.1494✓0.501.5M2022-10-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-76.36e-7-13.09%5.37e-7-26.58%0.1022✓0.702.3M2022-10-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.061354-11.99%0.05915-15.15%0.0679✓1.111.5M2022-10-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.1918-11.73%1.2235-9.38%0.1148✓0.941.2M2022-10-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38711.0765-10.58%14.608+17.93%0.3223✗0.4816.0M2022-10-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.3911-9.96%1.285-16.83%0.0254✓1.1143k2022-10-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.111849-9.94%0.069-44.44%0.4190✓0.68195k2022-10-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.709859-9.50%0.6442-17.87%0.0364✓1.42210k2022-10-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.2632-8.79%3.692-21.01%0.0598✓0.89298k2022-10-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3795.8407-8.44%5.43-14.88%0.0073✓0.856.2M2022-10-09
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.2932-8.35%0.844-40.18%0.2735✓1.632.8M2022-10-09
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.192-8.21%4.5126-1.19%0.2195✗1.55129k2022-10-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51526.8984-8.21%5.7888-22.97%0.1475✓0.309.9M2022-10-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.142819-7.74%0.1452-6.20%0.1150✗1.04421k2022-10-09
PROPropyEthereum0.730.675978-7.40%0.6-17.81%0.0908✓0.3052k2022-10-09
METISMetisEthereum32.4230.0299-7.37%25.89-20.14%0.0129✓1.71185k2022-10-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.104301-7.37%0.0963-14.48%0.0186✓1.042.7M2022-10-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.059,681.64-7.26%8,080.63-22.59%0.0504✓1.384.5M2022-10-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.3735-7.19%1.16-21.62%0.0828✓0.9181k2022-10-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.328797-7.16%0.30141-14.90%0.0035✓0.9635k2022-10-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.637047-7.00%0.585-14.60%0.0075✓0.83129k2022-10-09
BANDBandEthereum1.381.2858-6.82%1.217-11.81%0.0551✓1.17385k2022-10-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.822255-6.67%0.7352-16.55%0.0175✓1.001.0M2022-10-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.011.8814-6.40%1.613-19.75%0.0019✓1.6165k2022-10-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7113.7851-6.29%12.43-15.50%0.0043✓1.05925k2022-10-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.192488-6.24%0.2155+4.97%0.1930✗0.853.2M2022-10-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.390262-6.21%0.31729-23.75%0.1174✓0.95392k2022-10-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.048802-6.15%0.0423-18.65%0.0605✓0.88204k2022-10-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.125.7455-6.12%5.026-17.88%0.0898✓0.473.6M2022-10-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.2044-6.05%3.5064-21.65%0.1289✓0.567.3M2022-10-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.4251-6.01%2.03-21.32%0.1132✓0.69262k2022-10-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.001528-5.92%0.001377-15.21%0.0415✓0.667,1022022-10-09
STXStacksnative0.38130.358837-5.89%0.3386-11.20%0.0465✓1.11348k2022-10-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.5389-5.89%5.1729-25.55%0.2139✓0.228.6M2022-10-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.141265-5.76%0.1309-12.68%0.0160✓0.98128k2022-10-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.040.980442-5.73%0.854-17.88%0.1025✓0.382.9M2022-10-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12615.207-5.70%13.193-18.19%0.0341✓1.1515.6M2022-10-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.036853-5.67%0.03037-22.27%0.0994✓1.0072k2022-10-09
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.017347-5.64%0.015117-17.77%0.0434✓1.004152022-10-09
FLOWFlownative2.1111.9919-5.64%1.704-19.28%0.0324✓1.311.1M2022-10-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1937.0035-5.58%26.97-31.18%0.1794✓1.4511.8M2022-10-09
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000042127-5.42%0.00004076-8.49%0.0433✓0.812.5M2022-10-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.53106-5.34%0.492-12.30%0.0249✓1.0757k2022-10-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9125.8177-5.33%117.18-11.83%0.0338✓1.114.4M2022-10-09
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6948.9452-5.31%59.1+14.34%0.3023✗1.219,1802022-10-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.0935-5.29%3.71-14.16%0.0705✓0.302.2M2022-10-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.169374-5.28%0.15261-14.66%0.0155✓0.94268k2022-10-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.262484-5.24%0.248-10.47%0.0117✓0.73563k2022-10-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.928394-5.22%0.836-14.65%0.0045✓1.16899k2022-10-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.3527-5.21%0.2904-21.96%0.0968✓1.0471k2022-10-09
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.0007-5.21%13.53-19.85%0.0651✓1.0987k2022-10-09
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,514.37-5.19%1,282.56-19.70%0.0719✓1.003.4M2022-10-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.811977-5.19%0.8318-2.87%0.1535✗1.3794k2022-10-09
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.377002-5.16%0.3903-1.82%0.1216✗0.9231k2022-10-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.06837-5.11%0.06824-5.29%0.0105✓0.13397k2022-10-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.16.7384-5.09%5.854-17.55%0.0610✓0.854.4M2022-10-09
XVGVergenative0.003280.003114-5.05%0.00335+2.13%0.1633✗0.96483k2022-10-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.0816-5.04%1.728-21.17%0.0819✓1.1134k2022-10-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0917.1838-5.01%15.1-16.53%0.0683✓0.65396k2022-10-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.7529-4.99%1.732-6.12%0.0707✗0.88627k2022-10-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.1473-4.99%6.4-1.08%0.0833✗0.462.1M2022-10-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.3734-4.97%6.478-16.51%0.0357✓1.0010.0M2022-10-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.298356-4.97%0.272878-13.08%0.0065✓1.02514k2022-10-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04690.995034-4.95%0.9431-9.91%0.0039✓0.532.8M2022-10-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.00132-4.89%0.0009941-28.37%0.2129✓0.752.5M2022-10-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.308726-4.89%0.3389+4.41%0.1755✗0.875.8M2022-10-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.022373-4.84%0.02177-7.40%0.0479✓0.809.2M2022-10-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.215-4.83%1.7824-23.41%0.1144✓1.0913k2022-10-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.2387-4.74%1.8-23.40%0.1097✓1.15232k2022-10-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.927.5463-4.72%6.59-16.79%0.0336✓1.08255k2022-10-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.658959-4.64%0.59-14.62%0.0039✓1.133.8M2022-10-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.060973-4.61%0.062134-2.79%0.1146✗1.021.3M2022-10-09
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.5702-4.56%1.4242-13.44%0.0013✓1.05247k2022-10-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.109194-4.55%0.0973-14.95%0.0384✓0.82169k2022-10-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.6258-4.52%2.276-17.24%0.0648✓0.83630k2022-10-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.29515-4.51%0.224-27.53%0.1808✓1.0195k2022-10-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.1798-4.49%9.025-6.10%0.0693✗0.921.2M2022-10-09
ZECZcashZcash66.0163.0565-4.47%54.8-16.98%0.0328✓1.141.2M2022-10-09
KSMKusamaHydration52.6550.3086-4.45%43.67-17.06%0.0515✓0.96395k2022-10-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.003979-4.36%0.00353-15.14%0.0327✓0.92111k2022-10-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.156958-4.35%0.1463-10.85%0.0176✓0.931,1642022-10-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.02319-4.33%0.026132+7.81%0.1254✗0.06465k2022-10-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.002774-4.31%0.00221-23.77%0.1440✓0.881.2M2022-10-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4814.8209-4.26%18.05+16.60%0.2811✗0.891.7M2022-10-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.094339-4.22%0.1144+16.14%0.2781✗0.90359k2022-10-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.365941-4.20%0.3281-14.11%0.0093✓1.066802022-10-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6142-4.20%1.55-8.01%0.0302✓0.7551k2022-10-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.060988-4.11%0.0611-3.93%0.0776✗0.8082k2022-10-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.265528-3.97%0.2675-3.25%0.0833✗0.8184k2022-10-09
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.204089-3.96%0.1578-25.74%0.1479✓1.16111k2022-10-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.924333-3.92%0.882-8.32%0.0695✗1.231.5M2022-10-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.0382-3.91%1.0032-7.15%0.0410✗0.8038k2022-10-09
QNTQuantEthereum103.3599.3087-3.91%156.03+50.97%0.5259✗0.793.4M2022-10-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.051037-3.89%0.0621+16.95%0.2911✗1.01234k2022-10-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.006068-3.85%0.006271-0.63%0.0731✗0.4336k2022-10-09
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.01075-3.83%0.01046-6.42%0.0669✗1.005862022-10-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.049854-3.76%0.0386-25.48%0.1646✓0.97546k2022-10-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.2778-3.66%1.3862+4.52%0.1854✗1.101.1M2022-10-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.279437-3.65%0.23395-19.33%0.0845✓0.9914k2022-10-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.866-3.62%1.7097-11.69%0.0110✓1.0523k2022-10-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6910.3061-3.59%9.36-12.44%0.0190✓1.22281k2022-10-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.090571-3.55%0.0817-12.99%0.0175✓0.9113k2022-10-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.528923-3.48%0.452-17.52%0.0540✓1.0977k2022-10-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.009382-3.47%0.0063-35.19%0.3280✓0.753.5M2022-10-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.78013-3.45%0.69192-14.37%0.0424✓0.82537k2022-10-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.17e-7-3.43%7.80e-7-17.89%0.0905✓0.7615k2022-10-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.320627-3.43%0.2876-13.37%0.0100✓1.0587k2022-10-09
DASHDashDash49.0147.3373-3.41%42.99-12.28%0.0065✓0.95338k2022-10-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.419.7091-3.39%16.91-17.11%0.0396✓1.2118.8M2022-10-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1559.0814-3.38%53.93-11.81%0.0006✓0.9613.1M2022-10-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.514392-3.38%0.4026-24.38%0.1796✓0.69467k2022-10-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.4837-3.36%7.634-1.42%0.1132✗0.9918.0M2022-10-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.436167-3.35%0.3586-20.54%0.0863✓1.1675k2022-10-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.539168-3.35%0.45944-17.64%0.0429✓1.2441k2022-10-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.132804-3.35%0.1262-8.15%0.0043✓0.503.0M2022-10-09
SOLSolanaSolana34.6933.546-3.30%32.93-5.07%0.0811✗1.0660.5M2022-10-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.024.8561-3.27%5.02+0.00%0.1092✗0.81943k2022-10-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.041183-3.26%0.037252-12.49%0.0537✓0.5025k2022-10-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.282802-3.22%0.2723-6.81%0.0488✗0.922.7M2022-10-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007589-3.21%0.00655-16.45%0.0470✓1.06406k2022-10-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.110809-3.14%0.1288+12.58%0.2290✗0.836.5M2022-10-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.2219-3.12%4.8-10.95%0.0425✓0.442.0M2022-10-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.04475-3.12%0.04054-12.23%0.0322✓0.7114k2022-10-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.3084-3.10%6.633+1.89%0.1672✗1.246.9M2022-10-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.03645-3.06%0.037-1.60%0.0832✗0.727,8252022-10-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.6129-3.01%8.02-9.68%0.0270✓0.472.2M2022-10-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.134725-3.01%0.1466+5.54%0.1627✗0.8324k2022-10-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.100296-3.00%0.0846-18.18%0.1041✓0.702,7842022-10-09
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.83e-7-2.94%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0535✓0.751.8M2022-10-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.4417-2.92%1.564+5.32%0.1852✗1.1071k2022-10-09
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.487629-2.90%0.423-15.77%0.0577✓0.9037.9M2022-10-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.1463-2.89%3.019-6.82%0.0109✓0.55720k2022-10-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.396.2055-2.89%5.63-11.89%0.0538✓0.462.2M2022-10-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.7891-2.88%1.131-38.60%0.3740✓0.901.2M2022-10-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.8276-2.84%4.1088-17.31%0.1527✓0.09115k2022-10-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.1993-2.81%1.084-12.16%0.0150✓0.911.1M2022-10-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.215514-2.79%0.1993-10.10%0.0113✓0.9557k2022-10-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.137349-2.79%0.12637-10.56%0.0223✓1.12163k2022-10-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.485-2.71%4.34-5.86%0.0173✓0.531.3M2022-10-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.324798-2.69%0.36474+9.27%0.1879✗0.76332k2022-10-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.038048-2.69%0.034-13.04%0.0308✓0.8777k2022-10-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2234.1094-2.69%3.707-12.22%0.0584✓0.472.1M2022-10-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.037937-2.63%0.03485-10.55%0.0121✓0.772,4552022-10-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.046271-2.59%0.0405-14.74%0.0485✓0.90138k2022-10-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.1731-2.59%0.8827-26.70%0.1473✓1.454.5M2022-10-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.404791-2.58%0.3236-22.12%0.1229✓1.07215k2022-10-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.131827-2.57%0.1292-4.51%0.0763✗1.021.4M2022-10-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.209056-2.54%0.1989-7.27%0.0669✗1.24139k2022-10-09
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.045056-2.52%0.041301-10.65%0.0116✓0.8029k2022-10-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51254.1313-2.49%49.815-10.26%0.0122✓0.75287k2022-10-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,677.08-2.45%1,323.41-23.02%0.1148✓1.30617.0M2022-10-09
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0474.9251-2.42%5.265+4.32%0.1897✗1.316.4M2022-10-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9992.9297-2.31%2.253-24.87%0.1295✓1.413.0M2022-10-09
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1489.1089-2.23%75.5-17.16%0.0315✓1.426.0M2022-10-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.001517-2.22%0.001516-2.26%0.0718✗0.77374k2022-10-09
HIVEHivenative0.57680.564036-2.21%0.516-10.54%0.0161✓0.77867k2022-10-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.644568-2.19%0.607-7.89%0.0267✗0.92178k2022-10-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.488373-2.19%0.4318-13.52%0.0198✓1.10384k2022-10-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.062614-2.17%0.057-10.94%0.0188✓1.20608k2022-10-09
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.2411-2.11%2.8703-13.31%0.0298✓0.9719k2022-10-09
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.907614-2.09%0.782722-15.57%0.0724✓0.8052k2022-10-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.005721-2.04%0.00499-14.55%0.0781✓0.62951k2022-10-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4012-2.02%1.58+10.49%0.0999✗-0.21128k2022-10-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.166999-2.00%0.16431-3.58%0.1872✗2.164042022-10-09
FTTFTXEthereum27.2126.6817-1.94%24.14-11.28%0.0124✓0.936.8M2022-10-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.18162-1.88%0.1601-13.51%0.0043✓1.291,5202022-10-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012694-1.75%0.00001104-14.55%0.0539✓0.91898k2022-10-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.02141-1.74%0.019486-10.57%0.0210✓0.7813k2022-10-09
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.832048-1.71%0.81537-3.68%0.0652✗0.9114k2022-10-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.01304-1.57%0.011043-16.64%0.1071✓0.63929k2022-10-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.006118-1.57%0.005787-6.89%0.0094✓0.692,0942022-10-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.437124-1.55%0.413-6.98%0.0371✗1.007,7812022-10-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.01217-1.54%0.0124+0.32%0.0796✗0.65228k2022-10-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.020958-1.42%0.01851-12.94%0.0552✓0.73234k2022-10-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.7894-1.40%11.0215-15.03%0.0623✓0.9222k2022-10-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.066406-1.37%0.06045-10.22%0.0110✓0.886022022-10-09
GTGateEthereum4.31374.2553-1.35%4.3572+1.01%0.0960✗0.77724k2022-10-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.8268-1.25%2.43+31.35%0.3257✗0.4363k2022-10-09
XMRMoneroMonero161.29159.4177-1.16%145.74-9.64%0.0049✓1.001.3M2022-10-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.025868-0.51%0.02333-10.27%0.0139✗1.242,9582022-10-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.060044-0.26%0.0491-18.44%0.1159✓0.9180k2022-10-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.229047-0.07%0.1679-26.75%0.2384✓0.7767k2022-10-09
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.230476+0.34%0.229-0.30%0.0776✓0.89537k2022-10-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8021,454.60+0.39%19,442.20-9.03%0.0097✗0.9413k2022-10-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.13634+0.40%0.1177-13.33%0.1459✗0.0187k2022-10-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.499499+0.50%0.372-25.15%0.1824✗1.194,5592022-10-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.074656+0.79%0.06092-17.75%0.0984✗1.1125k2022-10-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5021,543.37+0.84%19,443.47-8.99%0.0083✗1.00480.9M2022-10-09
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.064475+1.72%0.062443-1.48%0.0237✓0.59123k2022-10-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2817.5975+1.84%15.46-10.53%0.0543✗0.801.6M2022-10-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.