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2022-09-08 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2522
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.65%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.2%
in alpha space · 80.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000516290.000426605-17.37%0.00029525-42.81%0.3717✓0.721.2M2022-10-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.130.110556-14.96%0.0685-47.31%0.4827✓0.79203k2022-10-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7224.0222-14.82%3.746-20.67%0.0761✓0.99298k2022-10-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.68226.6658-13.23%6.0322-21.48%0.1017✓0.369.9M2022-10-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.48e-76.52e-7-12.78%5.29e-7-29.30%0.2142✓0.842.3M2022-10-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.89376.0914-11.64%5.2565-23.75%0.1487✓0.268.4M2022-10-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.21291.0788-11.06%1.2118-0.09%0.1115✓0.951.3M2022-10-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4743.9817-11.00%3.5435-20.80%0.1197✓0.637.3M2022-10-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.1870.166594-10.91%0.2155+15.24%0.2531✗0.863.1M2022-10-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.41611.1848-9.92%15.367+23.77%0.3149✗0.5516.0M2022-10-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013350.001215-8.98%0.0009955-25.43%0.2033✓0.802.5M2022-10-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.0490.044625-8.93%0.0408-16.73%0.0942✓0.91204k2022-10-08
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.44514.0528-8.83%4.7846+7.64%0.1551✗2.17129k2022-10-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.65330.595909-8.78%0.6385-2.27%0.0620✓1.40210k2022-10-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061910.005648-8.78%0.006309+1.91%0.1085✗0.4538k2022-10-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0563.7023-8.72%3.706-8.63%0.0015✓0.502.1M2022-10-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.375.8306-8.47%6.41+0.63%0.0922✗0.502.1M2022-10-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.381180.348934-8.46%0.31877-16.37%0.0953✓0.97392k2022-10-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035150.032268-8.20%0.03008-14.42%0.0753✓1.0159k2022-10-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.345.8229-8.16%5.63-11.20%0.0363✓0.512.2M2022-10-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012230.000011261-7.92%0.000011-10.06%0.0283✓0.96898k2022-10-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.272.0927-7.81%1.8-20.70%0.1570✓1.26232k2022-10-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.6562.4486-7.81%2.269-14.57%0.0807✓0.88671k2022-10-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.326610.301304-7.75%0.36616+12.11%0.1908✗0.82327k2022-10-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.25442.0803-7.72%1.7914-20.54%0.1556✓1.2013k2022-10-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77211.6359-7.69%1.1244-36.55%0.3797✓0.951.2M2022-10-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8512.8223-7.42%12.34-10.90%0.0439✓1.11925k2022-10-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6520.603659-7.41%0.58-11.04%0.0443✓0.86134k2022-10-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.91480.84771-7.33%0.8295-9.32%0.0278✓1.22908k2022-10-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.39930.370361-7.25%0.3541-11.32%0.0508✓1.1775k2022-10-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.00141-7.21%0.00137-9.87%0.0325✓0.677,1022022-10-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13970.129644-7.20%0.1205-13.74%0.0734✓0.0490k2022-10-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34260.318009-7.18%0.2851-16.78%0.1146✓1.0671k2022-10-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7114.6054-7.03%17.73+12.86%0.1888✗1.011.7M2022-10-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.067870.063144-6.96%0.06886+1.46%0.0864✗0.05389k2022-10-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027280.002538-6.95%0.00215-21.19%0.1707✓0.921.2M2022-10-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29840.277751-6.92%0.2372-20.51%0.1633✓1.0997k2022-10-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.30120.280357-6.92%0.2731-9.33%0.0311✓0.9683k2022-10-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30780.286513-6.92%0.335+8.84%0.1518✗0.915.8M2022-10-08
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.023189-6.87%0.0195-21.69%0.1763✓0.6147k2022-10-08
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105630.009837-6.87%0.010527-0.34%0.0627✓1.005382022-10-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.788.1772-6.87%7.98-9.11%0.0270✓0.522.2M2022-10-08
FLOWFlownative1.9561.8226-6.82%1.686-13.80%0.0848✓1.381.1M2022-10-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3896.8894-6.76%6.312-14.58%0.0928✓1.0510.0M2022-10-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8940.83499-6.60%0.872-2.46%0.0369✓1.291.5M2022-10-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020880.019508-6.57%0.01883-9.82%0.0394✓0.79241k2022-10-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.134.6688-6.55%26.96-27.33%0.2593✓1.5511.8M2022-10-08
ADACardanoCardano0.4790.447871-6.50%0.4221-11.88%0.0640✓0.9438.4M2022-10-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.324.976-6.47%4.87-8.46%0.0240✓0.492.0M2022-10-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.14020.131155-6.45%0.1309-6.63%0.0070✓1.01128k2022-10-08
PROPropyEthereum0.730.683038-6.43%0.6-17.81%0.1313✓0.3453k2022-10-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011670.01092-6.43%0.0144+23.39%0.2733✗0.66228k2022-10-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.62.4337-6.40%2.02-22.31%0.1902✓0.77262k2022-10-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04830.045223-6.37%0.0382-20.91%0.1739✓1.01620k2022-10-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.05170.048407-6.37%0.0567+9.67%0.1527✗1.09234k2022-10-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50670.474491-6.36%0.3931-22.42%0.1919✓0.73467k2022-10-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5250.491669-6.35%0.446-15.05%0.1034✓1.1774k2022-10-08
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.5449-6.34%13.54-12.81%0.0772✓1.1287k2022-10-08
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176190.016504-6.33%0.015261-13.38%0.0833✓1.001512022-10-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024090.022567-6.32%0.02311-4.07%0.0173✓1.292,9142022-10-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.88313.0055-6.32%13.15-5.28%0.0053✓1.1414.8M2022-10-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8655.4945-6.32%5.399-7.95%0.0219✓0.876.2M2022-10-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1310.122732-6.31%0.1313+0.23%0.0649✓0.523.2M2022-10-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008860.008301-6.31%0.00626-29.35%0.2859✓0.743.5M2022-10-08
KSMKusamaHydration50.2647.0918-6.30%42.64-15.16%0.1043✓1.00409k2022-10-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0721.9418-6.28%1.708-17.57%0.1342✓1.1734k2022-10-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.391773-6.27%0.412-1.44%0.0451✓1.057,7812022-10-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.914.9056-6.25%15.04-5.41%0.0050✓0.791.6M2022-10-08
DIADIAEthereum0.379080.355512-6.22%0.39246+3.53%0.0939✗0.9832k2022-10-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.544.2582-6.21%4.39-3.30%0.0276✓0.581.3M2022-10-08
QNTQuantEthereum101.9295.5979-6.20%148.85+46.05%0.4384✗0.873.4M2022-10-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8511.7363-6.20%1.6788-9.30%0.0393✓1.1123k2022-10-08
MOVRMoonriverBase12.798512.0105-6.16%10.8961-14.86%0.1023✓0.9925k2022-10-08
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1056-6.15%0.836-29.03%0.2877✓1.642.8M2022-10-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.005670.005323-6.12%0.00499-11.99%0.0678✓0.65951k2022-10-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5010.470352-6.12%0.49-2.20%0.0355✓1.0857k2022-10-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10430.097933-6.10%0.0962-7.77%0.0233✓1.082.7M2022-10-08
XEMNEMnative0.0443210.041616-6.10%0.041135-7.19%0.0158✓0.8429k2022-10-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.41.3147-6.09%1.14-18.57%0.1474✓0.9681k2022-10-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32731.2469-6.05%1.3699+3.21%0.0879✗1.221.1M2022-10-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.043721-5.98%0.0411-11.61%0.0667✓0.97138k2022-10-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170340.160246-5.93%0.15272-10.34%0.0531✓1.00268k2022-10-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20420.192119-5.92%0.1872-8.33%0.0325✓1.31139k2022-10-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1125.751-5.91%5.085-16.80%0.1258✓0.543.9M2022-10-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0409740.038564-5.88%0.037113-9.42%0.0409✓0.5125k2022-10-08
FTTFTXEthereum26.0524.5228-5.86%24.12-7.41%0.0215✓0.976.8M2022-10-08
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19920.187526-5.86%0.1568-21.29%0.1857✓1.33111k2022-10-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14910.140373-5.85%0.1437-3.62%0.0179✓1.11469k2022-10-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136630.128633-5.85%0.12627-7.58%0.0246✓1.20167k2022-10-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.330340.31102-5.85%0.29691-10.12%0.0514✓1.0035k2022-10-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9312.7605-5.82%2.215-24.43%0.2278✓1.533.3M2022-10-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.12791.0629-5.77%0.8838-21.64%0.1923✓1.554.5M2022-10-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0380.978181-5.76%0.85-18.11%0.1426✓0.422.9M2022-10-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.036001-5.76%0.0339-11.26%0.0648✓0.9466k2022-10-08
HIVEHivenative0.55180.520188-5.73%0.535-3.04%0.0240✓0.81867k2022-10-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,266.668,736.46-5.72%8,043.91-13.20%0.0897✓1.424.5M2022-10-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.147273-5.72%0.1422-8.96%0.0401✓1.001,2532022-10-08
APEApeCoinEthereum4.54.2439-5.69%5.166+14.80%0.1899✗1.336.4M2022-10-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16240.153202-5.66%0.1363-16.07%0.1222✓1.0524k2022-10-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05990.056512-5.66%0.0615+2.67%0.0804✗0.8382k2022-10-08
FISStafiEthereum0.32520.30684-5.65%0.325-0.06%0.0526✓0.976202022-10-08
XVGVergenative0.003160.002982-5.63%0.00335+6.01%0.1112✗1.02483k2022-10-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.81840.772637-5.59%0.7275-11.11%0.0654✓1.041.0M2022-10-08
API3Api3Ethereum1.7631.6649-5.56%1.758-0.28%0.0497✓0.94578k2022-10-08
CBKCobakEthereum0.854290.806785-5.56%0.80978-5.21%0.0013✓1.0014k2022-10-08
BANDBandEthereum1.2731.2025-5.54%1.2-5.73%0.0081✓1.21429k2022-10-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3419-5.50%1.53+7.75%0.1323✗-0.22124k2022-10-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27940.264301-5.40%0.2676-4.22%0.0075✓0.972.7M2022-10-08
METISMetisEthereum29.1327.571-5.35%25.79-11.47%0.0760✓1.83186k2022-10-08
NANOnanopayBase0.8753490.828517-5.35%0.786751-10.12%0.0559✓0.8352k2022-10-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.772840.731944-5.29%0.68921-10.82%0.0645✓0.87537k2022-10-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207260.01963-5.29%0.019332-6.73%0.0194✓0.8113k2022-10-08
SCSiacoinnative0.003990.00378-5.27%0.00349-12.53%0.0847✓0.98123k2022-10-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4786.1396-5.22%5.811-10.30%0.0593✓0.854.4M2022-10-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.249307-5.21%0.246-6.46%0.0172✓0.76581k2022-10-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0244250.023155-5.20%0.026408+8.12%0.1309✗0.11465k2022-10-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.604923-5.18%0.6-5.96%0.0131✓0.99178k2022-10-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1418.1566-5.14%16.79-12.28%0.0846✓1.2719.2M2022-10-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.45e-7-5.10%7.80e-7-12.36%0.0835✓0.7815k2022-10-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.294.072-5.08%3.701-13.73%0.0973✓0.352.2M2022-10-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11090.105326-5.03%0.0979-11.72%0.0775✓0.87169k2022-10-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.092323-5.02%0.1123+15.53%0.1909✗0.99368k2022-10-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.2750.6042-5.00%49.962-6.21%0.0168✓0.79287k2022-10-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6430.610882-5.00%0.585-9.02%0.0492✓1.163.9M2022-10-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3816.5133-4.99%15-13.69%0.0996✓0.68396k2022-10-08
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.36e-7-4.96%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0737✓0.801.8M2022-10-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05550.052751-4.95%0.0483-12.97%0.0928✓0.9280k2022-10-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157780.150015-4.92%0.1645+4.26%0.0820✗2.022952022-10-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.7495-4.92%2.46+33.70%0.3384✗0.4868k2022-10-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060430.057468-4.90%0.05844-3.29%0.0113✓1.101.5M2022-10-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.22680.215694-4.90%0.174-23.28%0.2190✓0.8366k2022-10-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.279690.266164-4.84%0.2332-16.62%0.1375✓1.0514k2022-10-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007430.007077-4.74%0.00635-14.54%0.1141✓1.12389k2022-10-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3052980.290911-4.71%0.270386-11.44%0.0787✓1.09514k2022-10-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.929.455-4.69%9.22-7.06%0.0316✓1.28281k2022-10-08
DASHDashDash46.2844.1213-4.66%42.37-8.45%0.0455✓1.00338k2022-10-08
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,491.781,422.37-4.65%1,276.54-14.43%0.1132✓1.003.5M2022-10-08
XTZTezosTezos1.58771.5143-4.62%1.4096-11.22%0.0773✓1.12247k2022-10-08
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4346.2416-4.52%58.49+20.77%0.2285✗1.289,1802022-10-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47360.452281-4.50%0.4263-9.99%0.0650✓1.15384k2022-10-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09930.094839-4.49%0.0858-13.60%0.1039✓0.742,7842022-10-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17670.16887-4.43%0.1582-10.47%0.0721✓1.361,5202022-10-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.05171.0052-4.42%0.977066-7.09%0.0327✓0.8637k2022-10-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4690.4483-4.41%0.368-21.54%0.2036✓1.244,4682022-10-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.451.3863-4.39%1.23-15.17%0.1256✓1.1745k2022-10-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40450.386884-4.36%0.3252-19.60%0.1795✓1.15215k2022-10-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31490.30119-4.35%0.288-8.54%0.0505✓1.1387k2022-10-08
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.119463-4.35%0.1312+5.04%0.0884✗1.061.4M2022-10-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02090.019993-4.34%0.02161+3.40%0.0738✗0.799.2M2022-10-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03510.033601-4.27%0.0372+5.98%0.0981✗0.736,2432022-10-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044380.042496-4.24%0.04056-8.61%0.0504✓0.7514k2022-10-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09260.088673-4.24%0.0808-12.74%0.0979✓0.9811k2022-10-08
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83170.796578-4.22%0.8303-0.17%0.0340✓1.4899k2022-10-08
XECeCashnative0.000042190.000040432-4.17%0.00004095-2.94%0.0085✓0.842.5M2022-10-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066060.063383-4.05%0.06058-8.30%0.0500✓0.956022022-10-08
STEEMSteemnative0.22190.213037-3.99%0.2332+5.09%0.0857✗0.94503k2022-10-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.377.0761-3.99%6.43-12.75%0.1014✓1.13276k2022-10-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.62121.6264-3.94%117.04-7.57%0.0444✓1.184.4M2022-10-08
ZECZcashZcash61.1358.7296-3.93%54.42-10.98%0.0822✓1.191.2M2022-10-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0932.9718-3.92%2.98-3.65%0.0000✓0.56720k2022-10-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1421-3.87%1.058-10.94%0.0813✓0.951.1M2022-10-08
STXStacksnative0.36210.348104-3.87%0.3278-9.47%0.0660✓1.17365k2022-10-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97410.936452-3.86%0.9356-3.95%0.0036✓0.532.8M2022-10-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.9955.7498-3.86%52.82-8.92%0.0591✓1.0113.1M2022-10-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8431.7718-3.86%1.562-15.25%0.1346✓1.6965k2022-10-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037460.036026-3.83%0.03529-5.79%0.0248✓0.822,5652022-10-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4077.127-3.78%7.454+0.63%0.0395✗1.0618.0M2022-10-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4151.3624-3.72%1.618+14.35%0.1661✗1.1771k2022-10-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06180.059506-3.71%0.057-7.77%0.0494✓1.27617k2022-10-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21350.20558-3.71%0.1991-6.74%0.0371✓1.0157k2022-10-08
SOLSolanaSolana33.6232.3837-3.68%32.59-3.06%0.0006✓1.1461.7M2022-10-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96724.7874-3.62%4.0878-17.70%0.1585✓0.10115k2022-10-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,635.731,580.03-3.40%1,315.71-19.56%0.1900✓1.38660.9M2022-10-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.2778.9642-3.37%8.997-3.02%0.0012✓0.961.2M2022-10-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.529670.512193-3.30%0.47285-10.73%0.0866✓1.3241k2022-10-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059050.005715-3.22%0.005918+0.21%0.0313✓0.712,0942022-10-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1735.9748-3.21%6.512+5.49%0.0794✗1.326.9M2022-10-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1043550.101105-3.11%0.12613+20.87%0.2170✗0.836.5M2022-10-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6325-3.11%1.589-5.70%0.0314✓0.8759k2022-10-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0609780.0592-2.92%0.06163+1.07%0.0348✗1.071.3M2022-10-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0129740.012598-2.90%0.011067-14.70%0.1330✓0.68929k2022-10-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070730.068681-2.90%0.06169-12.78%0.1133✓1.1825k2022-10-08
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2985.7624-2.86%74.71-15.38%0.1457✓1.546.0M2022-10-08
XVSVenusEthereum4.84.6708-2.69%5.09+6.04%0.0817✗0.85943k2022-10-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.16923.087-2.59%2.8264-10.81%0.0934✓1.0319k2022-10-08
XMRMoneroMonero152.39148.9187-2.28%147.42-3.26%0.0154✓1.051.3M2022-10-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0014630.001447-1.11%0.001536+4.99%0.0559✗0.78397k2022-10-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,321.8719,145.34-0.91%19,419.39+0.50%0.0092✗1.00480.9M2022-10-08
GTGateEthereum4.04594.0091-0.91%4.3521+7.57%0.0782✗0.78724k2022-10-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,295.1019,120.02-0.91%19,285.80-0.05%0.0039✓0.9412k2022-10-08
TRXTRONTron0.0611930.061644+0.74%0.062098+1.48%0.0042✓0.62123k2022-10-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.