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2022-09-06 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1164
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.7%
in alpha space · 65.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.9316.3111+2.39%15.05-5.52%0.1247✗0.731.7M2022-10-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.15390.157162+2.12%0.1239-19.49%0.2418✗0.0793k2022-10-06
STEEMSteemnative0.20720.211044+1.86%0.2239+8.06%0.0020✓0.94468k2022-10-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,790.9119,040.68+1.33%19,965.64+6.25%0.0132✗1.00485.5M2022-10-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068010.06872+1.04%0.06262-7.93%0.1645✗1.1825k2022-10-06
TRXTRONTron0.0607660.061353+0.97%0.062765+3.29%0.0147✗0.62129k2022-10-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4390.442697+0.84%0.355-19.13%0.2953✗1.234,1032022-10-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05580.055993+0.35%0.05-10.39%0.1696✗0.9382k2022-10-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum18,917.9018,918.77+0.00%20,006.50+5.75%0.0009✗0.9413k2022-10-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1160.115785-0.19%0.1377+18.71%0.1099✗1.0525k2022-10-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.961.9528-0.37%2.37+20.92%0.1636✗0.5075k2022-10-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.24180.240884-0.38%0.1703-29.57%0.3980✓0.8466k2022-10-06
APEApeCoinEthereum4.3014.2817-0.45%5.162+20.02%0.1051✗1.356.8M2022-10-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197060.019605-0.51%0.019161-2.77%0.0723✓0.8113k2022-10-06
GTGateEthereum3.96483.9421-0.57%4.4133+11.31%0.0656✗0.78769k2022-10-06
DODODODOEthereum0.11910.118334-0.64%0.1306+9.66%0.0343✗1.061.5M2022-10-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.005510.005473-0.68%0.00503-8.71%0.1236✓0.65977k2022-10-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011830.011741-0.76%0.00944-20.20%0.2585✓0.67223k2022-10-06
QTUMQtumQtum2.98512.9607-0.82%2.8302-5.19%0.1080✓1.0419k2022-10-06
CBKCobakEthereum0.802550.795467-0.88%0.79417-1.04%0.0630✓1.0113k2022-10-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121450.012028-0.97%0.011549-4.91%0.0815✓0.67932k2022-10-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.268570.26582-1.02%0.23425-12.78%0.1905✓1.0613k2022-10-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023330.023086-1.04%0.02394+2.61%0.0413✓1.283,1162022-10-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.03591.0237-1.18%0.8912-13.97%0.2323✓1.554.5M2022-10-06
XMRMoneroMonero144.79143.0715-1.19%149.07+2.96%0.0229✓1.061.4M2022-10-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3990.394153-1.21%0.428+7.27%0.0186✗1.057,9852022-10-06
AAVEAaveEthereum83.5882.5379-1.25%77.49-7.29%0.1572✓1.555.6M2022-10-06
UNIUniswapEthereum5.8295.7547-1.27%6.877+17.98%0.0974✗1.337.5M2022-10-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057240.005651-1.28%0.006023+5.23%0.0214✗0.702,1572022-10-06
XEMNEMnative0.0411810.040613-1.38%0.04073-1.10%0.0485✓0.8529k2022-10-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.30160.29714-1.48%0.2881-4.48%0.0992✓1.1397k2022-10-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016030.001577-1.60%0.001592-0.69%0.0405✓0.82413k2022-10-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20090.197566-1.66%0.1812-9.81%0.1672✓1.33142k2022-10-06
XLMStellarStellar0.0998720.098119-1.76%0.119586+19.74%0.1471✗0.846.7M2022-10-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6080.597103-1.79%0.574-5.59%0.0994✓0.99187k2022-10-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87930.862869-1.87%0.8414-4.31%0.0997✓1.23916k2022-10-06
FTTFTXEthereum25.6425.1434-1.94%24.5-4.45%0.0853✓0.986.8M2022-10-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153320.150315-1.96%0.17341+13.10%0.0217✗2.003162022-10-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.041950.04108-2.07%0.04019-4.20%0.0672✓0.7514k2022-10-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06050.059236-2.09%0.0588-2.81%0.0847✓1.28690k2022-10-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063550.062221-2.09%0.06153-3.18%0.0674✓0.937702022-10-06
HIVEHivenative0.52130.510298-2.11%0.4955-4.95%0.0793✓0.82902k2022-10-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.524.4229-2.15%5.25+16.15%0.1200✗0.851.1M2022-10-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2117.815-2.17%17.05-6.37%0.1218✓1.2819.6M2022-10-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.22320.218338-2.18%0.2644+18.46%0.1332✗0.9681k2022-10-06
KSMKusamaHydration45.5644.5639-2.19%42.57-6.56%0.1072✓1.01490k2022-10-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09610.093952-2.24%0.0873-9.16%0.1184✓0.742,9872022-10-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7912.7282-2.25%2.258-19.10%0.2822✓1.533.6M2022-10-06
DASHDashDash42.6841.7064-2.28%42.03-1.52%0.0530✓1.00404k2022-10-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25930.253372-2.29%0.2677+3.24%0.0039✓0.972.8M2022-10-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44340.43325-2.29%0.4396-0.86%0.0555✓1.16384k2022-10-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38850.379593-2.29%0.3604-7.23%0.1232✓1.1885k2022-10-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6596.506-2.30%7.636+14.67%0.0949✗1.0818.6M2022-10-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.05079-2.33%0.054+3.85%0.0080✓1.14234k2022-10-06
MANADecentralandEthereum0.736890.719715-2.33%0.69485-5.71%0.0886✓0.88520k2022-10-06
MOVRMoonriverBase12.174611.8903-2.34%11.104-8.79%0.1292✓1.0028k2022-10-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316670.309267-2.34%0.38697+22.20%0.1745✗0.82332k2022-10-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.8892.8205-2.37%2.993+3.60%0.0265✗0.54653k2022-10-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1031.0767-2.38%1.049-4.90%0.0850✓0.971.2M2022-10-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03580.034936-2.41%0.0367+2.51%0.0031✓0.767,8592022-10-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.54948.343-2.43%48.536-2.04%0.0430✓0.78324k2022-10-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.69961.6582-2.44%1.6717-1.64%0.0594✓1.1125k2022-10-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.042243-2.44%0.0411-5.08%0.0865✓0.97132k2022-10-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.14641.1181-2.47%1.328+15.84%0.0983✗1.22996k2022-10-06
NANOnanopayBase0.848260.826832-2.53%0.800969-5.58%0.0830✓0.8454k2022-10-06
ADACardanoCardano0.46260.45089-2.53%0.4287-7.33%0.1082✓0.9540.4M2022-10-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19630.191296-2.55%0.1959-0.20%0.0368✓1.0058k2022-10-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.374.2572-2.58%4.39+0.46%0.0043✓0.581.3M2022-10-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0401850.039147-2.58%0.037581-6.48%0.0716✓0.5125k2022-10-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.033896-2.60%0.0338-2.87%0.0591✓0.9366k2022-10-06
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18940.184462-2.61%0.1554-17.95%0.2511✓1.31111k2022-10-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.50360.490429-2.62%0.4465-11.34%0.1748✓1.3441k2022-10-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14265.0049-2.68%4.0698-20.86%0.2126✓0.10115k2022-10-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019170.018651-2.71%0.02192+14.35%0.1150✗0.779.7M2022-10-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1362.0782-2.71%1.8289-14.38%0.1983✓1.1613k2022-10-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3951.3568-2.74%1.632+16.99%0.1129✗1.1878k2022-10-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.076338-2.75%0.081+3.18%0.0022✓0.9410k2022-10-06
XTZTezosTezos1.4331.3929-2.80%1.426-0.49%0.0457✓1.14247k2022-10-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.130970.127289-2.81%0.12963-1.02%0.0551✓1.21183k2022-10-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.45e-7-2.82%7.90e-7-9.20%0.1149✓0.7815k2022-10-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008520.00828-2.82%0.00633-25.70%0.3137✓0.743.8M2022-10-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.32630.316742-2.93%0.2893-11.34%0.1554✓1.0773k2022-10-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.035610.034567-2.93%0.0349-1.99%0.0404✓0.822,5652022-10-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000011638-2.93%0.00001119-6.67%0.0978✓0.96873k2022-10-06
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.44e-7-2.94%7.90e-7-9.20%0.1153✓0.801.8M2022-10-06
SOLSolanaSolana30.8729.9603-2.95%33.37+8.10%0.0388✗1.1461.7M2022-10-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021710.021059-3.00%0.01849-14.83%0.1793✓0.81394k2022-10-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.1252.4964-3.00%53.56-1.03%0.0414✓1.0113.1M2022-10-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.147802-3.02%0.142-6.82%0.1023✓1.031,4472022-10-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4244-3.10%1.54+4.76%0.0879✗-0.16128k2022-10-06
FLOWFlownative1.7721.717-3.10%1.694-4.40%0.0967✓1.371.3M2022-10-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.12.0337-3.16%1.82-13.33%0.1842✓1.21227k2022-10-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9623.8353-3.20%3.738-5.65%0.0564✓0.512.1M2022-10-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04530.04385-3.20%0.0386-14.79%0.1897✓1.02739k2022-10-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05920.057291-3.22%0.064+8.11%0.0602✗0.8391k2022-10-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2960.286373-3.25%0.2416-18.38%0.2363✓1.0999k2022-10-06
DIADIAEthereum0.366150.354158-3.28%0.40174+9.72%0.0665✗0.9833k2022-10-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12710.122909-3.30%0.1306+2.75%0.0279✓0.543.5M2022-10-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.68.3157-3.31%8.07-6.16%0.0615✓0.522.1M2022-10-06
ZENHorizenBase14.5414.0545-3.34%13.67-5.98%0.0964✓1.1393k2022-10-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6140.593425-3.35%0.593-3.42%0.0715✓1.174.0M2022-10-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4820.465643-3.39%0.445-7.68%0.1158✓1.1677k2022-10-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.86.5673-3.42%6.47-4.85%0.0831✓1.12283k2022-10-06
COMPCompoundEthereum45.3543.797-3.42%58.51+29.02%0.2122✗1.289,0502022-10-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.086139-3.43%0.118+32.29%0.2548✗0.99372k2022-10-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061990.005985-3.45%0.006387+3.03%0.0380✗0.4541k2022-10-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.5971.5414-3.48%1.713+7.26%0.0489✗0.93574k2022-10-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.226.0017-3.51%5.975-3.94%0.0559✓0.854.5M2022-10-06
QNTQuantEthereum90.0386.8176-3.57%138.24+53.55%0.4132✗0.863.4M2022-10-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.7816.1801-3.58%16.48-1.79%0.0235✓0.69422k2022-10-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.095.8713-3.59%5.71-6.24%0.0581✓0.502.2M2022-10-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50820.48991-3.60%0.3963-22.02%0.2578✓0.75496k2022-10-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28550.275056-3.66%0.3493+22.35%0.1833✗0.925.8M2022-10-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.159550.153704-3.66%0.14977-6.13%0.0865✓1.00268k2022-10-06
ZECZcashZcash57.9355.8046-3.67%55.15-4.80%0.0838✓1.191.3M2022-10-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.489.1321-3.67%9.44-0.42%0.0445✓1.28297k2022-10-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0588970.056711-3.71%0.063377+7.60%0.0458✗1.081.4M2022-10-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10140.0976-3.75%0.0973-4.04%0.0549✓0.86169k2022-10-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.175558-3.75%0.1597-12.45%0.1771✓1.362,0092022-10-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9471.8739-3.75%1.724-11.45%0.1546✓1.1736k2022-10-06
LSKLiskEthereum0.9772590.940495-3.76%0.959042-1.86%0.0331✓0.8739k2022-10-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4750.456675-3.86%0.482+1.47%0.0116✓1.0863k2022-10-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7741.7053-3.87%1.621-8.62%0.1535✓1.6972k2022-10-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007470.00718-3.88%0.00649-13.12%0.1695✓1.13406k2022-10-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2724620.261782-3.92%0.265922-2.40%0.0509✓1.10514k2022-10-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.24.9924-3.99%5-3.85%0.0287✓0.502.0M2022-10-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4310.413716-4.01%0.337-21.81%0.2767✓1.18209k2022-10-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67821.6109-4.01%1.1393-32.11%0.4047✓0.961.1M2022-10-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13070.125384-4.07%0.1422+8.80%0.0606✗1.08489k2022-10-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,559.281,495.45-4.09%1,352.24-13.28%0.1847✓1.39660.9M2022-10-06
KCSKuCoinnative9.0338.6621-4.11%9.062+0.32%0.0134✓0.961.2M2022-10-06
STXStacksnative0.34010.326125-4.11%0.3237-4.82%0.0788✓1.18365k2022-10-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9070.869612-4.12%0.9-0.77%0.0444✓1.301.6M2022-10-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81350.77996-4.12%0.8301+2.04%0.0272✓1.48105k2022-10-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.5442.4382-4.16%2.294-9.83%0.1153✓0.90682k2022-10-06
FISStafiEthereum0.30.287525-4.16%0.3349+11.63%0.0939✗0.976202022-10-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.250.239596-4.16%0.251+0.40%0.0002✓0.76597k2022-10-06
XVGVergenative0.002950.002826-4.19%0.00337+14.24%0.1138✗1.02483k2022-10-06
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,420.831,360.90-4.22%1,312.15-7.65%0.0971✓1.003.3M2022-10-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8746.5827-4.24%6.345-7.70%0.1006✓1.0510.2M2022-10-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027670.002649-4.26%0.002261-18.29%0.2148✓0.931.2M2022-10-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.77511.254-4.42%13.021+10.58%0.0772✗1.1312.5M2022-10-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.13220.126315-4.45%0.1284-2.87%0.0456✓1.02113k2022-10-06
SCSiacoinnative0.003790.00362-4.49%0.00348-8.18%0.0996✓0.99127k2022-10-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1112.5204-4.50%12.68-3.28%0.0549✓1.111.0M2022-10-06
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.739134-4.55%0.7605-1.79%0.0353✓1.051.1M2022-10-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9380.894605-4.63%0.9673+3.12%0.0474✗0.513.0M2022-10-06
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0099540.009492-4.64%0.010479+5.27%0.0383✓1.004852022-10-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6240.594848-4.67%0.584-6.41%0.0711✓0.87164k2022-10-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.17106.908-4.69%118.27+5.44%0.0301✓1.174.4M2022-10-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.7271.6449-4.75%1.496-13.38%0.1484✓0.8883k2022-10-06
METISMetisEthereum28.8427.4543-4.80%26.53-8.01%0.1463✓1.85200k2022-10-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1913.487-4.95%17.18+21.07%0.1802✗1.021.7M2022-10-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074020.070286-5.04%0.06847-7.50%0.0305✓0.07370k2022-10-06
BANDBandEthereum1.1821.122-5.07%1.227+3.81%0.0164✓1.21429k2022-10-06
XECeCashnative0.000040540.000038478-5.09%0.00004293+5.90%0.0579✗0.852.1M2022-10-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.332080.3149-5.17%0.33601+1.18%0.0068✓0.96400k2022-10-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.1415-5.24%2.07-8.41%0.0798✓0.75262k2022-10-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014690.001391-5.30%0.001409-4.08%0.0276✓0.677,6332022-10-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.940.889095-5.42%0.874-7.02%0.0420✓0.412.9M2022-10-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,612.348,133.41-5.56%8,226.12-4.48%0.0747✓1.424.8M2022-10-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1743.9416-5.57%3.902-6.52%0.0311✓0.352.3M2022-10-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012650.001195-5.60%0.0009997-21.00%0.2269✓0.802.4M2022-10-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.314210.296433-5.66%0.3016-4.01%0.0437✓1.0137k2022-10-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.4432.4894-5.66%27.83-19.19%0.2489✓1.5510.6M2022-10-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.04730.044589-5.73%0.0408-13.74%0.1450✓0.93204k2022-10-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057730.054409-5.75%0.05928+2.68%0.0191✓1.101.6M2022-10-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09770.092061-5.77%0.0989+1.23%0.0059✓1.082.8M2022-10-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.265.8941-5.84%6.4+2.24%0.0520✓0.502.1M2022-10-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.1568-5.95%1.17-4.88%0.0463✓0.9581k2022-10-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033330.031309-6.06%0.03051-8.46%0.0878✓1.0259k2022-10-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0251150.023558-6.20%0.02737+8.98%0.1425✗0.12454k2022-10-06
PROPropyEthereum0.710.665509-6.27%0.6-15.49%0.1234✓0.3357k2022-10-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5995.247-6.29%5.489-1.96%0.0078✓0.877.2M2022-10-06
OPTIMOptimism1.0951.026-6.30%0.851-22.28%0.2848✓1.613.0M2022-10-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.63220.591929-6.37%0.627-0.82%0.0282✓1.41226k2022-10-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4571.3573-6.84%1.231-15.51%0.1700✓1.1951k2022-10-06
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.015860.014739-7.07%0.015568-1.84%0.0059✓1.00622022-10-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.1850.171768-7.15%0.2144+15.89%0.1690✗0.873.1M2022-10-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01860.943729-7.35%1.2617+23.87%0.2349✗0.911.1M2022-10-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9195.4814-7.39%5.19-12.32%0.0855✓0.514.3M2022-10-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.61936.123-7.50%5.2384-20.86%0.1719✓0.267.5M2022-10-06
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38134.0501-7.56%4.8299+10.24%0.0429✓2.20129k2022-10-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4174.0482-8.35%3.5433-19.78%0.1714✓0.636.3M2022-10-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8853.5018-9.86%4.001+2.99%0.0732✓0.99259k2022-10-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.100437-10.64%0.0679-39.59%0.4374✓0.76203k2022-10-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23446.4342-11.06%5.8714-18.84%0.1133✓0.368.2M2022-10-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.91510.5412-11.53%15.806+32.66%0.3708✗0.5715.8M2022-10-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.89e-76.79e-7-13.95%5.63e-7-28.62%0.2404✓0.881.9M2022-10-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000378850.00031902-15.79%0.00028537-24.67%0.1545✓0.71698k2022-10-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.