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2022-09-05 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1647
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.55%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.8%
in alpha space · 74.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.3118.5583+1.36%15.44-15.67%0.1970✗0.711.7M2022-10-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.16280.164557+1.08%0.1147-29.55%0.3614✗0.0393k2022-10-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,794.5819,917.29+0.62%20,161.62+1.85%0.0062✓1.00480.9M2022-10-05
STEEMSteemnative0.2220.222919+0.41%0.2267+2.12%0.0003✓0.93468k2022-10-05
TRXTRONTron0.0629370.063134+0.31%0.062453-0.77%0.0222✗0.62123k2022-10-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072610.072818+0.29%0.06245-13.99%0.1751✗1.1725k2022-10-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.23370.23368-0.01%0.1829-21.74%0.2615✓0.9066k2022-10-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05710.057094-0.01%0.0498-12.78%0.1540✓0.9490k2022-10-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4870.485705-0.27%0.356-26.90%0.3330✓1.223,8602022-10-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,866.3019,758.80-0.54%20,252.70+1.95%0.0075✗0.9413k2022-10-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9535-0.84%2.39+21.32%0.1923✗0.5168k2022-10-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206530.020479-0.84%0.019252-6.78%0.0767✓0.8112k2022-10-05
GTGateEthereum4.00713.9731-0.85%4.3938+9.65%0.0862✗0.79748k2022-10-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37410.369025-1.36%0.3286-12.16%0.1392✓1.26202k2022-10-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.121-1.55%0.1318+7.24%0.0663✗1.0425k2022-10-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015640.001538-1.66%0.001566+0.13%0.0010✓0.93413k2022-10-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.855820.841409-1.68%0.78874-7.84%0.0831✓1.0113k2022-10-05
DODODODOEthereum0.12790.125704-1.72%0.1324+3.52%0.0328✗1.041.5M2022-10-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.006020.005911-1.82%0.006191+2.83%0.0335✗0.702,1662022-10-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.005990.00588-1.84%0.00515-14.02%0.1442✓0.63951k2022-10-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.754.6624-1.84%5.2+9.47%0.0845✗1.346.8M2022-10-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.285930.280609-1.86%0.23538-17.68%0.1951✓1.0513k2022-10-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025110.024639-1.87%0.02368-5.69%0.0632✓1.283,2982022-10-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.1580.154981-1.91%0.17246+9.15%0.0696✗2.033162022-10-05
XMRMoneroMonero157.52154.3413-2.02%146.46-7.02%0.0715✓1.041.4M2022-10-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012720.012461-2.04%0.00948-25.47%0.2853✓0.65220k2022-10-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3070.300079-2.25%0.2918-4.95%0.0494✓1.17105k2022-10-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05590.054615-2.30%0.0716+28.09%0.2547✗0.8885k2022-10-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131250.012822-2.31%0.011859-9.65%0.0900✓0.65929k2022-10-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2090.203978-2.40%0.1824-12.73%0.1364✓1.34142k2022-10-05
XEMNEMnative0.0437180.042654-2.43%0.041527-5.01%0.0423✓0.8427k2022-10-05
AAVEAaveEthereum91.388.8645-2.67%78.71-13.79%0.1497✓1.545.2M2022-10-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15271.1218-2.68%0.9059-21.41%0.2419✓1.534.4M2022-10-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10250.099737-2.70%0.0893-12.88%0.1239✓0.732,7842022-10-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.6225.8975-2.71%24.76-6.99%0.0627✓0.976.8M2022-10-05
XLMStellarStellar0.105070.102216-2.72%0.1189+13.16%0.1360✗0.836.7M2022-10-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05144.9116-2.77%4.1821-17.21%0.1627✓0.10115k2022-10-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9722.8867-2.87%2.993+0.71%0.0264✓0.53653k2022-10-05
HIVEHivenative0.53880.523311-2.87%0.5043-6.40%0.0523✓0.83924k2022-10-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022350.021703-2.90%0.01882-15.79%0.1575✓0.82459k2022-10-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.34843.2506-2.92%2.8764-14.10%0.1409✓1.0118k2022-10-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.060672-2.92%0.0585-6.40%0.0600✓1.28713k2022-10-05
MOVRMoonriverBase12.905412.5277-2.93%11.2855-12.55%0.1226✓0.9930k2022-10-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.64e-7-2.93%8.00e-7-10.11%0.0915✓0.7915k2022-10-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0414830.040257-2.96%0.037278-10.14%0.0862✓0.5125k2022-10-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04460.043277-2.97%0.0414-7.17%0.0624✓0.98132k2022-10-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04420.042886-2.97%0.04004-9.41%0.0822✓0.7414k2022-10-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.035589-3.03%0.0374+1.91%0.0354✗0.776,8072022-10-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068020.065952-3.04%0.06191-8.98%0.0799✓0.916062022-10-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47220.45765-3.08%0.4412-6.57%0.0577✓1.15384k2022-10-05
UNIUniswapEthereum6.5766.3714-3.11%6.815+3.63%0.0433✗1.317.2M2022-10-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.4048-3.12%1.57+8.28%0.1133✗-0.12128k2022-10-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.23730.229669-3.22%0.2662+12.18%0.1301✗0.9681k2022-10-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.4418.809-3.25%17.38-10.60%0.1025✓1.2819.6M2022-10-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20970.202786-3.30%0.1957-6.68%0.0539✓1.0058k2022-10-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.1831.1156-3.31%34.05+5.81%0.0692✗1.1461.7M2022-10-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03670.035469-3.35%0.034-7.36%0.0593✓0.9266k2022-10-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.171.1307-3.36%1.061-9.32%0.0815✓0.971.2M2022-10-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.78950.762988-3.36%0.70324-10.93%0.0976✓0.87509k2022-10-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.197706-3.37%0.1562-23.66%0.2597✓1.31111k2022-10-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28220.272686-3.37%0.2745-2.73%0.0109✓0.952.8M2022-10-05
ADACardanoCardano0.49870.48187-3.37%0.431-13.58%0.1286✓0.9339.1M2022-10-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08180.079039-3.38%0.081-0.98%0.0071✓0.9510k2022-10-05
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.59e-7-3.43%7.90e-7-11.24%0.0991✓0.811.7M2022-10-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4651.4144-3.45%1.498+2.25%0.0358✗1.1779k2022-10-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.639129-3.45%0.585-11.63%0.1064✓0.98187k2022-10-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008602-3.46%0.0065-27.05%0.2938✓0.744.1M2022-10-05
NANOnanopayBase0.8985570.867255-3.48%0.800836-10.88%0.0951✓0.8454k2022-10-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0052.8985-3.54%2.33-22.46%0.2465✓1.533.5M2022-10-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012610.000012161-3.56%0.00001144-9.28%0.0788✓0.96861k2022-10-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.133466-3.59%0.13013-6.00%0.0475✓1.21175k2022-10-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.7151.7784-3.60%49.531-7.78%0.0583✓0.76302k2022-10-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.150524-3.63%0.1454-6.91%0.0538✓1.041,4472022-10-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353780.340757-3.68%0.40026+13.14%0.1463✗0.80332k2022-10-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.5461-3.68%4.4-6.78%0.0426✓0.541.3M2022-10-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.7474-3.70%5.22+5.88%0.0791✗0.861.2M2022-10-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43080.414837-3.71%0.3659-15.06%0.1466✓1.1585k2022-10-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.23981.1939-3.71%1.2889+3.96%0.0544✗1.21973k2022-10-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86631.796-3.77%1.7093-8.41%0.0695✓1.0925k2022-10-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66841.6052-3.79%1.1488-31.14%0.3525✓0.981.1M2022-10-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037420.035993-3.81%0.03512-6.15%0.0396✓0.822,5882022-10-05
DASHDashDash47.5945.7721-3.82%42.19-11.35%0.0994✓0.97419k2022-10-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95770.920838-3.85%0.8612-10.08%0.0893✓1.22865k2022-10-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.053639-3.87%0.0539-3.41%0.0158✓1.12220k2022-10-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3827.0914-3.94%7.876+6.69%0.0856✗1.0518.0M2022-10-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31450.302113-3.94%0.2542-19.17%0.1928✓1.0999k2022-10-05
QNTQuantEthereum93.1489.4529-3.96%138.37+48.56%0.4205✗0.863.4M2022-10-05
KSMKusamaHydration51.3349.2761-4.00%43.36-15.53%0.1460✓0.98442k2022-10-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1040.09981-4.03%0.0978-5.96%0.0362✓0.86169k2022-10-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18720.17964-4.04%0.1602-14.42%0.1398✓1.382,0092022-10-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51930.497974-4.11%0.4024-22.51%0.2272✓0.77496k2022-10-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021340.020463-4.11%0.02234+4.69%0.0737✗0.769.8M2022-10-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09390.090037-4.11%0.1222+30.14%0.2877✗0.97372k2022-10-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006350.006086-4.15%0.006285-1.02%0.0239✓0.4441k2022-10-05
XTZTezosTezos1.5461.4815-4.17%1.4299-7.51%0.0561✓1.12252k2022-10-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.1286-4.21%3.692-14.34%0.1204✓0.472.3M2022-10-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.555460.532071-4.21%0.45167-18.69%0.1881✓1.3239k2022-10-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.3657.7995-4.24%54.64-9.48%0.0745✓0.9912.8M2022-10-05
DIADIAEthereum0.380520.364338-4.25%0.41668+9.50%0.1162✗0.9833k2022-10-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30842.21-4.26%1.8057-21.78%0.2229✓1.1313k2022-10-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04960.047465-4.31%0.0391-21.17%0.2123✓1.00739k2022-10-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.218.807-4.38%8.14-11.62%0.0878✓0.502.1M2022-10-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3216.5588-4.40%17.73+2.37%0.0557✗0.69454k2022-10-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6144-4.48%1.718+1.66%0.0452✓0.93540k2022-10-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.011,545.03-4.51%1,352.48-16.41%0.1587✓1.39628.3M2022-10-05
FISStafiEthereum0.33790.322635-4.52%0.2974-11.99%0.0982✓0.916202022-10-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007850.007495-4.53%0.00669-14.78%0.1344✓1.13406k2022-10-05
FLOWFlownative1.9191.8311-4.58%1.701-11.36%0.0987✓1.361.3M2022-10-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5330.508037-4.68%0.454-14.82%0.1334✓1.1476k2022-10-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30460.290307-4.69%0.3539+16.19%0.1816✗0.905.8M2022-10-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7346.4175-4.70%6.03-10.45%0.0777✓0.844.4M2022-10-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.537.1739-4.73%6.53-13.28%0.1141✓1.09290k2022-10-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.646.3257-4.73%5.73-13.70%0.1074✓0.462.2M2022-10-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.643808-4.76%0.6-11.24%0.0930✓1.223.9M2022-10-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3550.337932-4.81%0.2948-16.96%0.1559✓1.0573k2022-10-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.4148.9582-4.84%9.14-2.91%0.0024✓0.961.2M2022-10-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.04440.993828-4.84%0.968189-7.30%0.0418✓0.8639k2022-10-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3646.015-4.85%58.89+21.77%0.2233✗1.278,9662022-10-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82570.78556-4.86%0.8299+0.51%0.0274✓1.50105k2022-10-05
ZECZcashZcash63.4160.2846-4.93%56.64-10.68%0.0837✓1.161.3M2022-10-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.7222.5867-4.97%2.313-15.03%0.1281✓0.88682k2022-10-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7521.6644-5.00%1.458-16.78%0.1490✓0.9195k2022-10-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14470.137439-5.02%0.128-11.54%0.0806✓0.513.4M2022-10-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.2225-5.02%1.83-21.79%0.2156✓1.16217k2022-10-05
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105160.009987-5.03%0.010708+1.83%0.0513✓1.004902022-10-05
ZENHorizenBase16.115.2881-5.04%13.98-13.17%0.1099✓1.1193k2022-10-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626950.059532-5.04%0.064822+3.39%0.0655✗1.071.3M2022-10-05
XVGVergenative0.003090.002934-5.04%0.00338+9.39%0.1227✗1.02481k2022-10-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014680.001393-5.12%0.001439-1.98%0.0200✓0.697,6332022-10-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.810.238-5.20%9.27-14.17%0.1222✓1.24277k2022-10-05
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,477.281,399.94-5.24%1,314.58-11.01%0.0813✓1.003.2M2022-10-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97840.927167-5.24%0.99+1.19%0.0564✗0.503.0M2022-10-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1730.163847-5.29%0.15053-12.99%0.1028✓0.98268k2022-10-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1172.0049-5.29%1.761-16.82%0.1509✓1.1538k2022-10-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3686.9748-5.34%6.437-12.64%0.0994✓1.0510.0M2022-10-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029350.002778-5.34%0.00222-24.36%0.2412✓0.921.2M2022-10-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.748-5.38%17.51+20.51%0.2229✗1.031.6M2022-10-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.075830.071676-5.48%0.06975-8.02%0.0283✓0.06389k2022-10-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13980.132046-5.55%0.1448+3.58%0.0727✗1.06409k2022-10-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2710.255954-5.55%0.254-6.27%0.0214✓0.75597k2022-10-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5220.492936-5.57%0.467-10.54%0.0736✓1.0763k2022-10-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.1808-5.59%2.14-7.36%0.0329✓0.76262k2022-10-05
STXStacksnative0.36810.347291-5.65%0.3269-11.19%0.0818✓1.16348k2022-10-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.63311.9188-5.65%13.009+2.98%0.0668✗1.1312.5M2022-10-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003792-5.66%0.00348-13.43%0.1041✓0.99127k2022-10-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.3765-5.68%4.96-12.98%0.0890✓0.452.3M2022-10-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9161.8056-5.76%1.663-13.20%0.1133✓1.6972k2022-10-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2986880.281269-5.83%0.268868-9.98%0.0650✓1.08514k2022-10-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.622959-6.04%0.593-10.56%0.0651✓0.86183k2022-10-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.00125-6.08%0.001017-23.54%0.2205✓0.802.4M2022-10-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.328526-6.14%0.33985-2.90%0.0164✓0.95392k2022-10-05
METISMetisEthereum30.5328.6415-6.19%30.07-1.51%0.0142✓1.88219k2022-10-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0255490.023957-6.23%0.02824+10.53%0.1623✗0.12386k2022-10-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2813.3878-6.25%12.75-10.71%0.0690✓1.101.1M2022-10-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84730.794194-6.27%0.7885-6.94%0.0262✓1.031.3M2022-10-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.75117.7541-6.36%122.13-2.88%0.0154✓1.154.2M2022-10-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14480.13558-6.37%0.1283-11.40%0.0738✓1.0199k2022-10-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0440.977005-6.42%0.897-14.08%0.1087✓1.271.5M2022-10-05
XECeCashnative0.000043720.00004089-6.47%0.00004253-2.72%0.0239✓0.841.9M2022-10-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.2218-6.52%1.226-6.20%0.0184✓1.19429k2022-10-05
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176110.016429-6.71%0.015542-11.75%0.0739✓1.00492022-10-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05080.047343-6.81%0.0411-19.09%0.1583✓0.92190k2022-10-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.726.2615-6.82%6.44-4.17%0.0194✓0.482.1M2022-10-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5014.19-6.91%3.721-17.33%0.1231✓0.242.3M2022-10-05
PROPropyEthereum0.720.670061-6.94%0.59-18.06%0.1334✓0.3363k2022-10-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035620.033131-6.99%0.0309-13.25%0.0883✓1.0151k2022-10-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340640.316734-7.02%0.30274-11.13%0.0633✓0.9937k2022-10-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.096574-7.14%0.1-3.85%0.0150✓1.082.8M2022-10-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0560.977674-7.42%0.884-16.29%0.1074✓0.362.9M2022-10-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.2672-7.50%1.18-13.87%0.0882✓0.9283k2022-10-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,493.618,776.11-7.56%8,314.11-12.42%0.0799✓1.405.2M2022-10-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.69250.637612-7.93%0.6248-9.78%0.0459✓1.40210k2022-10-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.20896.63-8.03%5.2925-26.58%0.2295✓0.236.9M2022-10-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.1415.6435-8.10%5.586-9.04%0.0259✓0.857.2M2022-10-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.6736.4169-8.20%27.62-30.38%0.3044✓1.529.5M2022-10-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.20730.189985-8.35%0.2174+4.87%0.1193✗0.843.1M2022-10-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1991.0985-8.38%0.863-28.02%0.2722✓1.682.9M2022-10-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3615.8266-8.40%5.137-19.24%0.1341✓0.444.4M2022-10-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064020.05853-8.58%0.06065-5.26%0.0157✓1.081.8M2022-10-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.4336-8.86%1.252-20.41%0.1572✓1.1851k2022-10-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.79974.355-9.26%5.186+8.05%0.1347✗2.17141k2022-10-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13751.0316-9.31%1.2541+10.25%0.1789✗0.891.1M2022-10-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.95184.4839-9.45%3.6003-27.29%0.2304✓0.595.6M2022-10-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0753.6466-10.51%4.12+1.10%0.1042✓0.97259k2022-10-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.37816.5598-11.09%6.03-18.27%0.0907✓0.357.7M2022-10-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00811.4449-12.02%16.153+24.18%0.3348✗0.5315.8M2022-10-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13030.11272-13.49%0.0668-48.73%0.5360✓0.70203k2022-10-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.55e-77.30e-7-14.65%6.00e-7-29.83%0.2117✓0.861.8M2022-10-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000404930.00033805-16.52%0.00030115-25.63%0.1293✓0.75679k2022-10-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.