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2022-09-04 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1664
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
47.3%
in alpha space · 63.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9839+0.20%1.97-0.51%0.0017✓0.5175k2022-09-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.056294+0.17%0.0559-0.53%0.0022✓0.8891k2022-09-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.500819+0.16%0.487-2.60%0.0151✗1.223,8602022-09-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.180545+0.14%0.1628-9.71%0.1033✗0.0193k2022-09-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001565+0.13%0.001564+0.06%0.0092✓0.93413k2022-09-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.312773+0.09%0.307-1.76%0.0063✗1.17111k2022-09-05
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.063594+0.07%0.062937-0.96%0.0039✗0.62123k2022-09-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.9131+0.06%4.93+0.41%0.0125✓0.851.3M2022-09-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.528292+0.06%0.522-1.14%0.0007✗1.0768k2022-09-05
GTGateEthereum4.21214.2144+0.05%4.0071-4.87%0.0422✗0.78724k2022-09-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,876.36+0.05%19,866.30+0.00%0.0094✓0.9413k2022-09-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.174069+0.04%0.173-0.57%0.0042✓0.98268k2022-09-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.232577+0.03%0.2337+0.52%0.0143✓0.9067k2022-09-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5734+0.02%1.573+0.00%0.0123✓1.1856k2022-09-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7320,008.81+0.02%19,794.58-1.05%0.0002✓1.00480.9M2022-09-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.2371+0.01%3.3484+3.45%0.0445✓1.0119k2022-09-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.155195+0.01%0.158+1.82%0.0393✓2.033442022-09-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.063224+0.01%0.062695-0.83%0.0029✓1.071.3M2022-09-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.00608-0.00%0.00599-1.48%0.0082✓0.63977k2022-09-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.067077-0.00%0.06802+1.40%0.0236✗0.917702022-09-05
STXStacksnative0.36780.367777-0.01%0.3681+0.08%0.0131✗1.16335k2022-09-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.7618-0.01%1.752-0.57%0.0040✗0.91108k2022-09-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.553837-0.01%0.55546+0.28%0.0169✗1.3239k2022-09-05
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.4874-0.01%6.576+1.36%0.0274✗1.316.9M2022-09-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.082789-0.01%0.0818-1.21%0.0020✓0.9410k2022-09-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.210967-0.02%0.2097-0.62%0.0045✗1.0058k2022-09-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1657-0.02%1.17+0.34%0.0139✗0.971.3M2022-09-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.356915-0.02%0.3741+4.79%0.0604✗1.26194k2022-09-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012856-0.03%0.01272-1.09%0.0038✓0.65220k2022-09-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.06471-0.03%0.06402-1.10%0.0007✗1.081.9M2022-09-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.057682-0.03%0.0571-1.04%0.0002✓0.9497k2022-09-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.036388-0.03%0.0367+0.82%0.0167✗0.788,1752022-09-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.062478-0.03%0.0625+0.00%0.0139✗1.28713k2022-09-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9218.9133-0.04%18.31-3.22%0.0250✓0.711.7M2022-09-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.152244-0.04%0.1562+2.56%0.0367✗1.051,4472022-09-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.1732.1579-0.04%32.18+0.03%0.0127✗1.1461.7M2022-09-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.102859-0.04%0.1025-0.39%0.0042✗0.732,7842022-09-05
METISMetisEthereum30.1130.0941-0.05%30.53+1.39%0.0342✗1.88241k2022-09-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.4972-0.05%1.465-2.20%0.0093✓1.1784k2022-09-05
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.224973-0.06%0.222-1.38%0.0034✓0.94468k2022-09-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.203984-0.06%0.209+2.40%0.0385✗1.34140k2022-09-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.037719-0.06%0.03742-0.85%0.0007✗0.822,6312022-09-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.97198-0.06%0.9577-1.53%0.0020✓1.22841k2022-09-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.298804-0.07%0.298688-0.11%0.0111✗1.08514k2022-09-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.84472-0.07%0.8473+0.24%0.0140✗1.041.4M2022-09-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.979-0.07%3.005+0.81%0.0249✗1.533.6M2022-09-05
XMRMoneroMonero155.77155.6604-0.07%157.52+1.12%0.0228✗1.041.4M2022-09-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9586-0.07%1.916-2.24%0.0041✓1.6974k2022-09-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.977873-0.07%0.9784-0.02%0.0058✗0.503.1M2022-09-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,577.84-0.08%1,618.01+2.47%0.0399✗1.39628.3M2022-09-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.122804-0.08%0.1229+0.00%0.0118✗1.0525k2022-09-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.056954-0.08%0.0558-2.11%0.0086✓1.12220k2022-09-05
DODODODOEthereum0.130.129895-0.08%0.1279-1.62%0.0045✓1.041.5M2022-09-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36118.2598-0.08%125.75+6.24%0.0736✗1.154.2M2022-09-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.899838-0.09%0.898557-0.23%0.0074✗0.8454k2022-09-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.073695-0.09%0.07261-1.56%0.0025✓1.1725k2022-09-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.143572-0.09%0.1448+0.77%0.0192✗1.0199k2022-09-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.2508-0.10%5.0514-3.89%0.0377✓0.10115k2022-09-05
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8588.7579-0.10%91.3+2.76%0.0446✗1.555.2M2022-09-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.021547-0.11%0.02134-1.07%0.0016✓0.769.8M2022-09-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.036461-0.11%0.0367+0.55%0.0163✗0.9266k2022-09-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.268701-0.11%0.271+0.74%0.0165✗0.75627k2022-09-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.9888-0.11%19.44+2.26%0.0370✗1.2820.1M2022-09-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.3949.3831-0.12%9.414+0.21%0.0135✗0.971.2M2022-09-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.0576-0.12%1.0444-1.36%0.0035✓0.8641k2022-09-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.1062-0.12%0.10507-1.18%0.0019✓0.836.8M2022-09-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.315323-0.12%0.3145-0.38%0.0089✗1.0999k2022-09-05
ZECZcashZcash63.863.7226-0.12%63.41-0.61%0.0074✗1.161.3M2022-09-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0912-0.12%1.1527+5.51%0.0711✗1.534.4M2022-09-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.146016-0.13%0.1398-4.38%0.0323✓1.06409k2022-09-05
QNTQuantEthereum95.2995.1702-0.13%93.14-2.26%0.0125✓0.863.5M2022-09-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.103167-0.13%0.104+0.68%0.0171✗0.86150k2022-09-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.426.366-0.13%26.62+0.83%0.0198✗0.976.8M2022-09-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.805514-0.13%0.7895-2.12%0.0109✓0.87519k2022-09-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.044342-0.13%0.0446+0.45%0.0162✗0.98132k2022-09-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.847375-0.13%0.8257-2.69%0.0101✓1.49116k2022-09-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.7915-0.13%4.75-1.00%0.0055✗1.346.8M2022-09-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1557.1453-0.13%7.382+3.17%0.0437✗1.0517.4M2022-09-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005971-0.14%0.00602+0.68%0.0155✗0.702,1662022-09-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.867835-0.14%0.85582-1.52%0.0033✓1.0113k2022-09-05
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.386227-0.14%0.38052-1.62%0.0045✓0.9834k2022-09-05
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.79e-7-0.15%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0213✗0.811.7M2022-09-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.104348-0.15%0.104-0.48%0.0081✗1.082.8M2022-09-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.044745-0.15%0.0442-1.36%0.0045✓0.7415k2022-09-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.6763-0.15%6.734+0.72%0.0175✗0.844.4M2022-09-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.670022-0.15%0.662-1.34%0.0017✓0.98196k2022-09-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1212.1179-0.15%2.117-0.19%0.0118✗1.1538k2022-09-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.288716-0.15%0.28593-1.11%0.0014✓1.0512k2022-09-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.042122-0.15%0.041483-1.66%0.0099✓0.5125k2022-09-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.7284-0.15%7.53-2.71%0.0145✓1.09317k2022-09-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.020683-0.15%0.020653-0.29%0.0071✗0.8112k2022-09-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.013152-0.15%0.013125-0.36%0.0048✗0.65929k2022-09-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.468787-0.15%0.4722+0.58%0.0194✗1.15384k2022-09-05
XVGVergenative0.003110.003105-0.15%0.00309-0.64%0.0059✗1.02486k2022-09-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1564-0.15%1.2398+7.05%0.0824✗1.21949k2022-09-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0383.0332-0.16%2.972-2.17%0.0148✓0.53650k2022-09-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.348595-0.16%0.34064-2.44%0.0127✓0.9940k2022-09-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.177916-0.16%0.1872+5.05%0.0654✗1.382,0092022-09-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.02498-0.16%0.02511+0.36%0.0187✗1.283,2982022-09-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004013-0.16%0.00402+0.00%0.0121✗0.99127k2022-09-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.7262-0.16%1.69-2.26%0.0114✓0.93540k2022-09-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.685866-0.17%0.676-1.60%0.0017✓1.214.0M2022-09-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008905-0.17%0.00891-0.11%0.0084✗0.744.7M2022-09-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27353.184-0.17%53.71+0.82%0.0178✗0.76302k2022-09-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.239498-0.17%0.2373-1.08%0.0009✓0.9681k2022-09-05
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5535-0.17%1.546-0.65%0.0070✗1.12253k2022-09-05
FLOWFlownative1.951.9467-0.17%1.919-1.59%0.0001✓1.361.3M2022-09-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.138284-0.17%0.13844-0.06%0.0139✗1.21183k2022-09-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.6836-0.17%1.6684-1.07%0.0013✓0.981.1M2022-09-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.204238-0.18%0.2046+0.00%0.0157✗1.32111k2022-09-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.290278-0.18%0.2822-2.96%0.0182✓0.952.8M2022-09-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012817-0.18%0.00001261-1.79%0.0061✓0.96861k2022-09-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.70581-0.18%0.6925-2.06%0.0043✓1.40210k2022-09-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.366718-0.19%0.355-3.38%0.0213✓1.0575k2022-09-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4748.3789-0.19%48.36-0.23%0.0131✗1.279,0502022-09-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.1212-0.19%1.1375+1.26%0.0239✗0.891.1M2022-09-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.3474-0.19%1.37+1.48%0.0263✗0.9295k2022-09-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9360.8112-0.19%60.36-0.94%0.0030✗0.9912.7M2022-09-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.051499-0.20%0.0508-1.55%0.0039✓0.92204k2022-09-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.3334-0.20%1.307-2.17%0.0075✓1.19449k2022-09-05
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.044044-0.20%0.043718-0.94%0.0015✓0.8429k2022-09-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.022215-0.20%0.02235+0.40%0.0147✗0.82459k2022-09-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4632.3946-0.20%39.67+22.21%0.2187✗1.539.5M2022-09-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.499,418.44-0.20%9,493.61+0.59%0.0228✗1.405.6M2022-09-05
XECeCashnative0.000044320.00004423-0.20%0.00004372-1.35%0.0027✓0.841.8M2022-09-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.88e-7-0.21%8.90e-7+0.00%0.0105✗0.8015k2022-09-05
PROPropyEthereum0.730.72847-0.21%0.72-1.37%0.0082✓0.3369k2022-09-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.532878-0.21%0.533-0.19%0.0123✗1.1476k2022-09-05
DASHDashDash47.5947.49-0.21%47.59+0.00%0.0124✗0.98419k2022-09-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002937-0.21%0.002935-0.27%0.0091✗0.921.1M2022-09-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001517-0.21%0.001468-3.42%0.0254✓0.698,3412022-09-05
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146113.1178-0.22%12.9054-1.83%0.0059✓0.9932k2022-09-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4868-0.22%1.45-2.68%0.0265✓-0.13128k2022-09-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2656.2514-0.22%6.141-1.98%0.0088✓0.857.6M2022-09-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.587-0.22%4.501-2.09%0.0164✓0.242.4M2022-09-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1714-0.22%1.199+2.13%0.0411✗1.693.0M2022-09-05
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.010842-0.22%0.010516-3.22%0.0199✓1.005602022-09-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.050485-0.23%0.0496-1.98%0.0071✓1.00739k2022-09-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.025615-0.23%0.025549-0.49%0.0014✓0.12315k2022-09-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.095579-0.23%0.0939-1.98%0.0075✓0.97375k2022-09-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.7646-0.23%2.722-1.77%0.0062✓0.88682k2022-09-05
HIVEHivenative0.54390.542633-0.23%0.5388-0.94%0.0017✓0.83953k2022-09-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.007911-0.24%0.00785-1.01%0.0042✗1.13428k2022-09-05
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,439.24-0.24%1,477.28+2.39%0.0367✗1.003.3M2022-09-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.5246-0.24%14.28-1.92%0.0054✓1.101.0M2022-09-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3757.357-0.24%7.368-0.09%0.0125✗1.0510.0M2022-09-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3917.3471-0.25%17.32-0.40%0.0057✗0.69503k2022-09-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.8677-0.25%4.72-3.28%0.0251✓0.541.3M2022-09-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.6851-0.25%14.53+5.90%0.0709✗1.041.7M2022-09-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.503013-0.26%0.5193+2.97%0.0400✗0.77496k2022-09-05
KSMKusamaHydration50.6150.4785-0.26%51.33+1.42%0.0271✗0.99459k2022-09-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.311879-0.26%0.3046-2.59%0.0142✓0.905.8M2022-09-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.6453-0.27%6.361-4.53%0.0391✓0.444.4M2022-09-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.422863-0.27%–pending––1.048,1172022-09-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.979346-0.27%1.056+7.54%0.0792✗0.372.9M2022-09-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.671125-0.28%0.663-1.49%0.0031✓0.86199k2022-09-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.433646-0.29%0.4308-0.94%0.0055✗1.1591k2022-09-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.269.2322-0.30%9.21-0.54%0.0028✓0.502.0M2022-09-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.3031-0.30%2.31+0.00%0.0110✗0.76262k2022-09-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.077901-0.31%0.07583-2.96%0.0264✓0.05397k2022-09-05
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.501956-0.31%0.4987-0.95%0.0033✗0.9339.1M2022-09-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.035739-0.31%0.03562-0.64%0.0074✗1.0151k2022-09-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.02640.026318-0.31%0.0255-3.41%0.0251✓0.6147k2022-09-05
ZENHorizenBase16.4516.3982-0.31%16.1-2.13%0.0066✓1.11107k2022-09-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.788-0.32%6.72-1.32%0.0050✓0.482.1M2022-09-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.9037-0.32%1.8663-2.28%0.0083✓1.0927k2022-09-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.138149-0.33%0.1447+4.40%0.0518✗0.513.4M2022-09-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001335-0.33%0.00133-0.65%0.0053✗0.802.4M2022-09-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.3088-0.34%2.3084-0.35%0.0118✗1.1313k2022-09-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.359559-0.34%0.35378-1.94%0.0078✓0.80332k2022-09-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.5044-0.34%10.8+2.47%0.0409✗1.24277k2022-09-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.3018-0.36%2.34+1.30%0.0287✗1.16217k2022-09-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.352564-0.36%0.35-1.08%0.0028✓0.95392k2022-09-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006432-0.36%0.00635-1.63%0.0082✓0.4444k2022-09-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0451.0412-0.36%1.044-0.10%0.0160✗1.271.5M2022-09-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.779-0.36%5.7-1.72%0.0090✓0.452.3M2022-09-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.3932-0.38%4.31-2.27%0.0141✓0.472.3M2022-09-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.9961-0.38%12.633-3.17%0.0164✓1.1312.3M2022-09-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.702-0.42%6.64-1.34%0.0044✓0.462.2M2022-09-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13625.1143-0.43%4.7997-6.55%0.0529✓1.00141k2022-09-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.212487-0.43%0.2073-2.86%0.0158✓0.843.1M2022-09-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.6401-0.65%4.9518+6.02%0.0713✗0.604.7M2022-09-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53913.4454-0.69%13.008-3.92%0.0275✓0.5315.8M2022-09-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.9649-0.75%7.2089+2.72%0.0368✗0.236.5M2022-09-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0534.0222-0.76%4.075+0.54%0.0233✗0.97259k2022-09-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.120199-0.91%0.1303+7.42%0.0881✗0.70208k2022-09-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.000251452-0.91%0.00040493+59.57%0.4847✗0.78640k2022-09-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-79.15e-7-0.96%8.55e-7-7.51%0.0593✓0.861.7M2022-09-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44227.3704-0.96%7.3781-0.86%0.0048✓0.357.6M2022-09-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.