8=======>

2022-09-04 · +30d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1509
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.2%
in alpha space · 75.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-77.83e-7-15.26%6.18e-7-33.18%0.2522✓0.861.7M2022-10-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.000218982-13.71%0.0003074+21.13%0.3261✗0.78640k2022-10-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.106139-12.50%0.07-42.29%0.4281✓0.70208k2022-10-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53911.8864-12.21%15.414+13.85%0.2509✗0.5315.8M2022-10-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44226.6033-11.27%6.0315-18.96%0.0965✓0.357.6M2022-10-04
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13624.5967-10.50%5.2106+1.45%0.1085✓1.00141k2022-10-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0533.6375-10.25%3.923-3.21%0.0592✓0.97259k2022-10-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.0449-9.28%5.161-22.54%0.1655✓0.444.4M2022-10-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.0224-8.99%1.2652+12.63%0.1980✗0.891.1M2022-10-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.059005-8.85%0.06112-5.58%0.0169✓1.081.9M2022-10-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.194635-8.79%0.2186+2.44%0.1019✗0.843.1M2022-10-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2655.716-8.76%5.606-10.52%0.0338✓0.857.6M2022-10-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.2668-8.65%3.6263-22.36%0.1728✓0.604.7M2022-10-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.442-8.33%1.292-17.86%0.1298✓1.1856k2022-10-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.648406-8.30%0.6289-11.06%0.0541✓1.40210k2022-10-04
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.0774-8.23%0.871-25.81%0.2412✓1.693.0M2022-10-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.4566-8.00%5.3051-24.41%0.2003✓0.236.5M2022-10-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.498,715.74-7.65%8,347.58-11.55%0.0668✓1.405.6M2022-10-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.2524-7.50%3.762-18.16%0.1266✓0.242.4M2022-10-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.09686-7.31%0.101-3.35%0.0236✓1.082.8M2022-10-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.2518-7.27%1.2-11.11%0.0578✓0.9295k2022-10-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.3305-7.04%6.52-4.26%0.0215✓0.482.1M2022-10-04
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.2432-6.95%1.25-6.44%0.0146✓1.19449k2022-10-04
XECeCashnative0.000044320.000041249-6.93%0.00004218-4.83%0.0081✓0.841.8M2022-10-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.5565-6.89%12.98-10.85%0.0620✓1.101.0M2022-10-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.915676-6.75%0.887-9.67%0.0380✓0.372.9M2022-10-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.325831-6.68%0.30859-11.62%0.0710✓0.9940k2022-10-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.04817-6.65%0.0415-19.57%0.1646✓0.92204k2022-10-04
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0450.976122-6.59%0.904-13.49%0.0981✓1.271.5M2022-10-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.033488-6.59%0.03097-13.61%0.0953✓1.0151k2022-10-04
PROPropyEthereum0.730.682003-6.57%0.62-15.07%0.1009✓0.3369k2022-10-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.330734-6.52%0.34118-3.57%0.0150✓0.95392k2022-10-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.791069-6.42%0.7941-6.06%0.0137✓1.041.4M2022-10-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.134577-6.35%0.1287-10.44%0.0618✓1.0199k2022-10-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.136986-6.30%0.1463+0.07%0.0479✓1.06409k2022-10-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.2248-6.29%13.026-0.15%0.0445✓1.1312.3M2022-10-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.024064-6.27%0.026967+5.04%0.1119✗0.12315k2022-10-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.4384-6.23%4.99-13.97%0.0937✓0.452.3M2022-10-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001256-6.23%0.001021-23.72%0.2200✓0.802.4M2022-10-04
METISMetisEthereum30.1128.2607-6.14%25.34-15.84%0.1408✓1.88241k2022-10-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.8437-5.93%1.647-15.97%0.1414✓1.6974k2022-10-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.633373-5.89%0.597-11.29%0.0737✓0.86199k2022-10-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.281447-5.87%0.271296-9.27%0.0550✓1.08514k2022-10-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.073555-5.87%0.07267-7.00%0.0130✓0.05397k2022-10-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1211.9999-5.71%1.779-16.12%0.1365✓1.1538k2022-10-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36111.6154-5.70%121.15+2.36%0.0626✗1.154.2M2022-10-04
STXStacksnative0.36780.346945-5.67%0.3298-10.33%0.0702✓1.16335k2022-10-04
ZENHorizenBase16.4515.5299-5.59%14.31-13.01%0.1006✓1.11107k2022-10-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.164324-5.56%0.15194-12.68%0.0949✓0.98268k2022-10-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3756.9663-5.54%6.496-11.92%0.0876✓1.0510.0M2022-10-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.801557-5.53%0.82-3.36%0.0025✓1.49116k2022-10-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.254184-5.51%0.256-4.83%0.0056✓0.75627k2022-10-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.1841-5.45%2.03-12.12%0.0860✓0.76262k2022-10-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.925885-5.39%0.918-6.19%0.0170✓0.503.1M2022-10-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4630.7186-5.36%27.88-14.11%0.1228✓1.539.5M2022-10-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003805-5.36%0.00351-12.69%0.0972✓0.99127k2022-10-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002787-5.32%0.002242-23.82%0.2330✓0.921.1M2022-10-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.059876-5.29%0.065854+4.17%0.0771✗1.071.3M2022-10-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.29638-5.22%0.3577+14.39%0.1729✗0.905.8M2022-10-04
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4745.9608-5.18%59.84+23.46%0.2424✗1.279,0502022-10-04
XVGVergenative0.003110.002949-5.17%0.00342+9.97%0.1309✗1.02486k2022-10-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001441-5.17%0.001465-3.62%0.0046✓0.698,3412022-10-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.348562-5.13%0.2987-18.70%0.1722✓1.0575k2022-10-04
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,368.77-5.13%1,315.41-8.83%0.0566✓1.003.3M2022-10-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.6295-5.11%2.307-16.74%0.1458✓0.88682k2022-10-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.65211-5.08%0.604-12.08%0.0971✓1.214.0M2022-10-04
ZECZcashZcash63.860.5846-5.04%56.77-11.02%0.0847✓1.161.3M2022-10-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.501446-5.03%0.47-10.98%0.0828✓1.0768k2022-10-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.3937-5.00%5.82-13.52%0.1018✓0.462.2M2022-10-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6427-4.99%1.739+0.58%0.0413✓0.93540k2022-10-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.0165-4.97%9.29-11.86%0.0963✓1.24277k2022-10-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.3557-4.96%6.71-13.31%0.1103✓1.09317k2022-10-04
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.367661-4.94%0.39405+1.88%0.0528✗0.9834k2022-10-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.0461-4.91%16.1+17.35%0.1928✗1.041.7M2022-10-04
KCSKuCoinnative9.3948.9327-4.91%9.208-1.98%0.0141✓0.971.2M2022-10-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.1967-4.91%1.87-19.05%0.1806✓1.16217k2022-10-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.3649-4.80%6.178-7.60%0.0440✓0.844.4M2022-10-04
FLOWFlownative1.951.8565-4.79%1.714-12.10%0.1029✓1.361.3M2022-10-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.00755-4.79%0.00681-14.12%0.1223✓1.13428k2022-10-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.048177-4.79%0.0396-21.74%0.2130✓1.00739k2022-10-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.132056-4.72%0.1251-9.74%0.0628✓0.513.4M2022-10-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.6788-4.72%1.529-13.22%0.1088✓0.91108k2022-10-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3916.5899-4.60%14.63-15.87%0.1373✓0.69503k2022-10-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.2113-4.54%1.8691-19.32%0.1873✓1.1313k2022-10-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.268.8417-4.52%8.28-10.58%0.0740✓0.502.0M2022-10-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.2114-4.50%3.767-14.58%0.1195✓0.472.3M2022-10-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006166-4.48%0.006321-2.08%0.0174✓0.4444k2022-10-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9358.2496-4.40%55.32-9.21%0.0684✓0.9912.7M2022-10-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.929993-4.38%0.8516-12.44%0.1086✓1.22841k2022-10-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.091677-4.30%0.1219+27.24%0.2686✗0.97375k2022-10-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.020646-4.28%0.02265+5.01%0.0798✗0.769.8M2022-10-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,511.44-4.28%1,362.06-13.74%0.1276✓1.39628.3M2022-10-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.6725-4.25%4.49-7.99%0.0489✓0.541.3M2022-10-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.014-4.24%0.972677-8.14%0.0560✓0.8641k2022-10-04
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.4906-4.21%1.4575-6.34%0.0414✓1.12253k2022-10-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.099008-4.16%0.0992-3.97%0.0126✓0.86150k2022-10-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.302597-4.15%0.2603-17.55%0.1690✓1.0999k2022-10-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.054647-4.13%0.0522-8.42%0.0648✓1.12220k2022-10-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.483502-4.12%0.412-18.30%0.1730✓0.77496k2022-10-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.4368-4.09%1.478-1.34%0.0085✓1.1784k2022-10-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.51245-4.04%0.459-14.04%0.1294✓1.1476k2022-10-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012324-4.02%0.00001162-9.50%0.0750✓0.96861k2022-10-04
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.01043-4.01%0.010764-0.94%0.0146✓1.005602022-10-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.417485-4.00%0.3718-14.51%0.1353✓1.1591k2022-10-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.6204-3.92%1.157-31.40%0.3534✓0.981.1M2022-10-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.279444-3.90%0.2818-3.09%0.0077✓0.952.8M2022-10-04
QNTQuantEthereum95.2991.5892-3.88%141.6+48.60%0.4213✗0.863.5M2022-10-04
KSMKusamaHydration50.6148.6477-3.88%43.97-13.12%0.1177✓0.99459k2022-10-04
DASHDashDash47.5945.7504-3.87%42.31-11.09%0.0946✓0.98419k2022-10-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.133178-3.86%0.13062-5.70%0.0398✓1.21183k2022-10-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.776539-3.72%0.70257-12.89%0.1149✓0.87519k2022-10-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.347344-3.72%0.42019+16.47%0.1769✗0.80332k2022-10-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008591-3.69%0.00656-26.46%0.2822✓0.744.7M2022-10-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1556.8929-3.66%7.726+7.98%0.0964✗1.0517.4M2022-10-04
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.7303-3.66%5.35+8.96%0.1087✗0.851.3M2022-10-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.8723-3.65%2.34-21.50%0.2308✓1.533.6M2022-10-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.035186-3.60%0.0343-6.03%0.0411✓0.9266k2022-10-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.8419-3.56%1.7399-8.90%0.0753✓1.0927k2022-10-04
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.197364-3.54%0.1573-23.12%0.2491✓1.32111k2022-10-04
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.49e-7-3.47%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0862✓0.811.7M2022-10-04
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.486039-3.47%0.4357-13.47%0.1250✓0.9339.1M2022-10-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.147063-3.44%0.1457-4.33%0.0269✓1.051,4472022-10-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0382.9344-3.41%3.093+1.81%0.0437✗0.53650k2022-10-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27351.4562-3.41%49.146-7.75%0.0587✓0.76302k2022-10-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.64823-3.39%0.586-12.67%0.1174✓0.98196k2022-10-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.231771-3.39%0.2664+11.05%0.1231✗0.9681k2022-10-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.203907-3.36%0.197-6.64%0.0513✓1.0058k2022-10-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1272-3.32%1.071-8.15%0.0676✓0.971.3M2022-10-04
SOLSolanaSolana32.1731.1103-3.29%34.1+6.00%0.0725✗1.1461.7M2022-10-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.535791-3.27%0.45671-17.54%0.1820✓1.3239k2022-10-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.040816-3.24%0.038072-9.75%0.0782✓0.5125k2022-10-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.0866-3.22%4.147-21.10%0.2059✓0.10115k2022-10-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4425-3.19%1.56+4.70%0.0806✗-0.13128k2022-10-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.036548-3.16%0.03552-5.88%0.0424✓0.822,6312022-10-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.172632-3.12%0.1593-10.61%0.1036✓1.382,0092022-10-04
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.2876-3.09%6.649+2.48%0.0338✗1.316.9M2022-10-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.065011-3.08%0.06279-6.40%0.0501✓0.917702022-10-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.060633-2.99%0.0592-5.28%0.0456✓1.28713k2022-10-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.043478-2.97%0.0407-9.17%0.0784✓0.7415k2022-10-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.455736-2.93%0.4439-5.45%0.0457✓1.15384k2022-10-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.080375-2.93%0.0821-0.85%0.0053✓0.9410k2022-10-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.0431-2.93%0.042-5.41%0.0424✓0.98132k2022-10-04
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.87433-2.92%0.806453-10.46%0.0949✓0.8454k2022-10-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.103221-2.92%0.119187+12.10%0.1298✗0.836.8M2022-10-04
HIVEHivenative0.54390.52811-2.90%0.4984-8.37%0.0720✓0.83953k2022-10-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.035344-2.90%0.0378+3.85%0.0541✗0.788,1752022-10-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.4618-2.88%17.45-8.21%0.0780✓1.2820.1M2022-10-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1255-2.82%1.1563-0.16%0.0065✓1.21949k2022-10-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.021634-2.81%0.01907-14.33%0.1400✓0.82459k2022-10-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.1458-2.81%2.8964-10.51%0.0997✓1.0119k2022-10-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.10009-2.73%0.0904-12.15%0.1141✓0.732,7842022-10-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.412535-2.70%0.424+0.00%0.0099✓1.048,1172022-10-04
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.042942-2.70%0.04142-6.15%0.0503✓0.8429k2022-10-04
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146112.7919-2.69%11.8219-10.07%0.0956✓0.9932k2022-10-04
FTTFTXEthereum26.425.6991-2.66%25.11-4.89%0.0396✓0.976.8M2022-10-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.67e-7-2.64%8.00e-7-10.11%0.0933✓0.8015k2022-10-04
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8586.7318-2.38%78.82-11.29%0.1218✓1.555.2M2022-10-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.012859-2.38%0.011761-10.71%0.1002✓0.65929k2022-10-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.054876-2.36%0.0677+20.46%0.1952✗0.8891k2022-10-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0676-2.28%0.9124-16.49%0.1829✓1.534.4M2022-10-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.305407-2.27%0.29-7.20%0.0714✓1.17111k2022-10-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012571-2.25%0.0099-23.02%0.2498✓0.65220k2022-10-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.19968-2.17%0.1815-11.07%0.1181✓1.34140k2022-10-04
DODODODOEthereum0.130.127489-1.93%0.1359+4.54%0.0463✗1.041.5M2022-10-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.005964-1.91%0.00509-16.28%0.1691✓0.63977k2022-10-04
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.7077-1.88%5.26+9.63%0.0883✗1.346.8M2022-10-04
XMRMoneroMonero155.77153.181-1.66%147.1-5.57%0.0580✓1.041.4M2022-10-04
GTGateEthereum4.21214.1441-1.61%4.3937+4.31%0.0453✗0.78724k2022-10-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001538-1.61%0.001573+0.64%0.0069✓0.93413k2022-10-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.284705-1.53%0.23843-17.54%0.1951✓1.0512k2022-10-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.121066-1.49%0.1287+4.72%0.0435✗1.0525k2022-10-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.152977-1.42%0.17452+12.46%0.0975✗2.033442022-10-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005897-1.39%0.006303+5.41%0.0549✗0.702,1662022-10-04
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.859374-1.11%0.78707-9.43%0.1049✓1.0113k2022-10-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9592-1.05%2.43+22.73%0.2068✗0.5175k2022-10-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.020554-0.77%0.019507-5.83%0.0660✓0.8112k2022-10-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.024838-0.73%0.02476-1.04%0.0247✓1.283,2982022-10-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.35458-0.68%0.331-7.28%0.0902✓1.26194k2022-10-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.180085-0.12%0.1149-36.27%0.4496✓0.0193k2022-10-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,845.36-0.10%20,310.50+2.24%0.0073✗0.9413k2022-10-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.23263+0.06%0.1886-18.88%0.2250✗0.9067k2022-10-04
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.225328+0.10%0.2235-0.71%0.0239✗0.94468k2022-10-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.073882+0.17%0.06231-15.52%0.1901✗1.1725k2022-10-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.057882+0.32%0.0501-13.17%0.1603✗0.9497k2022-10-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.501681+0.34%0.364-27.20%0.3413✗1.223,8602022-10-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7320,088.12+0.42%20,345.19+1.70%0.0042✓1.00480.9M2022-10-04
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.063987+0.69%0.062261-2.02%0.0377✗0.62123k2022-10-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9219.1424+1.18%15.51-18.02%0.2223✗0.711.7M2022-10-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.