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2022-08-30 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0901
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.33%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.7%
in alpha space · 45.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.169646+0.38%0.168-0.59%0.0213✗0.98340k2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0769+0.33%2.03-1.93%0.0288✗0.5197k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001553+0.31%0.001503-2.91%0.0441✗0.98433k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.5601+0.26%1.522-2.19%0.0386✗1.1877k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.520024+0.20%0.528+1.73%0.0027✓1.0677k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.32582+0.19%0.3203-1.51%0.0309✗1.17138k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8687+0.18%4.86+0.00%0.0119✗0.861.5M2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.097167+0.17%0.1003+3.40%0.0232✓0.722,7842022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.020413+0.16%0.02026-0.59%0.0174✗0.8411.4M2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.7197+0.15%5.746+0.61%0.0056✗0.869.5M2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.952748+0.15%0.9427-0.90%0.0249✗1.21963k2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3122.3436+0.15%19.03-14.70%0.1691✗0.721.5M2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.061506+0.14%0.061277-0.23%0.0162✗1.061.6M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1746.182+0.13%6.142-0.52%0.0219✗1.309.5M2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.006208+0.13%0.00619-0.16%0.0104✗0.631.0M2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,891.81+0.11%19,990.40+0.61%0.0062✗0.9413k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.148865+0.11%0.1531+2.96%0.0150✓1.111,5282022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.06334+0.11%0.06211-1.83%0.0322✗1.072.1M2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.8919+0.10%1.915+1.32%0.0076✗1.6890k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.497466+0.09%0.475-4.43%0.0606✗1.222,7102022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.36130.361634+0.09%0.365+1.02%0.0045✗1.17393k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum3.11583.1185+0.09%3.149+1.06%0.0022✗1.0125k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,830.39+0.09%20,048.26+1.19%0.0009✗1.00490.8M2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.062554+0.09%0.0595-4.80%0.0604✗0.87105k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.153921+0.09%0.15568+1.23%0.0127✗2.046042022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.189+0.08%1.205+1.43%0.0017✓0.991.7M2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0492.0506+0.08%2.012-1.81%0.0324✗1.1444k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.334362+0.08%0.3462+3.62%0.0201✓1.24176k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.833016+0.07%0.8327+0.04%0.0127✗1.041.8M2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.25494.258+0.07%4.3008+1.08%0.0009✓0.77775k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.657035+0.07%0.6723+2.39%0.0066✓1.39226k2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.5618+0.06%6.628+1.07%0.0024✗1.0617.7M2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.540491+0.05%0.55118+2.03%0.0040✓1.3237k2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana31.4831.4956+0.05%31.5+0.06%0.0136✗1.1665.9M2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.066548+0.04%0.06618-0.51%0.0152✗0.829142022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.064732+0.04%0.063428-1.97%0.0276✗0.61129k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.226084+0.04%0.2291+1.37%0.0025✓0.91501k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.146454+0.04%0.1445-1.30%0.0256✗1.03138k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008643+0.03%0.00858-0.69%0.0159✗0.735.6M2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69114.729+0.03%115.16+0.41%0.0097✗1.144.6M2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.246182+0.03%0.2325-5.53%0.0679✗0.9176k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.138945+0.03%0.1395+0.43%0.0080✗1.01510k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.081525+0.03%0.0821+0.74%0.0041✗0.9513k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.208934+0.02%0.2112+1.10%0.0015✗1.0459k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.036006+0.02%0.0357-0.83%0.0179✗0.809,5472022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127618+0.01%0.1276+0.00%0.0123✗1.031.7M2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057608+0.01%0.0577+0.17%0.0118✗1.13258k2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.0831.0831+0.01%1.129+4.25%0.0208✓1.753.2M2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.299008+0.01%0.29809-0.29%0.0160✗1.09549k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.309832+0.01%0.3041-1.84%0.0313✗1.07111k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,524.95+0.01%1,554.00+1.91%0.0027✓1.37628.3M2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4301+0.01%1.43+0.00%0.0139✗1.17123k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3201+0.01%1.31-0.76%0.0184✗0.91121k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.376462+0.01%0.3717-1.26%0.0240✗0.9640k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.8231+0.01%1.818-0.27%0.0136✗0.91121k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035302+0.00%0.0349-1.13%0.0223✗0.9287k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero148.87148.8773+0.00%149.22+0.24%0.0097✗1.021.3M2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3884.3831+0.00%84.85+0.56%0.0125✗1.526.3M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0153.009-0.00%53.84+1.57%0.0040✗0.9812.7M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.77062-0.00%0.77191+0.16%0.0088✓0.88509k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0506-0.00%1.0347-1.51%0.0297✓1.23973k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.1024-0.01%0.104365+1.91%0.0094✗0.817.0M2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3819.3778-0.01%19.13-1.29%0.0282✓1.3023.0M2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.963188-0.01%0.9535-1.02%0.0160✓0.503.6M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum31.0531.0459-0.01%31.03-0.06%0.0230✓1.90288k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.9718-0.01%9.001+0.31%0.0080✓0.961.5M2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2576.2561-0.01%6.25-0.11%0.0116✓0.905.0M2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.2328-0.02%1.275+3.41%0.0197✗1.19460k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.061684-0.03%0.0622+0.81%0.0067✓1.27908k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.7495-0.03%6.047+5.15%0.0449✗0.474.4M2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.8077-0.03%4.761-1.00%0.0256✓1.348.7M2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.651824-0.03%0.663+1.69%0.0056✗0.97207k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.900261-0.03%0.894603-0.66%0.0161✓0.8363k2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.071069-0.03%0.07274+2.32%0.0094✗1.1726k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102668-0.03%0.1033+0.58%0.0040✓0.86192k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.355986-0.03%0.3513-1.35%0.0261✓1.09131k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash59.8759.8492-0.03%59.88+0.02%0.0131✓1.161.7M2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.336352-0.04%0.33416-0.69%0.0183✓1.0046k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.6314-0.04%1.65+1.10%0.0004✗0.93579k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.037975-0.04%0.03845+1.21%0.0028✗0.812,8422022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000012175-0.04%0.00001208-0.82%0.0190✓0.95828k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,870.75-0.04%9,021.07+1.65%0.0006✗1.376.2M2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.042881-0.04%0.044+2.56%0.0144✗0.97156k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.002920.002919-0.05%0.00335+14.73%0.1261✗1.00486k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.212.1941-0.05%12.5+2.46%0.0122✗1.061.9M2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.102945-0.05%0.1026-0.39%0.0161✓1.083.3M2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3132.2921-0.06%32.41+0.31%0.0141✓1.5012.9M2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.66862-0.06%0.673+0.60%0.0076✓1.204.3M2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.04581.0452-0.06%1.0708+2.39%0.0139✗0.8748k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005784-0.06%0.005668-2.05%0.0283✓0.692,3002022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0629-0.06%1.1463+7.79%0.0577✗1.514.5M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.28772-0.06%0.2809-2.43%0.0354✓0.963.1M2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.446804-0.07%0.4594+2.75%0.0144✗1.14364k2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.975-0.07%2.959-0.60%0.0236✓1.543.8M2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.072.0685-0.07%2.15+3.86%0.0252✗1.14232k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.0584-0.08%2.13+3.40%0.0252✗0.76329k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.114.1069-0.08%4.449+8.25%0.0774✗0.232.3M2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.014209-0.08%0.01358-4.50%0.0532✓0.67174k2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050661-0.08%0.0503-0.79%0.0187✓0.98237k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8613.8492-0.08%14.14+2.02%0.0078✗1.10909k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.291472-0.08%0.2885-1.10%0.0209✓0.916.5M2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4664-0.08%4.79+7.16%0.0637✗0.531.1M2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.122602-0.08%0.1236+0.73%0.0044✓1.0625k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum26.626.5764-0.09%26.73+0.49%0.0057✓0.977.3M2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0749-0.09%2.1594+3.98%0.0268✗1.1113k2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.013136-0.09%0.013176+0.21%0.0044✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum95.6395.5403-0.09%96.47+0.88%0.0004✓0.863.5M2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.7285-0.09%1.7276-0.14%0.0119✓0.971.2M2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.452569-0.10%0.4458-1.59%0.0263✓0.9537.8M2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration47.4747.4243-0.10%47.42-0.11%0.0117✓0.99543k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.79e-7-0.10%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0084✓0.792.0M2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.4958-0.10%1.5108+0.90%0.0033✓1.12296k2022-08-31
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31864.3142-0.10%4.8276+11.79%0.1006✗1.00147k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.319488-0.10%0.31794-0.59%0.0149✓0.85350k2022-08-31
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.195395-0.10%0.201+2.76%0.0165✗1.00121k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1869-0.10%1.1394-4.10%0.0513✓0.891.3M2022-08-31
DASHDashDash45.5145.4623-0.10%44.55-2.11%0.0317✓0.97438k2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.088805-0.11%0.0899+1.12%0.0010✓0.95393k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58251.5266-0.11%51.915+0.65%0.0013✓0.75322k2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.882344-0.11%0.89656+1.50%0.0040✗1.0214k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316712.3032-0.11%12.38+0.51%0.0052✓0.9732k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0087.0002-0.11%7.033+0.36%0.0076✓1.0411.6M2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.135036-0.12%0.13698+1.32%0.0001✓1.20200k2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.514347-0.13%0.515+0.00%0.0122✓1.1483k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004015-0.13%0.00404+0.50%0.0055✓1.00152k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.220811-0.13%0.2184-1.22%0.0264✓1.31135k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.048336-0.13%0.0484+0.00%0.0104✓0.99796k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.243878-0.13%0.2447+0.20%0.0082✓0.9881k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001484-0.13%0.00156+4.98%0.0418✗0.699,0932022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum4746.936-0.14%47.14+0.30%0.0103✓1.2411k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.05782-0.14%0.0574-0.86%0.0183✓0.9398k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.283605-0.14%0.282-0.70%0.0142✓0.72686k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.54890.548121-0.14%0.5573+1.53%0.0065✗0.861.3M2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024705-0.14%0.02455-0.77%0.0214✓1.283,3752022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.042904-0.14%0.043128+0.38%0.0009✓0.5228k2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.292893-0.15%0.31172+6.27%0.0500✗1.0412k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0122.0091-0.15%2.072+2.98%0.0149✗1.351.3M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.022751-0.15%0.030314+33.04%0.2858✗0.10266k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.2971-0.16%8.84+6.38%0.0577✗0.481.9M2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.1301-0.16%6.7+9.12%0.0834✗0.471.7M2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002988-0.16%0.002994+0.03%0.0089✓0.921.1M2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.740.738795-0.16%0.73-1.35%0.0154✓0.2979k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.8138-0.16%1.7939-1.26%0.0238✓1.0833k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.79e-7-0.17%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0192✓0.8016k2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.7703-0.17%2.728-1.69%0.0257✓0.88706k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase15.815.7729-0.17%15.53-1.71%0.0286✓1.1193k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.035227-0.18%0.03519-0.28%0.0131✓1.0240k2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.1806-0.18%5.61+8.09%0.0744✗0.442.0M2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.046525-0.18%0.04593-1.46%0.0213✓0.7116k2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3317.2976-0.19%17.27-0.35%0.0098✓0.69880k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.196322-0.19%0.2179+10.78%0.0944✗0.843.1M2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.02142-0.19%0.02152+0.27%0.0049✓0.8114k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.9645-0.19%7.66-4.01%0.0518✓1.09462k2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.180746-0.20%0.1824+0.72%0.0072✓1.382,2912022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.043328-0.20%0.043941+1.21%0.0041✗0.8530k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0692-0.21%10.1+0.10%0.0114✓1.22318k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.669608-0.21%0.663-1.19%0.0201✓0.86228k2022-08-31
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024848-0.21%0.0257+3.21%0.0269✗0.5849k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.036.017-0.22%6.4+6.14%0.0560✗0.482.1M2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.132213-0.22%0.1324-0.08%0.0048✓0.533.6M2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.3798-0.22%5.8014+7.60%0.0743✗0.10115k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.023992-0.24%0.02304-4.20%0.0500✓0.81459k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0891-0.24%4.337+5.81%0.0534✗0.462.0M2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001345-0.26%0.001342-0.46%0.0114✓0.792.1M2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.423842-0.27%0.418-1.65%0.0259✓1.028,1172022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.260054-0.29%0.247-5.29%0.0516✓0.0191k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.893-0.29%11.825-0.86%0.0189✓1.1110.8M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.344803-0.29%0.35+1.21%0.0039✗0.93347k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.510773-0.30%0.5054-1.35%0.0195✓0.76579k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006517-0.31%0.006495-0.64%0.0083✓0.4258k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.8307-0.32%4.0516+5.43%0.0490✗0.603.8M2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.428625-0.34%0.439+2.07%0.0103✗1.1596k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.008032-0.35%0.00799-0.87%0.0185✓1.12477k2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1333.1213-0.37%2.922-6.73%0.0720✓0.51650k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.5978-0.38%6.6294+17.98%0.1667✗0.215.4M2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.082051-0.39%0.08149-1.07%0.0075✓0.05478k2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48112.4324-0.39%13.005+4.20%0.0388✗0.528.9M2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0191.0149-0.40%1.078+5.79%0.0455✗1.251.4M2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.989614-0.44%0.91-8.45%0.0884✓0.384.2M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.7773-0.47%3.743-1.37%0.0207✓0.98252k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.6015-0.53%1.52-5.59%0.0509✓-0.11116k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045617-0.60%0.00004452-2.99%0.0346✓0.871.7M2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.9663-0.60%7.8611+30.97%0.2721✗0.326.5M2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.110556-0.85%0.1161+4.13%0.0405✗0.71220k2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.910804-0.91%0.9023-1.84%0.0265✓1.45167k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000156579-1.13%0.00022156+39.90%0.3389✗0.70429k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010890.000001074-1.35%9.25e-7-14.99%0.1588✓0.851.1M2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.