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2022-08-28 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1185
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.3%
in alpha space · 49.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.164828+0.51%0.174+6.10%0.0150✓1.07399k2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.5163+0.35%1.615+6.88%0.0191✓1.2088k2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.776725+0.30%0.8693+12.25%0.0742✓1.041.9M2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.320954+0.30%0.3367+5.22%0.0051✓1.16146k2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.138487+0.28%0.164+18.75%0.1307✓1.041,7802022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.7541+0.26%6.339+10.45%0.0489✓1.3010.0M2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.935582+0.26%0.987+5.77%0.0087✓1.22972k2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001591+0.24%0.001636+3.09%0.0073✗0.96538k2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.9482+0.22%2.089+7.46%0.0276✓1.1547k2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.6507+0.21%6.015+6.67%0.0308✓0.8610.1M2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.1313+0.21%1.189+5.31%0.0135✓0.981.9M2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.8299+0.21%5.12+6.22%0.0268✓0.861.6M2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.3628+0.21%1.495+9.93%0.0495✓1.17128k2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,683.61+0.19%20,303.80+3.35%0.0036✗0.9411k2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.061861+0.18%0.063828+3.37%0.0074✗1.051.7M2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.8313+0.18%1.955+6.95%0.0037✓1.6890k2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.2321+0.17%1.33+8.13%0.0416✓0.95154k2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.9877+0.17%3.1823+6.70%0.0259✓1.0126k2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.139838+0.17%0.148+6.02%0.0195✓1.01149k2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5778.7033+0.17%85.76+9.15%0.0308✓1.506.5M2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.3339+0.17%2.24-3.86%0.0601✗0.5293k2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.363648+0.17%0.3855+6.19%0.0228✓0.9745k2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2516.2613+0.17%6.7+7.18%0.0287✓1.0619.0M2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.21865+0.16%0.2257+3.39%0.0015✓0.90528k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.525823+0.16%0.553+5.33%0.0113✓1.0678k2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.118381+0.15%0.1311+10.91%0.0668✓0.961.8M2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.326583+0.15%0.3499+7.30%0.0225✓1.26176k2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.647244+0.15%0.6813+5.42%0.0008✓1.41242k2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative1.6921.6944+0.14%1.919+13.42%0.0751✓1.341.2M2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0319,581.96+0.14%20,286.97+3.75%0.0014✗1.00474.0M2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.489694+0.14%0.525+7.36%0.0235✓1.252,6092022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.994682+0.13%1.0799+8.71%0.0268✓1.514.6M2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.099728+0.13%0.101+1.41%0.0142✗0.733,2112022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.06237+0.13%0.06651+6.77%0.0235✓1.112.2M2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,428.40+0.12%1,551.65+8.76%0.0330✓1.35597.1M2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana30.4530.4868+0.12%32.41+6.44%0.0177✓1.1867.0M2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.35290.353323+0.12%0.3701+4.87%0.0035✓1.17410k2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.00849+0.12%0.00891+5.07%0.0201✓0.766.2M2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.061464+0.12%0.063437+3.33%0.0095✓0.60142k2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5318.5507+0.11%19.33+4.32%0.0074✗1.3222.5M2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.133848+0.11%0.1447+8.23%0.0406✓1.02553k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.304737+0.11%0.3223+5.88%0.0163✓1.08112k2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.061968+0.11%0.0637+2.91%0.0059✗0.91107k2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3311.3423+0.11%12.6+11.21%0.0662✓1.061.9M2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.340355+0.10%0.3664+7.76%0.0342✓1.07170k2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.524912+0.10%0.55401+5.65%0.0062✓1.3041k2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.749077+0.10%0.79536+6.29%0.0270✓0.89509k2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59112.7014+0.10%119.61+6.24%0.0174✓1.144.7M2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.079278+0.10%0.0843+6.44%0.0263✓0.9614k2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.9517+0.09%2.15+10.26%0.0519✓1.22255k2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00342.0051+0.09%2.1453+7.08%0.0234✓1.2013k2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum29.2629.285+0.09%32.49+11.04%0.0346✓1.88304k2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00431.0051+0.08%1.1021+9.74%0.0464✓1.24973k2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.273322+0.08%0.291+6.55%0.0273✓0.963.2M2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.034528+0.08%0.0365+5.80%0.0212✓0.9386k2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006425+0.07%0.00649+1.09%0.0131✗0.631.1M2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.7342+0.07%1.768+2.02%0.0154✗0.94137k2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.1928+0.07%1.263+5.96%0.0132✓1.20491k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.32284.3256+0.07%4.397+1.72%0.0120✗0.77775k2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9330.9481+0.06%33.55+8.47%0.0259✓1.4914.6M2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.02163+0.05%0.02267+4.86%0.0152✓0.8612.4M2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.291413+0.05%0.305285+4.81%0.0067✓1.08593k2022-08-29
OPTIMOptimism1.0541.0545+0.05%1.174+11.39%0.0437✓1.733.3M2022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.060428+0.05%0.0617+2.15%0.0254✗1.26908k2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1613.1661+0.05%13.83+5.09%0.0076✓1.131.0M2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.6511+0.05%4.983+7.18%0.0195✓1.348.9M2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero146.4146.4644+0.04%152.71+4.31%0.0056✓0.981.2M2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.862843+0.04%0.918733+6.52%0.0331✓0.8177k2022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.000011775+0.04%0.00001248+6.03%0.0233✓0.95886k2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.20247+0.03%0.2102+3.85%0.0001✓1.0261k2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.058219+0.03%0.0576-1.03%0.0533✗1.16252k2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.631203+0.03%0.672+6.50%0.0284✓0.93235k2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.378,475.84+0.03%9,081.72+7.18%0.0189✓1.366.5M2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.8183+0.03%9.1+3.22%0.0041✗0.961.5M2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.6004+0.02%1.729+8.06%0.0428✓0.94623k2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.645154+0.02%0.684+6.05%0.0134✓1.224.8M2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.159233+0.02%0.1725+8.35%0.0291✓1.382,2552022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.933587+0.02%0.9656+3.45%0.0142✓0.533.6M2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.159802+0.02%0.15839-0.86%0.0851✗2.076362022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.035707+0.02%0.0373+4.48%0.0145✓0.7911k2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.784326+0.02%0.7824-0.23%0.0569✗1.48161k2022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.037324+0.01%0.03792+1.61%0.0139✗0.812,7072022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.429146+0.01%0.4505+4.99%0.0123✓0.9939.2M2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.102744+0.01%0.105918+3.10%0.0002✗0.837.1M2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.002890.00289+0.00%0.00301+4.15%0.0031✓1.02508k2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.846282+0.00%0.87542+3.45%0.0024✗0.9814k2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.3401+0.00%4.53+4.38%0.0247✓0.491.3M2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.068972+0.00%0.07284+5.61%0.0109✓1.1927k2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum25.3525.3501+0.00%27.34+7.85%0.0401✓0.967.3M2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.0493+0.00%0.0525+6.49%0.0263✓1.00249k2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.6656-0.00%1.7099+2.66%0.0101✓0.991.2M2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8543.8487-0.00%48.57+10.76%0.0569✗1.2312k2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.487983-0.00%0.527+7.99%0.0348✗1.1486k2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.099196-0.00%0.1063+7.16%0.0292✗1.093.6M2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.328047-0.00%0.3476+5.96%0.0218✗0.9850k2022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.005519-0.01%0.005874+6.44%0.0377✗0.672,5882022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration45.445.3974-0.01%50.12+10.40%0.0631✗0.98560k2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.120192-0.01%0.1306+8.65%0.0629✗0.553.8M2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0964.0956-0.01%4.266+4.15%0.0350✗0.162.3M2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.282268-0.01%0.2981+5.60%0.0214✗0.907.1M2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3853.3737-0.01%55.79+4.51%0.0080✗0.9812.8M2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.101288-0.01%0.1045+3.16%0.0009✓0.87200k2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.27.1985-0.02%7.74+7.50%0.0314✗1.12534k2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.2007-0.02%1.2628+5.15%0.0172✗0.901.5M2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.8074-0.03%6.102+5.04%0.0340✗0.425.3M2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.3672-0.03%0.4238+15.38%0.1020✗1.1289k2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.7147-0.03%1.8412+7.35%0.0312✗1.0931k2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum92.3192.2814-0.03%101.16+9.59%0.0611✗0.843.3M2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.085372-0.03%0.0924+8.20%0.0439✗0.96409k2022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.434745-0.04%0.4607+5.93%0.0167✗1.12364k2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.606-0.04%2.856+9.55%0.0599✗0.86734k2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.4255-0.04%1.5357+7.69%0.0336✗1.11319k2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase14.814.7943-0.04%16.44+11.08%0.0654✗1.09119k2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.055379-0.04%0.0606+9.39%0.0560✗0.9399k2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.022131-0.04%0.02336+5.51%0.0243✗0.81419k2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.118352-0.04%0.123+3.89%0.0009✗1.0230k2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.04548-0.04%0.0491+7.91%0.0404✗0.98843k2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC8.50e-78.50e-7-0.05%8.90e-7+4.71%0.0177✗0.782.3M2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.067087-0.05%0.06742+0.45%0.0251✓0.829142022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.012995-0.05%0.013701+5.38%0.0294✗0.641.3M2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.03841.0379-0.06%1.0621+2.28%0.0080✓0.8550k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.041877-0.06%0.0441+5.25%0.0161✗0.97175k2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.236068-0.06%0.2484+5.17%0.0159✗0.9579k2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.213279-0.06%0.2219+3.98%0.0083✓1.30133k2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.857-0.06%7.276+6.05%0.0209✗1.0413.1M2022-08-29
DASHDashDash44.1444.1131-0.06%47.46+7.52%0.0375✗0.97466k2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52820.527857-0.06%0.5461+3.39%0.0019✗0.871.3M2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.9639-0.07%3.47+16.99%0.1028✗1.493.8M2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003927-0.07%0.00407+3.56%0.0009✓0.99158k2022-08-29
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38864.3854-0.07%4.68+6.64%0.0282✗1.00147k2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash61.1761.1255-0.07%63.75+4.22%0.0004✓1.131.9M2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2756.2699-0.08%6.682+6.49%0.0307✗0.895.2M2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.035-0.08%6.38+5.63%0.0395✗0.441.9M2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.098.0829-0.09%8.46+4.57%0.0280✗0.482.1M2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.313352-0.09%0.33586+7.09%0.0364✗0.90378k2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.035488-0.09%0.03677+3.52%0.0016✓1.0131k2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.55910.5495-0.09%11.438+8.32%0.0393✗1.1310.4M2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.024178-0.09%0.02554+5.54%0.0077✗1.283,4352022-08-29
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.190124-0.09%0.2019+6.10%0.0233✗1.00146k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.014766-0.09%0.0151+2.17%0.0029✓0.69165k2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.839191-0.10%0.946+12.62%0.1049✗0.404.2M2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.519.5003-0.10%10.28+8.10%0.0346✗1.20386k2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.044134-0.10%0.04816+9.01%0.0636✗0.6416k2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.274713-0.10%0.283+2.91%0.0028✗0.73710k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.020364-0.11%0.020994+2.98%0.0004✓0.8213k2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79351.7365-0.11%54.194+4.64%0.0193✗0.74328k2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.8634-0.11%6.29+7.16%0.0540✗0.442.1M2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06212.0484-0.11%12.6602+4.96%0.0140✗0.9735k2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.9934-0.12%4.177+4.48%0.0308✗0.392.0M2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.263489-0.12%0.2566-2.73%0.0607✓0.9394k2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002983-0.12%0.003238+8.40%0.0483✗0.911.1M2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.131547-0.13%0.13956+5.95%0.0138✗1.23210k2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.6505-0.14%3.8811+6.17%0.0394✗0.593.7M2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.077-0.14%2.13+2.40%0.0040✓0.79384k2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.165.1525-0.14%5.31+2.91%0.0139✗0.442.5M2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.292509-0.15%0.30106+2.77%0.0096✓1.0412k2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.644029-0.15%0.698+8.22%0.0487✗0.86242k2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6716.6432-0.16%17.22+3.30%0.0075✗0.72952k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.59e-7-0.16%8.80e-7+2.33%0.0052✓0.8116k2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.209861-0.16%0.2159+2.71%0.0019✓0.822.9M2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.730.728788-0.17%0.74+1.37%0.0030✗0.3384k2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.022924-0.17%0.023085+0.53%0.0031✗0.11262k2022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.0015-0.18%0.001529+1.73%0.0069✓0.709,7092022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3872-0.20%1.44+3.60%0.0401✗-0.07105k2022-08-29
SGBSongbirdnative0.0250.024949-0.20%0.025+0.00%0.0203✓0.6152k2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.001343-0.21%0.001401+4.11%0.0129✗0.802.1M2022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.044303-0.21%0.044446+0.11%0.0160✓0.5228k2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38212.3544-0.22%12.777+3.19%0.0152✗0.506.1M2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.042898-0.23%0.044565+3.65%0.0070✗0.8529k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.913788-0.24%0.989+7.97%0.0334✗1.241.4M2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1755.1614-0.26%5.2836+2.10%0.0186✗0.13119k2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.41091-0.26%0.441+7.04%0.0334✗1.018,1172022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.260268-0.28%0.2615+0.19%0.0044✗0.0191k2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.5353-0.33%5.7778+4.04%0.0355✗0.205.2M2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006686-0.33%0.006696-0.18%0.0142✓0.4358k2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.497627-0.39%0.523+4.68%0.0193✗0.83625k2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.237.0503-0.40%35-5.91%0.0830✓0.711.6M2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.362242-0.45%0.36085-0.84%0.0385✓0.94321k2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-77.74e-7-0.46%8.65e-7+11.23%0.0798✗0.85542k2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1064.0872-0.46%4.203+2.36%0.0089✓1.00245k2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.085941-0.51%0.08429-2.42%0.0216✓0.06598k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43525.4066-0.53%6.0774+11.82%0.1081✗0.244.6M2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.097573-0.54%0.1032+5.20%0.0280✗0.76247k2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.000124418-0.55%0.0001317+5.28%0.0284✗0.77352k2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.008201-0.59%0.00853+3.39%0.0019✓1.12477k2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000046760.000045986-1.66%0.00004993+6.78%0.0508✗0.861.7M2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.7664-2.83%3.276-15.48%0.1615✓0.60650k2022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.