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2022-08-25 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1103
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.3%
in alpha space · 25.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5411.5524+0.74%1.386-10.06%0.0397✗1.16138k2022-08-26
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04851.0548+0.60%0.9578-8.65%0.0201✗1.211.0M2022-08-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0043.0213+0.58%2.681-10.75%0.0795✗0.63669k2022-08-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0213.0379+0.56%2.723-9.86%0.0096✗1.584.0M2022-08-26
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38010.382146+0.54%0.3983+4.79%0.1210✓1.26152k2022-08-26
OPTIMOptimism1.1781.1841+0.52%1.019-13.50%0.0413✗1.723.6M2022-08-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3526.3839+0.50%5.748-9.51%0.0469✗0.925.2M2022-08-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86580.870103+0.50%0.7751-10.48%0.0476✗1.082.2M2022-08-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81970.823724+0.49%0.8001-2.39%0.0633✓1.46205k2022-08-26
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3795.405+0.48%4.774-11.25%0.0387✗1.3510.1M2022-08-26
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017620.00177+0.45%0.001566-11.12%0.0656✗0.90590k2022-08-26
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0237.0496+0.38%6.154-12.37%0.0545✗1.2910.3M2022-08-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.191706+0.37%0.17-10.99%0.0530✗1.06500k2022-08-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3566.3789+0.36%5.671-10.78%0.0644✗0.8410.1M2022-08-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.811.8163+0.35%1.632-9.83%0.0317✗1.19103k2022-08-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069790.070016+0.32%0.06321-9.43%0.0324✗1.112.4M2022-08-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.007040.007063+0.32%0.00657-6.68%0.0320✗0.641.2M2022-08-26
AAVEAaveEthereum93.3593.6396+0.31%82.72-11.39%0.0269✗1.546.7M2022-08-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.613.6417+0.31%12.27-9.78%0.0356✗1.111.9M2022-08-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.069312+0.31%0.0634-8.25%0.0322✗0.90116k2022-08-26
GMTGMTEthereum0.7910.793351+0.30%0.7053-10.83%0.0278✗1.42259k2022-08-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.068.083+0.29%7.32-9.18%0.0294✗1.10638k2022-08-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06760.067793+0.28%0.0626-7.40%0.0025✓1.221.0M2022-08-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.580.58165+0.28%0.517-10.86%0.0407✗1.222,3272022-08-26
CBKCobakEthereum0.951410.954111+0.28%0.86751-8.82%0.0343✗0.9613k2022-08-26
STXStacksnative0.39980.400932+0.28%0.3612-9.65%0.0314✗1.15470k2022-08-26
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.141195+0.28%0.1273-9.59%0.0435✗0.951.9M2022-08-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.20061.2039+0.28%1.0685-11.00%0.0412✗1.24981k2022-08-26
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165330.165782+0.27%0.15418-6.74%0.0611✓2.116042022-08-26
STEEMSteemnative0.24180.242453+0.27%0.2213-8.48%0.0346✗0.90510k2022-08-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023910.023974+0.27%0.02186-8.57%0.0382✗0.8613.4M2022-08-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.840180.842404+0.26%0.77813-7.39%0.0218✗0.91507k2022-08-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04690.047024+0.26%0.0433-7.68%0.0209✗0.97182k2022-08-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10980.110081+0.26%0.1012-7.83%0.0398✗0.703,6712022-08-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.181.183+0.25%1.0529-10.77%0.0226✗1.484.9M2022-08-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22890.22948+0.25%0.2082-9.04%0.0339✗1.0070k2022-08-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058560.005871+0.25%0.005538-5.43%0.0160✗0.672,6192022-08-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2621.2651+0.25%1.151-8.80%0.0326✗0.982.1M2022-08-26
MOVRMoonriverBase13.461513.4943+0.24%12.1201-9.96%0.0474✗0.9539k2022-08-26
ADACardanoCardano0.46420.465327+0.24%0.4317-7.00%0.0094✗1.0440.7M2022-08-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37540.376309+0.24%0.3397-9.51%0.0243✗1.23205k2022-08-26
DIADIAEthereum0.411010.41198+0.24%0.36828-10.40%0.0525✗0.9462k2022-08-26
HIVEHivenative0.56910.570403+0.23%0.5343-6.11%0.0094✗0.881.7M2022-08-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4218.4616+0.23%17.22-6.51%0.0255✗0.701.4M2022-08-26
ELAElastosEthereum1.8561.8601+0.22%1.773-4.47%0.0126✓0.96146k2022-08-26
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21790.218382+0.22%0.1973-9.45%0.0383✗1.00149k2022-08-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0081.0102+0.22%0.9592-4.84%0.0171✗0.553.6M2022-08-26
SOLSolanaSolana35.2535.3266+0.22%31.74-9.96%0.0344✗1.1570.1M2022-08-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.192.1947+0.22%1.942-11.32%0.0136✗1.72114k2022-08-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.172862+0.21%0.1562-9.45%0.0341✗1.061,7802022-08-26
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.672.6754+0.20%2.49-6.74%0.0405✗0.5093k2022-08-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3216440.322288+0.20%0.289082-10.12%0.0407✗1.08743k2022-08-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,695.271,698.66+0.20%1,508.02-11.05%0.0349✗1.33608.4M2022-08-26
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070310.070449+0.20%0.06625-5.77%0.0100✗0.819142022-08-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.47713.4839+0.20%3.1205-10.26%0.0477✗0.9930k2022-08-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.1437+0.19%6.504-8.78%0.0268✗1.0619.5M2022-08-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7214.7482+0.19%13.3-9.65%0.0262✗1.221.3M2022-08-26
FORTFortaEthereum0.26920.26969+0.18%0.2645-1.75%0.0426✓0.98109k2022-08-26
FTTFTXEthereum27.9427.9894+0.18%25.97-7.05%0.0148✗0.957.5M2022-08-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6256.7191+0.17%52.71-6.91%0.0108✗0.9913.5M2022-08-26
XVSVenusEthereum5.695.6999+0.17%5.13-9.84%0.0524✗0.841.6M2022-08-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,561.8621,599.24+0.17%20,240.72-6.13%0.0017✗1.00485.5M2022-08-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.06371+0.17%0.0599-5.82%0.0112✓1.15258k2022-08-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,605.6021,642.60+0.17%20,587.80-4.71%0.0102✓0.9512k2022-08-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143260.143504+0.17%0.13148-8.22%0.0102✗1.22213k2022-08-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.608460.609495+0.17%0.55641-8.55%0.0101✗1.2845k2022-08-26
XMRMoneroMonero153.94154.2006+0.17%142.81-7.23%0.0140✗0.991.2M2022-08-26
METISMetisEthereum35.2335.2877+0.16%31.1-11.72%0.0083✗1.87365k2022-08-26
XECeCashnative0.000039470.000039531+0.15%0.00003668-7.07%0.0188✗0.891.7M2022-08-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30740.307868+0.15%0.2831-7.91%0.0260✗0.927.8M2022-08-26
FLOWFlownative2.1372.1402+0.15%1.851-13.38%0.0630✗1.301.2M2022-08-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9823.0139+0.15%20.68-10.01%0.0256✗1.2924.1M2022-08-26
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.385+0.15%1.223-11.57%0.0473✗1.22534k2022-08-26
COMPCompoundEthereum51.4851.554+0.14%45.92-10.80%0.0386✗1.2215k2022-08-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.060387+0.14%0.0574-4.81%0.0067✓0.91112k2022-08-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691720.069271+0.14%0.063531-8.16%0.0214✗1.031.7M2022-08-26
GTGateEthereum4.5674.5735+0.14%4.3799-4.10%0.0056✓0.77827k2022-08-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.47642.4799+0.14%2.1662-12.53%0.0594✗1.2013k2022-08-26
TRXTRONTron0.0654990.06559+0.14%0.061552-6.03%0.0268✗0.58151k2022-08-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2892.2921+0.13%2.035-11.10%0.0467✗1.1460k2022-08-26
QNTQuantEthereum106.79106.9271+0.13%98.23-8.02%0.0317✗0.843.5M2022-08-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5710.571726+0.13%0.509-10.86%0.0452✗1.1288k2022-08-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50980.510434+0.12%0.4773-6.38%0.0156✗0.81625k2022-08-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.600742+0.12%0.546-9.00%0.0267✗1.09102k2022-08-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.1437.1856+0.12%33.91-8.70%0.0016✗1.4316.0M2022-08-26
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004205+0.12%0.00391-6.90%0.0103✗0.99152k2022-08-26
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.21e-7+0.12%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0068✗0.792.4M2022-08-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.69130.8445+0.12%116.16-11.12%0.0486✗1.114.9M2022-08-26
PROPropyEthereum0.730.730861+0.12%0.73+0.00%0.0219✓0.36105k2022-08-26
KCSKuCoinnative9.7639.7745+0.12%9.232-5.44%0.0032✓0.951.8M2022-08-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374150.374589+0.12%0.33605-10.18%0.0479✗0.9687k2022-08-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0144820.014499+0.11%0.01333-7.95%0.0443✗0.631.4M2022-08-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1104010.110527+0.11%0.103859-5.93%0.0082✗0.857.8M2022-08-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09090.091004+0.11%0.0857-5.72%0.0004✓0.9613k2022-08-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11160.111726+0.11%0.1029-7.80%0.0279✗0.86255k2022-08-26
KSMKusamaHydration48.5448.5943+0.11%44.52-8.28%0.0254✗0.98607k2022-08-26
NANOnanopayBase0.9588910.959963+0.11%0.8801-8.22%0.0365✗0.8084k2022-08-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30560.30594+0.11%0.2792-8.64%0.0317✗0.953.4M2022-08-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11590.116022+0.11%0.1024-11.65%0.0573✗1.073.7M2022-08-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075880.075958+0.10%0.07015-7.55%0.0044✗1.1929k2022-08-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009140.009148+0.09%0.00848-7.22%0.0279✗0.766.4M2022-08-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.055.0546+0.09%4.47-11.49%0.0967✗0.411.3M2022-08-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.052948+0.09%0.0472-10.78%0.0547✗0.95877k2022-08-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.05480.054849+0.09%0.0498-9.12%0.0340✗0.99256k2022-08-26
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42470.425076+0.09%0.3879-8.66%0.0211✗1.1189k2022-08-26
XVGVergenative0.003280.003283+0.08%0.00303-7.62%0.0149✗1.03537k2022-08-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04070.040734+0.08%0.0378-7.13%0.0218✗0.8411k2022-08-26
ZENHorizenBase17.1917.2042+0.08%15.52-9.71%0.0335✗1.10130k2022-08-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047920.047959+0.08%0.04458-6.97%0.0302✗0.6816k2022-08-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13090.131003+0.08%0.1207-7.79%0.0178✗1.0135k2022-08-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039930.03996+0.08%0.03783-5.26%0.0032✗0.822,7072022-08-26
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.11e-7+0.07%8.60e-7-5.49%0.0057✗0.8217k2022-08-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4817+0.07%2.16-12.90%0.0623✗1.21299k2022-08-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.26260.262783+0.07%0.2433-7.35%0.0170✗0.9583k2022-08-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4309+0.07%1.29-9.79%0.0436✗0.95182k2022-08-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4580.458299+0.07%0.431-5.90%0.0014✓0.998,8922022-08-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023030.023045+0.07%0.02334+1.35%0.0636✓0.80419k2022-08-26
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.027335+0.05%0.0246-9.96%0.0252✗1.273,4352022-08-26
UMAUMAEthereum2.9462.9476+0.05%2.7-8.35%0.0345✗0.84749k2022-08-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49610.496362+0.05%0.4491-9.47%0.0297✗1.11400k2022-08-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7240.724366+0.05%0.647-10.64%0.0579✗0.87253k2022-08-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,795.519,800.25+0.05%8,981.54-8.31%0.0015✗1.367.3M2022-08-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.155075+0.05%0.1396-9.94%0.0442✗0.96668k2022-08-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.15750.157573+0.05%0.143-9.21%0.0339✗1.00178k2022-08-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.304110.304249+0.05%0.28099-7.60%0.0136✗1.0413k2022-08-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.296124+0.04%0.274-7.43%0.0322✗0.72826k2022-08-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.09894+0.04%0.0887-10.31%0.0503✗0.93430k2022-08-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013930.000013935+0.04%0.00001243-10.77%0.0564✗0.92900k2022-08-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.13421.1346+0.03%1.0508-7.35%0.0230✗0.8553k2022-08-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.137841+0.03%0.1246-9.58%0.0663✗0.553.9M2022-08-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3950.395094+0.02%0.3556-9.97%0.0362✗1.09174k2022-08-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016660.016662+0.01%0.01586-4.80%0.0071✗0.67173k2022-08-26
XYMSymbolnative0.0473860.047391+0.01%0.045497-3.99%0.0077✗0.5233k2022-08-26
XEMNEMnative0.0478160.04782+0.01%0.043805-8.39%0.0345✗0.8432k2022-08-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03890.038903+0.01%0.0358-7.97%0.0248✗0.9286k2022-08-26
ZECZcashZcash67.7567.7532+0.00%61.1-9.82%0.0328✗1.122.0M2022-08-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7340.734+0.00%0.67-8.72%0.0069✗1.335.0M2022-08-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23840.238393-0.00%0.2245-5.83%0.0253✗1.35133k2022-08-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5837.5824-0.01%6.922-8.72%0.0265✓1.0214.0M2022-08-26
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.30774.3073-0.01%4.3027-0.12%0.0622✗1.00171k2022-08-26
XTZTezosTezos1.6691.6688-0.01%1.4828-11.16%0.0493✓1.09355k2022-08-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365110.365058-0.01%0.33161-9.18%0.0344✓0.98435k2022-08-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4398-0.01%1.36-5.56%0.0609✓-0.06115k2022-08-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17415.1732-0.02%5.1494-0.48%0.0045✗0.14158k2022-08-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.743839-0.02%0.662-11.02%0.0586✓0.92322k2022-08-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.61555.6004-0.03%52.147-6.24%0.0175✓0.74332k2022-08-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5496.5473-0.03%5.692-13.09%0.1200✓0.325.3M2022-08-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.9431.9425-0.03%1.683-13.38%0.0860✓0.91782k2022-08-26
SGBSongbirdnative0.02550.025492-0.03%0.0259+1.57%0.0563✗0.6442k2022-08-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034950.003494-0.03%0.00312-10.73%0.0587✓0.861.1M2022-08-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.38941.389-0.03%1.2489-10.11%0.0483✓0.921.5M2022-08-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9911.9903-0.04%1.7741-10.89%0.0479✓1.0633k2022-08-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008010.008007-0.04%0.00765-4.49%0.0262✗1.14513k2022-08-26
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18370.183626-0.04%0.1619-11.87%0.0400✓1.362,2552022-08-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0225110.022501-0.04%0.020726-7.93%0.0307✓0.8113k2022-08-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81051.8097-0.04%1.7235-4.81%0.0180✗1.06980k2022-08-26
DASHDashDash49.1849.153-0.05%44.3-9.92%0.0431✓0.96504k2022-08-26
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084050.084-0.06%0.08526+1.44%0.0206✗0.09637k2022-08-26
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.260613-0.07%0.2611+0.12%0.0025✗0.0187k2022-08-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37170.37143-0.07%0.3323-10.60%0.0397✓1.13111k2022-08-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7114.7075-0.08%4.149-11.93%0.1209✓0.092.4M2022-08-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.119.1024-0.08%8.31-8.78%0.0640✓0.432.4M2022-08-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.8937.8571-0.09%37.39-1.32%0.0431✗0.881.8M2022-08-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.846.834-0.09%6.04-11.70%0.0997✓0.382.1M2022-08-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.84712.8345-0.10%11.554-10.06%0.0355✓1.1010.4M2022-08-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9230.922047-0.10%0.928+0.54%0.0335✗0.434.2M2022-08-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.3176-0.11%2.25-3.02%0.0207✗0.80520k2022-08-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.22450.224256-0.11%0.2077-7.48%0.0258✓0.802.6M2022-08-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6824.6745-0.16%4.124-11.92%0.1051✓0.321.9M2022-08-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3811.3616-0.16%10.53-7.47%0.0013✓1.18439k2022-08-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0233430.023304-0.17%0.023198-0.62%0.0021✗0.11250k2022-08-26
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9980.996144-0.19%0.925-7.31%0.0032✗1.221.3M2022-08-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015250.001522-0.19%0.001375-9.87%0.0532✓0.772.0M2022-08-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015970.001594-0.20%0.001486-6.95%0.0250✓0.719,9742022-08-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.86.7853-0.22%5.97-12.21%0.1044✓0.372.7M2022-08-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.865.8472-0.22%5.23-10.75%0.0878✓0.382.9M2022-08-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.041110.041002-0.26%0.03689-10.27%0.0436✓0.9828k2022-08-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00680.006782-0.26%0.006665-1.99%0.0104✗0.4457k2022-08-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.374470.373483-0.26%0.34-9.21%0.0354✓0.93321k2022-08-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.71975.7027-0.30%5.0866-11.07%0.1046✓0.155.0M2022-08-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.25274.235-0.42%3.69-13.23%0.1039✓0.542.9M2022-08-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.57665.5525-0.43%4.7881-14.14%0.1367✓0.183.5M2022-08-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7214.6977-0.49%4.225-10.51%0.0458✓0.95225k2022-08-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.111748-0.58%0.1006-10.50%0.0609✓0.70250k2022-08-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.04e-77.99e-7-0.66%7.57e-7-5.85%0.0027✓0.80192k2022-08-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.86213.7544-0.78%11.744-15.28%0.1315✓0.423.8M2022-08-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000131320.000129727-1.21%0.00012306-6.29%0.0012✓0.82340k2022-08-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.