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2022-08-24 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1663
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.5%
in alpha space · 45.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.91%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2746.3044+0.48%6.356+1.31%0.0005✓0.8510.1M2022-08-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071010.071251+0.34%0.06979-1.72%0.0308✗1.112.4M2022-08-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum33.01+0.33%3.004+0.13%0.0077✗0.63693k2022-08-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.5527+0.30%1.541-0.45%0.0182✗1.17138k2022-08-25
OPTIMOptimism1.2261.2296+0.29%1.178-3.92%0.0585✗1.733.6M2022-08-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023820.023886+0.28%0.02391+0.38%0.0069✗0.8713.4M2022-08-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0343.041+0.23%3.021-0.43%0.0209✗1.574.0M2022-08-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.048.0585+0.23%8.06+0.25%0.0100✗1.12638k2022-08-25
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0457.0608+0.22%7.023-0.31%0.0171✗1.2910.3M2022-08-25
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017290.001733+0.22%0.001762+1.91%0.0087✓0.89653k2022-08-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074280.074437+0.21%0.07588+2.15%0.0084✓1.1929k2022-08-25
TRXTRONTron0.064820.064948+0.20%0.065499+1.05%0.0032✓0.58164k2022-08-25
QTUMQtumQtum3.47983.4864+0.19%3.4771-0.08%0.0117✗0.9934k2022-08-25
STXStacksnative0.38670.387378+0.18%0.3998+3.39%0.0211✓1.15487k2022-08-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8860.887528+0.17%0.923+4.18%0.0353✓0.434.3M2022-08-25
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.14103+0.16%0.1408+0.00%0.0104✗0.971.9M2022-08-25
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41070.411303+0.15%0.4247+3.41%0.0220✓1.1189k2022-08-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057610.005769+0.14%0.005856+1.65%0.0089✓0.672,6422022-08-25
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3125.3191+0.13%5.379+1.26%0.0011✓1.3510.1M2022-08-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0482590.048317+0.12%0.047386-1.81%0.0243✗0.5330k2022-08-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.29790.29824+0.11%0.30411+2.08%0.0100✓1.0412k2022-08-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85810.858992+0.10%0.8658+0.90%0.0018✗1.072.2M2022-08-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4066.4118+0.09%6.352-0.84%0.0177✗0.925.2M2022-08-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222610.022279+0.08%0.022511+1.12%0.0030✓0.8113k2022-08-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,367.1221,384.34+0.08%21,561.86+0.91%0.0008✗1.00485.5M2022-08-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5880.588457+0.08%0.58-1.36%0.0256✗1.221,8732022-08-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06690.066951+0.08%0.0676+1.05%0.0014✗1.221.0M2022-08-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1227.1266+0.06%7.13+0.11%0.0092✗1.0619.5M2022-08-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37380.374041+0.06%0.3754+0.43%0.0076✗1.24215k2022-08-25
FORTFortaEthereum0.270.270173+0.06%0.2692-0.30%0.0125✗0.98112k2022-08-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.060637+0.06%0.0603-0.50%0.0138✗0.91120k2022-08-25
KSMKusamaHydration48.9949.0193+0.06%48.54-0.92%0.0188✗0.99606k2022-08-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7661.7671+0.06%1.81+2.49%0.0132✓1.19114k2022-08-25
CBKCobakEthereum0.946690.947239+0.06%0.95141+0.50%0.0044✗0.9713k2022-08-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,418.4021,430.16+0.05%21,605.60+0.87%0.0005✓0.9511k2022-08-25
MOVRMoonriverBase13.867113.8743+0.05%13.4615-2.92%0.0389✗0.9640k2022-08-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.421.4207+0.05%1.43+0.70%0.0021✗0.95182k2022-08-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.19711.1976+0.04%1.2006+0.29%0.0087✗1.24981k2022-08-25
ADACardanoCardano0.45770.45789+0.04%0.4642+1.42%0.0042✓1.0442.0M2022-08-25
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026920.026931+0.04%0.02732+1.49%0.0029✓1.273,2032022-08-25
ELAElastosEthereum1.8271.8277+0.04%1.856+1.59%0.0067✓0.96147k2022-08-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006983+0.04%0.00704+0.86%0.0024✓0.641.3M2022-08-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.172562+0.04%0.1725+0.00%0.0101✗1.071,7802022-08-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4520.45213+0.03%0.458+1.33%0.0039✓0.998,8922022-08-25
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22010.220154+0.02%0.2179-1.00%0.0194✗1.00152k2022-08-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06760.067612+0.02%0.0691+2.22%0.0135✓0.91113k2022-08-25
SOLSolanaSolana34.8834.8845+0.01%35.25+1.06%0.0000✓1.1575.2M2022-08-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.4103+0.01%2.48+2.90%0.0175✓1.21299k2022-08-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21970.219722+0.01%0.2289+4.19%0.0319✓1.0067k2022-08-25
MANADecentralandEthereum0.83270.83276+0.01%0.84018+0.90%0.0006✓0.92507k2022-08-25
SCSiacoinnative0.004090.00409+0.00%0.0042+2.69%0.0176✓0.99152k2022-08-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.49555.4949-0.00%55.615+0.22%0.0045✓0.74332k2022-08-25
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.726923-0.01%0.724-0.41%0.0120✓0.88253k2022-08-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29830.298256-0.01%0.3056+2.45%0.0158✗0.953.4M2022-08-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,349.199,347.58-0.02%9,795.51+4.77%0.0345✗1.367.3M2022-08-25
FLOWFlownative2.1472.1466-0.02%2.137-0.47%0.0163✓1.311.2M2022-08-25
XTZTezosTezos1.60061.6003-0.02%1.669+4.27%0.0322✗1.09388k2022-08-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48610.485987-0.02%0.4961+2.06%0.0105✗1.11400k2022-08-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7210.720771-0.03%0.744+3.19%0.0234✗0.91322k2022-08-25
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.166880.166823-0.03%0.16533-0.93%0.0282✓2.126042022-08-25
AAVEAaveEthereum88.4188.3769-0.04%93.35+5.59%0.0408✗1.546.5M2022-08-25
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1710.170934-0.04%0.1837+7.43%0.0598✗1.352,1742022-08-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12490.124851-0.04%0.1309+4.80%0.0382✗1.0135k2022-08-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.44032.4393-0.04%2.4764+1.48%0.0042✗1.2013k2022-08-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141860.141802-0.04%0.14326+0.99%0.0009✓1.23223k2022-08-25
GTGateEthereum4.49224.4901-0.05%4.567+1.67%0.0099✗0.78827k2022-08-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17661.176-0.05%1.18+0.29%0.0101✓1.494.9M2022-08-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50890.508652-0.05%0.5098+0.18%0.0051✓0.81625k2022-08-25
XECeCashnative0.000038750.00003873-0.05%0.00003947+1.86%0.0109✗0.881.7M2022-08-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034260.003424-0.05%0.003495+2.01%0.0127✗0.861.1M2022-08-25
NANOnanopayBase0.9351460.934639-0.05%0.958891+2.54%0.0184✗0.7977k2022-08-25
FTTFTXEthereum27.5527.5345-0.06%27.94+1.42%0.0060✗0.957.6M2022-08-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046560.046534-0.06%0.04792+2.92%0.0231✗0.6916k2022-08-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009095-0.06%0.00914+0.44%0.0018✓0.756.4M2022-08-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04640.046373-0.06%0.0469+1.08%0.0024✗0.98184k2022-08-25
BANDBandEthereum1.3641.3632-0.06%1.383+1.39%0.0033✗1.23534k2022-08-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15090.150809-0.06%0.155+2.72%0.0186✗0.97614k2022-08-25
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40980.409548-0.06%0.3801-7.25%0.0862✓1.27152k2022-08-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30230.302099-0.07%0.3074+1.69%0.0091✗0.928.2M2022-08-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81510.814555-0.07%0.8197+0.56%0.0070✓1.47205k2022-08-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96541.964-0.07%1.991+1.30%0.0040✗1.0633k2022-08-25
XMRMoneroMonero150.55150.4463-0.07%153.94+2.25%0.0139✗1.001.2M2022-08-25
STEEMSteemnative0.23530.235136-0.07%0.2418+2.76%0.0198✗0.90510k2022-08-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.4535.4246-0.07%37.14+4.77%0.0344✗1.4216.0M2022-08-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.587630.587137-0.08%0.60846+3.54%0.0240✗1.2845k2022-08-25
DASHDashDash49.1349.0859-0.09%49.18+0.10%0.0069✓0.97504k2022-08-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.4656.4091-0.09%56.62+0.28%0.0053✓0.9913.5M2022-08-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.3418.3231-0.09%18.42+0.44%0.0011✓0.701.5M2022-08-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365710.365364-0.09%0.36511-0.16%0.0096✓0.98435k2022-08-25
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.09e-7-0.10%9.20e-7+1.10%0.0046✗0.802.6M2022-08-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.8313.8166-0.10%13.6-1.66%0.0260✓1.122.0M2022-08-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04020.04016-0.10%0.0407+1.24%0.0057✗0.8511k2022-08-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051748-0.10%0.0529+2.12%0.0133✗0.96827k2022-08-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.561401-0.11%0.571+1.60%0.0067✗1.1388k2022-08-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.599324-0.11%0.6+0.00%0.0087✓1.09102k2022-08-25
XVSVenusEthereum5.725.7133-0.12%5.69-0.52%0.0117✓0.841.6M2022-08-25
XEMNEMnative0.0462280.04617-0.12%0.047816+3.44%0.0274✗0.8432k2022-08-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040140.040089-0.13%0.03993-0.52%0.0114✓0.822,7072022-08-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13280.132626-0.13%0.1378+3.77%0.0333✗0.553.9M2022-08-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0910.09088-0.13%0.0909-0.11%0.0086✓0.9713k2022-08-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0122.9793-0.13%22.98-0.13%0.0117✓1.2924.5M2022-08-25
METISMetisEthereum35.7635.7112-0.14%35.23-1.48%0.0306✓1.87365k2022-08-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3781-0.14%1.44+4.35%0.0445✗-0.06105k2022-08-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11180.111645-0.14%0.1098-1.79%0.0230✓0.703,6712022-08-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1094820.10933-0.14%0.110401+0.84%0.0020✗0.867.8M2022-08-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0143020.014282-0.14%0.014482+1.26%0.0082✗0.631.5M2022-08-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11040.110242-0.14%0.1116+1.09%0.0043✗0.87255k2022-08-25
ZECZcashZcash67.6967.5924-0.14%67.75+0.09%0.0078✓1.122.0M2022-08-25
HIVEHivenative0.55770.556888-0.15%0.5691+2.04%0.0136✗0.891.8M2022-08-25
COMPCompoundEthereum51.1751.0949-0.15%51.48+0.61%0.0036✓1.2315k2022-08-25
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04441.0429-0.15%1.0485+0.39%0.0056✓1.211.0M2022-08-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1762.1725-0.16%2.19+0.64%0.0077✓1.73114k2022-08-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.023549-0.17%0.02303-2.37%0.0297✓0.81444k2022-08-25
DIADIAEthereum0.403120.40241-0.18%0.41101+1.96%0.0126✗0.9462k2022-08-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5514.5244-0.18%14.72+1.17%0.0023✗1.231.3M2022-08-25
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070090.069966-0.18%0.07031+0.31%0.0025✓0.818802022-08-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,656.741,653.78-0.18%1,695.27+2.33%0.0127✗1.33608.4M2022-08-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.11721.1152-0.18%1.1342+1.52%0.0092✗0.8553k2022-08-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38710.386393-0.18%0.395+2.04%0.0121✗1.10174k2022-08-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.241.2377-0.19%1.262+1.77%0.0106✗0.982.1M2022-08-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006680.006667-0.19%0.0068+1.80%0.0157✗0.4457k2022-08-25
KCSKuCoinnative9.6319.6122-0.20%9.763+1.37%0.0069✗0.951.8M2022-08-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7270.725565-0.20%0.734+0.96%0.0006✓1.345.0M2022-08-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.0990.098803-0.20%0.0989-0.10%0.0075✓0.94430k2022-08-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.185628-0.20%0.191+2.69%0.0189✗1.06519k2022-08-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03011.028-0.21%1.008-2.15%0.0246✓0.553.7M2022-08-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.063963-0.21%0.0636-0.78%0.0162✓1.15266k2022-08-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.25570.255126-0.22%0.2626+2.70%0.0203✗0.9584k2022-08-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367940.36709-0.23%0.37415+1.69%0.0103✗0.9687k2022-08-25
QNTQuantEthereum108107.7434-0.24%106.79-1.12%0.0166✓0.853.5M2022-08-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088440.308092-0.24%0.321644+4.14%0.0333✗1.08778k2022-08-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.037605-0.25%0.0389+3.18%0.0254✗0.9381k2022-08-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5657.5459-0.25%7.583+0.24%0.0044✓1.0214.0M2022-08-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2642.2583-0.25%2.289+1.10%0.0031✗1.1560k2022-08-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.284267-0.26%0.296+3.86%0.0340✗0.72826k2022-08-25
UMAUMAEthereum2.9322.9243-0.26%2.946+0.48%0.0002✓0.84749k2022-08-25
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-79.18e-7-0.26%9.10e-7-1.09%0.0157✓0.8217k2022-08-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00820.008178-0.26%0.00801-2.32%0.0312✓1.14513k2022-08-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0678370.067657-0.27%0.069172+1.97%0.0129✗1.021.7M2022-08-25
XVGVergenative0.003210.003201-0.27%0.00328+2.18%0.0149✗1.03537k2022-08-25
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.9641-0.27%17.19+1.06%0.0032✗1.10130k2022-08-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.147699-0.27%0.1575+6.35%0.0552✗1.00149k2022-08-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11460.114276-0.28%0.1159+1.13%0.0044✗1.073.7M2022-08-25
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.259149-0.29%0.2608+0.35%0.0063✗0.0187k2022-08-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013050.000013008-0.32%0.00001393+6.74%0.0602✗0.91864k2022-08-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37370.372482-0.33%0.3717-0.54%0.0125✓1.15111k2022-08-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3865.3682-0.33%5.1741-3.93%0.0382✓0.15169k2022-08-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099910.000099576-0.33%0.00013132+31.44%0.2695✗0.80329k2022-08-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00160.001595-0.34%0.001597-0.19%0.0049✓0.709,9742022-08-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.299.2582-0.34%9.11-1.94%0.0200✓0.432.6M2022-08-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.195.1714-0.36%5.05-2.70%0.0274✓0.401.4M2022-08-25
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.772.7601-0.36%2.67-3.61%0.0377✓0.5093k2022-08-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.9361.929-0.36%1.943+0.36%0.0010✓0.91782k2022-08-25
GMTGMTEthereum0.78610.7831-0.38%0.791+0.62%0.0027✓1.40267k2022-08-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.34129.8362-0.39%130.69+0.27%0.0036✓1.124.9M2022-08-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0911.0463-0.39%11.38+2.61%0.0191✗1.18439k2022-08-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85031.8425-0.42%1.8105-2.15%0.0272✓1.07862k2022-08-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3337.169-0.43%37.89+1.50%0.0112✗0.881.8M2022-08-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.342.3298-0.44%2.32-0.85%0.0116✓0.81636k2022-08-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.8191-0.45%6.8-0.73%0.0061✓0.372.7M2022-08-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234390.023333-0.45%0.023343-0.41%0.0006✓0.11239k2022-08-25
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084250.083867-0.45%0.08405-0.24%0.0014✓0.09737k2022-08-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.054646-0.46%0.0548-0.18%0.0062✓0.99256k2022-08-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001527-0.48%0.001525-0.62%0.0085✓0.782.0M2022-08-25
PROPropyEthereum0.740.736392-0.49%0.73-1.35%0.0122✓0.38105k2022-08-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8764.8513-0.51%4.682-3.98%0.0384✓0.321.9M2022-08-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22390.222747-0.52%0.2384+6.48%0.0556✗1.35124k2022-08-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.340780.338981-0.53%0.37447+9.89%0.0912✗0.92321k2022-08-25
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9560.950582-0.57%0.998+4.39%0.0376✗1.221.3M2022-08-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.16.0641-0.59%5.86-3.93%0.0375✓0.363.1M2022-08-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.946.8988-0.59%6.84-1.44%0.0120✓0.382.1M2022-08-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017340.017231-0.63%0.01666-3.92%0.0398✓0.67167k2022-08-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10520.104488-0.68%0.1124+6.84%0.0667✗0.69247k2022-08-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.01912.9177-0.78%12.847-1.32%0.0155✓1.1110.4M2022-08-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.94.8592-0.83%4.711-3.86%0.0317✓0.082.4M2022-08-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8166.7586-0.84%6.549-3.92%0.0342✓0.305.3M2022-08-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34224.3033-0.90%4.2527-2.06%0.0167✓0.532.5M2022-08-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.87695.8226-0.92%5.7197-2.67%0.0193✓0.164.5M2022-08-25
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56794.522-1.00%4.3077-5.70%0.0576✓1.00173k2022-08-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040160.039748-1.03%0.04111+2.37%0.0248✗0.9825k2022-08-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.61725.5586-1.04%5.5766-0.72%0.0016✓0.182.6M2022-08-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.24240.239776-1.08%0.2245-7.38%0.0733✓0.822.3M2022-08-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7244.6532-1.50%4.721-0.06%0.0057✓0.96172k2022-08-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.53831.5118-1.72%1.3894-9.68%0.0929✓0.931.4M2022-08-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.33914.0217-2.21%13.862-3.33%0.0153✓0.433.0M2022-08-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.05e-77.84e-7-2.53%8.04e-7-0.07%0.0179✓0.77180k2022-08-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.062010.050091-19.22%–pending––0.8612k2022-08-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.