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2022-08-20 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2579
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.1%
in alpha space · 84.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7462.7965+1.84%3.111+13.29%0.0789✓1.565.1M2022-08-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99951.0171+1.76%1.0248+2.53%0.0183✗1.455.0M2022-08-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5961.6231+1.70%1.724+8.02%0.0390✓1.20126k2022-08-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021520.021857+1.57%0.02263+5.16%0.0187✓0.9013.9M2022-08-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0365.1141+1.55%5.19+3.06%0.0092✓1.3510.9M2022-08-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5251.5484+1.53%1.562+2.43%0.0127✓1.21156k2022-08-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38380.388469+1.22%0.3841+0.08%0.0342✗1.28190k2022-08-21
OPTIMOptimism1.1311.1443+1.17%1.176+3.98%0.0032✓1.723.7M2022-08-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.041.0515+1.11%1.072+3.08%0.0022✓1.211.1M2022-08-21
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7983.6896+1.09%85.89+3.74%0.0010✓1.526.4M2022-08-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3056.3716+1.06%6.459+2.44%0.0030✓0.935.3M2022-08-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31050.313683+1.03%0.3366+8.41%0.0503✓1.14110k2022-08-21
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.132331+1.02%0.1393+6.34%0.0338✓0.992.1M2022-08-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20230.204315+1.00%0.2119+4.75%0.0187✓1.00146k2022-08-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1810.182777+0.98%0.187+3.31%0.0039✓1.06608k2022-08-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6812.8024+0.97%13.18+3.94%0.0093✓1.112.6M2022-08-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86170.869885+0.95%0.8737+1.39%0.0149✗1.082.2M2022-08-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06590.066515+0.93%0.0696+5.61%0.0288✓0.93126k2022-08-21
METISMetisEthereum32.4532.7474+0.92%34.76+7.12%0.0266✓1.86383k2022-08-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0573.0844+0.90%3.174+3.83%0.0173✓0.64803k2022-08-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5690.574054+0.89%0.611+7.38%0.0405✓1.232,9182022-08-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,539.618,614.85+0.88%8,749.39+2.46%0.0087✓1.367.3M2022-08-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2496.3035+0.87%6.413+2.62%0.0021✓0.8510.1M2022-08-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1522.1703+0.85%2.229+3.58%0.0061✓1.1660k2022-08-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068290.068869+0.85%0.06849+0.29%0.0254✗1.122.4M2022-08-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.169689+0.83%0.1768+5.05%0.0231✓1.011,7442022-08-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.1131+0.82%2.17+3.53%0.0038✓1.71122k2022-08-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3016860.304129+0.81%0.308829+2.37%0.0040✓1.09884k2022-08-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.171.1794+0.80%1.21+3.42%0.0039✓1.221.1M2022-08-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1314.2422+0.79%14.47+2.41%0.0059✓1.221.4M2022-08-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017260.00174+0.78%0.001778+3.01%0.0065✓0.87806k2022-08-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10290.103702+0.78%0.108+4.96%0.0216✓1.073.8M2022-08-21
STXStacksnative0.38960.392586+0.77%0.395+1.39%0.0136✗1.11493k2022-08-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12260.123534+0.76%0.1381+12.64%0.1014✓0.574.1M2022-08-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007250.007305+0.75%0.00947+30.62%0.2405✓1.07435k2022-08-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3501+0.75%1.39+3.73%0.0119✓0.97182k2022-08-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86120.867625+0.75%0.8569-0.50%0.0389✗1.49224k2022-08-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156860.157972+0.71%0.16409+4.61%0.0003✓2.126672022-08-21
BANDBandEthereum1.2991.3082+0.71%1.352+4.08%0.0109✓1.24518k2022-08-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3142.3297+0.68%2.478+7.09%0.0400✓1.2213k2022-08-21
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0047.0491+0.64%7.211+2.96%0.0000✓1.2810.7M2022-08-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8333.0353+0.63%33.76+2.83%0.0036✓1.4216.5M2022-08-21
ZENHorizenBase15.8415.9389+0.62%16.73+5.62%0.0288✓1.10125k2022-08-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139090.139939+0.61%0.14385+3.42%0.0058✓1.22250k2022-08-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.7990.803827+0.60%0.804+0.63%0.0251✗1.42398k2022-08-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41040.412836+0.59%0.4286+4.43%0.0178✓1.1074k2022-08-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16730.168277+0.58%0.1759+5.14%0.0204✓1.341,3642022-08-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.560174+0.57%0.572+2.69%0.0007✓1.1390k2022-08-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22070.221944+0.56%0.224+1.50%0.0087✗1.0172k2022-08-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.34613.3649+0.56%3.4692+3.68%0.0131✓0.9848k2022-08-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.78115.4207+0.56%119.67+4.26%0.0165✓1.105.0M2022-08-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06680.067168+0.55%0.0675+1.05%0.0166✗1.211.3M2022-08-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.567470.57059+0.55%0.58884+3.77%0.0086✓1.2946k2022-08-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04580.046051+0.55%0.0473+3.28%0.0095✓0.97201k2022-08-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.941440.946549+0.54%0.96387+2.38%0.0009✓0.9712k2022-08-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831830.836256+0.53%0.85255+2.49%0.0028✓0.93560k2022-08-21
COMPCompoundEthereum49.2349.4914+0.53%50.91+3.41%0.0065✓1.2316k2022-08-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36990.371843+0.53%0.3918+5.92%0.0299✓1.26223k2022-08-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37130.37323+0.52%0.3848+3.64%0.0115✓1.07175k2022-08-21
HIVEHivenative0.54280.545611+0.52%0.5638+3.87%0.0169✓0.891.9M2022-08-21
ADACardanoCardano0.45130.453623+0.51%0.4624+2.46%0.0005✓1.0542.0M2022-08-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12230.122924+0.51%0.1243+1.64%0.0071✗1.0239k2022-08-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.761,583.69+0.50%1,617.84+2.67%0.0023✓1.33534.1M2022-08-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3718+0.50%2.48+5.08%0.0228✓1.23259k2022-08-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86461.8738+0.49%1.9484+4.50%0.0203✓1.0636k2022-08-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9026.9356+0.49%7.08+2.58%0.0016✓1.0719.5M2022-08-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.1069+0.47%0.109+2.44%0.0067✓0.713,9702022-08-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.285509+0.46%0.2949+3.76%0.0154✓0.953.6M2022-08-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.007130.007163+0.46%0.00718+0.70%0.0091✗0.651.3M2022-08-21
DIADIAEthereum0.399830.401665+0.46%0.41334+3.38%0.0119✓0.9470k2022-08-21
NANOnanopayBase0.8965170.900564+0.45%0.927762+3.49%0.0159✓0.7877k2022-08-21
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.74e-7+0.45%9.00e-7+3.45%0.0152✓0.803.3M2022-08-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.356030.35757+0.43%0.37086+4.17%0.0193✓0.9795k2022-08-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05030.050515+0.43%0.0514+2.19%0.0000✓0.97827k2022-08-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6760.678883+0.43%0.7+3.55%0.0143✓0.92333k2022-08-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.128.1546+0.43%8.2+0.99%0.0143✗1.12638k2022-08-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.707113.7648+0.42%14.1071+2.92%0.0076✓0.9544k2022-08-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30030.301544+0.41%0.3062+1.96%0.0011✓0.938.2M2022-08-21
SOLSolanaSolana35.2935.4358+0.41%36.48+3.37%0.0084✓1.1675.2M2022-08-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2249+0.40%1.243+1.89%0.0028✓0.982.2M2022-08-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.322.3891+0.40%22.97+3.00%0.0025✓1.3024.7M2022-08-21
FLOWFlownative2.1242.1325+0.40%2.163+1.84%0.0091✗1.311.2M2022-08-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.23610.2762+0.39%10.644+3.99%0.0156✓1.1010.8M2022-08-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.154.3083+0.38%55.68+2.92%0.0073✓0.9913.1M2022-08-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.8571.864+0.38%1.876+1.02%0.0106✗0.96156k2022-08-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.26760.268597+0.37%0.2705+1.08%0.0104✗0.98145k2022-08-21
FTTFTXEthereum26.6926.7892+0.37%27.72+3.86%0.0172✓0.958.6M2022-08-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.710618+0.37%0.728+2.82%0.0084✓0.88271k2022-08-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8430.846077+0.36%0.876+3.91%0.0268✓0.454.4M2022-08-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058660.005887+0.36%0.005915+0.83%0.0075✗0.692,6422022-08-21
STEEMSteemnative0.23310.233919+0.35%0.2375+1.89%0.0009✓0.90550k2022-08-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05230.05248+0.34%0.054+3.25%0.0107✓1.00253k2022-08-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2287.2527+0.34%7.434+2.85%0.0066✓1.0214.0M2022-08-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.861.8663+0.34%1.914+2.90%0.0089✓0.92657k2022-08-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.085178+0.33%0.0898+5.77%0.0355✓0.979,9252022-08-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.09560.095911+0.32%0.1011+5.75%0.0361✓0.93430k2022-08-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4118.4698+0.32%18.97+3.04%0.0142✓0.701.8M2022-08-21
KSMKusamaHydration48.5448.6945+0.32%50.64+4.33%0.0219✓0.97560k2022-08-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068880.069094+0.31%0.07057+2.45%0.0067✓0.819772022-08-21
KCSKuCoinnative9.3729.4007+0.31%9.628+2.73%0.0071✓0.951.9M2022-08-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014460.00145+0.30%0.001501+3.80%0.0217✓0.719,7092022-08-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51720.518765+0.30%0.5133-0.75%0.0254✗0.83713k2022-08-21
QNTQuantEthereum104.84105.1543+0.30%110.77+5.66%0.0371✓0.843.4M2022-08-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,139.2321,201.85+0.30%21,518.62+1.79%0.0030✗1.00469.5M2022-08-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47420.475595+0.29%0.4896+3.25%0.0094✓1.11386k2022-08-21
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000039101+0.29%0.00003955+1.44%0.0042✗0.881.8M2022-08-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06170.061875+0.28%0.0654+6.00%0.0355✓1.12303k2022-08-21
XTZTezosTezos1.56291.5673+0.28%1.6327+4.47%0.0211✓1.11494k2022-08-21
XEMNEMnative0.0450830.045209+0.28%0.046233+2.55%0.0074✓0.8534k2022-08-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.040411+0.28%0.0412+2.23%0.0032✓0.9111k2022-08-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.147394+0.27%0.1499+1.97%0.0012✓1.01149k2022-08-21
GTGateEthereum4.43554.4469+0.26%4.5693+3.02%0.0135✓0.77836k2022-08-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.723835+0.25%0.722+0.00%0.0271✗1.384.8M2022-08-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026420.026487+0.25%0.0271+2.57%0.0003✓1.273,2032022-08-21
XMRMoneroMonero149.22149.5759+0.24%154.56+3.58%0.0152✓0.991.2M2022-08-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.612442+0.24%0.636+4.09%0.0178✓1.12103k2022-08-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0733+0.23%1.0912+1.90%0.0012✓0.8756k2022-08-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.077040.077215+0.23%0.07522-2.36%0.0473✗1.1929k2022-08-21
ZECZcashZcash62.9263.0623+0.23%64.62+2.70%0.0044✓1.132.0M2022-08-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4630.464047+0.23%0.47+1.51%0.0052✗1.019,8012022-08-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.06033+0.22%0.0597-0.83%0.0276✗0.96112k2022-08-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1090190.109249+0.21%0.110977+1.80%0.0003✓0.877.4M2022-08-21
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana3.81153.8194+0.21%4.1353+8.50%0.0617✓1.00169k2022-08-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,129.2021,171.25+0.20%21,631.30+2.38%0.0046✓0.957,5932022-08-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004158+0.20%0.00421+1.45%0.0054✗1.00152k2022-08-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045160.045246+0.19%0.04674+3.50%0.0199✓0.7116k2022-08-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10970.109898+0.18%0.1115+1.64%0.0007✓0.86274k2022-08-21
FISStafiEthereum0.36660.367245+0.18%0.3715+1.34%0.0047✗0.911922022-08-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.305140.305625+0.16%0.32001+4.87%0.0299✓0.90366k2022-08-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0110.0249+0.15%10.41+4.00%0.0167✓1.18318k2022-08-21
TRXTRONTron0.0658570.065952+0.14%0.065924+0.10%0.0109✗0.59179k2022-08-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.81e-7+0.14%9.30e-7+5.68%0.0396✓0.8018k2022-08-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25490.255252+0.14%0.2628+3.10%0.0123✓0.9583k2022-08-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022440.02247+0.13%0.02257+0.58%0.0110✗0.87444k2022-08-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.297240.297639+0.13%0.30199+1.60%0.0042✗1.0513k2022-08-21
XVGVergenative0.003280.003284+0.13%0.00326-0.61%0.0260✗1.04520k2022-08-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033930.003397+0.13%0.003742+10.29%0.0818✓0.831.0M2022-08-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694280.069517+0.13%0.069279-0.21%0.0216✗1.021.9M2022-08-21
XVSVenusEthereum5.885.8873+0.12%5.91+0.51%0.0113✗0.851.6M2022-08-21
DASHDashDash45.7545.8049+0.12%46.8+2.30%0.0042✓0.97521k2022-08-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012910.000012925+0.12%0.00001348+4.42%0.0259✓0.91827k2022-08-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.06521.0664+0.11%1.0779+1.19%0.0009✓0.554.3M2022-08-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.061.0611+0.11%1.0512-0.83%0.0292✗1.1112k2022-08-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.742.7428+0.10%2.76+0.73%0.0026✗0.5093k2022-08-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.0453.086+0.09%54.958+3.62%0.0216✓0.74349k2022-08-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.8242.8264+0.09%2.914+3.19%0.0157✓0.83749k2022-08-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039560.039593+0.08%0.0402+1.62%0.0005✓0.832,6252022-08-21
PROPropyEthereum0.730.730579+0.08%0.73+0.00%0.0077✗0.39105k2022-08-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037450.037479+0.08%0.03818+1.95%0.0008✓1.0023k2022-08-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009247+0.07%0.00945+2.27%0.0084✓0.756.2M2022-08-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.18320.18333+0.07%0.1872+2.18%0.0063✓0.821.3M2022-08-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.149402+0.07%0.1556+4.22%0.0230✓0.99616k2022-08-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000088070.000088127+0.06%0.00009038+2.62%0.0097✓0.88327k2022-08-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.290163+0.06%0.288-0.69%0.0204✗0.73878k2022-08-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3906+0.04%1.38-0.72%0.0070✗-0.04105k2022-08-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4086.4091+0.02%6.594+2.90%0.0262✓0.134.5M2022-08-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0696-0.01%5.04-0.59%0.0133✓0.421.1M2022-08-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0491230.049109-0.03%0.051048+3.92%0.0293✗0.5330k2022-08-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146880.014683-0.03%0.014659-0.20%0.0123✓0.601.9M2022-08-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.8862-0.04%8.93+0.45%0.0029✓0.442.2M2022-08-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.07695.074-0.06%5.1185+0.82%0.0062✗0.14171k2022-08-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.6641.6349-0.06%44.36+6.48%0.0468✗0.931.8M2022-08-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370190.369904-0.08%0.37078+0.16%0.0172✓1.10426k2022-08-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021560.021536-0.11%0.02191+1.62%0.0026✗0.8213k2022-08-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8690.867877-0.13%0.919+5.75%0.0358✗1.211.1M2022-08-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.4065-0.15%2.38-1.24%0.0263✓0.86833k2022-08-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.36491.3629-0.15%1.3019-4.62%0.0632✓0.981.2M2022-08-21
SGBSongbirdnative0.02570.025658-0.16%0.0259+0.78%0.0019✓0.6337k2022-08-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224990.02245-0.22%0.023427+4.12%0.0404✗0.13240k2022-08-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.336.316-0.22%6.35+0.32%0.0014✓0.381.9M2022-08-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.526.5019-0.28%6.56+0.61%0.0020✓0.391.3M2022-08-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10340.103085-0.30%0.1006-2.71%0.0372✓0.72220k2022-08-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015070.001502-0.31%0.001518+0.74%0.0034✓0.781.6M2022-08-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.8014-0.32%5.94+2.06%0.0172✗0.362.9M2022-08-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260391-0.35%0.2611-0.08%0.0025✓0.0181k2022-08-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4874.47-0.38%4.479-0.18%0.0043✓0.361.6M2022-08-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78711.7798-0.41%1.7908+0.21%0.0136✓1.11667k2022-08-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.48593.4712-0.42%3.6812+5.60%0.0494✗0.531.5M2022-08-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01770.017623-0.44%0.01736-1.92%0.0265✓0.64155k2022-08-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091570.091147-0.46%0.09106-0.56%0.0025✓0.09959k2022-08-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068550.006821-0.50%0.006771-1.23%0.0157✓0.4757k2022-08-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2390.237434-0.66%0.2298-3.85%0.0569✓1.36110k2022-08-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36064.3304-0.69%4.9686+13.94%0.1349✗0.142.1M2022-08-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.039113-0.73%0.0377-4.31%0.0540✓0.9777k2022-08-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.0515.0101-0.81%5.101+0.99%0.0170✗0.062.1M2022-08-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain10.89410.7988-0.87%12.738+16.93%0.1577✗0.421.4M2022-08-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.69225.6386-0.94%5.9198+4.00%0.0459✗0.162.1M2022-08-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9193.8688-1.28%5.094+29.98%0.2587✗0.92127k2022-08-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.06e-76.97e-7-1.35%7.12e-7+0.88%0.0089✓0.76164k2022-08-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.