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2022-08-13 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2163
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.9%
in alpha space · 79.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.57%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0699030.07004+0.20%0.070349+0.64%0.0079✓0.61182k2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0569880.057019+0.06%0.056453-0.94%0.0070✗0.5136k2022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.371150.3713+0.04%0.36752-0.98%0.0039✗1.1013k2022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0258530.025863+0.04%0.025582-1.05%0.0062✗0.8313k2022-08-14
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2910.291071+0.02%0.2854-1.92%0.0139✗1.00105k2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008279-0.02%0.00825-0.36%0.0002✗0.641.6M2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.89224.8913-0.02%5.1274+4.81%0.0479✗0.14246k2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0069940.006991-0.03%0.006713-4.01%0.0364✓0.733,2222022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21950.219425-0.03%0.2112-3.78%0.0300✓1.421,3132022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.054670.054647-0.04%0.05538+1.30%0.0176✗0.7416k2022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.260889-0.04%0.2611+0.04%0.0009✗0.0151k2022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068240.006819-0.07%0.00672-1.52%0.0118✓0.4953k2022-08-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049220.049183-0.08%0.04942+0.41%0.0095✗0.822,5642022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001009-0.08%0.00000101+0.00%0.0052✗0.7721k2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9910.990117-0.09%0.932-5.95%0.0573✓0.554.2M2022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033260.03323-0.09%0.03229-2.92%0.0213✓1.292,7512022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,547.2024,522.69-0.10%24,209.70-1.37%0.0073✓0.977,5932022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13410.133952-0.11%0.1308-2.46%0.0190✓0.834,2082022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.22e-73.21e-7-0.11%4.26e-7+32.28%0.2846✗0.64146k2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10280.102675-0.12%0.0995-3.21%0.0256✓1.029,3472022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.34663.2622-0.13%62.391-1.51%0.0097✓0.73344k2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,456.4924,422.96-0.14%24,316.71-0.57%0.0014✓1.00455.4M2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7330.731965-0.14%0.7-4.50%0.0372✓1.30135k2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.23111.2292-0.15%1.2058-2.06%0.0137✓0.9613k2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0729060.072783-0.17%0.0817+12.06%0.1215✗1.031.7M2022-08-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017480.001745-0.19%0.001792+2.52%0.0311✗0.769,2532022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.37360.372892-0.19%0.4905+31.29%0.2793✗0.911382022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038917.0058-0.19%16.2019-4.91%0.0427✓1.0059k2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05010.050001-0.20%0.0472-5.79%0.0521✓0.9811k2022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27450.273937-0.21%0.2693-1.89%0.0113✓1.0197k2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.846-0.22%1.75-5.41%0.0473✓1.06190k2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.9992.9925-0.22%3.1608+5.40%0.0578✗0.531.3M2022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07160.071443-0.22%0.0721+0.70%0.0137✗0.80122k2022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.61530.613896-0.23%0.5947-3.35%0.0253✓1.12345k2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62710.625639-0.23%0.6094-2.82%0.0217✓0.80784k2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum5.10955.0968-0.25%5.0549-1.07%0.0041✓0.73882k2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0544660.054329-0.25%0.053806-1.21%0.0041✓0.9744k2022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.50950.5082-0.26%0.4917-3.49%0.0264✓1.15808k2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010310.010284-0.26%0.01037+0.58%0.0125✗0.725.5M2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4620.460799-0.26%0.4793+3.74%0.0470✗1.34242k2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum31.3331.2481-0.26%30.84-1.56%0.0078✓0.9310.0M2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414770.413647-0.27%0.40475-2.42%0.0160✓1.00502k2022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN3.21413.2054-0.27%3.077-4.27%0.0332✓1.3413k2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.27590.275147-0.27%0.2723-1.30%0.0053✓0.89576k2022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.29161.2881-0.27%1.2606-2.40%0.0163✓0.9356k2022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.28860.287806-0.28%0.2868-0.62%0.0019✓0.9470k2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15120.150773-0.28%0.1477-2.31%0.0144✓1.0846k2022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0204810.020423-0.28%0.019846-3.10%0.0277✓0.17226k2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum6.666.641-0.28%6.368-4.38%0.0341✓1.3811.9M2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.8663.6774-0.29%63.17-1.08%0.0020✓1.0513.7M2022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.087550.087299-0.29%0.08572-2.09%0.0169✓0.231.1M2022-08-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021970.002191-0.29%0.002102-4.32%0.0356✓1.001.0M2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero168.13167.6384-0.29%168.04-0.05%0.0081✗1.001.1M2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9878.9607-0.29%8.882-1.17%0.0012✓1.329.9M2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05540.055237-0.29%0.0541-2.35%0.0151✓0.99248k2022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.41592.4087-0.30%2.3122-4.29%0.0346✓1.0938k2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2431.2393-0.30%1.207-2.89%0.0201✓1.1013k2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration61.1860.9977-0.30%58.87-3.78%0.0295✓1.05551k2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012620.000012582-0.30%0.00001688+33.76%0.2995✗0.98679k2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.033.0208-0.30%2.98-1.65%0.0106✓0.52100k2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.031260.031165-0.30%0.02926-6.40%0.0572✓1.0313.8M2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC0.000001020.000001017-0.31%0.00000101-0.98%0.0023✓0.785.7M2022-08-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096740.00009644-0.31%0.00010014+3.51%0.0436✗1.03336k2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.17590.175353-0.31%0.171-2.79%0.0192✓1.032.6M2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.460970.459521-0.31%0.44475-3.52%0.0268✓1.03107k2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative10.69710.663-0.32%10.646-0.48%0.0040✗0.982.0M2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.55840.556607-0.32%0.5344-4.30%0.0342✓1.1358k2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.91041.9042-0.32%1.8226-4.60%0.0373✓1.14467k2022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.545-0.33%1.5-3.23%0.0295✓-0.00139k2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0864.0726-0.33%4.154+1.66%0.0218✗0.351.7M2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.201970.201305-0.33%0.1917-5.08%0.0361✓2.236712022-08-14
DASHDashDash57.0756.8818-0.33%55.08-3.49%0.0265✓0.99552k2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7020.699665-0.33%0.699-0.43%0.0060✗1.22100k2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082810.082533-0.34%0.08115-2.00%0.0125✓0.779072022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.066.0395-0.34%6.17+1.82%0.0235✗0.371.0M2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.00004740.000047239-0.34%0.00004614-2.66%0.0186✓0.862.0M2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.55980.557896-0.34%0.5701+1.84%0.0278✗1.0742.0M2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12960.129159-0.34%0.1284-0.93%0.0010✓0.85328k2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091270.090958-0.34%0.0883-3.25%0.0232✓1.1229k2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash76.2175.9483-0.34%73.71-3.28%0.0232✓1.162.3M2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.331849-0.35%0.327-1.80%0.0099✓0.841.1M2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35950.358248-0.35%0.3467-3.56%0.0269✓1.023.6M2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.22650.225711-0.35%0.2284+0.84%0.0181✗1.101,7402022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06141.0577-0.35%1.0735+1.15%0.0208✗1.03543k2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016240.016182-0.36%0.015677-3.47%0.0278✓0.682.1M2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.126.0979-0.36%6.12+0.00%0.0056✗0.351.4M2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4851.4796-0.36%1.445-2.69%0.0178✓1.032.6M2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19080.190092-0.37%0.1842-3.46%0.0251✓1.11586k2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1268360.126365-0.37%0.125646-0.94%0.0005✓0.917.2M2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.005040.005021-0.37%0.00499-0.99%0.0000✓1.08126k2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09160.091253-0.38%0.0854-6.77%0.0616✓0.81123k2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.243.2275-0.39%3.06-5.56%0.0459✓1.29269k2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.555837-0.39%0.534-4.30%0.0343✓1.0014k2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003890.003875-0.39%0.00403+3.60%0.0455✗1.09517k2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0654.0492-0.39%3.865-4.92%0.0424✓0.721.1M2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2350.234082-0.39%0.225-4.26%0.0325✓1.23657k2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70291.6962-0.39%1.6481-3.22%0.0215✓1.28619k2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.820.816774-0.39%0.81-1.22%0.0059✓0.4391k2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.30840.307175-0.40%0.2996-2.85%0.0188✓1.08194k2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase1.08281.0784-0.40%1.0568-2.40%0.0157✓0.7970k2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.3748.34-0.41%8.235-1.66%0.0076✓0.886.9M2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.181160.180418-0.41%0.1773-2.13%0.0100✓1.30236k2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36860.367088-0.41%0.3642-1.19%0.0023✓0.978.3M2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8720.86835-0.42%0.839-3.78%0.0290✓0.94377k2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52160.519369-0.43%0.5199-0.33%0.0086✗1.33217k2022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum6.656.6215-0.43%6.42-3.46%0.0247✓1.081.4M2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8144.7934-0.43%5.932+23.22%0.2145✗0.241.1M2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.818.772-0.43%8.97+1.82%0.0231✗0.141.8M2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.8231.8151-0.43%1.732-4.99%0.0391✓1.35435k2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9941.9853-0.44%1.939-2.76%0.0170✓1.15212k2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.964.9383-0.44%5.06+2.02%0.0266✗0.401.3M2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8672.8543-0.44%2.773-3.28%0.0221✓1.1959k2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1381.133-0.44%1.0962-3.67%0.0259✓1.232.3M2022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.17430.173526-0.44%0.1716-1.55%0.0052✓1.04131k2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.720520.717255-0.45%0.71015-1.44%0.0022✓1.3554k2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08230.081926-0.46%0.0809-1.70%0.0061✓1.131.4M2022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.533-0.46%1.48-3.90%0.0277✓1.311.2M2022-08-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027410.027284-0.46%0.02573-6.13%0.0541✓0.79197k2022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9120.90779-0.46%0.874-4.17%0.0295✓1.474.3M2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.4610.4112-0.47%10.26-1.91%0.0083✓1.10638k2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17170.170898-0.47%0.1641-4.43%0.0366✓0.694.4M2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.45.3746-0.47%5.42+0.37%0.0101✗0.292.1M2022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04420.043992-0.47%0.0428-3.17%0.0215✓1.0476k2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017796-0.47%0.01762-1.45%0.0061✓0.68159k2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.29174.2713-0.48%4.1906-2.35%0.0133✓1.0153k2022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash144.43143.7392-0.48%139.45-3.45%0.0238✓1.135.1M2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.63340.630355-0.48%0.6213-1.91%0.0087✓1.002.4M2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum2.1072.0967-0.49%2.039-3.23%0.0222✓0.99219k2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.1499.1038-0.49%8.77-4.14%0.0310✓1.1219.3M2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9170.91246-0.50%0.887-3.27%0.0227✓0.98280k2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008860.008816-0.50%0.00865-2.37%0.0126✓1.12463k2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.316-0.51%2.187-6.06%0.0507✓1.15172k2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana46.6346.3876-0.52%44.89-3.73%0.0258✓1.2281.1M2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.319.2609-0.53%8.955-3.81%0.0274✓1.0813.2M2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.3915.308-0.53%14.53-5.59%0.0453✓1.202.6M2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.90611.8424-0.53%11.588-2.67%0.0149✓1.1913.7M2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16271.1564-0.54%1.1212-3.57%0.0269✓0.693.9M2022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.1812.1113-0.56%11.81-3.04%0.0186✓1.15305k2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0758-0.57%4.102+0.07%0.0079✗0.252.3M2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum110.5109.8733-0.57%107.44-2.77%0.0134✓1.577.6M2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.38170.379522-0.57%0.37655-1.35%0.0028✓0.89439k2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,984.751,973.33-0.58%1,935.85-2.46%0.0116✓1.32528.6M2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3876930.385448-0.58%0.374117-3.50%0.0236✓1.10916k2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7920.787413-0.58%0.753-4.92%0.0375✓1.252,7912022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.43481.4265-0.58%1.3892-3.18%0.0182✓1.446.4M2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07140.070982-0.58%0.067-6.16%0.0513✓1.12877k2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9022.8849-0.59%2.808-3.24%0.0170✓1.75144k2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.1978.1485-0.59%8.001-2.39%0.0122✓1.055.5M2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42283.402-0.61%3.5378+3.36%0.0411✗0.351.6M2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum65.4465.0425-0.61%63.04-3.67%0.0239✓1.2938k2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.43123.41-0.62%3.6932+7.64%0.0826✗0.481.9M2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum126.57125.7858-0.62%118.61-6.29%0.0537✓0.883.9M2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.12290.122136-0.62%0.1166-5.13%0.0403✓1.06529k2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.49390.490797-0.63%0.4837-2.07%0.0080✓1.15175k2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase20.8220.6883-0.63%20.14-3.27%0.0200✓1.19118k2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.16160.160566-0.64%0.1811+12.07%0.1254✗0.881.1M2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9723.9463-0.65%3.821-3.80%0.0231✓1.615.3M2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.3174-0.65%1.341+1.13%0.0248✗1.231.1M2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.3421.2002-0.66%21.24-0.47%0.0059✓0.702.2M2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.06720.066757-0.66%0.0703+4.61%0.0581✗1.11215k2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014730.001463-0.66%0.001432-2.80%0.0169✓0.861.4M2022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism1.5421.5315-0.68%1.44-6.61%0.0506✓1.923.7M2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07840.07786-0.69%0.0765-2.42%0.0107✓1.20367k2022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14410.143104-0.69%0.1393-3.33%0.0204✓1.143.9M2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum2.4082.391-0.71%2.387-0.87%0.0039✓0.98588k2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.5843.2693-0.71%41.57-4.61%0.0321✓1.3816.5M2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.1928.9712-0.75%28.19-3.43%0.0193✓1.4030.5M2022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01211.0045-0.75%1.0019-1.01%0.0065✓1.59309k2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.9740.966613-0.76%0.981+0.72%0.0232✗1.48407k2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43750.434093-0.78%0.4118-5.87%0.0463✓1.13100k2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,424.4811,334.92-0.78%11,226.83-1.73%0.0019✓1.346.4M2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.2419.0785-0.84%18.56-3.53%0.0206✓1.221.5M2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11760.11661-0.84%0.1275+8.42%0.0945✗0.91215k2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum47.7647.3496-0.86%43.26-9.42%0.0793✓1.93385k2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.662.6371-0.86%2.55-4.14%0.0283✓0.93636k2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0046330.004593-0.87%0.00419-9.56%0.0871✓0.811.0M2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.386.3246-0.87%6.354-0.41%0.0054✓0.143.5M2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.096980.096078-0.93%0.09281-4.30%0.0275✓1.242.0M2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.1539.7332-1.04%39.27-2.19%0.0050✓1.171.5M2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.045140.044656-1.07%0.04879+8.09%0.0944✗1.0320k2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative2.9232.8909-1.10%2.832-3.11%0.0133✓1.27712k2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.4191.4019-1.20%1.4588+2.80%0.0456✗1.02907k2022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0381.0252-1.23%1.008-2.89%0.0100✓1.201.3M2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.26990.266499-1.26%0.2555-5.34%0.0344✓1.35117k2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1354.0668-1.65%3.944-4.62%0.0257✓0.87114k2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.7463.684-1.66%3.446-8.01%0.0618✓0.87613k2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.533950.523956-1.87%0.49265-7.73%0.0588✓0.4970k2022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.