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2022-08-06 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1384
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.8%
in alpha space · 47.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.94%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.901+0.24%8.94+0.68%0.0001✓0.481.8M2022-08-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008869+0.21%0.00906+2.37%0.0094✓1.27392k2022-08-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.1058+0.19%3.12+0.65%0.0001✓0.50116k2022-08-07
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0478+0.14%1.0549+0.82%0.0021✗0.9458k2022-08-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.658+0.14%5.65+0.00%0.0071✗0.611.5M2022-08-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.023236+0.14%0.023491+1.24%0.0019✓0.9612k2022-08-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.074487+0.12%0.0794+6.72%0.0535✓1.101.1M2022-08-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9322,986.71+0.11%23,177.39+0.94%0.0011✓1.00427.9M2022-08-07
GTGateEthereum4.77754.7825+0.10%4.7602-0.36%0.0117✗0.75908k2022-08-07
XMRMoneroMonero160.51160.6762+0.10%164.87+2.72%0.0152✓1.121.1M2022-08-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.9788+0.10%2.9884+0.42%0.0059✗0.981.2M2022-08-07
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.5116+0.10%10.602+0.96%0.0018✗1.102.0M2022-08-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.235535+0.10%0.2392+1.66%0.0016✓1.4789k2022-08-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.031401+0.10%0.03172+1.12%0.0020✗1.291,3502022-08-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.068707+0.10%0.06896+0.47%0.0074✗1.181.6M2022-08-07
TRXTRONTron0.069510.069576+0.09%0.069658+0.21%0.0055✗0.71327k2022-08-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.162751+0.09%0.1618-0.49%0.0175✗1.25102k2022-08-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.7697+0.09%0.759-1.30%0.0278✗1.47135k2022-08-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008347+0.09%0.00837+0.36%0.0058✗0.911.6M2022-08-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.06015+0.08%0.0606+0.83%0.0056✗1.39179k2022-08-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,692.22+0.08%1,700.42+0.57%0.0072✗1.29407.7M2022-08-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.046549+0.08%0.04581-1.51%0.0248✗0.932,3002022-08-07
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.258001+0.08%0.2595+0.66%0.0052✗1.17768k2022-08-07
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.47285+0.08%0.47524+0.58%0.0021✗0.7670k2022-08-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.00171+0.07%0.001729+1.17%0.0012✓1.039,0932022-08-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.050536+0.07%0.0512+1.39%0.0009✓1.2910k2022-08-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.7995+0.07%8.34+7.01%0.0552✓1.2616.9M2022-08-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.101469+0.07%0.1047+3.25%0.0200✓1.205,6912022-08-07
QTUMQtumQtum4.12754.1302+0.07%4.0919-0.86%0.0195✗1.0853k2022-08-07
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.6243+0.06%6.84+3.32%0.0191✓1.381.4M2022-08-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006463+0.06%0.006331-1.98%0.0253✗0.4944k2022-08-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.9635+0.06%4.058+2.45%0.0171✓0.691.5M2022-08-07
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00293.0048+0.06%3.0557+1.76%0.0022✓1.5613k2022-08-07
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.054664+0.06%0.055055+0.78%0.0018✓0.5725k2022-08-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.1089+0.05%1.1124+0.37%0.0066✗1.0413k2022-08-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.035.0325+0.05%5.07+0.80%0.0008✓0.701.3M2022-08-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.3207+0.05%1.319-0.08%0.0129✗1.241.1M2022-08-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.06043+0.05%0.0605+0.17%0.0121✗1.41350k2022-08-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.954.9522+0.04%4.899-1.03%0.0124✗0.17228k2022-08-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8460.8662+0.04%61.12+0.46%0.0068✗1.1713.5M2022-08-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003242+0.03%0.003423+5.62%0.0449✓1.001.0M2022-08-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.4304+0.03%1.425-0.35%0.0157✗1.272.5M2022-08-07
FTTFTXEthereum30.3930.3986+0.03%30.67+0.92%0.0001✓0.959.4M2022-08-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.749187+0.02%0.751+0.27%0.0090✗1.22963k2022-08-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.316336+0.02%0.31695+0.22%0.0085✗1.11366k2022-08-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.1783+0.02%1.111-5.69%0.0647✗0.632.1M2022-08-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006325+0.02%0.006475+2.39%0.0153✓0.864,5222022-08-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.086918+0.02%0.0893+2.76%0.0161✓1.16126k2022-08-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.261353+0.02%0.2614+0.04%0.0001✓0.0131k2022-08-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.7511+0.02%5.77+0.35%0.0023✗0.59878k2022-08-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.127822+0.02%0.1283+0.39%0.0094✗1.402.9M2022-08-07
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.70e-7+0.02%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0081✗0.846.1M2022-08-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.12982+0.02%0.1294-0.31%0.0126✗1.004,7012022-08-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.169313+0.01%0.17735+4.76%0.0318✓1.55212k2022-08-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.2107+0.01%3.2183+0.25%0.0047✗0.761.2M2022-08-07
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.05181+0.01%0.051551-0.49%0.0162✗1.2037k2022-08-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.3398+0.01%2.3326-0.30%0.0145✗1.2137k2022-08-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.02024+0.01%0.019873-1.80%0.0220✗0.40173k2022-08-07
SOLSolanaSolana40.0740.073+0.01%40.62+1.37%0.0007✓1.3780.8M2022-08-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.5243+0.00%8.657+1.56%0.0039✓1.2311.0M2022-08-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.064702+0.00%0.0643-0.62%0.0184✗1.29803k2022-08-07
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.5114-0.00%0.5277+3.19%0.0201✗1.2140.5M2022-08-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.35347-0.00%0.354473+0.28%0.0091✓1.271.0M2022-08-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.966-0.00%4.012+1.16%0.0036✗0.85976k2022-08-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.116.1099-0.00%6.04-1.15%0.0178✓0.67754k2022-08-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.25859-0.00%0.2595+0.35%0.0079✓1.2299k2022-08-07
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000044738-0.01%0.00004532+1.30%0.0020✗1.171.9M2022-08-07
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1587-0.01%1.1657+0.59%0.0044✓1.1012k2022-08-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.5588-0.01%1.5748+1.02%0.0028✓1.39619k2022-08-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9023,219.72-0.01%23,110.70-0.48%0.0139✓0.9812k2022-08-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0414.0405-0.01%4.147+2.62%0.0206✗0.571.9M2022-08-07
UMAUMAEthereum3.0343.0336-0.01%3.033-0.03%0.0108✓1.13572k2022-08-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.31295-0.02%0.308-1.60%0.0262✓1.10300k2022-08-07
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.8277-0.02%1.809-1.04%0.0237✓1.43371k2022-08-07
STXStacksnative0.48450.484398-0.02%0.4907+1.28%0.0013✗1.24808k2022-08-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.121171-0.02%0.1264+4.29%0.0321✗1.08370k2022-08-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.114069-0.03%0.1192+4.47%0.0322✗1.26505k2022-08-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.054685-0.03%0.0544-0.55%0.0173✓1.28269k2022-08-07
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004679-0.03%0.00471+0.64%0.0056✓1.31112k2022-08-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.215436-0.03%0.2146-0.42%0.0172✓1.421,2762022-08-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.340997-0.03%0.3431+0.59%0.0048✓1.173.6M2022-08-07
XVGVergenative0.00370.003699-0.03%0.00374+1.08%0.0011✓1.30551k2022-08-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34141.2938-0.03%140.98-0.25%0.0136✓1.214.7M2022-08-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.338889-0.03%0.339+0.00%0.0093✓1.031.1M2022-08-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.086061-0.03%0.08386-2.59%0.0386✓1.3529k2022-08-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.6543-0.04%4.685+0.62%0.0014✗0.551.3M2022-08-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.174232-0.04%0.1758+0.86%0.0028✓1.26529k2022-08-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.449-0.04%2.458+0.33%0.0047✓0.8992k2022-08-07
ZECZcashZcash67.6567.6225-0.04%70.26+3.86%0.0264✗1.271.7M2022-08-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.435122-0.04%0.4806+10.41%0.0871✗1.31134k2022-08-07
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0468-0.04%1.0596+1.18%0.0001✓1.31532k2022-08-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.834637-0.04%0.858+2.75%0.0162✗1.21241k2022-08-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011945-0.04%0.00001202+0.59%0.0054✓1.24934k2022-08-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.270678-0.04%0.2711+0.11%0.0088✓1.1165k2022-08-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.651656-0.05%0.6639+1.83%0.0078✗1.16755k2022-08-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.5086-0.06%2.48-1.20%0.0215✓1.07507k2022-08-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.0177-0.06%0.01788+0.96%0.0024✗0.83176k2022-08-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.138422-0.06%0.1374-0.79%0.0192✓1.2661k2022-08-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.023007-0.06%0.04057+76.24%0.5577✗1.01159k2022-08-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.121831-0.06%0.123873+1.62%0.0073✗0.997.0M2022-08-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.032631-0.06%0.03302+1.13%0.0003✓1.2314k2022-08-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42461.3868-0.06%61.878+0.74%0.0001✓0.84321k2022-08-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.193-0.06%1.2162+1.89%0.0094✗1.0543k2022-08-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.146105-0.06%0.1513+3.49%0.0248✗1.081.0M2022-08-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.348971-0.07%0.3559+1.92%0.0089✗1.158.2M2022-08-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.077739-0.07%0.07969+2.44%0.0180✗0.739072022-08-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.085793-0.07%0.10727+24.95%0.2095✗1.481.1M2022-08-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.04437-0.07%0.0441-0.68%0.0177✓1.2376k2022-08-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015879-0.07%0.015952+0.38%0.0039✓0.902.1M2022-08-07
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.180366-0.07%0.1819+0.78%0.0032✓1.243.3M2022-08-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.010053-0.07%0.01046+3.98%0.0314✗0.885.2M2022-08-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.37e-7-0.08%3.42e-7+1.61%0.0077✗0.97153k2022-08-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9417.9254-0.08%18.49+3.07%0.0185✗1.341.3M2022-08-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.158268-0.08%0.1588+0.25%0.0057✓0.963.6M2022-08-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2858.278-0.08%8.249-0.43%0.0151✓1.236.9M2022-08-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1658-0.09%1.1663-0.04%0.0076✓0.864.1M2022-08-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.7576-0.09%2.798+1.38%0.0011✗1.4447k2022-08-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.128-0.10%1.1387+0.85%0.0035✓1.371.5M2022-08-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.6953-0.10%2.792+3.48%0.0187✗1.76118k2022-08-07
SGBSongbirdnative0.02520.025175-0.10%0.0249-1.19%0.0162✓0.5545k2022-08-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.033.027-0.10%3.06+0.99%0.0034✓1.52234k2022-08-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.5773-0.10%6.829+22.32%0.1976✗0.522.6M2022-08-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.5084-0.10%1.5-0.66%0.0189✓1.411.2M2022-08-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.9909-0.11%1.998+0.25%0.0095✓1.40253k2022-08-07
ZENHorizenBase19.2719.249-0.11%19.17-0.52%0.0169✓1.36118k2022-08-07
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.8756-0.11%1.888+0.55%0.0054✓1.28530k2022-08-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.677247-0.11%0.682+0.59%0.0061✓1.4090k2022-08-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8279-0.11%1.81-1.09%0.0223✓1.33129k2022-08-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.69e-7-0.12%9.80e-7+1.03%0.0048✗0.7225k2022-08-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.08629-0.13%0.08532-1.25%0.0139✓0.271.1M2022-08-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.572168-0.13%0.5927+3.46%0.0245✗1.15318k2022-08-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.6148-0.13%11.74+0.95%0.0006✓1.21290k2022-08-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.430178-0.14%0.4338+0.70%0.0028✓1.20124k2022-08-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001115-0.14%0.001193+6.81%0.0557✗1.241.3M2022-08-07
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0898.9366-0.14%101.31+2.25%0.0081✗1.6610.0M2022-08-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.452113-0.15%0.466+2.92%0.0164✗1.48242k2022-08-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.921591-0.15%0.931+0.87%0.0067✓1.80469k2022-08-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.806766-0.15%0.807-0.12%0.0094✓1.03390k2022-08-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.055144-0.16%0.05378-2.63%0.0333✓0.8816k2022-08-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.359705-0.16%0.35815-0.59%0.0164✓1.2913k2022-08-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.070888-0.16%0.0735+3.52%0.0275✗0.93158k2022-08-07
HIVEHivenative0.58410.583167-0.16%0.5991+2.57%0.0159✗1.182.1M2022-08-07
DASHDashDash52.5752.4792-0.17%53.35+1.48%0.0061✗1.11574k2022-08-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.565915-0.17%0.5636-0.58%0.0165✓1.32234k2022-08-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.0925-0.18%1.0439-4.62%0.0563✓1.151.0M2022-08-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.86939-0.18%0.871+0.00%0.0145✓1.744.4M2022-08-07
KSMKusamaHydration66.4166.2849-0.19%65.42-1.49%0.0241✓1.16419k2022-08-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.441-0.20%3.4736+0.75%0.0012✓0.871.6M2022-08-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002205-0.21%0.002285+3.39%0.0261✗1.001.1M2022-08-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.6092-0.21%11.374+6.98%0.0569✗1.3613.0M2022-08-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.568114-0.23%0.5887+3.39%0.0251✗1.1246k2022-08-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6426.57-0.26%27.9+4.73%0.0340✗1.5827.5M2022-08-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.547474-0.28%0.551+0.36%0.0043✓1.1516k2022-08-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.410928-0.28%0.42719+3.66%0.0259✗1.38507k2022-08-07
METISMetisEthereum41.2341.1124-0.29%44.22+7.25%0.0554✗1.87293k2022-08-07
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.1128-0.29%2.089-1.42%0.0233✓1.27619k2022-08-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5255-0.30%1.57+2.61%0.0260✗0.29242k2022-08-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.077147-0.33%0.109+40.83%0.3388✗0.73159k2022-08-07
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.751-0.33%8.784+0.05%0.0093✓1.399.9M2022-08-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.035132-0.33%0.03436-2.52%0.0358✓1.4513.9M2022-08-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.222181-0.37%0.225+0.90%0.0015✓1.50716k2022-08-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9316.867-0.37%16.88-0.30%0.0124✓1.412.6M2022-08-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4459.4085-0.39%8.792-6.91%0.0775✓1.043.3M2022-08-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.00009962-0.40%0.00009956-0.46%0.0203✓2.10480k2022-08-07
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2647.2319-0.44%7.208-0.77%0.0194✓1.7111.9M2022-08-07
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0564.7383-0.48%63.85-1.84%0.0270✓1.4138k2022-08-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.688379-0.49%0.68843-0.48%0.0141✓1.5178k2022-08-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.3664-0.50%1.4024+2.12%0.0116✗1.536.4M2022-08-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.3539-0.51%2.37+0.17%0.0066✓1.43169k2022-08-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.797817-0.52%0.811+1.12%0.0027✓1.462,7912022-08-07
FLOWFlownative2.572.5559-0.55%2.624+2.10%0.0144✗1.27466k2022-08-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.610.5371-0.59%10.03-5.38%0.0625✓1.41358k2022-08-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.19718-0.60%0.19598-1.20%0.0276✓2.291,1202022-08-07
QNTQuantEthereum120.14119.4076-0.61%126.46+5.26%0.0482✗0.974.5M2022-08-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.982439-0.61%0.9885+0.00%0.0096✓1.68296k2022-08-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6321.4959-0.62%22.19+2.59%0.0240✗0.832.6M2022-08-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9311,649.34-0.64%11,438.54-2.43%0.0319✓1.454.9M2022-08-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.429421-0.67%0.4693+8.56%0.0777✗1.1880k2022-08-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7331.5059-0.71%32.48+2.36%0.0174✗1.39949k2022-08-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.837.5271-0.72%37.71-0.24%0.0085✓1.4213.0M2022-08-07
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.2616-0.76%2.183-4.21%0.0460✓1.13219k2022-08-07
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.8864-0.77%1.912+0.58%0.0048✓1.953.1M2022-08-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2744.2393-0.81%4.08-4.54%0.0547✓1.755.2M2022-08-07
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505918.2869-1.18%18.2973-1.13%0.0100✓1.1353k2022-08-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.261317-1.20%0.2551-3.55%0.0363✓1.311,5612022-08-07
PROPropyEthereum0.920.908374-1.26%0.84-8.70%0.0837✓0.5878k2022-08-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.