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2022-08-01 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0705
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.8%
in alpha space · 42.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.064567+0.73%0.073+13.88%0.1327✓0.81155k2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001706+0.56%0.001664-1.94%0.0126✗1.0211k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.123975+0.30%0.1168-5.50%0.0426✗1.382.8M2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.0301+0.30%0.0314+4.63%0.0584✓1.311,2932022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8673+0.29%2.7482-3.88%0.0232✗1.5612k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008444+0.28%0.00839-0.36%0.0049✓0.911.6M2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0213+0.27%1.0235+0.49%0.0140✓0.9660k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.231325+0.27%0.2308+0.04%0.0160✓1.4897k2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.3384+0.25%3.18-4.50%0.0426✗0.4994k2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9868+0.24%9.938-0.25%0.0084✓1.082.1M2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060337+0.23%0.0612+1.66%0.0315✓1.40339k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.732649+0.23%0.709-3.01%0.0145✗1.4980k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.165774+0.22%0.1626-1.70%0.0004✓1.54212k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.085983+0.21%0.0857-0.12%0.0112✓1.18137k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.8027+0.21%2.8083+0.41%0.0140✓0.981.0M2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0812+0.21%1.0451-3.13%0.0166✗1.411.4M2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,634.13+0.20%1,631.28+0.03%0.0137✓1.26387.0M2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006334+0.20%0.006204-1.84%0.0096✗0.909,1592022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4759.5846+0.19%58.09-2.32%0.0112✗1.1613.6M2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.424717+0.19%0.4029-4.95%0.0364✗1.33127k2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.1947+0.19%17.17-5.45%0.0411✗1.37116k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3255+0.19%1.27-4.01%0.0275✗1.241.2M2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4247+0.19%4.3491-1.52%0.0083✗0.73916k2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.195+0.18%7.928-3.08%0.0179✗1.2410.0M2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.309676+0.18%0.30205-2.29%0.0106✗1.17398k2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.79442+0.18%0.774-2.40%0.0109✗1.23218k2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.488004+0.18%0.45527-6.54%0.0598✗0.7863k2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4255+0.18%1.364-4.15%0.0285✗1.272.5M2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068841+0.18%0.066529-3.19%0.0201✗1.151.7M2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048384+0.17%0.0463-4.14%0.0275✗1.347,6872022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.513684+0.17%0.4966-3.16%0.0185✗1.2541.9M2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.070091+0.17%0.06831-2.38%0.0162✗0.78373k2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070619+0.17%0.0745+5.67%0.0667✓1.08567k2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.09526+0.17%0.0936-1.58%0.0028✗1.216,7862022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.053289+0.17%0.0531-0.19%0.0118✓1.25269k2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.05153+0.16%0.048695-5.35%0.0420✗1.1938k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.72e-7+0.16%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0086✓0.836.4M2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.30e-7+0.16%3.39e-7+2.97%0.0394✓0.96178k2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.780.781225+0.16%0.76-2.56%0.0201✗0.6179k2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.9401+0.15%3.985+1.30%0.0202✓0.721.4M2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.164949+0.15%0.1674+1.64%0.0300✓1.2494k2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5854+0.15%7.179-5.22%0.0395✗1.2616.9M2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.061292+0.15%0.0581-5.07%0.0374✗1.30799k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.9283+0.15%156.99-2.30%0.0111✗1.111.3M2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.646954+0.15%0.608-5.88%0.0448✗1.4088k2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023656+0.15%0.024372+3.18%0.0418✓0.989,6292022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,307.67+0.15%22,989.40-1.22%0.0015✗1.00414.2M2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.046245+0.14%0.044-4.72%0.0380✗0.962,3002022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0795+0.14%1.0569-1.95%0.0085✗1.0313k2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7204+0.14%1.635-4.83%0.0331✗1.45327k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.9044+0.14%17.22-3.69%0.0224✗1.351.3M2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.335457+0.14%0.328-2.09%0.0098✗1.03959k2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.06749+0.13%0.068+0.89%0.0193✓0.96229k2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.620414+0.13%0.6132-1.03%0.0025✓1.16642k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1515+0.13%3.9681-4.29%0.0317✗1.0939k2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.940021+0.13%0.9732+3.66%0.0457✓0.903.2M2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4218+0.13%1.36-4.23%0.0267✗1.441.1M2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017923+0.13%0.01794+0.22%0.0106✓0.78229k2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5766+0.12%1.4894-5.42%0.0393✗1.44589k2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.363213+0.12%0.34061-6.11%0.0483✗1.301.0M2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.17221+0.12%0.1596-7.21%0.0607✗1.25491k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.3501+0.12%8-4.08%0.0275✗1.246.8M2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.177814+0.12%0.1716-3.38%0.0201✗1.263.5M2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.568+0.12%2.6+1.36%0.0339✓1.7595k2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.00326+0.12%0.003157-3.04%0.0195✗1.021.0M2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021585+0.11%0.02154-0.09%0.0106✓1.03159k2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.196+0.11%14.94+5.36%0.0684✓1.411.9M2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.7167+0.11%39.81-4.46%0.0301✗1.3681.1M2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041346+0.11%0.0396-4.12%0.0281✗1.2371k2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0174+0.11%0.95943-5.60%0.0424✗1.32525k2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8632+0.11%2.72-4.90%0.0326✗1.52192k2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8813+0.11%3.951+1.91%0.0287✓0.88754k2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0755+0.11%5.05-0.39%0.0037✓0.711.2M2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006657+0.11%0.006716+0.99%0.0154✓0.5438k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.7834+0.11%29.4-4.39%0.0343✗0.9510.2M2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.6838+0.11%93.42-3.27%0.0139✗1.6610.2M2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.207221+0.11%0.202-2.42%0.0083✗1.401,1792022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.727774+0.11%0.742+2.06%0.0343✓1.21806k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.306213+0.10%0.3039-0.65%0.0062✓1.12300k2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3924+0.10%2.46+2.93%0.0410✓1.07301k2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.154251+0.10%0.1435-6.88%0.0601✗0.993.5M2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.6131+0.10%22.85-3.14%0.0132✗1.6027.5M2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.265956+0.10%0.2502-5.83%0.0472✗1.13768k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.9236+0.09%5.16+4.90%0.0537✓0.552.0M2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051737+0.09%0.04946-4.31%0.0339✗0.9015k2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.3074+0.09%1.3359+2.27%0.0401✓1.515.6M2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.057285+0.09%0.05605-2.07%0.0144✗0.6022k2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.46130.461712+0.09%0.4398-4.66%0.0333✗1.25778k2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3677+0.08%4.526+3.71%0.0428✓0.581.2M2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.342689+0.08%0.3267-4.59%0.0338✗1.147.7M2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87137.9804+0.08%133.77-2.97%0.0163✗1.194.3M2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.6465+0.08%33.21-1.22%0.0108✓1.94229k2022-08-02
SGBSongbirdnative0.02450.024519+0.08%0.025+2.04%0.0257✓0.5143k2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.852+0.08%3.883+0.88%0.0153✓0.591.7M2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.9193+0.08%61.49-2.20%0.0076✗1.251.5M2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.084251+0.07%0.08676+3.05%0.0459✓1.3429k2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.015028+0.07%0.015628+4.07%0.0500✓0.881.6M2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.1452+0.07%14.5774-3.68%0.0237✗1.1868k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2697+0.07%2.1689-4.37%0.0302✗1.2329k2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.120784+0.07%0.1155-4.31%0.0316✗1.07352k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4367+0.07%2.419-0.66%0.0040✓0.92105k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.125582+0.07%0.1238-1.35%0.0021✗0.994,9522022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.5142+0.06%6.57+0.92%0.0257✓1.401.1M2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.631+0.06%1.57-3.68%0.0212✗1.37114k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8911+0.06%2.017+6.72%0.0820✓1.42234k2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003750.003752+0.06%0.00371-1.07%0.0048✓1.31559k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1998+0.06%1.126-6.10%0.0499✗1.1010k2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.118366+0.05%0.115136-2.68%0.0154✗0.996.8M2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.323963+0.05%0.318-1.79%0.0045✗1.1576k2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000045162+0.05%0.00004282-5.14%0.0390✗1.161.9M2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.261911+0.04%0.2618+0.00%0.0003✓0.0128k2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.4032+0.04%9.92-4.61%0.0307✗1.3714.4M2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration64.2364.2554+0.04%60.95-5.11%0.0382✗1.18354k2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.7+0.04%60.953+0.46%0.0146✓0.85345k2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.471177+0.04%0.4462-5.27%0.0364✗1.47273k2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.116243+0.04%0.1134-2.41%0.0088✗1.30472k2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.143852+0.04%0.1378-4.17%0.0272✗1.2859k2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7956+0.03%1.796+0.06%0.0081✓0.64189k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.079007+0.03%0.0777-1.62%0.0077✗0.731,1722022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.277093+0.03%0.2636-4.84%0.0367✗1.0867k2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.020004+0.03%0.021484+7.43%0.0777✓0.51165k2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0256+0.03%1.874-7.46%0.0621✗1.27415k2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.496707+0.02%0.4841-2.52%0.0119✗1.1247k2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9606+0.02%2.934-0.88%0.0047✓1.12619k2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.6057+0.02%3.801+5.44%0.0740✓1.735.0M2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.5123+0.02%1.635+8.13%0.1024✓1.981.7M2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011972+0.02%0.00001175-1.84%0.0036✗1.23986k2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010212+0.02%0.00965-5.48%0.0447✗0.974.7M2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.263138+0.01%0.2502-4.90%0.0353✗1.23101k2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.080511+0.01%0.08648+7.43%0.0900✓1.50773k2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.092371+0.01%0.08996-2.60%0.0235✗0.241.1M2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.519062+0.01%0.519+0.00%0.0140✓1.1513k2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,174.16+0.01%23,023.60-0.64%0.0055✓0.9814k2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0801+0.00%1.218+12.78%0.1288✓0.701.5M2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum88.0003+0.00%8.1+1.25%0.0292✓1.37263k2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.8504+0.00%9.54-3.15%0.0256✗0.521.7M2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.772011+0.00%0.744-3.63%0.0248✗0.99377k2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0314-0.01%0.9992-3.13%0.0174✓1.171.1M2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.412763-0.01%0.3926-4.89%0.0329✓1.39583k2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.00478-0.01%0.00462-3.35%0.0178✓1.32112k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.032035-0.02%0.03144-1.87%0.0035✓1.2414k2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1891-0.02%5.0698-2.32%0.0207✓0.21210k2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.954825-0.02%0.908-4.92%0.0285✓1.77513k2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009378-0.02%0.00928-1.07%0.0050✗1.26359k2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.6428-0.02%6.638-0.09%0.0206✗1.7311.3M2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.210559-0.02%0.225+6.84%0.0830✗1.361,6972022-08-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002428-0.02%0.002266-6.71%0.0570✓1.001.8M2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.335919-0.02%0.3198-4.82%0.0346✓1.183.1M2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0235.0112-0.03%36.59+4.48%0.0615✗1.416.9M2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8194-0.03%1.7139-5.82%0.0442✓1.26492k2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.8831-0.03%56.33-4.36%0.0272✓1.3932k2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001096-0.03%0.001085-1.02%0.0058✗1.291.4M2022-08-02
DASHDashDash49.7549.734-0.03%48.53-2.45%0.0109✓1.11574k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0978-0.04%6.03-1.15%0.0030✓0.66623k2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.2451-0.04%11.02-2.04%0.0053✓1.21243k2022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.539849-0.05%0.5474+1.35%0.0313✗1.41234k2022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.59e-7-0.05%0.00000101+5.21%0.0636✗1.0025k2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.3603-0.06%8.248-1.40%0.0037✗1.408.5M2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.192387-0.06%0.18917-1.73%0.0116✗2.311,2222022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.9433-0.06%3.0467+3.45%0.0440✗0.77978k2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.345251-0.07%0.34832+0.82%0.0250✗1.3112k2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.860389-0.07%0.823-4.41%0.0232✓1.735.0M2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.418989-0.09%0.39795-5.11%0.0366✓1.21118k2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.556834-0.10%0.5396-3.19%0.0174✓1.14341k2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.944-0.10%2.716-7.84%0.0631✓1.4349k2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.064729-0.11%0.0595-8.18%0.0665✓1.44154k2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.220692-0.14%0.212-4.07%0.0216✓1.51821k2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2442-0.14%1.163-6.66%0.0544✓1.0643k2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum103.46103.2853-0.17%103.43-0.03%0.0139✗1.014.2M2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.219.1586-0.22%21.17+10.26%0.1104✗0.862.2M2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.4107-0.22%2.285-5.42%0.0362✓1.41177k2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0175-0.22%1.966-2.77%0.0101✓1.28637k2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.5148-0.23%6.51-0.31%0.0069✗0.621.2M2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2773-0.24%3.3336+1.47%0.0280✗0.891.2M2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.7956-0.25%5.73-1.38%0.0039✓0.61732k2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,581.05-0.26%10,752.27-7.40%0.0571✓1.404.2M2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.828775-0.27%0.816-1.81%0.0028✗1.493,6872022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.0001045-0.28%0.00010013-4.45%0.0188✓1.94592k2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.709107-0.35%0.65971-7.29%0.0536✓1.5188k2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.036672-0.35%0.03854+4.73%0.0684✗1.5212.6M2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4428.3386-0.36%27.79-2.29%0.0024✓1.39641k2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.7435-0.37%8.196-6.61%0.0516✓1.062.4M2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5538-0.39%1.55-0.64%0.0002✓0.22268k2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.148714-0.46%0.1359-9.04%0.0765✓1.11698k2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.1262-1.19%1.0822-5.05%0.0196✓1.65205k2022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.77450.754293-2.61%0.5942-23.28%0.2242✓1.171.4M2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.