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2022-08-01 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0337
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 67.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
HIVEHivenative0.77450.743745-3.97%0.5942-23.28%0.2101✓1.171.4M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.1094-2.66%1.0822-5.05%0.0046✓1.65205k2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.146431-1.99%0.1359-9.04%0.0610✓1.11698k2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.7187-1.57%5.73-1.38%0.0095✓0.61732k2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,450.78-1.38%10,752.27-7.40%0.0458✓1.404.2M2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.442-1.35%6.51-0.31%0.0181✗0.621.2M2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2423-1.31%3.3336+1.47%0.0388✗0.891.2M2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4945-1.16%1.635+8.13%0.1143✗1.981.7M2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.821967-1.09%0.816-1.81%0.0110✗1.493,6872022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.036436-0.99%0.03854+4.73%0.0749✗1.5212.6M2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.7016-0.85%8.196-6.61%0.0468✓1.062.4M2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4428.2041-0.83%27.79-2.29%0.0023✓1.39641k2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.064283-0.80%0.0595-8.18%0.0596✓1.44154k2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0296-0.80%5.05-0.39%0.0128✗0.711.2M2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040974-0.79%0.0396-4.12%0.0190✓1.2371k2022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000103976-0.78%0.00010013-4.45%0.0138✓1.94592k2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.079886-0.76%0.08648+7.43%0.0978✗1.50773k2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.7783-0.73%9.54-3.15%0.0182✓0.521.7M2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.885-0.69%5.16+4.90%0.0616✗0.552.0M2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0606-0.65%6.03-1.15%0.0031✓0.66623k2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.949146-0.61%0.908-4.92%0.0225✓1.77513k2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.9272-0.61%3.0467+3.45%0.0495✗0.77978k2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.219.0889-0.58%21.17+10.26%0.1141✗0.862.2M2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.074-0.55%1.218+12.78%0.1344✗0.701.5M2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9307-0.55%2.716-7.84%0.0586✓1.4349k2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.9124-0.55%3.985+1.30%0.0272✗0.721.4M2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.484525-0.54%0.45527-6.54%0.0526✓0.7863k2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.707816-0.53%0.65971-7.29%0.0518✓1.5188k2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.143043-0.53%0.1378-4.17%0.0216✓1.2859k2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0114-0.52%1.966-2.77%0.0071✓1.28637k2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum103.46102.9343-0.51%103.43-0.03%0.0173✗1.014.2M2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3779-0.51%2.46+2.93%0.0471✗1.07301k2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.856673-0.50%0.823-4.41%0.0189✓1.735.0M2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.8298-0.50%3.883+0.88%0.0211✗0.591.7M2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0264-0.50%0.9992-3.13%0.0125✓1.171.1M2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5877-0.48%3.801+5.44%0.0790✗1.735.0M2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.3144-0.47%3.18-4.50%0.0353✓0.4994k2022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.537605-0.46%0.5474+1.35%0.0354✗1.41234k2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.115672-0.45%0.1134-2.41%0.0039✓1.30472k2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.4053-0.44%2.285-5.42%0.0340✓1.41177k2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.00934-0.43%0.00928-1.07%0.0091✗1.26359k2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.163996-0.43%0.1674+1.64%0.0358✗1.2494k2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.191689-0.42%0.18917-1.73%0.0152✗2.311,2222022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1941-0.42%1.126-6.10%0.0452✓1.1010k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.3058-0.41%8-4.08%0.0222✓1.246.8M2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.934983-0.41%0.9732+3.66%0.0511✗0.903.2M2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.241-0.40%1.163-6.66%0.0518✓1.0643k2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5539-0.39%1.55-0.64%0.0002✓0.22268k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.304731-0.38%0.3039-0.65%0.0111✗1.12300k2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.17135-0.38%0.1596-7.21%0.0557✓1.25491k2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.517038-0.38%0.519+0.00%0.0179✗1.1513k2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.051252-0.38%0.048695-5.35%0.0366✓1.1938k2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.97-0.38%8.1+1.25%0.0330✗1.37263k2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.1269-0.37%14.94+5.36%0.0733✗1.411.9M2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.8895-0.37%36.59+4.48%0.0649✗1.416.9M2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.6812-0.37%56.33-4.36%0.0238✓1.3932k2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0176-0.37%1.874-7.46%0.0582✓1.27415k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.8152-0.36%17.22-3.69%0.0174✓1.351.3M2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017837-0.35%0.01794+0.22%0.0154✗0.78229k2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3184-0.35%1.27-4.01%0.0221✓1.241.2M2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.5022-0.35%33.21-1.22%0.0151✗1.94229k2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3489-0.35%4.526+3.71%0.0471✗0.581.2M2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.2112-0.34%11.02-2.04%0.0023✓1.21243k2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4877-0.34%6.57+0.92%0.0298✗1.401.1M2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8638-0.34%3.951+1.91%0.0332✗0.88754k2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.153594-0.33%0.1435-6.88%0.0558✓0.993.5M2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.061-0.33%0.0581-5.07%0.0327✓1.30799k2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.177022-0.33%0.1716-3.38%0.0157✓1.263.5M2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.6224-0.32%6.638-0.09%0.0236✗1.7311.3M2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.361605-0.32%0.34061-6.11%0.0439✓1.301.0M2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.083921-0.32%0.08676+3.05%0.0498✗1.3429k2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.344416-0.31%0.34832+0.82%0.0274✗1.3112k2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.469565-0.30%0.4462-5.27%0.0330✓1.47273k2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7896-0.30%1.796+0.06%0.0114✗0.64189k2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7132-0.28%1.635-4.83%0.0289✓1.45327k2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004767-0.28%0.00462-3.35%0.0151✓1.32112k2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.276255-0.27%0.2636-4.84%0.0337✓1.0867k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.123274-0.26%0.1168-5.50%0.0370✓1.382.8M2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.3028-0.26%1.3359+2.27%0.0436✗1.515.6M2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.220435-0.26%0.212-4.07%0.0204✓1.51821k2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.3386-0.25%93.42-3.27%0.0103✓1.6610.2M2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.5313-0.25%22.85-3.14%0.0097✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.33417-0.25%0.328-2.09%0.0060✓1.03959k2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.265046-0.25%0.2502-5.83%0.0438✓1.13768k2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.210103-0.24%0.225+6.84%0.0852✗1.361,6972022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.559-0.23%2.6+1.36%0.0375✗1.7595k2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.3454-0.23%8.248-1.40%0.0055✗1.408.5M2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.335224-0.23%0.3198-4.82%0.0325✓1.183.1M2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0764-0.23%1.0451-3.13%0.0121✓1.411.4M2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0755-0.23%1.0569-1.95%0.0048✓1.0313k2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration64.2364.0831-0.23%60.95-5.11%0.0356✓1.18354k2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.07034-0.23%0.0745+5.67%0.0707✗1.08567k2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.32309-0.22%0.318-1.79%0.0018✓1.1576k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031972-0.21%0.03144-1.87%0.0015✓1.2414k2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4201-0.20%1.364-4.15%0.0247✓1.272.5M2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.791405-0.20%0.774-2.40%0.0071✓1.23218k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8863-0.19%2.017+6.72%0.0845✗1.42234k2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.2626-0.19%0.2502-4.90%0.0333✓1.23101k2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003750.003743-0.18%0.00371-1.07%0.0072✗1.31559k2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.3805-0.18%9.92-4.61%0.0285✓1.3714.4M2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2641-0.18%2.1689-4.37%0.0278✓1.2329k2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.618532-0.17%0.6132-1.03%0.0056✗1.16642k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.165126-0.17%0.1626-1.70%0.0036✗1.54212k2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.418665-0.17%0.39795-5.11%0.0358✓1.21118k2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0146-0.17%0.95943-5.60%0.0396✓1.32525k2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.1302-0.16%17.17-5.45%0.0376✓1.37116k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048223-0.16%0.0463-4.14%0.0242✓1.347,6872022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7924-0.16%2.8083+0.41%0.0177✗0.981.0M2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051609-0.16%0.04946-4.31%0.0314✓0.9015k2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.412168-0.15%0.3926-4.89%0.0315✓1.39583k2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019968-0.15%0.021484+7.43%0.0795✗0.51165k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.05312-0.15%0.0531-0.19%0.0150✗1.25269k2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001094-0.15%0.001085-1.02%0.0070✗1.291.4M2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4179-0.15%1.36-4.23%0.0240✓1.441.1M2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.6111-0.14%39.81-4.46%0.0275✓1.3681.1M2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5725-0.14%1.4894-5.42%0.0366✓1.44589k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.7075-0.14%29.4-4.39%0.0318✓0.9510.2M2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.092233-0.14%0.08996-2.60%0.0220✓0.241.1M2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.1691-0.13%7.928-3.08%0.0147✓1.2410.0M2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.046119-0.13%0.044-4.72%0.0352✓0.962,3002022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8562-0.13%2.72-4.90%0.0302✓1.52192k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.085688-0.13%0.0857-0.12%0.0146✗1.18137k2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.261465-0.13%0.2618+0.00%0.0014✗0.0128k2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023591-0.13%0.024372+3.18%0.0446✗0.989,6292022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,628.76-0.13%1,631.28+0.03%0.0170✗1.26387.0M2022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.59e-7-0.13%0.00000101+5.21%0.0643✗1.0025k2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9563-0.12%2.934-0.88%0.0062✗1.12619k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011956-0.12%0.00001175-1.84%0.0022✓1.23986k2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5649-0.12%7.179-5.22%0.0368✓1.2616.9M2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87137.714-0.11%133.77-2.97%0.0144✓1.194.3M2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.645277-0.11%0.608-5.88%0.0422✓1.4088k2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.771145-0.11%0.744-3.63%0.0237✓0.99377k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.078893-0.11%0.0777-1.62%0.0062✓0.731,1722022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010199-0.11%0.00965-5.48%0.0434✓0.974.7M2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.423462-0.10%0.4029-4.95%0.0334✓1.33127k2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067331-0.10%0.068+0.89%0.0217✗0.96229k2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8562-0.10%2.7482-3.88%0.0193✓1.5612k2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8182-0.09%1.7139-5.82%0.0436✓1.26492k2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.342095-0.09%0.3267-4.59%0.0320✓1.147.7M2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.512398-0.08%0.4966-3.16%0.0159✓1.2541.9M2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000045105-0.08%0.00004282-5.14%0.0377✓1.161.9M2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.015006-0.08%0.015628+4.07%0.0515✗0.881.6M2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003254-0.07%0.003157-3.04%0.0176✓1.021.0M2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.6327-0.07%60.953+0.46%0.0157✗0.85345k2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.29e-7-0.07%3.39e-7+2.97%0.0417✗0.96178k2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.780.779463-0.07%0.76-2.56%0.0178✓0.6179k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1433-0.07%3.9681-4.29%0.0298✓1.0939k2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.118235-0.06%0.115136-2.68%0.0143✓0.996.8M2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.6026-0.05%156.99-2.30%0.0091✓1.111.3M2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.120635-0.05%0.1155-4.31%0.0303✓1.07352k2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.206898-0.05%0.202-2.42%0.0068✓1.401,1792022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.46130.461084-0.05%0.4398-4.66%0.0319✓1.25778k2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021552-0.04%0.02154-0.09%0.0121✗1.03159k2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.060178-0.04%0.0612+1.66%0.0341✗1.40339k2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4759.4496-0.03%58.09-2.32%0.0089✓1.1613.6M2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6297-0.02%1.57-3.68%0.0204✓1.37114k2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.496498-0.02%0.4841-2.52%0.0115✓1.1247k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.4346-0.02%2.419-0.66%0.0049✗0.92105k2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.1345+0.00%14.5774-3.68%0.0230✗1.1868k2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.125502+0.00%0.1238-1.35%0.0015✗0.994,9522022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,178.05+0.02%23,023.60-0.64%0.0054✓0.9814k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.230773+0.03%0.2308+0.04%0.0184✓1.4897k2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1919+0.04%5.0698-2.32%0.0212✗0.21210k2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.057264+0.05%0.05605-2.07%0.0141✗0.6022k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.71e-7+0.06%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0097✓0.836.4M2022-08-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002431+0.08%0.002266-6.71%0.0580✗1.001.8M2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9726+0.10%9.938-0.25%0.0099✓1.082.1M2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.03004+0.10%0.0314+4.63%0.0603✓1.311,2932022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.72784+0.12%0.742+2.06%0.0342✓1.21806k2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0197+0.12%1.0235+0.49%0.0155✓0.9660k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008431+0.13%0.00839-0.36%0.0064✓0.911.6M2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006659+0.14%0.006716+0.99%0.0151✓0.5438k2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.9634+0.15%61.49-2.20%0.0083✗1.251.5M2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068825+0.15%0.066529-3.19%0.0198✗1.151.7M2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.309614+0.16%0.30205-2.29%0.0104✗1.17398k2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.0017+0.16%0.001664-1.94%0.0087✗1.0211k2022-08-02
DASHDashDash49.7549.8316+0.16%48.53-2.45%0.0129✗1.11574k2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,312.08+0.16%22,989.40-1.22%0.0016✗1.00414.2M2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4243+0.18%4.3491-1.52%0.0082✗0.73916k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.732344+0.18%0.709-3.01%0.0141✗1.4980k2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.095289+0.20%0.0936-1.58%0.0031✗1.216,7862022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006336+0.23%0.006204-1.84%0.0099✗0.909,1592022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.070183+0.30%0.06831-2.38%0.0175✗0.78373k2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.559246+0.33%0.5396-3.19%0.0217✗1.14341k2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.064314+0.33%0.073+13.88%0.1367✓0.81155k2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.