8=======>

2022-06-19 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 177 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0437
177 of 177 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.5%
in alpha space · 68.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (177 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00006110.000062138+1.70%0.00005767-5.61%0.0743✗2.101.6M2022-06-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.776790.786953+1.31%0.82+5.56%0.0412✓0.839712022-06-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05270.053357+1.25%0.0538+2.09%0.0084✓1.18152k2022-06-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.420.424564+1.09%0.44+4.76%0.0358✓1.0263k2022-06-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2970.300183+1.07%0.295-0.67%0.0172✗1.51275k2022-06-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17210.173912+1.05%0.1736+0.87%0.0016✓1.45191k2022-06-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07820.079012+1.04%0.0748-4.35%0.0546✗1.43281k2022-06-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.510.515244+1.03%0.52+1.96%0.0093✓1.1672k2022-06-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.597.6658+1.00%8.07+6.32%0.0515✓1.17429k2022-06-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.6450.65141+0.99%0.702+8.84%0.0750✓1.394.0M2022-06-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3660.369553+0.97%0.384+4.92%0.0385✓1.543,1292022-06-20
AAVEAaveEthereum53.9754.4861+0.96%61.5+13.95%0.1213✓1.667.6M2022-06-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00270.002726+0.95%0.002663-1.37%0.0231✗1.082.1M2022-06-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6540.660232+0.95%0.672+2.75%0.0179✓1.68303k2022-06-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212440.02144+0.92%0.021234-0.05%0.0095✗1.119,2332022-06-20
OPTIMOptimism0.5080.512571+0.90%0.502-1.18%0.0207✗1.006.2M2022-06-20
MOVRMoonriverBase11.350211.4511+0.89%11.5353+1.63%0.0075✓1.30194k2022-06-20
COMPCompoundEthereum31.832.0781+0.87%35.07+10.28%0.0894✓1.4627k2022-06-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03540.035706+0.86%0.0371+4.80%0.0385✓1.36334k2022-06-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.28e-73.31e-7+0.86%3.32e-7+1.32%0.0047✓0.93800k2022-06-20
FLOWFlownative1.3741.3858+0.86%1.416+3.06%0.0217✓1.15457k2022-06-20
TRXTRONTron0.0612750.0618+0.86%0.061067-0.34%0.0118✗0.891.0M2022-06-20
XTZTezosTezos1.38781.3997+0.86%1.4431+3.98%0.0307✓1.29914k2022-06-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.1516.2876+0.85%17.07+5.70%0.0471✓1.4342.7M2022-06-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00000820.000008269+0.85%0.00000812-0.98%0.0181✗1.21802k2022-06-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.04770.048103+0.85%0.04809+0.82%0.0001✓1.521.5M2022-06-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6860.691797+0.85%0.681-0.73%0.0156✗1.18977k2022-06-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,552.4420,726.03+0.84%20,549.75-0.01%0.0084✗1.00582.4M2022-06-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,126.901,136.39+0.84%1,126.84-0.01%0.0083✓1.15388.8M2022-06-20
KCSKuCoinnative10.62510.7144+0.84%10.353-2.56%0.0342✗1.125.0M2022-06-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019570.019734+0.84%0.02032+3.83%0.0294✓1.02129k2022-06-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11090.111828+0.84%0.111+0.09%0.0073✓1.3749k2022-06-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.04680.04719+0.83%0.04851+3.65%0.0278✓1.3570k2022-06-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.31451.3255+0.83%1.3233+0.67%0.0015✓1.241.2M2022-06-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,740.284,779.77+0.83%4,917.51+3.74%0.0286✓1.283.7M2022-06-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.145080.146285+0.83%0.14501-0.05%0.0086✗1.001,0532022-06-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.152745+0.82%0.1557+2.77%0.0193✓1.40917k2022-06-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064560.006509+0.82%0.006492+0.56%0.0025✓0.76145k2022-06-20
GTGateEthereum3.96043.9929+0.82%4.059+2.49%0.0165✓0.741.7M2022-06-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05470.055148+0.82%0.0542-0.91%0.0172✗0.79326k2022-06-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2421.2521+0.81%1.214-2.25%0.0307✗1.49223k2022-06-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.013.0344+0.81%2.99-0.66%0.0146✗0.761.4M2022-06-20
BTTCBTTC7.90e-77.96e-7+0.81%8.00e-7+1.27%0.0047✓0.865.3M2022-06-20
NANOnanopayBase0.782290.788577+0.80%0.801665+2.48%0.0166✓1.07120k2022-06-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.051.0583+0.79%1.11+5.71%0.0479✓1.56985k2022-06-20
XEMNEMnative0.039850.040164+0.79%0.041807+4.91%0.0403✓1.2626k2022-06-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12190.122857+0.79%0.1221+0.16%0.0061✓0.96246k2022-06-20
QTUMQtumQtum2.72952.7508+0.78%2.7926+2.31%0.0152✓1.1639k2022-06-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02810.028318+0.78%0.029+3.20%0.0240✓1.27206k2022-06-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5790.583488+0.78%0.686+18.48%0.1620✓1.00349k2022-06-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08070.081325+0.77%0.0806-0.12%0.0088✗1.336,0992022-06-20
CBKCobakEthereum0.868770.875483+0.77%0.90059+3.66%0.0284✓1.226,0082022-06-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.572.5898+0.77%2.63+2.33%0.0156✓1.11624k2022-06-20
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1254.1563+0.76%4.484+8.70%0.0761✓1.8115.8M2022-06-20
XMRMoneroMonero114.45115.3106+0.75%117.63+2.78%0.0201✓1.141.8M2022-06-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3340.336511+0.75%0.325-2.69%0.0346✗1.2016k2022-06-20
STXStacksnative0.35450.357164+0.75%0.374+5.50%0.0462✓1.31203k2022-06-20
DODODODOEthereum0.11990.120794+0.75%0.1156-3.59%0.0438✗1.394.4M2022-06-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009890.009963+0.74%0.00958-3.13%0.0391✗0.949.7M2022-06-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0027660.002786+0.74%0.00279+0.87%0.0014✓1.084,6932022-06-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016650.016772+0.74%0.01642-1.38%0.0211✗0.79430k2022-06-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,529.0020,679.11+0.73%20,292.20-1.15%0.0188✗0.9836k2022-06-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3660.368668+0.73%0.3755+2.60%0.0186✓1.44132k2022-06-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060780.006122+0.73%0.006178+1.66%0.0093✓1.022,7662022-06-20
XECeCashnative0.000037590.000037863+0.73%0.00003749-0.27%0.0097✗1.282.7M2022-06-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.75521.7679+0.72%1.7665+0.64%0.0007✓0.882.5M2022-06-20
SCSiacoinnative0.00370.003727+0.72%0.00399+7.84%0.0685✓1.47240k2022-06-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27320.275161+0.72%0.2795+2.31%0.0158✓1.255.0M2022-06-20
DASHDashDash44.2444.5543+0.71%45.37+2.55%0.0183✓1.11810k2022-06-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0123250.012412+0.71%0.012491+1.35%0.0064✓0.852.0M2022-06-20
KSMKusamaHydration50.8751.2289+0.71%53.48+5.13%0.0432✓1.19940k2022-06-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.485.5185+0.70%5.451-0.53%0.0121✗1.282.5M2022-06-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.7813.8762+0.70%14.54+5.52%0.0469✓1.401.8M2022-06-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.7656.8122+0.70%6.804+0.58%0.0010✓1.3213.7M2022-06-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.254950.256724+0.70%0.2706+6.14%0.0528✓1.28466k2022-06-20
RADRadworksEthereum1.511.5205+0.70%1.51+0.00%0.0068✓1.15270k2022-06-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007470.00075219+0.69%0.000771+3.21%0.0249✓1.352.2M2022-06-20
HIVEHivenative0.37320.375793+0.69%0.3758+0.70%0.0002✓1.361.2M2022-06-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.296.3335+0.69%6.49+3.18%0.0245✓0.501.8M2022-06-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0603160.060728+0.68%0.059998-0.53%0.0119✗1.271.3M2022-06-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.684567+0.67%0.68+0.00%0.0065✓1.42195k2022-06-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09320.093817+0.66%0.0933+0.11%0.0054✓1.14642k2022-06-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.058.103+0.66%8.63+7.20%0.0631✓0.96244k2022-06-20
ZECZcashZcash67.4167.8502+0.65%65.02-3.55%0.0424✗1.343.1M2022-06-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6260.63006+0.65%0.624-0.32%0.0095✗1.34506k2022-06-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.4191+0.64%1.49+5.67%0.0490✓1.51574k2022-06-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.0922.1054+0.64%3.259+55.78%0.4372✓1.822.4M2022-06-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.3515.4469+0.63%16.24+5.80%0.0502✓1.292.1M2022-06-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.09340.093987+0.63%0.0933-0.11%0.0072✗1.21691k2022-06-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10280.103444+0.63%0.1037+0.88%0.0026✓1.364.6M2022-06-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.544.5684+0.63%4.84+6.61%0.0579✓1.27400k2022-06-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.294.3167+0.62%4.33+0.93%0.0032✓0.681.4M2022-06-20
SOLSolanaSolana34.1534.3623+0.62%35.22+3.13%0.0248✓1.31101.4M2022-06-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5926.6328+0.62%6.974+5.79%0.0503✓1.3141.5M2022-06-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.22110.222466+0.62%0.228+3.12%0.0247✓1.1693k2022-06-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006660.006701+0.62%0.00649-2.55%0.0319✗1.01482k2022-06-20
XVGVergenative0.002790.002807+0.61%0.003+7.53%0.0666✓1.39650k2022-06-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81011.8211+0.61%1.8774+3.72%0.0306✓1.3061k2022-06-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.05630.056643+0.61%0.0565+0.36%0.0023✓1.51141k2022-06-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24260.244078+0.61%0.2328-4.04%0.0471✗1.2431k2022-06-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.918.9643+0.61%8.98+0.79%0.0020✓1.502.2M2022-06-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31420.316102+0.61%0.3183+1.30%0.0071✓1.1913.5M2022-06-20
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.201306+0.60%0.2088+4.35%0.0367✓1.24669k2022-06-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.882.8972+0.60%2.9+0.69%0.0011✓0.821.5M2022-06-20
FTTFTXEthereum25.0625.2079+0.59%26.69+6.50%0.0573✓0.9310.1M2022-06-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.0512+0.59%0.052+2.16%0.0157✓1.391.7M2022-06-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.291050.29276+0.59%0.29417+1.07%0.0050✓1.419,0962022-06-20
UNIUniswapEthereum4.1844.2085+0.59%4.3+2.77%0.0217✓1.363.6M2022-06-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5217.565+0.58%7.865+4.57%0.0391✓1.2913.9M2022-06-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.485.512+0.58%5.767+5.24%0.0454✓1.3711.1M2022-06-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2561.2633+0.58%1.27+1.11%0.0055✓1.5173k2022-06-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash120.39121.089+0.58%118.54-1.54%0.0211✗1.164.5M2022-06-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.4742.4883+0.58%2.47-0.16%0.0072✗1.221.0M2022-06-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.008940.008991+0.57%0.00905+1.23%0.0067✓1.021.4M2022-06-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2640850.265574+0.56%0.275064+4.16%0.0353✓1.372.4M2022-06-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023850.023982+0.56%0.02369-0.67%0.0121✗1.003,2752022-06-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.089689+0.55%0.094+5.38%0.0471✓1.451.1M2022-06-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4390.441407+0.55%0.46+4.78%0.0414✓1.39108k2022-06-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1146080.115235+0.55%0.112922-1.47%0.0201✗1.0611.6M2022-06-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.5331+0.54%3.504-0.28%0.0082✗0.684.9M2022-06-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4532.4663+0.54%2.4615+0.35%0.0018✓1.052.8M2022-06-20
DIADIAEthereum0.382090.384161+0.54%0.3728-2.43%0.0299✗0.71240k2022-06-20
ZENHorizenBase13.8813.955+0.54%14.18+2.16%0.0162✓1.4155k2022-06-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana44.0216+0.54%3.97-0.75%0.0128✗0.671.3M2022-06-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.5691+0.54%3.62+1.97%0.0142✓0.621.9M2022-06-20
XVSVenusEthereum4.324.3432+0.54%5.08+17.59%0.1569✓1.581.4M2022-06-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8550.859566+0.53%0.868+1.52%0.0099✓1.001.5M2022-06-20
XYMSymbolnative0.0507010.050971+0.53%0.0519+2.36%0.0181✓0.6664k2022-06-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04680.047044+0.52%0.0482+2.99%0.0245✓1.4414k2022-06-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.13532.1463+0.51%2.1083-1.26%0.0177✗0.862.6M2022-06-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027740.027882+0.51%0.02927+5.52%0.0488✓1.3519k2022-06-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2670.268355+0.51%0.28+4.87%0.0426✓1.01823k2022-06-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.1330.133673+0.51%0.1361+2.33%0.0182✓1.34163k2022-06-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.209955+0.50%0.2114+1.20%0.0070✓1.35446k2022-06-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.046432+0.50%0.04642+0.48%0.0001✓0.9814k2022-06-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.3410.3915+0.50%11.36+9.86%0.0893✓1.62322k2022-06-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040750.040952+0.50%0.0413+1.35%0.0086✓1.072,6002022-06-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.261.2663+0.50%1.254-0.48%0.0095✗1.443.8M2022-06-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7691.7777+0.49%1.834+3.67%0.0314✓1.5792k2022-06-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49440.496804+0.49%0.5185+4.87%0.0429✓1.00117k2022-06-20
LSKLiskEthereum0.9937990.998617+0.48%1.0032+0.95%0.0047✓1.1653k2022-06-20
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3897+0.48%1.435+3.76%0.0323✓1.50407k2022-06-20
ADACardanoCardano0.4840.486301+0.48%0.4913+1.51%0.0104✓1.3676.9M2022-06-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11670.117243+0.47%0.1166-0.09%0.0054✗1.003.6M2022-06-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.540.542476+0.46%0.54+0.00%0.0044✓1.25751k2022-06-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2092.2191+0.46%2.182-1.22%0.0167✗1.4488k2022-06-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10140.10186+0.45%0.1046+3.16%0.0267✓1.035,8092022-06-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7780.781509+0.45%0.802+3.08%0.0261✓1.543.3M2022-06-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.372.3805+0.44%2.4+1.27%0.0084✓1.60301k2022-06-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.06150.061771+0.44%0.0643+4.55%0.0403✓1.51431k2022-06-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.52020.522421+0.43%0.50353-3.20%0.0366✗1.703.5M2022-06-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4762.4865+0.42%2.533+2.30%0.0187✓0.95111k2022-06-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.2554.4753+0.42%52.69-2.88%0.0332✗1.1917.5M2022-06-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7022.7131+0.41%2.771+2.55%0.0212✓0.584.3M2022-06-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31762.3271+0.41%2.3167-0.04%0.0042✗1.7115k2022-06-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.826380.829747+0.41%0.83612+1.18%0.0078✓1.34695k2022-06-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17935.1999+0.40%5.399+4.24%0.0376✓0.24226k2022-06-20
QNTQuantEthereum53.7353.9406+0.39%55.08+2.51%0.0210✓0.961.9M2022-06-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.337080.338399+0.39%0.3594+6.62%0.0604✓1.28110k2022-06-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.810.813024+0.37%0.8-1.23%0.0160✗0.851.9M2022-06-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.7490.751699+0.36%0.759+1.34%0.0099✓1.791.5M2022-06-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147820.014834+0.35%0.016014+8.33%0.0766✓0.64469k2022-06-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.3981.4025+0.32%1.425+1.93%0.0161✓1.31932k2022-06-20
PROPropyEthereum0.890.892803+0.31%0.85-4.49%0.0490✗0.75183k2022-06-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.052430.052579+0.28%0.05207-0.69%0.0096✗1.001,5802022-06-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.528790.530075+0.24%0.64132+21.28%0.1907✓1.4664k2022-06-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.493.4982+0.24%3.28-6.02%0.0643✗1.00327k2022-06-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8170.818913+0.23%0.805-1.47%0.0169✗1.9329.5M2022-06-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.17040.170695+0.17%0.1727+1.35%0.0118✓1.293,4882022-06-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.15450.154763+0.17%0.14328-7.26%0.0769✗1.65246k2022-06-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2760.3533+0.14%63.869+5.97%0.0567✓0.861.3M2022-06-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2610.261112+0.04%0.253-3.07%0.0314✗1.591.2M2022-06-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9992.9992+0.01%2.967-1.07%0.0107✗0.704.9M2022-06-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75680.756552-0.03%0.8404+11.05%0.1053✗1.132.8M2022-06-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17140.171299-0.06%0.181+5.60%0.0552✗1.002,3532022-06-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027080.02702-0.22%0.02464-9.01%0.0920✓1.7940.8M2022-06-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.881.8621-0.95%1.89+0.53%0.0149✗0.43185k2022-06-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.