8=======>

2022-06-14 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1991
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.0%
in alpha space · 92.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060630.000061973+2.22%0.00006194+2.16%0.0483✗2.411.7M2022-06-15
APEApeCoinEthereum3.6153.6753+1.67%4.161+15.10%0.0863✓1.9117.0M2022-06-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17680.179733+1.66%0.1855+4.92%0.0024✓1.47196k2022-06-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2960.300522+1.53%0.316+6.76%0.0180✓1.63425k2022-06-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05590.056743+1.51%0.0585+4.65%0.0067✓1.20153k2022-06-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.8541.8798+1.39%1.954+5.39%0.0030✓1.802.9M2022-06-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.351.3681+1.34%1.5362+13.79%0.0907✓1.271.9M2022-06-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.068.1682+1.34%8.46+4.96%0.0121✓1.16502k2022-06-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.055550.056293+1.34%0.062714+12.90%0.0834✓1.251.3M2022-06-15
AAVEAaveEthereum62.1162.9403+1.34%66.59+7.21%0.0233✓1.677.6M2022-06-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7310.740697+1.33%0.768+5.06%0.0087✓1.395.0M2022-06-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10160.102934+1.31%0.1085+6.79%0.0237✓1.4649k2022-06-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.5416.757+1.31%18.29+10.58%0.0584✓1.4749.3M2022-06-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0183670.018608+1.31%0.019823+7.93%0.0386✓1.259,7572022-06-15
TRXTRONTron0.0555890.056318+1.31%0.062998+13.33%0.0927✓0.98715k2022-06-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,887.884,951.72+1.31%5,347.81+9.41%0.0516✓1.283.7M2022-06-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.820.830646+1.30%0.76-7.32%0.1108✗1.1171k2022-06-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002880.002917+1.30%0.003053+6.01%0.0224✓1.172.1M2022-06-15
SUSHISushiEthereum11.0129+1.29%1.11+11.00%0.0602✓1.581.1M2022-06-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.31.3163+1.25%1.311+0.85%0.0384✗1.74231k2022-06-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008190.000008292+1.25%0.00000882+7.69%0.0367✓1.26850k2022-06-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03750.037967+1.25%0.0382+1.87%0.0224✗1.44383k2022-06-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.750.759334+1.24%0.788+5.07%0.0146✓1.131.0M2022-06-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.581,222.58+1.24%1,236.45+2.39%0.0106✓1.11363.3M2022-06-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.272440.275797+1.23%0.31437+15.39%0.1016✓1.4811k2022-06-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3576.4346+1.22%7.32+15.15%0.1030✓1.3115.2M2022-06-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009340.009453+1.21%0.00986+5.57%0.0210✓1.0713.0M2022-06-15
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003633+1.21%0.0038+5.85%0.0138✓1.57228k2022-06-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4685.534+1.21%5.871+7.37%0.0324✓1.352.6M2022-06-15
QTUMQtumQtum2.7762.8095+1.21%2.9566+6.50%0.0274✓1.1935k2022-06-15
OPTIMOptimism0.5650.571814+1.21%0.592+4.78%0.0149✓1.006.6M2022-06-15
XMRMoneroMonero118.2119.6195+1.20%118.21+0.01%0.0346✗1.151.7M2022-06-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.245280.248225+1.20%0.25328+3.26%0.0064✓1.34453k2022-06-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2509860.253981+1.19%0.274033+9.18%0.0469✓1.472.3M2022-06-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22340.226031+1.18%0.2423+8.46%0.0435✓1.3131k2022-06-15
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.19e-7+1.17%8.30e-7+2.47%0.0048✓0.895.5M2022-06-15
SOLSolanaSolana29.5429.886+1.17%34.72+17.54%0.1226✓1.38107.4M2022-06-15
COMPCompoundEthereum34.2534.6495+1.17%35.52+3.71%0.0041✓1.4627k2022-06-15
XTZTezosTezos1.45661.4735+1.16%1.5269+4.83%0.0093✓1.33914k2022-06-15
STXStacksnative0.34310.347059+1.15%0.3649+6.35%0.0236✓1.34165k2022-06-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050780.051363+1.15%0.05412+6.58%0.0203✓1.621.9M2022-06-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.228.3143+1.15%9.32+13.38%0.0811✓1.672.7M2022-06-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.371990.376237+1.14%0.39957+7.41%0.0295✓1.5563k2022-06-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26660.269639+1.14%0.2859+7.24%0.0333✓1.286.1M2022-06-15
CBKCobakEthereum0.816220.82551+1.14%0.88114+7.95%0.0396✓1.295,7412022-06-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,120.2522,371.64+1.14%22,562.33+2.00%0.0113✗1.00602.3M2022-06-15
KSMKusamaHydration51.1851.7557+1.12%58.26+13.83%0.0944✓1.211.0M2022-06-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124220.012562+1.12%0.012519+0.78%0.0215✗0.922.0M2022-06-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5930.599645+1.12%0.629+6.07%0.0270✓1.05365k2022-06-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8670.876687+1.12%0.9+3.81%0.0095✓1.80319k2022-06-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.5914.752+1.11%15.88+8.84%0.0481✓1.292.6M2022-06-15
HIVEHivenative0.35720.361163+1.11%0.3788+6.05%0.0190✓1.451.2M2022-06-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.461150.466259+1.11%0.46762+1.40%0.0366✗2.003.5M2022-06-15
DASHDashDash43.4743.9502+1.10%45.86+5.50%0.0199✓1.14837k2022-06-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.6330.63998+1.10%0.681+7.58%0.0263✓1.811.8M2022-06-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0714.225+1.10%15.79+12.22%0.0759✓1.442.3M2022-06-15
NANOnanopayBase0.8302190.839337+1.10%0.880603+6.07%0.0263✓1.09120k2022-06-15
ZECZcashZcash64.0664.7624+1.10%68.57+7.04%0.0303✓1.353.6M2022-06-15
FLOWFlownative1.5951.6125+1.09%1.672+4.83%0.0165✓1.00592k2022-06-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4020.406387+1.09%0.418+3.98%0.0039✓1.624,1942022-06-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3380.341679+1.09%0.346+2.37%0.0111✗1.2015k2022-06-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137930.139425+1.08%0.14196+2.92%0.0146✗1.65260k2022-06-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.047220.04773+1.08%0.04977+5.40%0.0146✓1.3870k2022-06-15
KCSKuCoinnative11.91412.0426+1.08%11.832-0.69%0.0398✗1.125.3M2022-06-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.20160.203773+1.08%0.2169+7.59%0.0386✓1.2187k2022-06-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.77e-73.82e-7+1.08%3.87e-7+2.43%0.0031✓0.831.1M2022-06-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006860.006934+1.07%0.007031+2.49%0.0019✓0.80167k2022-06-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30830.311577+1.06%0.3399+10.25%0.0627✓1.2314.6M2022-06-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08960.090547+1.06%0.0903+0.78%0.0318✗1.47381k2022-06-15
GTGateEthereum4.44594.4928+1.05%4.4001-1.03%0.0340✗0.662.1M2022-06-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.690.697276+1.05%0.72+4.35%0.0033✓1.45198k2022-06-15
MOVRMoonriverBase15.191115.3511+1.05%15.0504-0.93%0.0466✗1.35222k2022-06-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.006560.006629+1.05%0.006882+4.91%0.0163✓1.072,4432022-06-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1771.1892+1.04%1.285+9.18%0.0480✓1.4973k2022-06-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin46.146.5779+1.04%50.63+9.83%0.0599✓1.1917.5M2022-06-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.020611+1.04%0.02082+2.06%0.0116✗1.10151k2022-06-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.318.3959+1.03%8.47+1.93%0.0120✗1.05283k2022-06-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.3437+1.03%1.47+10.53%0.0575✓1.63580k2022-06-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15970.161348+1.03%0.1657+3.76%0.0024✓1.46801k2022-06-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.00321.0135+1.03%1.0501+4.68%0.0196✓0.806242022-06-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.626369+1.03%0.62+0.00%0.0319✗1.0958k2022-06-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6550.661723+1.03%0.69+5.34%0.0147✓1.37578k2022-06-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06430.064954+1.02%0.0642-0.16%0.0271✗0.78299k2022-06-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008240.000832241+1.00%0.000877+6.43%0.0247✓1.401.9M2022-06-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10420.105241+1.00%0.112+7.49%0.0334✓1.465.4M2022-06-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006580.006645+0.99%0.00693+5.32%0.0207✓1.07582k2022-06-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0612.0814+0.99%2.372+15.09%0.1015✓1.47104k2022-06-15
XVGVergenative0.003030.00306+0.99%0.00331+9.24%0.0496✓1.46628k2022-06-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38150.385268+0.99%0.4119+7.97%0.0365✓1.54160k2022-06-15
XECeCashnative0.000038070.000038443+0.98%0.00004039+6.09%0.0224✓1.373.0M2022-06-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.130.131273+0.98%0.1786+37.38%0.2852✓1.152,8762022-06-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.88127.1103+0.98%127.9+1.60%0.0174✗1.194.4M2022-06-15
STEEMSteemnative0.19270.194577+0.97%0.1965+1.97%0.0160✗1.31629k2022-06-15
UNIUniswapEthereum3.8573.8943+0.97%4.415+14.47%0.0992✓1.332.9M2022-06-15
FTTFTXEthereum23.9624.1909+0.96%25.56+6.68%0.0370✓0.919.4M2022-06-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.1270.128223+0.96%0.1343+5.75%0.0182✓1.42169k2022-06-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.710.716765+0.95%0.784+10.42%0.0577✓1.612.9M2022-06-15
XEMNEMnative0.0400010.040381+0.95%0.041506+3.76%0.0009✓1.3429k2022-06-15
QNTQuantEthereum47.7948.2414+0.94%50.8+6.30%0.0324✓0.982.0M2022-06-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13660.137885+0.94%0.1444+5.71%0.0268✓0.98267k2022-06-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8830.891271+0.94%0.961+8.83%0.0555✓1.001.6M2022-06-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.81331.8302+0.93%1.8408+1.52%0.0125✗0.923.2M2022-06-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.424.4609+0.92%4.45+0.68%0.0166✗0.721.6M2022-06-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.09517+0.92%0.1027+8.91%0.0519✓1.23803k2022-06-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026370.026612+0.92%0.02805+6.37%0.0250✓1.4018k2022-06-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.029367+0.92%0.0305+4.81%0.0111✓1.35247k2022-06-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.292150.29483+0.92%0.36061+23.43%0.1765✓1.26105k2022-06-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.1731.1837+0.92%1.519+29.50%0.2205✓1.46826k2022-06-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3497.4159+0.91%8.491+15.54%0.1099✓1.2913.5M2022-06-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.734.7729+0.91%4.85+2.54%0.0125✗1.44405k2022-06-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4540.458114+0.91%0.483+6.39%0.0240✓1.46116k2022-06-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92351.9408+0.90%2.0265+5.36%0.0163✓1.3668k2022-06-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19820.199981+0.90%0.2139+7.92%0.0391✓1.43446k2022-06-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,084.6022,282.91+0.90%22,542.40+2.07%0.0080✓0.9929k2022-06-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1126380.113649+0.90%0.121018+7.44%0.0413✓1.0910.7M2022-06-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00320.003229+0.89%0.003233+1.03%0.0227✗1.214,6932022-06-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.5585.6076+0.89%5.986+7.70%0.0369✓1.4310.9M2022-06-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9091.926+0.89%2.018+5.71%0.0156✓1.5797k2022-06-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11050.11148+0.89%0.1074-2.81%0.0636✗1.334,0262022-06-15
ZENHorizenBase14.6514.7797+0.89%16.08+9.76%0.0558✓1.4465k2022-06-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09820.099069+0.88%0.1027+4.58%0.0126✓1.18733k2022-06-15
LSKLiskEthereum0.9630380.971427+0.87%1.0023+4.08%0.0067✓1.2448k2022-06-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044280.044664+0.87%0.04473+1.02%0.0209✗1.1314k2022-06-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.611.6237+0.85%1.63+1.24%0.0206✗1.24270k2022-06-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.536.5854+0.85%6.56+0.46%0.0136✗0.492.0M2022-06-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.260.262198+0.85%0.268+3.08%0.0001✓1.11847k2022-06-15
DODODODOEthereum0.13510.136241+0.84%0.138+2.15%0.0160✗1.454.1M2022-06-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.7136.7696+0.84%7.32+9.04%0.0524✓1.3039.3M2022-06-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.009720.009802+0.84%0.00977+0.51%0.0242✗1.061.5M2022-06-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.058182+0.84%0.072+24.78%0.1849✓1.42406k2022-06-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.792.8132+0.83%2.87+2.87%0.0022✓1.12663k2022-06-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.194.2248+0.83%4.49+7.16%0.0269✓1.721.6M2022-06-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.04789+0.82%0.0494+4.00%0.0004✓1.5520k2022-06-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0504490.050859+0.81%0.051233+1.55%0.0070✓0.7259k2022-06-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.06090.06139+0.81%0.0655+7.55%0.0336✓1.57141k2022-06-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.09510.09586+0.80%0.0985+3.58%0.0031✓1.531.2M2022-06-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.2981+0.79%2.43+6.58%0.0210✓1.76304k2022-06-15
ADACardanoCardano0.48280.486619+0.79%0.5343+10.67%0.0655✓1.4257.0M2022-06-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019190.01934+0.78%0.01921+0.10%0.0204✗0.69646k2022-06-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.821090.827465+0.78%0.92106+12.18%0.0799✓1.38789k2022-06-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9923.0152+0.77%3.026+1.14%0.0137✗0.871.9M2022-06-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09880.099563+0.77%0.1079+9.21%0.0583✓1.127,2892022-06-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03910.039399+0.77%0.04118+5.32%0.0220✓1.122,9602022-06-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6253.6524+0.76%3.74+3.17%0.0099✓0.697.0M2022-06-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5150.518891+0.76%0.55+6.80%0.0309✓1.38821k2022-06-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020140.020291+0.75%0.02523+25.27%0.1807✓1.8838.7M2022-06-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.034.06+0.74%4.08+1.24%0.0090✗0.701.7M2022-06-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.055850.056261+0.74%0.06304+12.87%0.0940✓1.001,8582022-06-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.217584+0.73%0.24+11.11%0.0638✓1.731.2M2022-06-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0580.058416+0.72%0.0598+3.10%0.0059✓1.481.7M2022-06-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12512.1401+0.71%2.22+4.47%0.0184✓0.923.3M2022-06-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4412.4579+0.69%2.556+4.71%0.0191✓1.0163k2022-06-15
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.400267+0.69%0.41844+5.26%0.0313✓0.66276k2022-06-15
BANDBandEthereum1.4531.4629+0.68%1.57+8.05%0.0397✓1.56353k2022-06-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60040.604495+0.68%0.6667+11.04%0.0742✓1.202.8M2022-06-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12590.126712+0.65%0.1286+2.14%0.0048✓0.993.2M2022-06-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.493.5124+0.64%3.46-0.86%0.0304✗0.781.7M2022-06-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8220.827263+0.64%0.815-0.85%0.0349✗1.011.7M2022-06-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2832.2976+0.64%2.4285+6.37%0.0185✓1.8717k2022-06-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.64932.6653+0.60%2.6352-0.53%0.0335✗1.123.0M2022-06-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7511.8158+0.56%12.3+4.68%0.0063✓1.71322k2022-06-15
PROPropyEthereum0.930.935065+0.54%0.91-2.15%0.0424✗0.77187k2022-06-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.45.4289+0.53%4.9947-7.51%0.0890✗0.28235k2022-06-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.963.9811+0.53%3.98+0.51%0.0115✗0.572.1M2022-06-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146580.014736+0.53%0.016262+10.94%0.0871✓0.57443k2022-06-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4291.4354+0.44%1.496+4.69%0.0115✓1.515.1M2022-06-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.96554.1627+0.37%55.477+2.80%0.0064✓0.891.2M2022-06-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9260.928413+0.26%0.962+3.89%0.0051✗2.0522.9M2022-06-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1953.1993+0.13%3.216+0.66%0.0051✗0.524.5M2022-06-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.2656+0.05%3.264+0.00%0.0147✗0.724.3M2022-06-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.8162.8171+0.04%2.776-1.42%0.0408✗1.321.1M2022-06-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.631.6202-0.60%1.58-3.07%0.0387✓0.69166k2022-06-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.