8=======>

2022-06-14 · +1d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1808
173 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.6%
in alpha space · 92.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.96554.0198+0.10%55.477+2.80%0.0091✓0.891.2M2022-06-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.631.6332+0.20%1.58-3.07%0.0467✗0.69166k2022-06-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.8162.8231+0.25%2.776-1.42%0.0429✗1.321.1M2022-06-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.45.4201+0.37%4.9947-7.51%0.0874✗0.28235k2022-06-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146580.01473+0.49%0.016262+10.94%0.0876✓0.57443k2022-06-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020140.020239+0.49%0.02523+25.27%0.1832✓1.8838.7M2022-06-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1953.2117+0.52%3.216+0.66%0.0090✗0.524.5M2022-06-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8220.826716+0.57%0.815-0.85%0.0342✗1.011.7M2022-06-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.2878+0.73%3.264+0.00%0.0215✗0.724.3M2022-06-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.963.9894+0.74%3.98+0.51%0.0136✗0.572.1M2022-06-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6253.6572+0.89%3.74+3.17%0.0086✓0.697.0M2022-06-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.7136.7789+0.98%7.32+9.04%0.0511✓1.3039.3M2022-06-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9260.935283+1.00%0.962+3.89%0.0124✗2.0522.9M2022-06-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12512.1471+1.04%2.22+4.47%0.0151✓0.923.3M2022-06-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60040.606886+1.08%0.6667+11.04%0.0703✓1.202.8M2022-06-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.64932.6784+1.10%2.6352-0.53%0.0384✗1.123.0M2022-06-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.034.0752+1.12%4.08+1.24%0.0127✗0.701.7M2022-06-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1126380.113933+1.15%0.121018+7.44%0.0388✓1.0910.7M2022-06-15
GTGateEthereum4.44594.4975+1.16%4.4001-1.03%0.0350✗0.662.1M2022-06-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,120.2522,378.47+1.17%22,562.33+2.00%0.0116✗1.00602.3M2022-06-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7511.8922+1.21%12.3+4.68%0.0001✓1.71322k2022-06-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11050.111839+1.21%0.1074-2.81%0.0668✗1.334,0262022-06-15
FLOWFlownative1.5951.6143+1.21%1.672+4.83%0.0153✓1.00592k2022-06-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0504490.051071+1.23%0.051233+1.55%0.0111✓0.7259k2022-06-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3497.4421+1.27%8.491+15.54%0.1063✓1.2913.5M2022-06-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.493.5344+1.27%3.46-0.86%0.0367✗0.781.7M2022-06-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.536.6136+1.28%6.56+0.46%0.0179✗0.492.0M2022-06-15
XTZTezosTezos1.45661.4753+1.28%1.5269+4.83%0.0081✓1.33914k2022-06-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.055850.056571+1.29%0.06304+12.87%0.0885✓1.001,8582022-06-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050780.051444+1.31%0.05412+6.58%0.0187✓1.621.9M2022-06-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019190.019442+1.32%0.01921+0.10%0.0257✗0.69646k2022-06-15
TRXTRONTron0.0555890.056326+1.33%0.062998+13.33%0.0926✓0.98715k2022-06-15
ADACardanoCardano0.48280.489338+1.35%0.5343+10.67%0.0599✓1.4257.0M2022-06-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0580.058823+1.42%0.0598+3.10%0.0129✓1.481.7M2022-06-15
ZECZcashZcash64.0664.9858+1.45%68.57+7.04%0.0269✓1.353.6M2022-06-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.194.2506+1.45%4.49+7.16%0.0208✓1.721.6M2022-06-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4291.45+1.47%1.496+4.69%0.0014✓1.515.1M2022-06-15
XECeCashnative0.000038070.000038633+1.48%0.00004039+6.09%0.0175✓1.373.0M2022-06-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4412.4772+1.48%2.556+4.71%0.0113✓1.0163k2022-06-15
KCSKuCoinnative11.91412.0916+1.49%11.832-0.69%0.0439✗1.125.3M2022-06-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,084.6022,417.47+1.51%22,542.40+2.07%0.0140✓0.9929k2022-06-15
PROPropyEthereum0.930.944265+1.53%0.91-2.15%0.0522✗0.77187k2022-06-15
OPTIMOptimism0.5650.573703+1.54%0.592+4.78%0.0116✓1.006.6M2022-06-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.461150.468267+1.54%0.46762+1.40%0.0409✗2.003.5M2022-06-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008190.000008319+1.57%0.00000882+7.69%0.0335✓1.26850k2022-06-15
UNIUniswapEthereum3.8573.9179+1.58%4.415+14.47%0.0931✓1.332.9M2022-06-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.095795+1.59%0.1027+8.91%0.0453✓1.23803k2022-06-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09820.099773+1.60%0.1027+4.58%0.0055✓1.18733k2022-06-15
SOLSolanaSolana29.5430.0133+1.60%34.72+17.54%0.1183✓1.38107.4M2022-06-15
BANDBandEthereum1.4531.4763+1.60%1.57+8.05%0.0306✓1.56353k2022-06-15
QTUMQtumQtum2.7762.8206+1.61%2.9566+6.50%0.0234✓1.1935k2022-06-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9091.9397+1.61%2.018+5.71%0.0086✓1.5797k2022-06-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.81331.8425+1.61%1.8408+1.52%0.0192✗0.923.2M2022-06-15
FTTFTXEthereum23.9624.3463+1.61%25.56+6.68%0.0306✓0.919.4M2022-06-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5150.523312+1.61%0.55+6.80%0.0224✓1.38821k2022-06-15
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.404149+1.67%0.41844+5.26%0.0217✓0.66276k2022-06-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.3182+1.67%2.43+6.58%0.0123✓1.76304k2022-06-15
DASHDashDash43.4744.2005+1.68%45.86+5.50%0.0143✓1.14837k2022-06-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.820.833782+1.68%0.76-7.32%0.1146✗1.1171k2022-06-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.09510.096699+1.68%0.0985+3.58%0.0118✓1.531.2M2022-06-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06430.065395+1.70%0.0642-0.16%0.0339✗0.78299k2022-06-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12590.128053+1.71%0.1286+2.14%0.0154✓0.993.2M2022-06-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.611.6377+1.72%1.63+1.24%0.0293✗1.24270k2022-06-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009340.009501+1.72%0.00986+5.57%0.0160✓1.0713.0M2022-06-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.581,228.51+1.73%1,236.45+2.39%0.0155✓1.11363.3M2022-06-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.77e-73.84e-7+1.74%3.87e-7+2.43%0.0097✓0.831.1M2022-06-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.047220.048046+1.75%0.04977+5.40%0.0080✓1.3870k2022-06-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.130.132289+1.76%0.1786+37.38%0.2775✓1.152,8762022-06-15
MANADecentralandEthereum0.821090.83568+1.78%0.92106+12.18%0.0700✓1.38789k2022-06-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2832.324+1.80%2.4285+6.37%0.0070✓1.8717k2022-06-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.058738+1.80%0.072+24.78%0.1754✓1.42406k2022-06-15
SGBSongbirdnative0.02730.027794+1.81%0.0284+4.03%0.0126✓0.45145k2022-06-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9923.0464+1.82%3.026+1.14%0.0240✗0.871.9M2022-06-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.1731.1946+1.84%1.519+29.50%0.2114✓1.46826k2022-06-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03910.03982+1.84%0.04118+5.32%0.0114✓1.122,9602022-06-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin46.146.9628+1.87%50.63+9.83%0.0517✓1.1917.5M2022-06-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.792.8423+1.87%2.87+2.87%0.0124✓1.12663k2022-06-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044280.04511+1.87%0.04473+1.02%0.0308✗1.1314k2022-06-15
LSKLiskEthereum0.9630380.981103+1.88%1.0023+4.08%0.0033✓1.2448k2022-06-15
KSMKusamaHydration51.1852.1422+1.88%58.26+13.83%0.0869✓1.211.0M2022-06-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124220.012656+1.88%0.012519+0.78%0.0290✗0.922.0M2022-06-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15970.162724+1.89%0.1657+3.76%0.0109✓1.46801k2022-06-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30830.314153+1.90%0.3399+10.25%0.0544✓1.2314.6M2022-06-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.009720.009907+1.93%0.00977+0.51%0.0349✗1.061.5M2022-06-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.424.5056+1.94%4.45+0.68%0.0266✗0.721.6M2022-06-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.690.703483+1.95%0.72+4.35%0.0055✓1.45198k2022-06-15
XEMNEMnative0.0400010.040783+1.95%0.041506+3.76%0.0090✓1.3429k2022-06-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008240.000840304+1.98%0.000877+6.43%0.0151✓1.401.9M2022-06-15
QNTQuantEthereum47.7948.7371+1.98%50.8+6.30%0.0222✓0.982.0M2022-06-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.220306+1.99%0.24+11.11%0.0513✓1.731.2M2022-06-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.750.765051+2.01%0.788+5.07%0.0071✓1.131.0M2022-06-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.292150.298026+2.01%0.36061+23.43%0.1657✓1.26105k2022-06-15
DODODODOEthereum0.13510.137818+2.01%0.138+2.15%0.0275✗1.454.1M2022-06-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.228.3854+2.01%9.32+13.38%0.0726✓1.672.7M2022-06-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.272440.278005+2.04%0.31437+15.39%0.0937✓1.4811k2022-06-15
MOVRMoonriverBase15.191115.5016+2.04%15.0504-0.93%0.0563✗1.35222k2022-06-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.06090.062146+2.05%0.0655+7.55%0.0214✓1.57141k2022-06-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92351.9631+2.06%2.0265+5.36%0.0049✓1.3668k2022-06-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.02082+2.06%0.02082+2.06%0.0217✗1.10151k2022-06-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.734.8276+2.06%4.85+2.54%0.0239✗1.44405k2022-06-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.055550.056697+2.06%0.062714+12.90%0.0762✓1.251.3M2022-06-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006860.007002+2.07%0.007031+2.49%0.0117✓0.80167k2022-06-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13660.139429+2.07%0.1444+5.71%0.0157✓0.98267k2022-06-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26660.272134+2.08%0.2859+7.24%0.0241✓1.286.1M2022-06-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.5585.6752+2.11%5.986+7.70%0.0249✓1.4310.9M2022-06-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.00321.0244+2.12%1.0501+4.68%0.0090✓0.806242022-06-15
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.27e-7+2.12%8.30e-7+2.47%0.0141✓0.895.5M2022-06-15
XMRMoneroMonero118.2120.7143+2.13%118.21+0.01%0.0437✗1.151.7M2022-06-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08960.091511+2.13%0.0903+0.78%0.0424✗1.47381k2022-06-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.6330.646626+2.15%0.681+7.58%0.0160✓1.811.8M2022-06-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.3587+2.16%1.47+10.53%0.0465✓1.63580k2022-06-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4685.5865+2.17%5.871+7.37%0.0230✓1.352.6M2022-06-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10160.103811+2.18%0.1085+6.79%0.0152✓1.4649k2022-06-15
XVGVergenative0.003030.003096+2.19%0.00331+9.24%0.0378✓1.46628k2022-06-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.20160.20606+2.21%0.2169+7.59%0.0274✓1.2187k2022-06-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6550.669542+2.22%0.69+5.34%0.0029✓1.37578k2022-06-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5930.60628+2.24%0.629+6.07%0.0160✓1.05365k2022-06-15
ZENHorizenBase14.6514.9788+2.24%16.08+9.76%0.0424✓1.4465k2022-06-15
STXStacksnative0.34310.350808+2.25%0.3649+6.35%0.0129✓1.34165k2022-06-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.260.265842+2.25%0.268+3.08%0.0139✓1.11847k2022-06-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.048575+2.26%0.0494+4.00%0.0138✓1.5520k2022-06-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8830.903164+2.28%0.961+8.83%0.0423✓1.001.6M2022-06-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.88128.7558+2.28%127.9+1.60%0.0303✗1.194.4M2022-06-15
STEEMSteemnative0.19270.197155+2.31%0.1965+1.97%0.0292✗1.31629k2022-06-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.5416.9272+2.34%18.29+10.58%0.0483✓1.4749.3M2022-06-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.371990.380699+2.34%0.39957+7.41%0.0177✓1.5563k2022-06-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0183670.0188+2.36%0.019823+7.93%0.0283✓1.259,7572022-06-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38150.390501+2.36%0.4119+7.97%0.0230✓1.54160k2022-06-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026370.026995+2.37%0.02805+6.37%0.0107✓1.4018k2022-06-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137930.141203+2.37%0.14196+2.92%0.0273✗1.65260k2022-06-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.351.3825+2.41%1.5362+13.79%0.0803✓1.271.9M2022-06-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006580.006739+2.42%0.00693+5.32%0.0067✓1.07582k2022-06-15
NANOnanopayBase0.8302190.850389+2.43%0.880603+6.07%0.0133✓1.09120k2022-06-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.006560.00672+2.44%0.006882+4.91%0.0026✓1.072,4432022-06-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3380.346284+2.45%0.346+2.37%0.0245✗1.2015k2022-06-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.029825+2.49%0.0305+4.81%0.0043✓1.35247k2022-06-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0714.4216+2.50%15.79+12.22%0.0622✓1.442.3M2022-06-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8670.888707+2.50%0.9+3.81%0.0231✓1.80319k2022-06-15
SUSHISushiEthereum11.0251+2.51%1.11+11.00%0.0483✓1.581.1M2022-06-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05590.057302+2.51%0.0585+4.65%0.0031✓1.20153k2022-06-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19820.203187+2.52%0.2139+7.92%0.0232✓1.43446k2022-06-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.5914.9575+2.52%15.88+8.84%0.0343✓1.292.6M2022-06-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09880.101297+2.53%0.1079+9.21%0.0411✓1.127,2892022-06-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10420.10684+2.53%0.112+7.49%0.0183✓1.465.4M2022-06-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.068.2646+2.54%8.46+4.96%0.0004✓1.16502k2022-06-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.635758+2.54%0.62+0.00%0.0468✗1.0958k2022-06-15
COMPCompoundEthereum34.2535.1222+2.55%35.52+3.71%0.0177✓1.4627k2022-06-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.318.5239+2.57%8.47+1.93%0.0271✗1.05283k2022-06-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.710.728542+2.61%0.784+10.42%0.0414✓1.612.9M2022-06-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,887.885,016.31+2.63%5,347.81+9.41%0.0386✓1.283.7M2022-06-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.1270.130353+2.64%0.1343+5.75%0.0017✓1.42169k2022-06-15
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003685+2.66%0.0038+5.85%0.0004✓1.57228k2022-06-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002880.002958+2.71%0.003053+6.01%0.0085✓1.172.1M2022-06-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3576.5297+2.72%7.32+15.15%0.0884✓1.3115.2M2022-06-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.245280.25195+2.72%0.25328+3.26%0.0213✓1.34453k2022-06-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0612.1176+2.75%2.372+15.09%0.0843✓1.47104k2022-06-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4020.413069+2.75%0.418+3.98%0.0202✓1.624,1942022-06-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00320.003292+2.89%0.003233+1.03%0.0422✗1.214,6932022-06-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060630.00006239+2.90%0.00006194+2.16%0.0550✗2.411.7M2022-06-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1771.2112+2.90%1.285+9.18%0.0297✓1.4973k2022-06-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22340.229901+2.91%0.2423+8.46%0.0266✓1.3131k2022-06-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4540.467383+2.95%0.483+6.39%0.0040✓1.46116k2022-06-15
AAVEAaveEthereum62.1163.9574+2.97%66.59+7.21%0.0073✓1.677.6M2022-06-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03750.03862+2.99%0.0382+1.87%0.0394✗1.44383k2022-06-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17680.182114+3.01%0.1855+4.92%0.0107✓1.47196k2022-06-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.31.3397+3.05%1.311+0.85%0.0560✗1.74231k2022-06-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.8541.9106+3.05%1.954+5.39%0.0132✓1.802.9M2022-06-15
CBKCobakEthereum0.816220.841402+3.09%0.88114+7.95%0.0206✓1.295,7412022-06-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2509860.259057+3.22%0.274033+9.18%0.0271✓1.472.3M2022-06-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2960.305767+3.30%0.316+6.76%0.0007✓1.63425k2022-06-15
APEApeCoinEthereum3.6153.7378+3.40%4.161+15.10%0.0695✓1.9117.0M2022-06-15
HIVEHivenative0.35720.369379+3.41%0.3788+6.05%0.0035✓1.451.2M2022-06-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7310.756793+3.53%0.768+5.06%0.0128✓1.395.0M2022-06-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.